Tesla's stock price has exploded, is it time to take a short break?
According to the "FORM 4" document on Tesla's official website, Musk bought a total of 2.57 million shares in one day last Friday (September 12)$Tesla (TSLA) $Stock, with buying prices ranging from $371.9 to $396.359 per share.
Regarding this increase, Daniel Ives, head of global technology research at U.S. investment bank Wedbush, said, "This is a huge vote of confidence." He said it reflects that Musk is doubling down on Tesla's artificial intelligence plan.
Not only that, Tesla's board of directors previously proposed an equity incentive plan to Musk to better bind Musk with the company's interests. The package is potentially worth about $1 trillion, and it is also the largest executive compensation package in American corporate history. To this end, Tesla has set phased goals for Musk, one of whichRequires a cumulative delivery of 1 million humanoid robots within 10 years。
In fact, Musk himself said this year that he hopes to increase the annual production of the humanoid robot Optimus to 1 million units within five years. Guoyuan Securities believes that this equity incentive demonstrates Tesla's determination to continue to invest in humanoid robots. In the future, Tesla will be one of the most important host manufacturers of humanoid robots.
According to the latest progress of robots mentioned by Musk at the All-In Summit a few days ago, Optimus V3, as a new generation design, will have human manual flexibility. Each robotic arm has a total of 26 actuators and will have the ability to navigate and understand reality. Artificial intelligence thinking.
Kaiyuan Securities pointed out that the engineering volume of Optimus dexterous hand accounts for about half of the development of humanoid robots, and it is the core focus direction of previous iterations. In the latest golden Optimus video released by Tesla, dexterous hands iterate towards refinement and bionics. Once the dexterous hand optimization is completed, it means that the core hardware has approached convergence, which is the last step for the robot to move towards large-scale mass production.
For short-term bearish investors, you can consider using the bear market spread strategy.
What is a Bear Call Spread Strategy?
A bear call spread is an options strategy in which options traders expect the price of the underlying asset to fall in the coming period, the trader wants to short the underlying and wants to limit trading to a certain risk range.
Specifically, the bear market call spread is achieved by buying a call option at a specific strike price while selling the same number of call options with the same expiration date at a lower strike price.
Specific cases of shorting Tesla
Take shorting Tesla as an example. The current price of Tesla is $420. Assuming that investors do not expect it to rise to around 450 on September 19, investors can use the bear market spread strategy to short Tesla at this time.
Step 1: Sell the call option with an exercise price of 450 expiring on September 19 and get a $190 premium.
Step 2: Buy a call option with the same expiration date and an exercise price of 460, which costs $122 premium, and the bear market spread is established.
STRATEGYTake shorting Tesla (symbol: TSLA) as an example, the current stock price is $420. Assuming that investors do not expect it to rise sharply before September 19, and may even remain below $450, they can consider using the Bear Call Spread strategy to establish a bearish position.
Strategy BuildingStep 1: Sell a Call option (Call) with an exercise price of $450 that expires on September 19, 2025, and get premium of $190 Step 2: Buy a Call option with the same expiration date and an exercise price of $460 (Call), paying premium $122
Premium Net RevenueGross Income = Put Option premium (190)-Call Option premium (122) = $68
PROFIT AND LOSSMaximum profit: If the TSLA stock price is below $450 at expiration, neither option is exercised, and the investor retains all premium income → Maximum profit = $68
Maximum loss: When the stock price is above $460 at expiration, both options are exercised, and the loss is the difference between the two strike prices minus net income
→ Maximum loss = (460-450) × 100-68 = $932
Breakeven point: When the stock price reaches $450 + (net income ÷ 100) at expiration
→ Equilibrium = 450 + (68 ÷ 100) = $450.68
Strategy SummaryThis bear spread strategy is suitable for investors with a bearish or volatile bearish view on TSLA. If the stock price falls below $450 at expiration, the maximum gain can be $68; If the stock price rises above $460, the maximum loss is $932; The breakeven point is roughly around $450.68.
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