$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ πππ₯Nebius owns the rails: AI cloud built different, and built to winπ₯ππ
Iβm extremely confident Nebius Group $NBIS is about to break free from the noise and reprice as one of the most important infrastructure stocks of the AI age.
The setup is explosive. Price just closed on top of a key supply zone at $55.10, a level itβs tested six times since June, and I believe it wants to pop into earnings on 07Aug25. A clean breakout through $58.16 opens up $60.03, then $68.60 as potential upside targets.
Iβm watching the 8/8 56C as a high-risk, high-reward setup. Price action has been coiling inside a tight range just under resistance, with TTM Squeeze green bars stacking on increasing momentum, MACD turning positive, and RSI pushing toward 60 (59.73). Volumes are showing accumulation, with todayβs 7.46M shares trading at 65% of the 30-day average, signaling a potential breakout move.
On the 4H chart, NBIS is hugging the top of the Keltner Channel and pushing through the upper Bollinger Band. Price is riding the EMA ribbon from 13 through 55-period support. This is exactly the kind of compression and expansion setup I want to see ahead of a macro event.
Earnings due pre-market 07Aug25, and hereβs what weβre looking at:
β’ Estimated revenue: $101.197M
β’ EPS est: -$0.45
β’ Analyst consensus: 4 buys, 0 holds or sells
β’ Median 12-month PT: $66.50 (18.5% upside from $54.17 close)
β’ DA Davidson PT: Raised from $55 to $65 β βnon-core businesses gaining investor focus,β with Toloka and Avride flagged as potentially equal in value to the core
But this isnβt just a trade. Itβs a thesis.
The $9B CoreWeaveβ$CORZ deal is unraveling, and itβs the best advertisement yet for Nebius.
While CoreWeave is tangled in $10B lease liabilities and struggling to scale, $NBIS owns the full stack. Data centers, servers, network, software, all in-house. That translates into speed, control, margin, and defensibility.
$NBIS is the only true vertically integrated AI-native cloud at scale. And itβs backed by $NVDA.
Theyβre already running H100s and H200s, with Blackwell integration ahead thanks to deep alignment with Nvidiaβs roadmap through the NVDA Cloud Partner Program.
This isnβt a company trying to catch the AI wave. It was built for this exact moment.
CEO Arkady Volozh is a battle-tested infrastructure operator, scaling a world-class engineering team that executes with precision. Theyβve got over $2B cash, massive demand, and unmatched operational leverage.
The Q1 2025 revenue run rate was already $310M, up over 700% YoY.
2025 guidance:
β’ $500Mβ$700M revenue
β’ $750Mβ$1B ARR by year-end
By 2026:
β’ Targeting 1 GW cloud capacity
β’ Forecasting $10B annual revenue
β’ 25% EBIT margin = $2.5B EBIT
β’ $1.6B net income (65% EBIT-to-net)
β’ 30x earnings = $50B valuation (conservatively 5x from today)
And by 2028, forecasts project $4.68B in annual revenue, already on path to $10B+
Beyond core, $NBIS also holds strategic optionality through valuable assets:
β’ 28% of ClickHouse ($6B valuation)
β’ Toloka (AI data platform backed by Bezos and Shopify CTO)
β’ Avride (autonomous mobility, partnered with Uber, Hyundai, Grubhub)
β’ TripleTen (tech education platform)
β’ TractoAI (serverless AI cloud, workload-priced)
These arenβt just side bets. DA Davidson believes Toloka and Avride alone could equal the value of the core business, giving $NBIS built-in firepower without needing heavy dilution to fund growth.
Iβm bullish on $NBIS not because itβs following the AI narrative, but because itβs writing it.
When you build the infrastructure layer of a new compute era, and own the hardware, software, and execution, youβre not a vendor, youβre a platform.
$NBIS is what it looks like when you start at the silicon and scale to the stratosphere.
Will this be the next $100B cloud powerhouse? I believe it already is β the marketβs just catching up.
Would you rather back a company renting its future or the one that already owns it?
π’ Donβt miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ππ Iβm obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letβs outsmart the market and stack those gains together! π
Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks @Tiger_Earnings
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