To The Moon

$3M(MMM)$ $Honeywell(HON)$ $GE Aerospace(GE)$ 🚨📉🔥 $MMM The Cash Flow Cliff No One Saw Coming 🔥📉🚨

I’m staring at this chart and can’t help but feel like we’ve just witnessed a generational inflection point. 3M’s free cash flow has turned negative $1.98B on a trailing twelve-month basis. That’s not a typo. This is the first time in modern history that a company once considered a fortress of industrial stability has burned through cash at this scale. The drop isn’t just sharp; it’s vertical.

I’m digging into this because for decades, 3M was the kind of name pension funds and dividend aristocrat ETFs built their foundations on. It consistently threw off $4–7B in FCF like clockwork through recessions, rate hikes, and geopolitical shocks. Now, that once-reliable engine is sputtering.

Why does this matter? Free cash flow is the lifeblood of dividends, buybacks, debt servicing, and R&D. When it collapses like this, it usually forces hard choices. 3M is already spinning off its healthcare unit, facing massive legal liabilities from PFAS and earplug lawsuits, and wrestling with secular demand shifts in its core segments. The FCF reversal could accelerate strategic restructuring, credit rating downgrades, or even dividend cuts, once unthinkable for this blue-chip name.

For context, 3M’s dividend yield is hovering around historically high levels, but without sustainable FCF, that yield starts to look less like a reward and more like a warning light.

👉❓What do you think happens next? Are we witnessing a short-term shock that can be repaired, or is this the beginning of a structural unraveling in one of America’s industrial icons?

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