To The Moon

As I have shared in my previous article that I will be sharing my July Rally playbook., in this article, I will be sharing the strategic summary of my playbook.

Investment Thesis

I will be holding position across $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Intel(INTC)$ to capture growth, quality, and value in the unfolding AI and semiconductor upcycle. Leverage earnings catalysts, valuation discipline, and risk-adjusted setups to maximize returns.

Positioning by Strategy

Why It Works for You

Analytical Precision: Uses valuation metrics (PEG, FCF yield, P/E) to justify entries—aligned with your methodical style.

Catalyst Timing: Synchronizes entries with earnings, product launches, and trend confirmation.

Asymmetric Upside: AMD and Intel offer potential for re-rating; Nvidia provides strength and long-term compoundability.

Risk Modulation: Position sizing, options, and stop zones reduce downside while preserving exposure.

I believe that by using valuation metrics like PEG, Free Cash Flow (FCF) Yield, and P/E can give me a powerful edge when timing my stock entries.

In the following section, here is how I am going to turn these numbers into conviction-backed decisions

📊 PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) — Growth-Adjusted Value

💡 Pro tip: Compare PEG across peers in the same sector to normalize growth expectations.

What it tells you: Whether a stock’s price is justified by its earnings growth.

Formula: PEG = (P/E) ÷ (EPS Growth Rate)

How to use it:PEG < 1.0 → Undervalued relative to growth (ideal entry point) PEG ≈ 1.0 → Fairly valued PEG > 1.5 → Possibly overvalued unless growth is accelerating

Best for: High-growth stocks like COIN or CRCL where raw P/E might look high but growth justifies it.

💵 Free Cash Flow Yield (FCF Yield) — Cash-Backed Confidence

What it tells you: How much real cash the company generates relative to its valuation.

Formula: FCF Yield = Free Cash Flow ÷ Enterprise Value

How to use it:FCF Yield > 5% → Attractive, especially in capital-intensive sectors FCF Yield > 8% → Strong buy signal if sustainable Low or negative FCF Yield → Red flag unless it’s a growth-phase company reinvesting heavily

Best for: Stocks like MSTR or MARA where cash flow strength can offset volatility.

🧠 Why it matters: FCF is hard to manipulate — it’s a “clean” metric that reveals true financial health.

🧮 P/E Ratio (Price to Earnings) — Snapshot of Market Sentiment

What it tells you: How much investors are paying for each dollar of earnings.

Formula: P/E = Share Price ÷ EPS

How to use it:Low P/E (<15) → Potential value play (check for quality and growth) High P/E (>30) → Growth priced in; validate with PEG and FCF Yield Negative P/E → Loss-making; dig deeper into turnaround potential

Best for: Comparing mature companies or spotting mispriced opportunities in sectors like fintech or mining.

⚖️ Context is key: Always compare P/E to sector averages and historical norms.

🧭 Putting It All Together — Entry Strategy Framework

On top of this, I have also looked into the technical analysis of these three stocks and how they would perform based on the weekly timeframe.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Based on what we are seeing on AMD weekly timeframe, it looks like the bulls are still in control with a strong positive momentum, which is important for AMD to stage a rally in July, the bulls have held it well above the key level (26-EMA and 50-EMA).

So for mid-term for the month of July, I believe we could seeing some new high from AMD.

Nvidia (NVDA)

NVDA continue to have its strong positive momentum ending June 2025, and the bulls are in a good control, we are seeing NVDA trading well above the key level of 26-EMA and 50-EMA, and I am expecting NVDA to create a new high, with the strong sentiment from investors for the July rally.

Intel (INTC)

INTC bulls are looking to regain control of the uptrend, and they need to clear the 50-day MA period, as currently the momentum is in the negative zone, and INTC seems to be trading in consolidation for most of June 2025. So I would not be putting much loading on INTC, but will be looking for potential opportunities if INTC manage to break out into positive momentum.

Summary

I will be planning to do the following execution:

• Set alerts using TradingView or Finviz Elite for key price levels.

• Track earnings (e.g., AMD on August 5) and adjust conviction post-results.

• Log entries with rationales and review weekly for discipline.

• Rebalance if fundamentals or macro backdrop shift sharply.

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think my playbook is logical and would suit trading in a potential July rally.

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.