To The Moon

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🔹 1. Q2 Global Vehicle Sales: Slight Miss, Not a Disaster

• Tesla’s Q2 deliveries dropped 13.5% YoY, which initially sounds negative.

• However, institutional analysts highlight that the miss was narrower than expected, avoiding the “worst-case” market scenario.

• In a bearish environment, “less bad” is often treated as good by markets.

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🔹 2. Stock Market Reaction: Rally Instead of Retreat

• TSLA surged over 4% intraday, signaling strong buyer interest.

• TSLL (a 1.5x leveraged long Tesla ETF) jumped more than 9%, amplifying gains.

• This price action reflects resilience—investors buying the dip and betting on a rebound.

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🔹 3. Still Profitable: Tesla Maintains Positive Earnings

• Despite sales falling, Tesla remains cash-flow positive and still reports profits.

• Strong gross margins from earlier cost cuts and energy segments (like battery storage) support the earnings.

• Tesla is still one of the few EV companies that are profitable at scale.

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🔹 4. AI & Full Self-Driving Hype Fueling Optimism

• Tesla is seen not just as a carmaker but also an AI and robotics play.

• The company is expanding its Dojo supercomputer, hinting at long-term tech-driven upside.

• FSD (Full Self-Driving) software continues to improve, offering a new potential high-margin revenue stream.

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🔹 5. China Recovery & Model Refresh Cycles

• China is stabilizing, with recent indications of improved sentiment and EV incentives.

• Rumors of Model Y and Model 3 refreshes suggest new consumer excitement is coming.

• Tesla’s price cuts have already attracted more demand, helping offset the Q2 miss over time.

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🔹 6. Macro Tailwinds: Rate Cuts Could Benefit Growth Stocks

• If interest rates begin to decline later in the year, Tesla—being a growth stock—could rally hard.

• Lower yields support high-valuation names like Tesla and increase liquidity for risk-on assets.

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🔹 7. Technicals Suggest a Potential Reversal

• Tesla recently bounced from the Bollinger Band lower zone, signaling a short-term bottom.

• Technical patterns suggest support around $210–$215, with resistance near $240–$250.

• A breakout above $230 could trigger short-covering and FOMO buying.

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🔹 8. TSLL – The Leveraged Bet for Momentum Traders

• TSLL (1.5x daily bull ETF on TSLA) is highly responsive to short-term moves.

• Best used when Tesla shows strong upward momentum, like the current rally.

• Traders who anticipate a continuation in Tesla’s recovery often use TSLL for enhanced returns—but with higher risk.

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✅ Final Thoughts

• While Q2 vehicle sales missed, the market response shows confidence in Tesla’s long-term profitability, brand strength, and tech edge.

• With positive earnings, AI growth, and technical recovery, TSLA and TSLL look poised for another potential rally.

• Momentum, fundamentals, and future hype all align for a possible breakout—if macro and market sentiment 

@MillionaireTiger 

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@CaptainTiger 

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