The Harder You Try, The More You Lose In March? Swing Trades or Stay in Cash?
After a brief two-day rebound, the market pulled back again yesterday under the impact of Trump's tariffs. On Tuesday, Trump stated that he "doesn't want too many exceptions" to the tariffs, which could return to the tough stance seen in early March.
Like we have mentioned at the beginning of this month:
March is a typical "March Effect" month. The likelihood of negative returns in March is higher than in any other month. Volatility tends to increase during presidential transition years.
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has rebounded to a key level, with resistance at 5800. Despite this week’s brief rebound, the S&P 500 is still down 4% in March. When the market rebounded earlier this week, the mainstream view was that the rebound was temporary, but it came much faster than expected. Both the market decline and the rebound have been accelerated.
How has your March performance been?
Some tigers believe that the current market is only suitable for swing trading, where both bottom buying and profit-taking must be decisive.
If you bought $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ at $220 and Nvidia at $105, you would have made a profit in March. But this really tests human nature—how many people can time the absolute bottom?
Others think that both long and short positions are not worthwhile, and staying in cash may be the best choice, just like Warren Buffett. Perhaps putting money in the Tiger Vault, earning a 4.2% return, is a better option!
Is this the toughest month to trade in the past two years?
Many tigers may have been busy this month, watching the market late into the night, only to make a few dollars in return. Even worse, the harder they try, the more they lose.
Did you make money or lose money this month?
How’s your portfolio going in March and Q1?
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Tesla’s dip to $220 was a solid entry point, and I took advantage of it. While swing trading might work for some, timing perfect entries and exits is difficult. I prefer a disciplined approach—holding quality assets and locking in profits when the time is right.
Overall, March has been volatile but manageable. While not the most profitable, I remain focused on long-term gains rather than chasing short-term moves. Market dips present good buying opportunities, and I continue to invest with patience and strategy.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT @koolgal @rL @icycrystal @b1uesky @Barcode @nomadic_m @GoodLife99
After a brief two-day rebound, the market pulled back again yesterday under the impact of Trump's tariffs. On Tuesday, Trump stated that he "doesn't want too many exceptions" to the tariffs, which could return to the tough stance seen in early March.
March is a typical "March Effect" month. The likelihood of negative returns in March is higher than in any other month. Volatility tends to increase during presidential transition years.
Did you make money or lose money this month?
How’s your portfolio going in March and Q1?
Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~
還有人認爲多頭和空頭都不值得，而且留在現金可能是最好的選擇，就像沃倫·巴菲特一樣。也許把錢放進老虎金庫，賺取4.2%的回報，是一個更好的選擇！
正如我們在本月初提到的：
3月是典型的“三月效應”月份。3月份出現負回報的可能性高於其他任何一個月。波動性往往會增加總統過渡年。
Great article, would you like to share it?