$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares(TSLS)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ ⚡🚗🔥 Tesla’s Pre-Delivery Shakeout Meets Historic Monthly Milestone 🔥🚗⚡
📰 I’m convinced Tesla is entering one of its most defining inflection points yet
I’m convinced we’re watching one of Tesla’s most pivotal moments unfold: the stock is pulling back into deliveries just as it fights for the highest monthly close in its history. That tension between short-term volatility and long-term milestone is exactly where markets reveal who’s really in control.
📉 Tesla slips under the 9EMA at $432 as traders test conviction
Tesla just lost the 9EMA at $432, a key trend line it has respected throughout this run. The 30m chart shows rejection at $444–$448, with volume heavier on the red bars and the 21EMA beginning to curl down. The $428–$432 pocket is immediate demand, and a flush there wouldn’t surprise me given how traders often shake out weak hands right before delivery prints.
📊 $405–$415 emerges as the healthy reset zone on the 4H view
On the 4H view, $TSLA has been riding the Keltner midline since early September, but RSI is rolling off highs. If we see a mean reversion reset, $405–$415 aligns with the lower Keltner band and the breakout shelf. That’s the “healthy correction” pocket that keeps the bigger structure intact while cooling down stretched momentum.
📆 Tesla balances overbought weekly signals against its highest monthly close ever
Tesla is still capped below $488.54, the supply wall to clear for new highs. Weekly RSI(6) sits at 83 and RSI(12) above 72, both extended, while MACD momentum remains bullish. Historically, TSLA has retraced 15–20% after big delivery run-ups, which puts $380–$405 squarely in play if funds allow a deeper reset. Yet here’s the kicker: Tesla is also fighting for its highest monthly close ever, a milestone we’ll know in just a few hours. That kind of close carries weight far beyond intraday noise and can reset sentiment even if deliveries spark volatility.
🔎 Delivery shakeouts are nothing new, but this one has historic weight
I’m not surprised by the pullback. This is the classic Tesla pattern: bring it down into deliveries, reload lower, and push higher once the headline is out. The battle now is whether price holds the $428–$432 band or whether the market engineers a dip into $380–$405 before re-accumulating. Either way, the fact that Tesla is on the verge of its strongest monthly close in history adds gravity to this moment.
👉❓Do you see Tesla’s delivery print acting as the trigger for a flush and reload, or the spark that ignites a breakout past $488+ into new territory?
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- Cool Cat Winston·10-01TOP📊 I’m with you on that $428–$432 pocket because it’s often where funds test conviction. What stands out is how it overlaps with the monthly close battle. If Tesla holds there, it reminds me of when $AAPL defended its 50DMA before ripping to new highs.3Report
- Tui Jude·10-01TOP⚡ The way you tied the $380–$405 reversion to Tesla’s delivery rhythm makes total sense. I’ve seen $NVDA do the same thing into earnings, flush down 15% only to reload higher. That monthly close angle really amplifies why this one matters more.2Report
- Hen Solo·10-01TOP🚀 The mention of $488.54 as supply was key. That level’s acted like $AMZN’s ceiling around 190 for months, where flows just keep stalling. The difference here is Tesla could print its strongest monthly candle ever, which shifts how funds view resistance entirely.1Report