To The Moon

$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ $Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RGTI ETF(RGTX)$

📈 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Current Zone: Bearish

• Recommended Position: Sell and Observe (but prepare for transition)

The long-term framework remains in a Bearish state, typically associated with weak returns and elevated downside risk. However, conditions are rapidly changing:

• The probability of entering the Bullish zone within 1 day is 91%, indicating a high likelihood of a trend reversal.

• Investors who have maintained a Sell and Observe stance since Sep 04 have seen a +9.1% return in the Bearish phase.

• If confirmation of a Bullish shift occurs, a strategy pivot toward gradual accumulation and increasing equity exposure will become appropriate.

At present, staying cautious remains prudent, but long-term investors should prepare for a shift to Buy and Hold once bullish confirmation is achieved.

⚡ Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Current Zone: Bearish, but shifting rapidly toward Bullish

• Short-Term Position: Buy (Bullish) and Hold (anticipating transition)

Momentum has clearly turned upward:

• RGTI is currently in a rebound trend, where selling pressure has eased, giving room for strong buying bursts.

• Entry point: Around Sep 10 near $16.6.

• Exit window: Sep 11–12 near $19.3, offering an opportunity for quick gains.

Short-term traders should act ahead of the likely bullish crossover by entering on dips and targeting rapid profit-taking during the expected uptrend.

🔮 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Directional Bias: Balanced flows (50% down / 50% up), but upward intensity stronger.

• Expected Price Range: $15.3 ~ $18.9

• Median Projection: $17.1 (+3.8%)

Trend Reversal Probabilities: Potential turning points in 4 and 7 days.

Trend Intensity:

• Upward: 76% (strong)

• Downward: -44% (moderate)

Market Correlation:

• Moves with the U.S. stock index ~72%.

• Moves against ~28%, suggesting moderate but not perfect alignment.

Volatility Outlook: Elevated due to sudden surges in buying intensity; forecasts should be treated with flexibility.

📝 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• Long-Term Investors: Maintain a Sell and Observe stance for now, but prepare to pivot quickly to Buy and Hold if the anticipated bullish transition confirms within the next day.

• Short-Term Traders: The rebound is presenting actionable opportunities. Buying near $16.6 (Sep 10) and selling around $19.3 (Sep 11–12) offers a favorable risk-reward setup.

• Overall Outlook: RGTI is at a critical inflection point. The strong +8.91% rebound, coupled with a 91% probability of entering the Bullish zone imminently, suggests traders and investors should be proactive in positioning for a possible breakout phase.

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