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10-02

$iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ $Vanguard Russell 1000 ETF(VONE)$ $iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF(IWF)$ 🔥📈💡 Trillion-Dollar Titans vs. Market Breadth 💡📈🔥

The market’s September performance sets up a critical October debate. The Russell 1000 (RUI) was up +3.4%, but the truth behind the headline is striking:

🟢 >$1 Trillion Stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, AVGO, LLY): +8.1%

🟢 Russell 1000 (RUI): +3.4%

🟢 < $1 Trillion Stocks (991 names): +0.1%

That’s not broad strength; that’s concentration risk. A handful of mega-caps carried the entire index, while nearly 1,000 other stocks barely moved.

📊 The ETFs tell the same story:

iShares Russell 1000 ETF ($IWB) and Vanguard Russell 1000 ETF ($VONE) track the index almost perfectly. Both show strong price action hugging the upper Bollinger and Keltner channels, reflecting the mega-cap surge.

Meanwhile, the US Small Cap 1000 Index (SMC) has rebounded off its April lows and is consolidating above its 55-day EMA. The setup is constructive, but the divergence versus trillion-dollar names is glaring.

📜 History gives us a sharp reminder. In 1999, giants like $MSFT, $INTC, and $CSCO pulled indices higher while the rest of the market lagged. When leadership cracked, the absence of breadth turned a correction into a collapse. Today’s narrow leadership feels eerily similar.

📌 The October question: do we finally see “broadening out” with capital rotation into small and mid-caps, or are we still hostage to trillion-dollar titans? You can have concentration risk, or broadening out; not both.

👉❓If $AAPL and $NVDA stumble, does $IWB unravel, or does money rotate into small caps like the SMC to spark a true broad market rally?

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@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerObserver @TigerPM @1PC 

# 💰Stocks to watch today?(17 Dec)

Modify on 2025-10-02 14:08

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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·10-03
    TOP
    The trillion-dollar surge is like the market’s cheat code right now but your SMC chart shows we can’t just ride giants forever. I’m seeing rotation vibes and if October broadens out it could flip everything. That concentration risk call is on point
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  • Tui Jude
    ·10-03
    TOP
    🔎The parallel with 1999 really hits me. The trillion-dollar stocks racing ahead while sub-trillion names stall feels unsustainable. I see the same split when I overlay $META and $IWD. If leadership falters the Russell could unwind quickly without small cap rotation.
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  • Queengirlypops
    ·10-03
    TOP
    The whole vibe is big dogs eating while the rest get crumbs. Seeing $IWB rip while the other 991 names are flat just proves it. If small caps catch even half that flow this month the rally’s got a new engine. Love how you broke it down 🧃
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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ·10-03
    TOP
    I’m looking at your breadth breakdown and it’s wild how the mega-caps are pulling the whole RUI. IWB looks stretched but when $NVDA and $AAPL carry that weight it makes sense. History says we’ll need small caps to confirm before this rally can really hold.
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  • Hen Solo
    ·10-03
    TOP
    📈It’s striking how $IWB and $VONE track nearly the same path yet the SMC is lagging. The divergence reminds me of how $TSLA once carried momentum alone before the EV sector followed. Without that breadth the market looks fragile despite those big gains.
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  • Norton Rebecca
    ·10-03
    IWB hugs Bollinger top, SMC consolidates. Waiting Oct rotation signal to pick sides!
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  • Maurice Bertie
    ·10-03
    AAPL+MSFT drive IWB up! Concentration’s fine,these titans won’t stumble soon!
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