$Newmont Mining(NEM)$ $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ $Barrick Gold Corp(GOLD)$ 💰⚡️📉 The Fed’s Policy Error Is Fueling a Gold & Silver Supercycle 💰⚡️📉
The U.S. economy is standing at a breaking point. The St. Louis Fed’s Real GDP Nowcast for Q3 2025 is barely positive at 0.05%; effectively zero. Beneath the surface, the Chapwood Index shows inflation in double digits across U.S. cities, confirming what households already know: official CPI is fiction. Real rates are deeply negative, the dollar is depreciating against real assets, and we’ve quietly entered an emerging-market style recession.
🪙 The Monetary Illusion
Since 2009, cheap money has distorted risk pricing. Policymakers cling to 2% inflation targets, but the Taylor Rule using real inflation would demand Fed Funds at 17.5%. Instead, money is free, leverage is abundant, and the middle class is being hollowed out. Those without assets are watching their purchasing power vanish.
📈 Silver: Pan American ($PAAS)
Pan American is breaking higher at $39.28, hugging the top of its Bollinger and Keltner channels. The chart screams momentum: rising volume, aligned EMAs, and higher lows since July. Silver is historically the high-beta cousin of gold; when monetary debasement accelerates, silver’s moves are sharper and faster. Upside zones: $42.50 first, then $48 if momentum persists.
🥇 Gold: Newmont ($NEM)
Newmont is pushing $85.95 with textbook EMA alignment (13 > 21 > 55). Central banks are buyers of last resort, diversifying reserves out of dollars and into gold. Newmont’s cash flows balloon at current spot prices, setting up a retest of $90 and a run at $100 as gold breaks to new highs.
🌍 The Global Lens
Germany’s DAX surged to ATHs during 2023–24 even while its economy was in recession. That’s the hallmark of monetary inflation: asset holders gain, wage earners fall behind. The same divergence is happening now in the U.S. If you don’t own real assets, you’re left behind.
👉❓If honest rates are 17.5%, how long before the Fed loses credibility and gold replaces the dollar as the ultimate reserve asset?
🔥 Conclusion
This isn't a short-term trade. It’s the early innings of a monetary regime shift. $PAAS gives you leveraged upside to silver’s volatility, while $NEM anchors with gold’s stability and institutional demand. Together, they’re the twin engines of wealth preservation in a dishonest system. When currencies crumble, miners soar.
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@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerObserver @TigerPM @1PC
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- Kiwi Tigress·10-03TOPI like how you tied $PAAS and $NEM into the Fed’s policy error because it shows why miners are running way ahead of the tape. The Taylor Rule math makes it impossible to ignore how distorted rates really are. This feels less like a trade and more like a generational wealth shift2Report
- Tui Jude·10-03TOPI’m with you that BTC’s consolidation on the power curve matters, BC. That 55EMA hold is huge context, especially with gold pressing upper bands. Reminds me of when $GDX lagged spot gold by a quarter before catching up hard. Timing the rotation is the real key here.3Report
- Hen Solo·10-03TOP🔥Your link between Germany’s DAX at ATHs during recession and the U.S. today is spot on. That’s textbook monetary inflation. $NEM grinding toward $100 isn’t hype, it’s the logical outcome when credibility in the Fed’s policy framework breaks down in real time.4Report
- Cool Cat Winston·10-03TOP📊I can’t ignore how clean that EMA stack looks on $NEM right now. When you’ve got central banks doubling down on reserves and GDP barely clinging above zero, it lines up perfectly with your call that miners are the hedge. $PAAS pushing $42.50 feels like the natural next stop.3Report
- Queengirlypops·10-03TOPthe way $PAAS is riding those bands looks wild, like straight rocket fuel when real rates are this fake. And $NEM at $85 just cruising to $100 feels locked in. The Fed staying soft while inflation’s double digits is literally handing miners the crown 👑🧃1Report
- Reg Ford·10-03Newmont hits $85.95! Central bank buys will push it to $100!3Report
- Norton Rebecca·10-03PAAS at $39.28 with momentum! $42.50 first,silver’s supercycle is here!3Report