NVDA is on the cusp of exiting a Bearish phase
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ $T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF(NVDQ)$
1. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
Currently, NVDA remains in a Bearish trend zone, where the prevailing investment stance is “Sell and Observe.”
Risk & Return Outlook: Bearish zones are associated with lower expected returns and higher downside risk, as selling pressure dominates and upward rebounds are often weak or short-lived.
Trend Breakdown:
Downtrend Phase: Strong downside momentum with only brief relief rallies.
Rebound Phase: Temporary upward moves with limited strength, vulnerable to renewed selling.
Strategic Guidance: Long-term investors should remain defensive. Holding inverse ETFs or sitting on the sidelines may help avoid unnecessary losses.
Bullish Transition Watch: With the probability of entering a Bullish zone rising to 82%, investors should prepare for a potential strategy shift. This would involve gradual re-entry into NVDA shares once the Bullish confirmation is signaled.
Importantly, long-term investors should maintain discipline: stay patient during the Bearish phase and prepare liquidity for redeployment once NVDA firmly re-establishes a Bullish trend.
2. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
In the short-term, NVDA is experiencing a rebound trend inside the Bearish zone.
Tactical Play: During such rebounds, sell-on-strength can be used to hedge risk, while buying should be limited and conservative until a confirmed Bullish breakout emerges.
Buy Timing: Optimal entry is projected between Aug 27–28 at around $174.4.
Sell Timing: Short-term traders may look to exit positions between Sep 4–5 at around $185.7, targeting a swing profit.
Market Correlation: NVDA’s movements mirror the U.S. stock market index 83% of the time, suggesting traders should closely monitor the S&P 500 and Nasdaq for directional cues.
Volatility Outlook: Forecast volatility remains moderate, given balanced buy-sell intensity.
For active traders, this setup offers a tactical swing trade opportunity within the coming 7–10 days.
3. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights
Expected Pattern: Ascending rectangle, tilted bullish.
Trend Bias: 0 : 10 ratio (favoring upward moves exclusively over the next 10 sessions).
Price Range Forecast:
Lower Bound: $175.6 (-2.3%)
Upper Bound: $184.7 (+2.7%)
Median Price: $180.2 (+0.2%)
Trend Intensity:
Upward momentum: +95% (near maximum strength)
Downward momentum: -43% (moderate but limited risk)
Turning Point Projection: A possible trend reversal is anticipated in about 4 days, aligning with the expected Bullish transition window.
Zone Outlook:
Last 30 days: Bullish 9%
Current: Bearish -7%
Next 10 days (expected): Bullish 25%
In short, NVDA is likely to shift from Bearish to Bullish in the coming days, with strong upward intensity supporting the outlook.
4. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts
For Long-Term Investors: Stay patient. Maintain a Sell and Observe stance until the Bullish zone is confirmed. Once confirmation appears, begin gradual accumulation to capture the next growth cycle.
For Short-Term Traders: A tactical swing trade opportunity is emerging. Consider buying around Aug 27–28 ($174.4) and targeting a sell around Sep 4–5 ($185.7).
Key Risk: NVDA remains tightly correlated to the broader market. If the U.S. indexes weaken unexpectedly, NVDA’s bullish breakout could be delayed.
Action Point: Monitor closely for signs of a Bullish transition this week. Be prepared to shift from defense to offense quickly, as the probability of upward breakout is exceptionally high.
📌 Bottom Line:
NVDA is on the cusp of exiting a Bearish phase with a high likelihood of entering a Bullish zone. Short-term rebound dynamics provide near-term trading opportunities, while long-term investors should remain cautious but ready to deploy capital once confirmation of the Bullish shift is established.
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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
