Kiwi Tigress
04-06

ok but WHY does this post go harder than Nvidia’s Q4 earnings
you really hit us with the bull case, the bear case, AND geopolitical trauma
Trump tariffs DeepSeek plot twist this wasn’t a post it was a mini docuseries
“Blackwell ramp stabilises margins” had me nodding like i’m on CNBC
and then boom AMD and Huawei in the wings
this is not just chart talk it’s WAR


lowkey if you’re not reading BC’s breakdowns you’re trading blind
$90 support lookin juicier than a pre market dip


watching this one close fr 👀📉📈
@Barcode：
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🤖🚨🔥 Nvidia’s AI Odyssey: A Stock at the Crossroads 🔥🚨🤖 As of 6Apr25, Nvidia teeters on the edge of brilliance or breakdown. Friday’s close hit $94.31 (post-market $92.60), slammed by a 14% weekly plunge, the worst since January’s DeepSeek scare rattled investors over AI spending sustainability. My breakdown of Nvidia’s investment potential fuses razor-sharp fundamental and technical analysis, framed by the semiconductor cycle’s pulse and Trump’s tariff bombshell. Whether you’re a long-term visionary or a short-term tactician, this delivers actionable intel to dominate the game! Unpacking Nvidia’s Financial Firepower and Strategic Mastery Nvidia’s numbers scream dominance. Q4 fiscal 2025 (ended 26Jan25) raked in $39.3 billion in revenue, up 12% from Q3, 78% year over year, and crushing the $37.5 billion outlook. Full-year revenue soared to $130.5 billion, a 114% explosion from 2024. Data Centre revenue hit $115.2 billion for the year, more than doubling prior figures, with Q4 alone at $35.6 billion, up 16% sequentially, 93% YoY. Earnings per diluted share? Q4 at $0.89, fiscal 2025 GAAP EPS at $2.94, up 147%. The Blackwell architecture, a $11 billion Q4 juggernaut, marks Nvidia’s fastest product ramp ever, driven by AI’s leap into reasoning. Valuation? Trailing P/E is 32.08 ($94.31 ÷ $2.94), but forward P/E, based on $4.52 EPS estimates for 2026, drops to 20.86, a neon undervaluation signal. Q1 2026 revenue is pegged at $43 billion (±2%), with margins slipping to 70.6% from 76% due to Blackwell costs. Strategically, Nvidia’s AI GPU edge shines, backed by Verizon (edge AI) and Toyota (automotive) tie-ups, but tariff fears and rivals like Huawei loom large. Decoding Nvidia’s Price Pulse: Signals Amid the Storm Nvidia’s stock is bleeding, down 35.9% from its early Jan25 peak of $153.13. This week’s 14% drop, sparked by Trump’s sweeping tariffs announced Wednesday, fuelled a tech rout, with the Magnificent Seven shedding $1.03 trillion in market cap Thursday, the group’s worst single-day wipeout ever. Analysts rate it “Strong Sell” daily, “Sell” weekly, “Neutral” monthly. Volatility’s at 10.52%, beta at 2.40, double the market’s chaos. The 52-week low ($75.61) hints at $90 support, but a “death cross” (200-day moving average overtaking the 50-day) and a falling relative strength line versus the S&P 500 scream weakness. Still, RSI and moving averages could signal a bounce if $90 holds. Nvidia in the Semiconductor Surge: King or Pawn? The semiconductor cycle, bottomed in Q1 2023, now roars with AI and data centre demand. Nvidia leads, outpacing AMD ($85.76, down 8.57% in 24 hours) and Intel ($19.85, down 11.50%). Broadcom’s AI revenue jumped 77% to $4.1 billion last quarter, eyeing $4.4 billion next, while Oracle’s $130 billion backlog signals “enormous” demand. But Trump’s tariff threats and China chip curbs (e.g. H20 exports) risk handing rivals like Huawei the AI market, a move Bernstein’s Stacey Rasgon calls “zero sense.” Envisioning Nvidia’s Fate: Glory or Gutter? Two paths loom: 🟢 Bullish Case (60% shot): AI demand explodes, Amazon’s $105 billion and Alphabet’s $75 billion AI bets lean on Nvidia’s chips, pushing 2026 revenue to $146.87 billion. Blackwell steadies margins, and Mizuho’s $175 price target (44% of a $350 billion AI chip market by 2027) holds. 🔴 Bearish Case (40% risk): Tariffs and DeepSeek’s $5.6 million AI models (vs. $100M–$1B for US rivals) erode margins, AMD and Huawei strike, and a global slowdown drags Nvidia below $90. Earnings, AI adoption, and export curbs are triggers. Tariffs, chip bans, and geopolitical heat are landmines. A Contrarian Edge: Beyond the Noise Despite 2025’s relentless pounding, shares sank 8% post-Q4 beat on 26Feb, Nvidia’s AI throne makes $90 dips golden. The cycle hasn’t peaked, and 223 hedge funds (40% of shares) still back it. Analysts see 55.93% upside, with Morgan Stanley naming it a 2025 top pick. Fortifying Against the Storm: Nvidia’s Playbook Risks? Tariffs, DeepSeek’s cost edge, and China curbs (50,000-chip limits, 1,700-unit licences). Nvidia’s counter: diversified products (GeForce, A100), CUDA software, and R&D heft, plus lobbying to soften export blows. Actionable Moves: Your Winning Edge Your playbook: • Long-term Players: Hold or buy at $90, stop-loss below $85. Mizuho says wait for May’s server ramp. • Traders: Watch $90 reversals, earnings (28May25) is your pivot. What to Track: Your Crystal Ball Lock on: • Earnings and margins (71% Q1 guidance). • AI spending (Amazon, Alphabet) and DeepSeek’s moves. • Trump’s tariff fallout and China bans. The Verdict: Seize the Moment Nvidia’s fundamentals are ironclad, $130.5 billion in 2025 revenue, Blackwell’s $11 billion sprint. At $90, it’s a steal despite tech’s tariff-induced carnage. The cycle’s growth wave and AI’s “iPhone moment” back this bet, strike now, not next turn. Stay sharp, margins, curbs, and macro shifts could flip it. ⏳Deferring investment until the next semiconductor cycle, potentially in 2027, hazards forgoing the zenith of AI-driven growth, as Nvidia capitalizes on its $130.5 billion 2025 revenue and Blackwell’s accelerating trajectory. Strategic action now outweighs the case for delay. 📢 Don’t sleep on this! Like, Repost, and Follow me for elite setups, bleeding-edge trends, and insights that ignite markets 🚀📈 I’m wired to hunt the next big winners and drop strategies that dominate. Let’s outsmart the chaos and stack those gains, together! 🍀🍀🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🤖🚨🔥 Nvidia’s AI Odyssey: A Stock at the Crossroads 🔥🚨🤖 As of 6Apr25, Nvidia teeters on the edge of brilliance or breakdown. Friday’s close hit $94.31 (post-market $92.60), slammed by a 14% weekly plunge, the worst since January’s DeepSeek scare rattled investors over AI spending sustainability. My breakdown of Nvidia’s investment potential fuses razor-sharp fundamental and technical analysis, framed by the semiconductor cycle’s pulse and Trump’s tariff bombshell. Whether you’re a long-term visionary or a short-term tactician, this delivers actionable intel to dominate the game! Unpacking Nvidia’s Financial Firepower and Strategic Mastery Nvidia’s numbers scream dominance. Q4 fiscal 2025 (ended 26Jan25) raked in $39.3 billion in revenue, up 12% from Q3, 78% year over year, and crushing the $37.5 billion outlook. Full-year revenue soared to $130.5 billion, a 114% explosion from 2024. Data Centre revenue hit $115.2 billion for the year, more than doubling prior figures, with Q4 alone at $35.6 billion, up 16% sequentially, 93% YoY. Earnings per diluted share? Q4 at $0.89, fiscal 2025 GAAP EPS at $2.94, up 147%. The Blackwell architecture, a $11 billion Q4 juggernaut, marks Nvidia’s fastest product ramp ever, driven by AI’s leap into reasoning. Valuation? Trailing P/E is 32.08 ($94.31 ÷ $2.94), but forward P/E, based on $4.52 EPS estimates for 2026, drops to 20.86, a neon undervaluation signal. Q1 2026 revenue is pegged at $43 billion (±2%), with margins slipping to 70.6% from 76% due to Blackwell costs. Strategically, Nvidia’s AI GPU edge shines, backed by Verizon (edge AI) and Toyota (automotive) tie-ups, but tariff fears and rivals like Huawei loom large. Decoding Nvidia’s Price Pulse: Signals Amid the Storm Nvidia’s stock is bleeding, down 35.9% from its early Jan25 peak of $153.13. This week’s 14% drop, sparked by Trump’s sweeping tariffs announced Wednesday, fuelled a tech rout, with the Magnificent Seven shedding $1.03 trillion in market cap Thursday, the group’s worst single-day wipeout ever. Analysts rate it “Strong Sell” daily, “Sell” weekly, “Neutral” monthly. Volatility’s at 10.52%, beta at 2.40, double the market’s chaos. The 52-week low ($75.61) hints at $90 support, but a “death cross” (200-day moving average overtaking the 50-day) and a falling relative strength line versus the S&P 500 scream weakness. Still, RSI and moving averages could signal a bounce if $90 holds. Nvidia in the Semiconductor Surge: King or Pawn? The semiconductor cycle, bottomed in Q1 2023, now roars with AI and data centre demand. Nvidia leads, outpacing AMD ($85.76, down 8.57% in 24 hours) and Intel ($19.85, down 11.50%). Broadcom’s AI revenue jumped 77% to $4.1 billion last quarter, eyeing $4.4 billion next, while Oracle’s $130 billion backlog signals “enormous” demand. But Trump’s tariff threats and China chip curbs (e.g. H20 exports) risk handing rivals like Huawei the AI market, a move Bernstein’s Stacey Rasgon calls “zero sense.” Envisioning Nvidia’s Fate: Glory or Gutter? Two paths loom: 🟢 Bullish Case (60% shot): AI demand explodes, Amazon’s $105 billion and Alphabet’s $75 billion AI bets lean on Nvidia’s chips, pushing 2026 revenue to $146.87 billion. Blackwell steadies margins, and Mizuho’s $175 price target (44% of a $350 billion AI chip market by 2027) holds. 🔴 Bearish Case (40% risk): Tariffs and DeepSeek’s $5.6 million AI models (vs. $100M–$1B for US rivals) erode margins, AMD and Huawei strike, and a global slowdown drags Nvidia below $90. Earnings, AI adoption, and export curbs are triggers. Tariffs, chip bans, and geopolitical heat are landmines. A Contrarian Edge: Beyond the Noise Despite 2025’s relentless pounding, shares sank 8% post-Q4 beat on 26Feb, Nvidia’s AI throne makes $90 dips golden. The cycle hasn’t peaked, and 223 hedge funds (40% of shares) still back it. Analysts see 55.93% upside, with Morgan Stanley naming it a 2025 top pick. Fortifying Against the Storm: Nvidia’s Playbook Risks? Tariffs, DeepSeek’s cost edge, and China curbs (50,000-chip limits, 1,700-unit licences). Nvidia’s counter: diversified products (GeForce, A100), CUDA software, and R&D heft, plus lobbying to soften export blows. Actionable Moves: Your Winning Edge Your playbook: • Long-term Players: Hold or buy at $90, stop-loss below $85. Mizuho says wait for May’s server ramp. • Traders: Watch $90 reversals, earnings (28May25) is your pivot. What to Track: Your Crystal Ball Lock on: • Earnings and margins (71% Q1 guidance). • AI spending (Amazon, Alphabet) and DeepSeek’s moves. • Trump’s tariff fallout and China bans. The Verdict: Seize the Moment Nvidia’s fundamentals are ironclad, $130.5 billion in 2025 revenue, Blackwell’s $11 billion sprint. At $90, it’s a steal despite tech’s tariff-induced carnage. The cycle’s growth wave and AI’s “iPhone moment” back this bet, strike now, not next turn. Stay sharp, margins, curbs, and macro shifts could flip it. ⏳Deferring investment until the next semiconductor cycle, potentially in 2027, hazards forgoing the zenith of AI-driven growth, as Nvidia capitalizes on its $130.5 billion 2025 revenue and Blackwell’s accelerating trajectory. Strategic action now outweighs the case for delay. 📢 Don’t sleep on this! Like, Repost, and Follow me for elite setups, bleeding-edge trends, and insights that ignite markets 🚀📈 I’m wired to hunt the next big winners and drop strategies that dominate. Let’s outsmart the chaos and stack those gains, together! 🍀🍀🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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  • Tui Jude
    ·04-06
    I’m learning a new language, thanks KT. Another great BC article 💕
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  • Mig
    ·04-06
    the market is never boring 🙂 that's why I love it
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