TMC is showing early signs of a bullish recovery following extended weakness

$The Metals Company(TMC)$

🏦 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Trend Zone: TMC has transitioned into a Bullish environment (7% level) after spending much of the past month in Bearish territory (average −35%).

  • Investment Position: The recommended strategy remains Buy and Hold, as bullish entry points typically precede strong upward flows.

  • Outlook: Over the next 10 days, the trend level is expected to rise toward 55% Bullish, indicating an expanding base of buying pressure.

  • Investor Guidance: Long-term investors should stay positioned. Corrections in the early Bullish zone often represent accumulation opportunities rather than exit signals.


📈 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Current Position: The stock is transitioning into a correction trend as buying pressure softens. Despite this, the overall structure remains bullish.

  • Trade Timing:

    • Buy Opportunity: Projected for Sep 16 at approximately $5.40.

    • Sell Opportunity: Expected around Sep 18–19, with a potential target near $6.80.

  • Tactical Approach:

    • Consider scaling into positions at $5.40.

    • Take partial profits at strength near $6.80, while maintaining a core bullish position.


🔮 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

  • Trend Direction: The next 10 days show a 5:5 ratio of upward to downward days, but upward moves are projected to be stronger in intensity than downward pullbacks.

  • Forecast Range:

    • Upper Bound: $6.60 (+20.8%)

    • Lower Bound: $5.20 (−4.0%)

    • Median Price Target: $5.90 (+8.4%)

  • Volatility: Moderate, with steady buy-sell intensity. Predictive models suggest low volatility in timing accuracy.

  • Turning Points: Potential trend reversals projected ~2 days and ~5 days from now, pointing to short-term choppiness before strength resumes.

  • Correlation to U.S. Market:

    • Moves with U.S. index 59% of the time.

    • Moves counter to the index 41% of the time.

    • Implication: Low-to-moderate correlation means TMC may diverge from broader market moves, offering independent trading opportunities.


📌 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • For Long-Term Investors: TMC’s shift into the Bullish zone marks the start of a potentially significant upward cycle. Holding through early corrections is advised.

  • For Short-Term Traders:

    • Accumulate near $5.40 (Sep 16).

    • Target profit-taking around $6.80 (Sep 18–19).

  • Risk-Adjusted View: With a forecasted median gain of +8.4% over 10 days, TMC presents a favorable near-term risk/reward. However, expect short-term volatility and potential pullbacks before the trend strengthens.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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