To The Moon

There have been a lot of buzz around Remittix (RTX) lately, and it has stirred up a question whether will it help drive Bitcoin’s next breakout—or will investors instead funnel capital into newer altcoins for higher upside.

The truth is: both are possible, but a lot depends on market conditions, investor psychology, and whether projects like Remittix deliver on their promises.

In this article, I will try to break them down and see how would COIN and MSTR trade around this trend.

What we know about Remittix (RTX)

Here are some of the things people are pointing to:

• The project has raised ~$24–25 million+ in a presale, with hundreds of millions of tokens sold.

• It is being marketed as a “PayFi” / cross-chain / crypto-to-fiat payments utility project. Features include a mobile wallet, real-time FX conversion, support for many fiat currencies, low gas fees, etc.

• Listings are being planned or have been confirmed on some centralized exchanges (BitMart, LBank) which helps liquidity and visibility.

• The token price per presale is still relatively low (~$0.10) so the perceived upside is large.

These are positive signals, especially for a presale/early-stage project. But with early stage comes risk: execution, competition, regulation, tokenomics, etc.

Market context: are we seeing Bitcoin breakout vs altcoin rotation?

Here is what current data and analysis suggest:

• The Altcoin Season Index (which measures how many altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin over a recent period) has been rising, indicating more capital is flowing into altcoins.

• Bitcoin’s dominance (its share of total crypto market cap) has been slipping somewhat, which is typical in times when altcoins are becoming more attractive.

• Technical setups for Ethereum and certain altcoins are showing strength vs. BTC. Some analysts believe that BTC consolidation or mild resistance might push investors to chase higher % gains in altcoins.

So, right now, the market seems to be in a phase where altcoins are getting more attention. That does not preclude a Bitcoin breakout, but it suggests investors may look for better ROI outside of BTC if they feel BTC is “priced in” or less undervalued.

Will Remittix fuel Bitcoin’s breakout—or will it instead pull attention (capital) towards altcoins?

Here are scenarios and what could happen:

Our view: what seems more likely (with caveats)

Based on the current information, here’s what we lean toward:

In the short‐/medium-term, I believe altcoins (especially newer ones with strong presale momentum like Remittix) are going to capture more of the speculative capital. The rising Altcoin Season Index, falling Bitcoin dominance, and investor sentiment indicate that many are looking for high upside altcoins right now. So Remittix is well‐positioned to benefit in that environment.

That said, for Bitcoin to have a real breakout, it often needs institutional backing, regulatory clarity, strong macro tailwinds (e.g., favorable interest rates, acceptance, etc.). If those show up, BTC could lead and then drag up many alts.

Remittix could help fuel a broader crypto market rally if people believe in its narrative, and thus indirectly support BTC. But I don’t think Remittix itself, in its current presale stage, will be the spark for BTC’s breakout. That kind of role tends to come from macro or systemic catalysts.

There is also risk: presales are highly speculative. A lot of the encouraging news about Remittix comes from press / marketing / entry and roadmap promises. If those aren’t fulfilled, there could be a correction, which could also pull down confidence in altcoins in general (in the worst case).

In the next section, we will share how we build a compact, quantitative scenario model (3- and 6-month horizons) for four assets: Bitcoin (BTC), Remittix (RTX), Coinbase (COIN) and Strategy / MicroStrategy (MSTR → now “Strategy”).

We will be sharing the core assumptions, projected price ranges, implied %-moves, and a short risk / trade management checklist at the end.

Quick baseline (sources We used):

BTC spot: ~$116k (mid-Sep 2025).

COIN (Coinbase) recent price: ~$323.

MSTR (Strategy) recent price: ~$331.

Remittix (RTX): active presale with widely-reported presale rounds (prices in reports between ~$0.073–$0.105), presale fundraising reported ~$24–25M, and tokenomics note (presale tokens claimable shortly after launch per their docs). (use these as the presale reference price).

We will take a reference presale price for RTX = $0.08 for modeling simplicity (midpoint of reports).

Scenario model (assumptions → numeric forecasts)

Legend: 3-month / 6-month projections, with implied % move from today.

1) Best-Case (Bull / product + macro tailwinds)

Assumptions: Fed rate easing expectations + large inflows to crypto, BTC breakout led by inflows/ETF buying; Remittix lists on CEX with strong demand, low immediate unlocking selling; risk appetite high.

• BTC: +30% (3-mo) → $151k ; +60% (6-mo) → $186k. (Reason: fresh liquidity + ETF flows can drive large BTC moves).

• $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ : leverage to BTC / trading volumes → assume beta ~1.2 to BTC moves: 3-mo: +36% → $440 ; 6-mo: +72% → $555.

• $Strategy(MSTR)$ : highly BTC-correlated / operationally levered to BTC price (company holds BTC); assume beta ~2.5: 3-mo: +75% → $579 ; 6-mo: +150% → $827.

• Remittix (RTX): best case where listing + product adoption + low unlock selling = big speculative squeeze. From presale $0.08 → 3-mo: 10x → $0.80 ; 6-mo: 30x → $2.40. (High upside but also high risk.)

2) Base-Case (Moderate / mixed)

Assumptions: BTC grinds higher modestly (some macro help), altcoin appetite steady but not manic. Remittix lists but some early selling; adoption progress but slower.

• BTC: +10% (3-mo) → $128k ; +25% (6-mo) → $145k.

• COIN (beta 1.2): 3-mo +12% → $362 ; 6-mo +30% → $420.

• MSTR (beta ~2.0 in base): 3-mo +20% → $397 ; 6-mo +50% → $497.

• Remittix: modest listing bump / partial unlocks = 3-mo: 3x → $0.24 ; 6-mo: 6x → $0.48.

3) Worst-Case (Market shock / sell-off / token-specific problems)

Assumptions: macro shock or regulatory pain causing big BTC drawdown; Remittix suffers heavy post-list sell pressure or credibility problems (or large token unlocks), altcoins dumped.

• BTC: −30% (3-mo) → $81k ; −50% (6-mo) → $58k. (historic crypto drawdowns can be this large on stress.)

• COIN (beta 1.2): 3-mo −36% → $206 ; 6-mo −60% → $129.

• MSTR (very leveraged to BTC & sentiment): assume −70% (3-mo) → $99 ; −85% (6-mo) → $50 (operationally possible because its stock price has shown extreme sensitivity to BTC moves).

• Remittix: worst case (listing dump, project doubts) −95% → $0.004 (essentially near-zero recovery in 3–6 months).

Summary table (rounded)

(All numbers rounded; RTX figures are aggressive/hypothetical — presale tokens often show outsized % moves but are high-risk.)

Probabilities & expected value (subjective)

A quick, conservative allocation of scenario probabilities :

• Best: 20%, Base: 45%, Worst: 35%.

Using those weights, expected BTC move over 6 months ≈ roughly ~+12% (weighted). For RTX, expected value is heavily skewed by best-case upside — but because of high chance of significant downside, expected return is dominated by distribution tails — i.e., outcomes are binary and very uncertain.

Important: small probability extreme upside in an altcoin can create large expected returns numerically, but realized outcome risk is very asymmetric (many presales fail or get dumped).

How I translated correlation to stock moves

COIN: trading volumes and exchange revenue are tied to crypto prices and volatility; historically COIN has shown strong positive correlation with BTC (I used beta ≈ 1.2 in these scenarios).

MSTR (Strategy): the company holds a large BTC position and its stock mechanically often amplifies BTC moves (higher beta), so used 1.5–2.5 depending on scenario. Historical moves have been extreme in both directions around big BTC moves.

Risk / trade management guidance (practical steps)

Position sizing: cap any single presale / altcoin exposure (like RTX) to a small % of your risk capital — e.g., 1–3% of portfolio if speculative. For COIN and MSTR, position size can be larger but still respect volatility.

Staged entries: dollar-cost average into COIN/MSTR rather than all-in at once. For RTX, consider buying only part in presale and leaving allocation for post-listing liquidity events (if you can).

Stop-loss / take profit: for high-vol assets set mental or real stops (e.g., cut if −40–50% on speculative presale, tighten after +50%). For stocks, stops can be wider (say −20–30%).

Watch unlocks & vesting: Remittix documentation suggests presale tokens may be claimable shortly after launch (no vesting for presale buyers per their docs) — that increases short-term dump risk; treat that as a material risk.

Hedging: if you hold large BTC exposure (directly or via MSTR), consider small hedge via put options or inverse instruments during speculative altcoin windows.

News sensitivity: Coinbase and Strategy remain highly news-sensitive (regulatory or institutional news can swing them). Keep position sizes manageable.

Caveats & what We did not assume

We did not model macro shocks (e.g., sudden Fed policy U-turn) beyond the scenario ranges above; those could create larger swings.

These are not financial advice — they are illustrative scenario models based on current prices, typical betas/relationships, and the reported Remittix presale details. Past performance is not a predictor of future results.

Small changes in assumed betas or RTX entry price materially change the projected dollar outcomes.

In the next section, we will be moving into the technical analysis summary of COIN and MSTR.

Here is a technical-analysis summary of COIN (Coinbase Global) and MSTR (Strategy / MicroStrategy) in terms of momentum & strength, based on recent data. Use this as one input in forming a view — not a guarantee.

COIN (Coinbase Global)

Strength / Momentum Indicators

Weakness / Risk / Things to Watch

Short‐term price pulls might occur; momentum isn’t over-extended, but there’s not huge excess either.

Some moving averages (e.g. very short term) may be slightly lagging; any negative news or volume drop could lead to a correction.

As with any growth/volatility exposed stock, market sentiment (crypto regulation, macro) will have outsized effect.

Overall Summary for COIN

COIN appears to have moderate positive momentum. Indicators lean bullish, especially for 50/200 day MA, MACD, and RSI in the mid-50s. There’s strength, but not yet a blow-off or overbought condition. In short: good upside potential, but risk of pullback if something negative triggers.

MSTR (Strategy / MicroStrategy)

Strength / Momentum Indicators

Weakness / Risks / Things to Watch

The stock has been under pressure: long-term moving averages are overhead resistance. For example, falling below the 50-day or 100/200-day often signals bearish trend continuation.

Volume has been below average recently in some reports. Lack of conviction / weak participation often undermines potential rallies.

Some oscillators & short‐term indicators show oversold or about to exit oversold zones, but the move up needs follow‐through. Without that, false breaks possible.

Overall Summary for MSTR

MSTR is in a weaker technical position overall compared to COIN. Long-term trend is bearish (or at least under pressure), many resistance levels overhead. But there are signs of possible short‐term bounce: MACD turning positive, oscillators coming out of oversold zones. If this momentum builds, MSTR could attempt a recovery rally — but it has a higher risk of failure / falling back compared to a healthier setup.

Comparative View & Key Levels to Watch

For COIN, key support levels are at recent MA support (50-day, maybe the 200-day) and previous pullback lows. Key resistance will be recent highs / psychological levels. If COIN can convincingly break above resistance on good volume, momentum could accelerate.

For MSTR, resistance is likely at the 50-day / 100-day MAs, and more strongly at 200-day MA. If it fails to break above those, downside remains. Key support levels are recent lows; watch for whether support holds (with strength / volume) or breaks.

Volume & volatility are important. For both, a strong volume surge accompanying upward price movement strengthens momentum signals; lack thereof weakens them.

Summary

Remittix (RTX) is a new altcoin that has shown significant investor interest, with its presale raising over $20 million. This interest is driven by its focus on real-world utility, specifically in providing a "PayFi" solution for cross-border payments with low fees and direct bank account transfers.

The rise of newer, utility-focused altcoins like Remittix could contribute to an "altseason," where capital flows from Bitcoin into these alternative cryptocurrencies seeking higher returns. This would decrease Bitcoin's market dominance, potentially delaying or impacting its next breakout. Instead of fueling Bitcoin's rise, this scenario suggests investors are diversifying or switching to altcoins for more upside potential.

For crypto stocks, the performance of MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) is closely tied to the broader crypto market. MSTR, which holds a large Bitcoin treasury, acts as a proxy for Bitcoin's price, and its stock is highly volatile. If Bitcoin's price stalls due to an altcoin surge, MSTR's stock would likely struggle. Conversely, Coinbase (COIN) benefits from increased trading volume across the entire crypto market. Therefore, a booming altcoin market, with new projects like Remittix generating high trading activity, could be favorable for COIN, as it would likely increase transaction fees on its platform.

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think this is a good time to look at these two stocks, COIN and MSTR?

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire @MillionaireTiger appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.