$Strategy(MSTR)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ 🔥💼📈 Strategy, Coinbase, and the Crypto Treasury Surge 📈💼🔥
I’m convinced $MSTR is approaching a pivotal convergence of fundamentals and macro tailwinds. It’s compressing at $394.25, pinned against the lower Bollinger and Keltner bands, with resistance at $405 and a breakout trigger at $407. Earnings hit Thursday. Hold $400 and clear $407, and upside toward $431.17 and $451.64 comes into play. Fail that, and the volume shelf doesn’t offer real support until $370. The wedge structure is tight, and resolution is imminent.
I’m impressed by Strategy’s execution. The company acquired 21,021 BTC at ~$117,256 per coin using $2.5B raised via STRC, lifting total holdings to 628,791 BTC at a $73,277 average cost. That’s ~$46.08B of balance sheet conviction and a 25% BTC yield YTD. Seven insiders just bought $21M of stock, including Jeanine Montgomery (+58.1% 3M return), Le Phong (+20.45%), and Patten (+135.12%). That kind of internal participation is rare.
Earnings are expected to show $1.23 EPS versus $0.57 last year, with revenue up 1.9% YoY to $113.54M. Cantor Fitzgerald raised their PT from $614 to $680, calling MSTR “a must-own name.” Knoblauch projects 1M BTC in three years if Strategy continues buying $20B annually. “If BTC is going to $1 million, which we think is highly likely, MSTR could be one of the largest companies in the world.”
AI sentiment is split. TipRanks’ algorithm assigns a Neutral rating with a $408 PT, citing valuation caution and mixed technicals. But consensus remains bullish: 11 Buys vs 1 Sell, and a $546.50 average PT implies 38.5% upside. Options markets are pricing a major move either way, confirmed by the at-the-money straddle into earnings.
This setup doesn’t exist in a vacuum. $MARA, another crypto treasury proxy, is riding the same wave. And $COIN just surged from $366 to $382 after JPMorgan announced it will link Chase bank accounts directly with Coinbase wallets. This removes intermediaries like Plaid and will soon let users fund crypto via Chase credit cards and convert points to crypto. It’s a seismic shift. These developments accelerate institutional acceptance of crypto rails, validating MSTR’s thesis.
I’m staying patient until post-earnings price action confirms. If $407 breaks on volume, I’ll go long. If $394 fails, I’ll wait for clarity near $370. This isn’t just a trade on earnings. It’s a test of whether Bitcoin is becoming a reserve-grade macro asset, and whether Strategy remains its most leveraged proxy.
Are institutions about to reprice Bitcoin balance sheets across equities, or will earnings push Strategy back into consolidation?
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