$Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ $Centene(CNC)$ ππ Diamond in the Rough: $OSCR May Be Forming the Reversal of the Quarter πππ₯
Iβm watching Oscar Health ($OSCR) with growing interest as a rare bullish diamond bottom begins to crystallize on the daily chart. For newer traders, a bullish diamond bottom is a powerful reversal pattern that resembles a widening then narrowing structure, visually like a baseball diamond, marking indecision followed by a sharp resolution. Itβs rare, but when it forms after a steep downtrend and confirms with breakout volume, it often signals explosive upside. The measured move target is typically projected by the height of the diamond added to the breakout point; in this case, it suggests a potential push toward $20β21.
I believe this setup is not just technical; itβs fundamentally infused. The prior selloff in OSCR has priced in worst-case regulatory scenarios, particularly fears tied to the sunset of ACA-linked subsidies. But timing is everything. As we approach the U.S. election cycle, healthcare policy will return to the spotlight. With the Trump-signed βbig beautiful billβ still relevant to voter blocks, a funding extension or stimulus tied to government-sponsored healthcare could become a bipartisan bargaining chip. Thatβs not priced in.
Iβm also noting structural conditions aligning across multiple indicators:
β’ Price is consolidating tightly just below key EMAs and the 55-day moving average, with Bollinger and Keltner bands compressing, hinting at a volatility breakout.
β’ MACD on the daily is curling toward a bullish crossover beneath the zero line; historically, this is a powerful pivot zone for OSCR.
β’ Volume is low but stable, and RSI is slowly climbing off deeply oversold territory.
β’ The second chart shows compression right along a volume shelf between $13.50 and $14.50, and the third confirms bullish histogram shift and early accumulation prints.
Now with the harmonic chart added, Iβm also seeing a textbook bullish Bat pattern with the D-point aligning near $12. This final flush would present what I view as a prime asymmetric entry zone. The market may be setting a trap into August; if this flush materialises, Iβll be looking to scale in for a potential long swing toward $30 and $37, both mapped visually and structurally on the fourth chart.
The projected path shows a gradual stair-step move into Q4 and 2026, with a large volume vacuum above $19 that could act as a slingshot if sentiment flips. These higher timeframe targets suggest a long runway for mean reversion and re-rating if macro winds shift and policy headlines emerge.
These are not predictions. Theyβre probability-weighted frameworks. And right now, Iβm seeing an asymmetric opportunity taking shape from both a technical and macro-political standpoint.
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
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