SRT Rose 2.42% WTD; Singapore July CPI Fell to 0.5%YoY【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】
【SRT】
As of 29 Aug 2025 (Fri), SRT rose slightly +2.42% WTD in SGD and +10.22% YTD in SGD. WTD gains were led by industrial, office and retail by subsector and Suntec REIT, MLT and FCT by individual REIT.
Morgan Stanley forecasts S-REITs to be driven by attractive spreads and sustained equity fund raising and DPU growth. Phillip Securities maintains S-REITs overweight, prioritizing those with robust sponsors, healthy financials, operational strength, high-yield, and resilient fundamentals.
$CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ 2025 YTD Total Return: +10.22%
【MMF】
US Treasuries rallied across the curve during the week with more tightening at the short-end and belly after healthy 2Y, 5Y and 7Y auction demand and after Trump's attempt to fire Lisa Cook raised concerns about Fed independence. Furthermore, Powell's dovish remarks at Jackson Hole bolstered rate cut bets. Upcoming jobs report will further shape rate expectations.
We expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 2025/08/29, the fund has a net yield at 4.09%. ^
$CSOP USD Money Market Fund (SGXZ96797238.MF)$ Net 7-day Yield: +4.09%
^ 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.
【CN】
Despite approaching month-end, interbank funding remains ample and is expected to stay so through most of September based on historical trends. However, bond market sentiment is cautious due to strong equity performance, and despite a minor pullback in China equities, trading volumes remain high. As long as this persists, China rates may not fully reflect liquidity or economic fundamentals.
Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/08/29, CYC/CYB’s NAV gained +0.18% in CNY and gained +2.51% in USD*.
* CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error
Global Market Outlook
【SG】Singapore’s Core CPI Fell 0.5% YoY in July and Forecasts Remain Steady
Singapore’s core CPI fell to 0.5% YoY in July due to declining prices of retail and other good, as well as electricity and gas. Experts suggest that some businesses are making the tough decision to not raise prices due to slowing demand. MAS and MTI held their 2025 inflation forecasts at 0.5% to 1.5%, while acknowledging upside risks from geopolitical shocks and downside risks from weaker growth globally and/or domestically.
【US】Fed Rate Outlook Hinges on Labour Data and Independence Concerns
Looking ahead, payroll data will be the final significant labour market indicator before the upcoming Fed rate decision. Evidence of labour market weakness may lead markets to anticipate additional cuts, though expectations are anchored around a 25bp move. In addition to economic indicators, potential changes in perceptions of Fed independence may influence rate trajectories, with markets potentially incorporating more dovish outlooks if concerns about independence intensify, regardless of underlying data. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2509(10Ymain)$ $Micro 2-Year Yield - main 2509(2YYmain)$
Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, HSBC, and Channel News Asia, as of 2025/08/29, except where otherwise stated.
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SRT
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CYC/CYB/CYX
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