$Firefly Aerospace Inc.(FLY)$
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$


Firefly Aerospace’s IPO under ticker FLY is gaining attention due to its unique position in the space launch market. With its Alpha rocket delivering 1,300 kg to LEO, Firefly targets a gap between smallsat rideshares and large-scale missions, especially for defense and rapid-response needs. Its standout moment came in 2023 with the Victus Nox mission, launching just 27 hours after orders - unmatched by competitors.


Backed by contracts from the U.S. Space Force, NASA, and DARPA, Firefly has real government traction. While its cost per kg is higher than SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare, its value lies in speed and flexibility, not bulk discounting.


If IPO sentiment mirrors recent hype around defense and space tech, a $110 close on Day 1 is possible, especially with limited float and momentum traders jumping in. It’s a bold target, but reflects investor appetite for early-stage, defense-aligned space plays with asymmetric upside.
# Is Rocket Lab the New Leader in Small Orbital Rockets?

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  • YiSquared
    ·08-08
    Overshot the target, but the logic stands - appetite for space/defense plays is real, just that sentiment came in cooler than expected.
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