To The Moon

$CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ 🔥📊⚡️BTC Squeeze Play? Funding Rising, Shorts Folding, Price Breaking Out⚡️📊🔥

💥 On-chain signals and technical structure are aligning for a classic BTC dislocation move. But who’s really in control here: late shorts, FOMO longs, or market makers quietly rotating exposure?

🚀 Derivative Metrics Breakdown:

I’m seeing a fascinating divergence in structure:

• Price is surging, bouncing hard off the base with bullish continuation forming.

• Open Interest is falling, which is key. This isn’t a leveraged long frenzy, it’s late shorts getting forced out.

• Funding rates are grinding higher, now above 0.0059. That’s the retail crowd re-entering on the long side after being whipsawed.

🧠 What does this mean? We’re likely watching a short squeeze unwind phase, where market makers flipped the tape to trap overexposed shorts. Price ripped higher while OI dropped, meaning it wasn’t new longs pushing price, it was margin calls and liquidations on the short side.

📉 Technicals Aligning Across Timeframes:

4H Chart (Image 2)

BTC reclaimed mid-Keltner, busted through Bollinger mean, and is now riding the upper volatility bands. That volume spike confirms it’s real participation, not a ghost pump. I’m eyeing $113K–$114.8K as the next resistance band; if that breaks, we’re looking at a possible sweep of $117K.

1H Chart (Image 3)

Textbook volatility expansion. We’re compressing inside rising EMAs with layered Bollinger + Keltner confluence. Historical rhythm shows these setups often expand into 5–7% moves before fading. Right now, the structure is intact and climbing.

Chart 1 (Bybit Derivatives Data)

Open Interest (middle panel) is collapsing while price rallies, clear confirmation that this move isn’t derivative-driven. But check the rising funding (bottom panel), this is where retail chases the move after it’s already in motion.

🧠 That’s where market makers feast.

🔍 Strategic Context:

This move isn’t about trend. It’s about trapping. The risk isn’t directional, it’s positional.

Retail shorts entered too late. Now they’re out. Retail longs are entering too soon. Will they be next?

That’s why I always stress: avoid leverage in volatility clusters. These aren’t clean breakout zones. They’re engineered liquidity flushes. The real trend emerges after the wreckage.

📸 Visual Highlights:

🖼 Chart 1 – BTCUSDT + OI + Funding divergence (1H Bybit)

🖼 Chart 2 – 4H BTC breakout from Bollinger-Keltner base

🖼 Chart 3 – 1H BTC showing volatility rhythm compression breakout

👉❓Question for You:

If price continues up, but OI remains flat while funding climbs, is this spot-driven bullish structure or just leveraged longs becoming the new exit liquidity?

What do historical BTC short squeeze recoveries tell us at this stage?

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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