$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ๐๐๐ Momentum is exploding in fintech. Iโm positioning aggressively as SoFiโs crypto flywheel ignites and volume surges through resistance.
๐ค๐โก SoFiโs Crypto Flywheel, Channel Charge, and Gen Z Wallet Domination โก๐๐ค
Introduction
SoFi closed Friday at $17.18 and edged slightly higher to $17.22 in the post market, outperforming the broader indices and printing a new 52-week high. Just days after OCC cleared crypto custody for federally chartered banks, SoFi launched its stablecoin remittance product, giving users the ability to send and receive crypto and USD globally, 24/7. That headline came at the exact moment price triggered a golden cross and broke above multi-month resistance. Iโm all in on whatโs unfolding.
๐ฐ Fundamental Snapshot
Q1 2025 revenue reached $772,000,000, up 33 % year-over-year, and net income printed at $71,000,000, marking SoFiโs sixth straight GAAP-profitable quarter. Member count climbed by 800,000 in the quarter to 10,900,000, a 34 % YoY gain. This isnโt random growth. Itโs driven by a full-stack ecosystem across lending, deposits, investing, credit cards, and now crypto rails, purpose-built for a Gen Z cohort that favours mobile wallets over branch-based banking.
Managementโs launch of stablecoin-powered international remittances taps into a $600,000,000,000 market, offering 24/7 crypto-to-fiat transfers and fee-based monetisation. Itโs also a direct play on digital wallets, which are expected to account for 52.5 % of global e-commerce spend in 2025. SoFiโs platform sits right at the centre of this macro shift.
๐ Technical Set-Up
The weekly chart just confirmed a golden cross as the 10-week MA crossed the 30-week. Price completed a full V-shaped recovery inside a 3-year ascending channel. My medium-term target is the upper rail near $21. On the daily, two consecutive closes above the upper Bollinger band signal a volatility squeeze. Immediate resistance sits at the prior high of $18.42. Daily RSI is near 67, so I expect a shallow pullback into the 20-day EMA around $15.50 before another move higher.
๐ Proprietary Pattern Projection
Iโve overlaid my historical pattern projection on a long-term custom chart:
Scenario 1
โข Pullback to $14โ$12 in JulyโAugust
โข Breakout move to $24โ$26 by December
Scenario 2
โข Immediate breakout through $18.42
โข Continuation to $21, then $25 by year-end
Both paths converge toward a Fibonacci and trend confluence at $29 in Q1 2026. A longer-term breakout of the green megachannel projects $60+ in the next major leg higher.
๐ธ Options and Short Flow
On 27 June, options exploded: 707,000 contracts traded (2.1ร daily average). Implied volatility was 57.7 %, with an IV rank of just 22 %, keeping calls attractively priced. Open interest now stands at 3,280,000 contracts with a bullish 1.6 : 1 call skew.
Short interest is 148,129,397 shares, 13.6 % of float, with just 2.3 days to cover and a 0.41 % borrow rate. Thatโs a low-cost, high-crowded trade setup that could be forced out violently. Iโm holding Jan 27 $15 LEAPs from $2.27, now trading at $6.25, trimming near $7, and looking to reload on dips near the 20-day EMA.
๐ Macro Context
The Fedโs 4.25 %โ4.50 % hold gives SoFi room to operate without margin pressure, while markets are pricing in a 70 % probability of a rate cut by September. Thatโs bullish for SoFiโs deposit cost spread. The OCCโs stablecoin ruling removes the regulatory overhang and unlocks new business lines for fee-based growth.
Management raised full-year guidance to $3.2Bโ$3.3B in adjusted net revenue, citing remittances and crypto offerings as incremental contributors. This macro + regulatory mix is an underrated driver of SoFiโs multiple expansion going into Q3โQ4.
๐ Institutional and Analyst Heat Map
Q1 13F filings showed net institutional buying led by Coatue, Millennium, and Viking Global, while quant trimming was minimal. Stephens initiated coverage with an Overweight and a $20 target, citing SoFiโs โproductivity loopโ and โfunding advantage.โ Truist sits at Hold with a $14 target, cautious on 2026โ2027 assumptions, while Barclays remains Equal Weight at $12.
The average Street target is $14.73, which implies downside, yet upgrades usually trail price action. That divergence has historically preceded fresh coverage bumps once new product monetisation becomes visible.
๐ Watchlist and Game Plan
โข Support: $15.50 (20-day EMA), $13.90 (50-day EMA)
โข Resistance: $18.42, $21, $25
โข Options Hotspots: July $20 calls, Jan 27 $25 LEAPs
โข Catalysts: 29 July Q2 earnings, final OCC rule, Gen Z crypto marketing, Fed rate decision
Strategy: Iโm accumulating pullbacks to the 20-day EMA, adding through $18.42 with a stop under the 50-day EMA, scaling out at $21 and $25, and rolling up LEAPs if IV stays muted. A confirmed breakout of $25 opens up $29 by Q1 2026 and $60 on a multiyear view.
๐ Conclusion
SoFi isnโt just a fintech name Iโm tradingโitโs a generational platform play. It sits at the intersection of trust migration away from legacy banks, global remittance disruption, and the biggest financial wallet shift since credit cards. With a golden cross confirmed, stablecoin monetisation just launched, and institutional flows building, I see asymmetric upside. My conviction remains high.
๐ข Donโt miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ๐๐ Iโm obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letโs outsmart the market and stack those gains together! ๐
Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐๐๐๐๐
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