Is NVDA’s bullish trend at risk of near-term correction?
1.Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
Trend Zone: Bullish
Investment Stance: Buy and Hold
Rationale: The Bullish zone is characterized by sustained upward flows with mild corrective phases. Current market structure supports ongoing accumulation for investors with multi-month horizons.
Macro View: Elevated buying pressure and limited downside risk contribute to an attractive risk-reward setup. Investors positioned since August 4 should continue to hold, with a strategic plan to shift defensive if momentum weakens and the Bearish zone probability increases further.
Risk Trigger: Bearish zone entry — would shift long-term strategy from Buy and Hold to Reduce/Exit Positions.
2. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
Current Tactical Zone: Bullish, approaching Correction Trend phase
Short-Term Stance: Near-term Sell (Bearish) bias emerging
Rationale: Price momentum is showing early signs of deceleration, indicating an imminent shift into a sideways-to-downward box range pattern over the next 10 days. Forecast model projects an 8:2 ratio in favor of downward movements, with stronger downside intensity relative to upside potential.
Trade Plan:
Sell Window: August 12–13, 2025
Target Sell Price: $186.10
Buyback Window: August 15–18, 2025
Target Buy Price: $178.70
Market Correlation: NVDA’s price direction aligns with the U.S. Stock Market Average Index with 83% probability, suggesting index volatility will be a key driver of short-term performance.
3. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary and Insights
Price Range Forecast: $179.80 – $185.50
Expected Change: -1.6% to +1.5%
Median Price: $182.70 (current close)
Trend Probability:
Current: Bullish 31%
10-Day Forward: Bearish -6% (avg)
Intensity Forecast:
Upside: +39% (Max +100%)
Downside: -65% (Min -100%)
Turning Points Expected: ~2 days and ~9 days from now
Volatility: Low, due to balanced buy-sell flow, but downside moves expected to be sharper than upside moves in the near term.
4. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts
For Long-Term Investors: Maintain Buy and Hold positions while the Bullish zone remains intact. Be prepared to reduce equity exposure if Bearish zone probability rises beyond current 38% or price action breaks below the $179.80 lower bound.
For Short-Term Traders: Consider taking profits in the August 12–13 window and re-entering near the projected $178.70 buy zone. Given the high correlation to the U.S. market, monitor macro index trends closely.
Overall Bias: While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term caution is warranted due to emerging correction patterns and heightened downside intensity in the forecast.
For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:
🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!
Find out more here：
Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
