๐๐๐ Market Recap 09Sep25: Oracleโs $455B Backlog Boom, Ellison vs Musk Showdown, and SPX Record Highs ๐๐๐
$Oracle(ORCL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$
๐ Down Movers
Apple $AAPL slipped -1.48% to $234.35 after unveiling its full iPhone 17 lineup. Despite product buzz (iPhone 17 from $799, Air $999, Pro $1,099, Pro Max $1,199), the stock sold off. The Mag 7 day was mostly green except for Appleโs pain.
Iโm watching Apple $AAPL closely; the iPhone 17 launch couldnโt stop a -1.48% selloff. Given its weighting in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, Appleโs weakness tempered what was otherwise a green mega-cap day.
๐ Up Movers
Tesla $TSLA +0.16% to $346.97
Meta $META +1.78% to $765.70
Amazon $AMZN +1.02% to $238.24
Google $GOOGL +2.39% to $239.63
Nvidia $NVDA +1.46% to $170.76
Microsoft $MSFT +0.04% to $498.41
โก Special Catalysts
โข Oracle $ORCL ripped +31.29% after-hours on blowout earnings. Larry Ellison, now worth $291B, could see ~$75B added to his fortune, setting up a real showdown with Elon Musk ($383B).
Iโm tracking Oracle $ORCL after its +31% after-hours rip; backlog surged to $455B and Larry Ellison just put himself in direct wealth competition with Musk. This is now an index-moving event across the S&P and Nasdaq.
โข Trump urged the EU ๐ช๐บ to impose 100% tariffs on China ๐จ๐ณ and India ๐ฎ๐ณ, with the U.S. ready to mirror. The U.S. Supreme Court will hear Trumpโs tariff appeal in early November. Treasury Sec. Bessent expressed confidence the Court will back tariffs.
โข Robinhood $HOOD announced Robinhood Social: a social trading app where users can post verifiable trades and track whales like Pelosi. HOOD also rolled out custom scanners, custom AI-powered indicators, short selling, multiple investing accounts, and confirmed overnight index options trading.
โข Microsoft $MSFT reportedly plans to partially swap OpenAI for $AMZN-backed Anthropic in Office 365 AI workloads, shifting some compute to AWS.
๐ฅ Options Flow
โข $GLD led with 1.03M contracts, heavy call bias (3x puts).
โข $UNH strong flow (907K), 3:1 call/put after Medicare update.
โข $KWEB 789K, but 61% puts.
โข $JD, $ORCL, $RIOT, $WOLF also stood out.
Takeaway: bullish setups in $GLD and $UNH, hedging evident in $KWEB.
Oracle $ORCL rockets on AI cloud boom, Q1 bookings hit $455B (vs $138B prior) after OpenAI + mega cloud deals, infra rev +55%. Shares +14% AH, +45% YTD.
Liquidity check: Gamma positive, Net GEX 39.3M, DEX 6.6B. Spot ~241 with resistance at 240, options flows leaning supportive.
Bloomberg: Options traders are betting the S&P 500 will post a modest swing on Thursday following the CPI report, with a projected move of nearly 0.6% in either direction.
Thatโs well below an average realized move of 1% over the past year.
๐ช Commodities
Gold (via $GLD) saw massive options activity, reflecting safe-haven demand amid tariff headlines.
Gold vs. Nasdaq-100. "The shiny metal, which drives no future cash flows and offers no yield, has now delivered a better price return than [QQQ], which tracks the Nasdaq 100, since the launch of ChatGPT at the end of November 2022.."
๐ Market Breadth
โข NYSE: 1,858 advancers vs 2,358 decliners
โข Nasdaq: 4,814 advancers vs 5,861 decliners
โข New highs: 449 NYSE, 1,048 Nasdaq
โข New lows: 47 NYSE, 112 Nasdaq
Breadth leaned negative even as indexes closed at record levels; mega-caps carried the tape.
๐ Index Action
โข Dow Jones: 45,711 (+196, +0.43%)
โข S&P 500: 6,512 (+17, +0.27%)
โข S&P 100: 3,234 (+15, +0.46%)
โข Nasdaq Composite: 21,879 (+81, +0.37%)
โข Russell 2000: 2,382 (-13, -0.55%)
โข Midcap 400: 3,267 (-29, -0.89%)
โข VIX: 15.04 (-0.46%)
Big caps drove record closes; small and mid-caps lagged.
๐ Biggest Movers
โข $ORCL +20% AH on backlog surge.
โข $UNH +8.6% on Medicare update.
โข $TECK +12% on copper merger.
โข $WOLF +48% on Ch.11 reorg approval.
โข $NBIS +49% on $17.4B $MSFT GPU deal.
โข $AAPL -1.5% post-iPhone launch.
โข $NWSA -1.7% / $FOXA -6% on Murdoch settlement.
โข $OCTO -11% โ
โข $CASY +3.8% on earnings beat.
โข $AAL (UK) +9.1% โ
โข $CRWV +7.1% on new AI venture arm.
โข $BMNR extends rally โ
๐ฆ Sector Snapshot
Financials shined: $GS, $MS, $C all hit fresh 52-week highs. Tech breadth strong with $GOOGL, $NVDA, $U, $APP, $STX, $WDC posting highs. Staples also participated: $CASY, $AVO delivered earnings beats.
๐ Macro Context
โข S&P 500 has now logged 22 records YTD.
โข Options market pricing muted CPI reaction of ยฑ0.6% vs ยฑ1% average.
โข Goldman model flags 25%+ odds of S&P drawdown (3M >10%, 12M >20%).
โข Traders shrugged off a brutal -911K jobs revision, focusing on Fed cuts and CPI.
๐ Single-Stock Spotlights
โข $ORCL: EPS $1.47 (miss), rev $14.93B (miss), but RPO backlog +359% to $455B. Multi-cloud DB rev surged +1,529%. New Oracle AI Database announced.
โข $GOOG Cloud: $106B backlog, $58B set to convert to rev by 2027. Q2 rev +32% YoY to $13.6B. Still behind $AMZN & $MSFT but one of Alphabetโs fastest-growing units.
โข $UNH: Reaffirmed 2025 EPS, strong Medicare โญ update. Peers $CNC, $CLOV, $CVS, $ALHC followed; $HUM sank -11%.
โข $GME: Q2 rev +21.8% to $972M, EPS $0.25. Net income $169M. Cash pile $8.7B (market cap $10.5B). Holds $529M BTC. Hardware 61%, software 16%, collectibles 23%.
๐ฅซ Defensive / Staples Lens
$CASY EPS $5.77 vs $5.01 est. on strong in-store + fuel margins.
$AVO EPS $0.26 vs $0.16 est. on avocado demand.
Both beat expectations, reinforcing staples resilience.
๐ฅ IPO / Market Heat
$RBRK: Q2 rev $309.9M (+51% YoY) vs $282M est., EPS -$0.03 vs -$0.34 est. ARR $1.25B (+36%). Guides Q3 rev $321M > $302M est. Stock ripped AH.
๐ค AI / Tech Catalysts
โข Oracle AI Database launch.
โข Google Cloudโs AI-chip dev push.
โข MicrosoftโAnthropic AWS partnership pivot.
โข Unity $U, AppLovin $APP, Alnylam $ALNY, and Micron $MU all hit highs on AI tailwinds.
๐ Technical Setups
Oracleโs chart shows breakout beyond $309, fueled by backlog momentum.
$SPX setup favors a classic early-mid Oct dip buy with $VIX clinging to 15.
Mega-cap compression in $MSFT, $GOOGL, and $NVDA aligns with breakout continuation.
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐๐๐๐๐
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The RETEST of 260 is inevitable!!!
STRONG BUY here!!