$Shift4 Payments, Inc.(FOUR)$ $PayPal(PYPL)$ $eToro Group Ltd.(ETOR)$ 🚀💰📊 Shift4 Payments: FCF Yield at All-Time Highs While Shorts Load Up 📊💰🚀
🔎 Free Cash Flow Yield Explosion
The following FCF yields have hit an all-time high:
• $PYPL 12.04%
• $FOUR 11.50%
• $ETOR 9.04% (IPO)
• $FI 8.80%
• $PAYO 8.34%
• $ADBE 6.51%
• $LULU 6.32%
• $CRM 6.23%
• $FDS 5.90%
• $MORN 4.97%
• $WDAY 4.33%
• $TDD 3.97%
• $MNDY 3.28%
• $DUOL 2.94%
• $HUBS 2.41%
$FOUR’s levered free cash flow yield keeps going higher and higher, now at 11.45%. Since 2020, revenue has been growing at 48% annually, and heading into 2026 the company expects another 20% growth in both revenue and EPS.
📉 Valuation Disconnect
EV/EBITDA has dropped to an all-time low while FCF is at an all-time high. This disconnect is glaring. The CEO himself stepped in to buy shares at $83, and the current price sits at $79.12. Insiders are clearly sending a message.
🔥 Short Interest Dynamics
Short interest stands at 18.29% with days to cover climbing to 9.28. That’s a powder keg. Looking at the data, short positioning has seen wild swings; with more than 1M shares shifting in and out across multiple settlement periods. The latest shows nearly 2M shares short, and yet the fundamentals remain strong.
📈 Technical Picture
On the weekly chart, $FOUR has corrected hard off its $116 highs, now trading around $79. Keltner and Bollinger bands are curling tighter, momentum looks oversold, and compression is building. With EV/EBITDA and FCF yields diverging this strongly, any catalyst: insider buying, earnings beats, or a short unwind, could trigger a sharp rebound.
💡 Business Model Advantage
I like $FOUR from the list; it has a very simple business model and an easy, predictable way to generate revenue. That clarity matters when assessing undervaluation.
💰 Watching $ETOR
30% of $ETOR is cash. I’ve known the company since 2013, but with it still fresh off IPO, I’m just watching for now.
👉 The $FOUR setup is remarkable:
• FCF yield at 11%+ and still climbing
• EV/EBITDA at record lows
• Insider buying at levels above current price
• Short interest at 18% with 9.28 days to cover
• Revenue and EPS growth expected at 20%
Absolutely wild! It’s not surprising to see a lower price here, but with this mix of fundamentals and positioning, $FOUR looks undervalued right now.
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- Kiwi Tigress·09-29TOPFOUR’s setup is insane right now with FCF yield ripping past 11% and shorts stacked at 18% like they wanna get squeezed. I’m loving the way you broke down EV to EBITDA hitting lows while revenue and EPS still run 20% higher. That’s rare conviction vibes right here3Report
- Tui Jude·09-29TOPThe revenue growth rate since 2020 really stands out to me because very few fintech names have kept that kind of compounding. FOUR pushing 48% annualized while trading at an EV/EBITDA low looks more like an overlooked CRM setup than a stretched payment play.4Report
- Queengirlypops·09-29TOPFOUR’s setup is insane right now with FCF yield ripping past 11% and shorts stacked at 18% like they wanna get squeezed. I’m loving the way you broke down EV to EBITDA hitting lows while revenue and EPS still run 20% higher. That’s rare conviction vibes right here2Report
- Cool Cat Winston·09-28TOP📊I like how you highlighted the 18% short interest on FOUR because that’s the real volatility trigger. When you pair that with the 11% FCF yield and insider buys it feels like the market is mispricing growth just like it did with PYPL last year.6Report
- Hen Solo·09-29TOP📈What’s wild is the CEO stepping in at 83 when the stock’s now under 80 because that adds weight to the undervaluation thesis. I can’t stop comparing the setup to FI which is solid at 8.8% yield but doesn’t have the same growth runway FOUR’s lining up.5Report
