Stock Market Poised for Recovery as Bond Yields Drop


New York, January 30, 2025 – In a sign that the U.S. stock market might be on the mend, futures for major indices saw gains overnight, buoyed by a drop in U.S. Treasury yields. This comes after a session where the market closed lower following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged.

Market Movements:

S&P 500 futures rose by 0.35%, indicating a recovery mood amongst investors.

Nasdaq 100 futures advanced more significantly by 0.62%, suggesting tech stocks might lead the recovery.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also showed a positive movement, climbing 84 points or 0.19%.


The drop in bond yields, particularly noticeable in longer-term securities, has been interpreted as a vote of confidence by investors in the future economic stability. Here's how the yields looked:


The 1-month Treasury yield slightly increased to 4.347% with a change of +0.012.

The 2-month yield rose to 4.352% with a +0.033 change.

However, the 2-year note's yield fell to 4.209%, a decrease of -0.017, signaling a shift in investor sentiment.

The 5-year note saw a more substantial drop to 4.313%, down by -0.042.

The 10-year Treasury yield decreased to 4.504%, a change of -0.051.

Long-term bonds like the 30-year also saw a decline in yield to 4.744%, with a -0.046 change.

Corporate Earnings Impact:

In extended trading, reactions to recent earnings reports from tech giants were mixed:

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  shares rose by 2% after beating expectations on both revenue and earnings.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  surged 4% despite missing earnings and revenue forecasts, possibly due to optimism around future growth.

Conversely, $Microsoft(MSFT)$  dropped over 4% after their quarterly revenue forecast fell short of expectations.

Upcoming Reports:

The market's attention now turns to upcoming earnings from other tech behemoths. $Apple(AAPL)$ is set to report its results on Thursday, with $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  following next week. These reports are crucial as they could further influence market sentiment, especially given the weight these companies carry in major indices.


The combination of declining bond yields and the mixed but generally positive response to tech earnings suggests that investors might be preparing for a broader market recovery. The lower yields make borrowing cheaper, potentially spurring investment and consumer spending, which could fuel stock market growth. However, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's next moves and the earnings from the remaining "Magnificent Seven" tech companies to gauge the sustainability of this recovery trend.


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# MSFT & META Earnings Divergence: Any Post Earnings Plan?

Modify on 2025-01-30 19:17

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