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10-08

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Ford(F)$ 🚨🔥🚗 Tesla’s $40K Model Y Shake-Up: Gamma Walls, Call Unwinds, and Hedging Frenzy 🚗🔥🚨

I’m watching Tesla closely as today’s 1% dip reveals a deeper battle brewing beneath the surface. Tesla’s surprise launch of a budget Model Y priced under $40K has triggered a rapid shift across options positioning, gamma levels, and competitor sentiment. This isn’t just a price cut; it’s a strategic line in the sand as the EV war intensifies.

⚡ Strategic Pivot Meets Market Mechanics

The budget Model Y trims luxury features to keep costs low, clearly designed to defend volume as competition ramps. It’s a classic Tesla play: trade short-term margins for long-term market share. But options flow is painting a cautious picture. Over $34M worth of single-leg calls were sold today, indicating significant dealer repositioning. Call premium net drift is down $34.36M, while put premium has climbed to $16.16M, reflecting a sharp intraday sentiment swing from bullish to hedged.

📊 Gamma Levels Map the Battleground

Tesla is currently pinned near $441.50, sitting right on top of HVL and 0DTE put support at $440. Above lies a formidable wall:

• $450–$455: Gamma Wall + Call Resistance 0DTE. First major scale zone for momentum traders.

• $465–$470: Secondary GEX pocket; upside unlock if $455 breaks cleanly.

• $478–$480: GEX 6/8 confluence; likely final resistance before option dealers flip back long gamma.

Below, support at $417.08 (1D Min) and $410/$400 forms the downside map. Lose $440, and gamma acceleration could drag price swiftly to those lower shelves.

📉 Competitor Hedging Adds Pressure

$F fell 4.4% today as supply issues, rising costs, and a weak profit outlook weighed heavily. The Ford smile curve shows deep OTM puts trading at 300%+ IV, signalling intense downside hedging. This skew isn’t isolated; it feeds into broader EV sector caution, amplifying Tesla’s gamma vulnerability near key inflection levels.

📈 Technical Compression Meets Options Volatility

4H and 30m Keltner/Bollinger charts show Tesla testing mid-band and 55 EMA support around $440–$445 after rejecting $460. Momentum has cooled, and price is compressing. This is classic pre-breakout volatility build-up, but today’s call unwinds and put loading mean the next directional impulse will be amplified by dealer hedging.

👉❓Do you think Tesla’s budget Model Y move is a bold volume play that cements market dominance, or a defensive pivot that risks eroding margins in a crowded field?

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerPM @TigerObserver @1PC 

# 1 Trln Pay Package Approved! Tesla Sell the News: Hold for Long Term?

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Comment（8）

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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ·10-08
    TOP
    🚗I’m looking at that $450–$455 Gamma Wall you highlighted and it really does look like the first serious test zone. If call resistance holds here, we could see price coil under that level before any meaningful breakout. $TSLA flow confirms it.
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  • Hen Solo
    ·10-08
    TOP
    ⚡I find that $34M call unwind particularly telling. Dealers shifting intraday from long to short gamma often set the tone for the next move. If $440 gives way, that $417 shelf you flagged could become a magnet quickly. But it looks like it’s recovered and up 1% + overnight for now.
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  • Queengirlypops
    ·10-08
    TOP
    This setup’s got layers fr. That $440 shelf is like a pressure point. If buyers hold it, those upside GEX pockets at $465–$470 can pop quick. If not, hedging kicks in heavy. Whole EV flow got spicy with $F slipping this hard 🧃
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·10-08
    TOP
    The $TSLA pricing move feels like a calculated chess play. Cutting features to push sub $40K might not juice margins now but locking in volume could let them lean on software and autonomy later. Dealers clearly sensed the shift 💨
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  • Tui Jude
    ·10-08
    TOP
    📉That $F smile curve is wild. Over 300% IV deep OTM shows just how aggressively the market’s hedging downside. It makes Tesla’s gamma positioning even more critical since competitor stress often bleeds into sector sentiment fast.
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  • Enid Bertha
    ·10-08
    Optimus and robotaxi are insane

    Neurolink is insane xai is insane grok is insane boring company is insane

    Starlink is insane

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  • Venus Reade
    ·10-08
    Most likely Tesla is about to hit 500 soon

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  • PetS
    ·10-09

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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