July - The Market's Wild Card! Is Another Breakout Brewing?

🌟🌟🌟July has a reputation for fireworks and today July 4 is America's Independence Day.  Savvy investors know that July 4 isn't just about fireworks.  It is a historical inflection point for the markets.  Historically July has been one of the strongest months for stocks.  It is where surprise rallies ignite, rotations accelerate and breakout stories are born.

The S&P500 has posted gains in 10 straight Julys, the longest streak since 1957.

The Nasdaq 100 has a 66% win rate in July with an average return of 0.7%.

July often kicks off mid year rotations.  This is where laggard stocks  surge and leaders consolidate.

So is there another breakout coming?  The set up is there - easing inflation, rate cut optimism and a tech fueled rally that is rotating into financials, energy and value stocks.

Where I am looking to invest :

AI Momentum - Nvidia Ignites the Fuse

Nvidia has hit a record USD 3.92 Trillion market cap, overtaking $Microsoft(MSFT)$  and Apple.  It is not just the most valuable company on Earth.  Nvidia is the engine room of AI revolution.

Nvidia dominates 90% of the data center GPU market.  It reaches USD 44.1 billion in Q1 revenue, up 69% year over year.  Nvidia is riding a USD 1 Trillion AI infrastructure wave by 2028.  Wall Street Analysts are now eyeing a USD 5 trillion valuation within 18 months.

Nvidia isn't just a stock.  It is the spark behind the AI Supercycle. 

Crypto Catalyst - Coinbase

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  is up 37% in just 1 month after taking an equity stake in Circle, the issuer of stablecoin USDC.  Coinbase is also the main custodian for US spot Bitcoin ETFs.   The latest news is that Coinbase is launching Bitcoin and Ethereum futures on July 21.  Coinbase is the stock to buy in July as it is well positioned at the heart of crypto's institutional wave.

Financial Titans - XLF ETF

$Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ is up almost 30% over the past year and is now trading near its record high at USD 53.19.  What is fueling its rally?  XLF's top holdings are on fire with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo at all time highs.

Add in deregulation tail winds, rate cut optimism and AI adoption in financial services and you have got a sector that is not just stable, it is strategically explosive. 

Broad Core Exposure 

SPLG $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG)$  tracks the S&P500 Index, giving instant access to the best and strongest US companies in just 1 trade.     SPLG has reached its 52 week high recently at USD 73.66.  With a low expense ratio of just 0.02% this ETF puts more money back into my pockets over the long term.  My position is 43% and still compounding.

Is Another Breakout Coming?

History says Yes.  Nvidia says Yes.  Coinbase says Yes.  With Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo leading the charge, XLF is the financial engine of this rally.  My portfolio - It is already up and marching forward.

This July 4, while the skies light up in celebration, so does my conviction in staying invested for the long haul  in the markets.  Because independence isn't just a national legacy, it is being financially independent that is important to me.  With my portfolio climbing, I am not just chasing freedom, I am compounding it.

@Daily_Discussion  @TigerStars  @Tiger_comments  @Tiger_SG  @CaptainTiger  @TigerClub

# πŸ’°Stocks to watch today?(19 Dec)

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • JimmyHua
    Β·07-04
    TOP
    Solid macro backdrop this July. Sticking with SPLG and XLF for long-term compounding. Nothing flashy, just steady growth. πŸ“ŠπŸ’Ό
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Best of luck πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
      07-04
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    • koolgal:Β 
      May you have a wonderful weekend ahead πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
      07-04
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    • koolgal:Β 
      There is nothing flashy about the 2 ETFs but slow and steady growth over time.
      07-04
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  • AL_Ishan
    Β·07-04
    TOP
    It’s giving bull vibes πŸ‚πŸ’₯ COIN flying, NVDA exploding β€” feels like meme season with better fundamentals. Let’s ride the wave. πŸš€πŸ“ˆ
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    • koolgal:Β 
      All the best πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
      07-04
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Have a fabulous weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
      07-04
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Thanks for sharing your valuable insights πŸ₯°πŸ₯°πŸ₯°
      07-04
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  • Kristina_
    Β·07-04
    TOP
    Love the July energy! πŸ”₯ Still all-in on AI and EVs β€” Nvidia’s leading, but keeping my eyes on Tesla and BYD too. Let’s go tech! πŸš€
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    • koolgal:Β 
      And that is despite the tariff overhang and despite the military action by US on Iran.
      07-04
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Have a great weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
      07-04
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Yes it has been a glorious month.
      07-04
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  • Brando741319
    Β·07-05
    Good
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Thanks 😍😍😍
      07-05
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Happy weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
      07-05
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    • koolgal:Β 
      Best of luck πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€
      07-05
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