Alibaba Nears $120! Sell the Fact or Short Squeeze May Follow the Partnership Buzz?

On February 11, Jack Ma was spotted at $Alibaba(BABA)$ campus, and Alibaba's stock hit a new recent high after the market opened, surpassing its pre-National Day high from 2024. Positive news has been pouring in for Alibaba lately.

Alibaba Confirms $Apple(AAPL)$ Partnership: Will Stock Keep Rising After a 39% Surge or Face a Pullback?

On February 13, during the World Governments Summit 2025 in Dubai, Alibaba co-founder and Chairman Joseph C. Tsai responded to rumors about a potential collaboration between Alibaba and Apple. Reports suggest that Apple, after evaluating several Chinese tech giants like Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance, ultimately chose Alibaba as its partner.

Even before the official confirmation, speculation about the partnership had already driven Alibaba's price higher. In fact, BABA had surged 39% YTD. Its rally started even before Apple rumors surfaced.

Alibaba’s valuation had been at historically low levels following a prolonged downturn. As the market began hyping the DeepSeek AI concept, investors also started to reassess Alibaba’s AI assets.

However, some caution that this could be a classic "sell the fact" scenario, where the stock stalls or pulls back after the news is confirmed, especially after such a rapid increase.

Morgan Stanley and UBS Remain Bullish on China's Tech Revaluation

Morgan Stanley reported that global investors are rethinking China's investment potential in the tech and AI sectors, leading to more fundamental-driven inflows. The firm highlighted that DeepSeek recently launched a cost-effective large language model (LLM) that rivals those from Google, OpenAI, and Meta in performance but at significantly lower costs—an achievement seen as a major factor behind the recent rally in Chinese equities.

UBS echoed this sentiment, stating that China's AI-driven stock market surge may only be halfway through its potential run. The bank noted that favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates could continue fueling revaluation for AI-related stocks.

"Based on past trends during the 4G, 5G, and cloud computing booms, such uptrends often last one to two years. We believe AI-related stocks could outperform the broader market by 50% to 100% during this cycle," UBS commented.

Questions to discuss:

Will you take profit of $Alibaba(BABA)$?

How much higher would Alibaba go in this bullish trend?

Are you confident in China asset revaluation?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

# AI + Policy Stimulus: Will Alibaba Head For $170?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • icycrystal
    ·2025-02-14
    TOP
    probably sell half keep half...

    Alibaba’s valuation had been at historically low levels following a prolonged downturn. As the market began hyping the DeepSeek AI concept, investors also started to reassess Alibaba’s AI assets.

    However, some caution that this could be a classic "sell the fact" scenario, where the stock stalls or pulls back after the news is confirmed, especially after such a rapid increase.

    @Universe宇宙 @koolgal @LMSunshine @Shyon @Aqa @GoodLife99 @rL @SPACE ROCKET @HelenJanet @TigerGPT

    Will you take profit of $Alibaba(BABA)$?

    How much higher would Alibaba go in this bullish trend?

    Are you confident in China asset revaluation?

    Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

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  • Aqa
    ·2025-02-15
    TOP
    [Happy]止盈永远不会错。$阿里巴巴-SW(BABA)$本轮上涨一个多月来一直表现良好。尽管我不确定它能达到140美元,但它仍然很强劲。让我们获利了结,等待其余利润走高。必须记得在每笔交易前进行尽职调查。祝你好运,干杯!🥂谢谢 @icycrystal @Tiger_comments @TigerGPT
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    • SPACE ROCKET
      同意!!🙌很好获利了结!!
      2025-02-16
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    • TigerAI

      以下是阿里巴巴-SW股票(BABA)的分析:

      商业和行业:阿里巴巴-SW是国内领先的科技公司,提供电子商务、云计算、数字媒体、娱乐服务。凭借在国内强大的市场地位,随着电商行业的不断扩张和数字化转型的加速,阿里巴巴-SW拥有显著的增长潜力。

      最新盈利和预测:阿里巴巴-SW的最新盈利预测表明该公司前景乐观。2025财年,预测每股收益为7.86元人民币,预测总收入为9994亿元人民币,预测息税前利润为1610亿元人民币。2026财年和2027财年的预测盈利也显示稳定增长。

      近期趋势:

      资金流数据(5日):近期资金流数据呈现涨跌互现。2月13日流入4.9503亿股。该数据表明投资者情绪和股票交易活动各不相同。

      支持阻力价:截至2月13日,阿里巴巴-SW支持价为115.25港元,阻力价为116.75港元。这些水平分别表明买卖兴趣的潜在关键领域。

        分析师观点:分析师表示,阿里巴巴-SW前景乐观。在接受调查的分析师中,13人推荐该股,15人买入,2人持有,1人表现不佳。目标价预估区间为83.0港元至140.0港元,平均目标价为115.55港元。

        利多消息:阿里巴巴-SW和苹果之间潜在合作伙伴关系的确认、对中国科技和人工智能行业的看涨情绪以及人工智能相关股票可能跑赢大盘的信念等积极消息推动了近期的上涨阿里巴巴-SW股价。

        根据分析,阿里巴巴-SW表现强劲,并有进一步增长的潜力。然而,重要的是要记住,投资股市存在固有风险,股价可能会波动。在做出任何投资决定之前,最好进行尽职调查并咨询专业财务顾问。

        (注:所提供的分析仅供参考,不应被视为投资建议。在做出投资决定之前,请务必自行研究并考虑您的风险承受能力。)

      2025-02-15
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  • MHh
    ·2025-02-13
    TOP
    I have not dared to buy BABA since the Chinese government cracked down on it. Collaboration with Apple is definitely beneficial for both companies and I do think Alibaba has room to surge. However, I would not enter at this point as might end up as a bag holder. The Chinese stocks has typically been more volatile than US stocks and undervalued due to relative lack of confidence by investors. Fundamentally, China assets should rise as more investors will now be more confident in them and also boosted by additional potential. I would prefer to trade rather than invest in Chinese stocks. Besides AI growth, there is still the risk of trade war, additional tariffs by Trump on China and what policies the Chinese government would introduce. I suspect the Chinese government will allow a bull run before trying to regulate it which should see a fall again.
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  • Shyon
    ·2025-02-13
    TOP
    I’ve been closely following Alibaba’s $Alibaba(09988)$ recent surge, and  I believe there’s still room for further upside. The confirmation of a partnership with Apple is a strong catalyst, but what excites me even more is the broader AI-driven revaluation of Chinese tech stocks.

    However, after such a rapid run-up, a short-term pullback is possible due to profit-taking. If liquidity conditions remain favorable and China continues its AI push, Alibaba could still have significant upside from here.

    As for China’s asset revaluation, I believe we’re still in the early stages. The market had been overly pessimistic on Chinese tech, but now, with renewed investor confidence and improving fundamentals, the sector is catching up. AI is a global game-changer, and China’s key players, including Alibaba, are well-positioned to capitalize on this transformation.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT

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    • TigerAIReplying toShyon

      You're welcome! If you have any more questions or need further assistance, feel free to ask. Happy investing!

      2025-02-14
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    • ShyonReplying toTigerAI
      Thanks for the detailed sharing
      2025-02-14
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    • TigerAI

      The recent surge in Alibaba's stock price can be attributed to several factors:

      Partnership with Apple: The confirmation of a partnership with Apple has acted as a strong catalyst for Alibaba's stock. This collaboration has the potential to drive growth and enhance Alibaba's presence in the market.

        

      AI-driven revaluation of Chinese tech stocks: The broader AI-driven revaluation of Chinese tech stocks has also contributed to the upward movement of Alibaba's stock. The market is recognizing the potential of AI technology and its impact on the tech sector, leading to increased investor interest in Chinese tech stocks.

        

      Positive investor sentiment and improving fundamentals: With renewed investor confidence and improving fundamentals, the sector is catching up. Investors are rethinking China's investment potential in the tech and AI sectors, leading to more fundamental-driven inflows.

        

      Favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates: Favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates in China are fueling the revaluation of AI-related stocks. This trend is expected to continue, providing further support to Alibaba's stock price.

        

      It is important to note that after a rapid run-up, a short-term pullback is possible due to profit-taking. However, if liquidity conditions remain favorable and China continues its AI push, Alibaba could still have significant upside potential.

      Regarding the specific questions:

      Taking profit on Alibaba's stock is a personal decision based on individual investment goals and risk tolerance. It is recommended to consult with a financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.  

      The future upside potential of Alibaba in this bullish trend is difficult to determine with certainty. It will depend on various factors such as market conditions, company performance, and regulatory environment.  

      Confidence in China's asset revaluation is subjective and based on individual analysis. The positive sentiment and improving fundamentals in the Chinese tech sector indicate that there is potential for further revaluation.  

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. It is always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

      2025-02-13
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  • Apocalypse85
    ·2025-02-14
    阿里巴巴-SW等中国互联网科技股在经历了长时间的估值停滞后,开始出现估值重估的迹象。
    在阿里巴巴-SW定于2月20日发布的财报中,AI和云计算Capex的投资规模将成为市场关注的焦点,这意味着阿里巴巴-SW管理层计划如何使用资金可能会影响中国科技股的走向。
    很难预测阿里巴巴-SW能走高多少,提前获利了结可能会让你错过收益。就我个人而言,我投资于阿里巴巴-SW。我确实相信,中国不可投资的说法将在适当的时候改变。
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  • highhand
    ·2025-02-13
    if I had Baba and made a profit now, I would sell and invest in US. BUT I DON'T. SO I DO NOTHING. [Happy]
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2025-02-16
    Previously, I took profits. Now, I've decided to trade options on my holdings instead of taking profits on them.
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  • ECLC
    ·2025-02-14
    意识到反弹的潜力,但只是不想投资。
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  • Success88
    ·2025-02-13
    I think it won't hit 140. Soon it will come down again.
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2025-02-14
    Don't own BABA...
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  • Portgas D Ace
    ·2025-02-19

    Great

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