To The Moon

$Sea Ltd(SE)$  Sea Limited had been showing signs of a turnaround, particularly in its core businesses — e-commerce (Shopee) and digital entertainment (Garena) — but whether to hold until $200 depends on a few key factors:

Current Context (as of May 2025):

• Price level: SE is trading well below its all-time high (~$372 in 2021). A $200 target would be a massive gain from current levels (check latest price to confirm exact upside).

• Shopee growth: If Shopee continues expanding in Southeast Asia and Latin America, with solid monetization, that’s a strong bullish driver.

• Garena rebound?: Garena had been declining post-pandemic. If new titles or Free Fire momentum returns, this could add upside.

• Profitability: Sea made efforts toward profitability in 2023–2024. If it sustains positive cash flow, the market may reward it.

• Risks: Competition (e.g., TikTok Shop, Lazada), regulatory shifts, and investor confidence swings.

$200 Target: Realistic?

• Short term (6–12 months): Hitting $200 seems ambitious, unless there's a blowout quarter, a major strategic announcement, or sector-wide bullishness.

• Medium term (12–24 months): Possible, but would likely require:

• 30–40% YoY revenue growth

• Expanding margins

• Sustained profitability

• Investor re-rating of the stock

Bottom Line:

• If you believe in the long-term vision and Sea’s execution, holding for a $200 target is viable — but be ready for volatility.

• Consider scaling out partially if it spikes sharply before $200, then let the rest ride.

I wish I had been wiser when I first bought SEA stocks. What felt like a mistake back then turned out to be a valuable learning experience — one that’s shaped how I invest today.