AfraSimon

    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-01 10:13

      NVDA Trap Risk, $MU Correction, $ENPH Bull Signal While $SPY Eyes 660 Resistance

      1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA had a strong bounce today. I sold all my shares last month and I am not touching it yet. Here is why I think this bounce is a trap and why $140 is still on the table. Plus exactly what needs to happen for me to turn bullish again. 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$ Called the $MU top last month Down over 30% since. Now the real question is when do you buy it back. Not every pullback is a buying opportunity. 3. $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ $ENPH just triggered a bull cycle alert. 🔔 This signal fires rarely. When it does 50% of the time price rallies 100% to 400% over the next one to two years. I started a position today. 4.
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      NVDA Trap Risk, $MU Correction, $ENPH Bull Signal While $SPY Eyes 660 Resistance
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-01 10:05

      S&P 500 Stays Below 200 Day Average as Fear Spikes

      Market sentiment has shifted sharply into risk-off mode. The S&P 500 is now trading below its 200-day moving average for nine consecutive sessions, while less than 43% of constituents remain above that key level, signaling weak breadth. The Fear Index has dropped to extreme levels not seen since November, reflecting heightened uncertainty. 1.Stock Market hits an Extreme Fear reading of 9, the most amount of Fear since November 👻😱🫂 2.Fewer than 43% of S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average, the worst market breadth since May 🚨📉😱 3.S&P 500 $SPX closes under its 200-day moving average for the 9th consecutive day, the longest stretch since April/May 2025 📉📉 4. Nike
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      S&P 500 Stays Below 200 Day Average as Fear Spikes
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-01 09:50

      Lumentum: Nvidia Moment or Hype?

      Is $Lumentum(LITE)$ experiencing an $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Moment? When the AI boom really began after the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia saw the demand for its AI GPUs explode. A graph of green bars AI-generated content may be incorrect. From 2022 to 2026, Nvidia’s data center business grew 18x in just 4 years, to nearly $200B! As we are reaching the limits of what current technologies can achieve, Nvidia has invested billions in its suppliers to help them develop technologies critical for making AI better, faster, and cheaper. $2B went to the company we are covering today, Lumentum! Lumentum is a technology company that specializes in photonics, a field that is enabling the shift from electrical signals to light-ba
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      Lumentum: Nvidia Moment or Hype?
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-01 09:46

      Here are 6 Simple Reasons I am Bullish $SOFI

      Here are 6 Simple Reasons I am Bullish $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 1/ Rockstar CEO Investors worry about Wars, Oil Shocks, Pandemics, High Interest Rates, and BS Short Reports. Anthony Noto Executes. - During Covid $SOFI pivoted from student lending to consumer loans. Bears cried about the use of Fair Value Accounting over CECL, but $SOFI executed. - During the inflation crisis of 2022, bears promised huge loan losses, which didn't happen. - There have been numerous short reports and bearish takes, $SOFI has proven them all to be baseless. 2/ Student Loan Originations Student loans have been $SOFI bread and butter. This is an ingenious way to acquire high-value long-term customers. Student loan refinancing brings in high-income, creditworthy bo
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      Here are 6 Simple Reasons I am Bullish $SOFI
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-31

      $SPX Breakdown Deepens, Worst Start Since 1926 Raises Red Flags

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 is showing historically weak momentum, with just 3 positive weeks so far this year—matching one of the worst starts on record. The index is also on track for its longest stretch below the 200-day moving average since 2025, reinforcing bearish technical pressure. Seasonality adds another layer of risk: historically, midterm election cycles have seen average drawdowns of over 18% before stabilizing, suggesting further volatility may lie ahead before a more durable bottom forms. 1.S&P 500 $SPX has only had 3 green weeks during the first 12 weeks this year, equaling the worst start to a year in history 🚨🚨🚨 2.S&P 500 $SPX on track for its 8th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest str
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      $SPX Breakdown Deepens, Worst Start Since 1926 Raises Red Flags
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-31

      $SOFI Down 50%, Sentiment Reset or Broken Thesis?

      $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is officially in a 50%+ Drawdown. In situations like this, one needs to examine the causes to determine whether the thesis is broken. 1) What is driving this sell-off? The sell-off is mostly caused by macro fears, not company-specific weakness. The recent short-seller report has mostly been brushed off by the market as BS. However, global uncertainty, including tensions like the Iran war, has made investors more cautious with growth stocks. At the same time, rising interest rate concerns and general market volatility are pushing fintech stocks down together. There has also been short-term worry about consumer health, especially after reports questioning spending strength. Overall, this looks like a sentiment-driven p
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      $SOFI Down 50%, Sentiment Reset or Broken Thesis?
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-30

      Leaders Cracking: $META Below 200DMA, $SPX Bleeds, $SNAP Destroyed

      Markets are showing clear signs of stress. $META is deeply below its 200DMA, $SPX is heading for its worst month since 2022, and $UNH has erased key institutional levels. Meanwhile, $SNAP highlights long-term value destruction — a reminder that not all dips recover. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META has now fallen below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since 2022 📉📉📉 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX on track for its biggest monthly loss since September 2022 📉👻😱👀 3. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth $UNH has now plunged all the way back below Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway 2025 purchase price 📉💸 4.
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      Leaders Cracking: $META Below 200DMA, $SPX Bleeds, $SNAP Destroyed
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-28

      5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN

      5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ 1/ Huge Demand "We can't meet the demand fast enough," Dan Roberts There is a huge demand for AI computing power, as hyperscalers invest hundreds of billions of dollars. IREN is perfectly situated to meet that demand. 2/ Focus on Bare Metal over Colocation "Colocation would be a lot easier, but we don't feel that it is the best value-creating opportunity." Dan Roberts, $IREN CEO AI cloud (bare metal) services can generate roughly $10M per megawatt, whereas simply leasing data center space (collocation) only brings in about $1.5-2M. We can see these dynamics at play with the $MSFT contract. The deal involves a 200MW deployment and will generate $9.7B in 5 years. A colocation contract would have
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      5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-28

      Size Up or Sit Out? Let $SPY $VIX $BTC Decide

      How much money to risk per trade: Risk tolerance should fluctuate. I get questions all the time about "exactly how much do u risk per trade". And I have to give the annoying non-answer of "it depends"...bc there's variables. It's nuanced. 5 buckets I use to determine level of risk: - current environment - relative strength of leaders - $vix behavior - breadth / participation - macro backdrop Here's each one with more detail: Current environment: - $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ trend (up/down bias?...don't overcomplicate) - spy, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ relationship to key moving averages (above/below 50sma, 200sma?) - btc behavior...use to gauge risk/speculation appetite (ex: relative weakness = risk off grow
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      Size Up or Sit Out? Let $SPY $VIX $BTC Decide
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-27

      Grab Taiwan Entry: One-Off or A Blueprint For the Future?

      After rising $1.5B using convertible notes, $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ ended 2025 with $6.8B in cash! Retail investors are not very patient, so for many months, Grab has been criticized for not putting its large cash balance to good use, and some even questioned why a profitable company would raise this much in the first place. However, the funds were clearly intended to purchase its biggest competitor in Indonesia, Gojek. While that deal has been rumored to be in the works for years, it seems Gojek will have to remain an independent company for longer, as any potential deal is stalled while Gojek goes through various scandals and government investigations. Grab was forced to pivot and find another M&A target, and they finally did. Grab is buying
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      Grab Taiwan Entry: One-Off or A Blueprint For the Future?
       
       
       
       

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