On a monthly basis, the Consumer Price Index surged by 0.4%, the largest increase since March and higher than the anticipated 0.3%. The energy index alone rose by 2.6%, contributing to over 40% of the monthly rise, primarily due to a 4.4% increase in gasoline prices. Food prices also saw a modest increase of 0.3%, and shelter costs edged up by the same margin. Investors still expect a low probability of a rate cut in January. However, interest rate futures traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in June, and the probability of a second Fed rate cut in 2025 rose to about 50%.
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