Using SIMSCI to trade the broad Singapore market - 3Q25 GDP surprises on the upside
📢Yesterday, the Ministry of Trade and Industry released advanced estimates that Singapore’s real GDP grew by 2.9% year-on-year (YoY) in 3Q25, slowing from 4.5% in 2Q25, due to front-loading of exports
☝This growth exceeded Bloomberg consensus' of around 2.0% estimate and is above the government’s 1.5–2.5% full-year forecast.
🏦MAS expects total 2025 GDP growth to moderate from the 3.9% trend seen in 1Q25–3Q25
👍Some of the standouts in the latest 3Q25 stats were:
🍽A 1.3% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth in accommodation and food services, real estate, and other services sector, supported by increased international visitor arrivals;
🏭The manufacturing sector expanded 6.1% QoQ but was flat YoY;
The 1.3% QoQ growth and 4.4% increase YoY in the information and communications, finance and insurance and professional services sector.
💼The growth was led by IT and information services, professional services by head offices and business representative offices, finance and insurance by banking and activities auxiliary to financial services.
📊While the revised full-year GDP estimates for 2025-2026 from Singapore's Ministry of Industry and Trade will be released only next month, economists are now expecting an upward revision potential to the 1.5-2.5% full-year expectation
📈The MSCI Singapore (SIMSCI) $MSCI Singapore Index - Oct 2025(SGP2510)$ index, which is designed to measure the performance of the large and mid-cap segments of the Singapore market, was up as much as 25.3% this year to date to a record high of 466.60 on 8 October. It has however, pulled back 3.2% from its peak over the last 3 days
🔍Investors who wish to take a broad view on the Singapore stock market may wish to consider trading warrants tracking the SIMSCI - its live price can be viewed on Macquarie's homepage www.warrants.com.sg
✳See how the trending SIMSCI call warrant $SIMSCI 485MBeCW260330(WH8W.SI)$ moves alongside the October SIMSCI futures: https://warrants.com.sg/tools/livematrix/WH8W
✴See how the trending SIMSCI put warrant $SIMSCI 420MBePW260330(GQEW.SI)$ moves alongside the October SIMSCI futures: https://warrants.com.sg/tools/livematrix/GQEW
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