TigerObserver

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    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·17:25

      Cross-Market Weekly: Yields at 2007 Highs, HKEX Tech Bloodbath, Oil Rebounds — FED Minutes in Focus

      Last Week's Recap 1. Weekly Market Digest: Stocks Flat, Yields at 2007 Highs, Inflation Moderates, Oil Rebounds Flat market — U.S. indexes were little changed as stocks took a breather after the prior week's record highs. S&P 500 and NASDAQ ended fractionally higher; Dow fractionally lower. Elevated yields — 30-year Treasury yield climbed back to ~5.26% (highest since 2007); 10-year at 4.69%, while the 2-year eased slightly to 4.17%. Moderating inflation — July CPI held steady at 3.4% annual rate (down from June's 3.5%); PPI showed inflation little changed from the prior month. Robust revenue — S&P 500 Q2 revenue growth on pace for 15% (highest since Q4 2021), per FactSet; earnings growth tracking above 50%, strongest since Q2 2021. Oil rebounds — U.S. crude rose above $82 Friday (
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      Cross-Market Weekly: Yields at 2007 Highs, HKEX Tech Bloodbath, Oil Rebounds — FED Minutes in Focus
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-14

      🪙 Tech Lit Up: NFLX, ADBE, CRM, MU & INTC All Jumped — One Macro Tailwind, Five Different Catalysts

      👋 Thursday was a strong day for tech. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.65% to a record 7,798.99, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 0.81%. $Netflix(NFLX)$ jumped 5.43%, $Adobe(ADBE)$ 4.54%, $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ just over 4%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ 4.23%, and $Intel(INTC)$ 3.58%. The common tailwind was macro: softer inflation data reduced fears of another Fed hike and supported growth-sto
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      🪙 Tech Lit Up: NFLX, ADBE, CRM, MU & INTC All Jumped — One Macro Tailwind, Five Different Catalysts
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-14

      Buffett's Stock Picks: The Timeless Logic Behind the Oracle's Latest Moves

      Why Coca-Cola is up 27%, Apple leads the Mag 7, and what the Oracle of Omaha's portfolio tells us about navigating today's market 🐯Hi Tigers! The Oracle's "Slow Philosophy" Still Works in a Fast Market While the market chases AI hardware and quantum computing hype, Buffett's 60 years of investment wisdom reminds us: simple, understandable businesses with moats are the key to weathering cycles. The Q1 2026 13F filing shows Berkshire's top 5 holdings — $Apple(AAPL)$, $American Express(AXP)$, $Bank of America(BAC)$, $Coca-Cola(KO)$, and
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      Buffett's Stock Picks: The Timeless Logic Behind the Oracle's Latest Moves
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-13

      🔥❄️Beating Isn't Enough? The AI "Ice and Fire" Saga: CRWV, NBIS,CHOR, SMIC, CSCO, CRBS

      Mild CPI eases rate hike fears. AI infra earnings explode. Optical communication leads the rally — but $Coherent(COHR)$ beats and drops 5%, $Cerebras Systems(CBRS)$ 16%. The market is voting with its feet: not all AI stories can deliver.   🐯Hi, Tigers! Today's Script: "Divergence" Last night's US session was a masterclass in selective buying: AI infrastructure names exploded, optical communication stocks partied, but the Mag 7 quietly exited stage left. Before the bell, July CPI came in at +3.4% YoY (prior 3.5%), core CPI +2.5% (prior 2.6%) — both as expected, both cooling. Rate hike fears eased: CME FedWatch shows the probability of the Fed holding rates steady i
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      🔥❄️Beating Isn't Enough? The AI "Ice and Fire" Saga: CRWV, NBIS,CHOR, SMIC, CSCO, CRBS
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-13

      Cloud Demand Is Not Slowing Down 🔥LITE, CRWV, SMCI All Crush Estimates

      [Happy]Hi, Tigers! The AI Infra Print Party Is Here 🎉 If you thought the AI trade was running out of steam, Wednesday's earnings just told you otherwise. Three companies. Three different layers of the AI stack. All three blew past expectations — and by the closing bell, the moves were even bigger than the initial after-hours pop suggested. Here's the scoreboard:   The ripple effect was immediate and, by end of session, much bigger than early prints suggested: $NEBIUS(NBIS)$+27-34%, $IREN Ltd(IREN)$+10%, $Coherent(COHR)$+9%, $Ciena(CIEN)$+13%,
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      Cloud Demand Is Not Slowing Down 🔥LITE, CRWV, SMCI All Crush Estimates
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-11

      🎁Korean Brokers Turn Bearish, While SK Deepens Its Kioxia Ties: What’s Next for SNDK?

      Memory stocks are sending two very different signals today:   Brokers are starting to price in a cycle peak, while industry ties are getting even tighter.   📉 Why Are Korean Brokers Turning Bearish?   Kiwoom cut its SK hynix target price from KRW 2.2M to KRW 2.1M, while Samsung Electronics was cut from KRW 390K to KRW 350K.   The concern is not 2026 earnings. It is what happens after 2027.   The market is starting to ask:   If memory prices stay this high and new capacity comes online, are we approaching another peak-out?   NAND margins have already recovered sharply for several quarters. That is exactly why investors are now questioning how long these elevated profits can last.   🤝 But SK and Kioxia Are Gettin
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      🎁Korean Brokers Turn Bearish, While SK Deepens Its Kioxia Ties: What’s Next for SNDK?
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-10

      Cross-Market Weekly Wrap: US Hits New Highs | HK Under Pressure | SG & AU Rally to Records

      Last Week's Recap 1. Market Digest: S&P 500 & Dow Hit Records, Jobs Slump, Earnings Crush, Oil Pulls Back Record heights — $S&P 500(.SPX)$ surged 3.6%, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ +3.0%, both to record highs. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ jumped 5.2% but remained 1.5% below its June peak. Jobs slump — July payrolls fell 23,000 (vs. ~90,000 gain expected); May/June revised down by 103,000 combined. Three-month average plunged to 20,000/month, a sharp turnaround from March's 214,000. Earnings juggernaut — Q2 S&P 500 net income expected to rise 50.4%, per FactSet—the strongest growth rate since Q2 2021 and up dramatically fro
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      Cross-Market Weekly Wrap: US Hits New Highs | HK Under Pressure | SG & AU Rally to Records
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·08-03

      Weekly:Stocks Rebound, Fed Dissents, Yields Hit 2007 Highs, Earnings Crush

      Last Week's Recap Market Digest: Stocks Rebound, Fed Dissents, Yields Hit 2007 Highs, Earnings Crush Inching back up — Strong earnings lifted the three major U.S. indexes to gains of 1% to nearly 2%, largely offsetting the prior week's modest declines. All three remained below record levels set over the past two months. Fed dissents — Stocks fell sharply Wednesday as medium- to long-term yields surged post-FOMC. The Fed held rates steady, but three voting members dissented, preferring to lift rates. Historically high yields — 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.20% Wednesday (near highest since 2007), reaching 5.25% by Friday. The 10-year rose to 4.71%, highest in 18+ months. Earnings surge — S&P 500 Q2 earnings growth forecast jumped to 47.4% (from 38.0%), per FactSet—if realized,
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      Weekly:Stocks Rebound, Fed Dissents, Yields Hit 2007 Highs, Earnings Crush
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·07-27

      Weekly: SPX Slips, Fed's Decisions, US Q2 GDP, Mega-Cap Tech Earnings & AI Spending in Focus

      Last Week's Recap 1.Market Digest: Stocks Slip, Oil Spikes, Yields Surge, Earnings Upgraded Modestly negative — $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ finished fractionally lower; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ dropped more than 2%. Stocks alternated gains and losses throughout the week, extending the pattern since early June. Energy shocks — Middle East escalation and shipping disruptions in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea lifted oil. U.S. crude $WTI Crude Oil - main 2609(CLmain)$ traded around $90 on Friday, up from ~$82 the prior week and $69 in early July. Yields spike — 10-year Treasury peaked at ~4.70% Thursday (highest in 1
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      Weekly: SPX Slips, Fed's Decisions, US Q2 GDP, Mega-Cap Tech Earnings & AI Spending in Focus
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·07-20

      Weekly: Banks Beat While Tech Drags S&P Down; June CPI & Big Tech Earnings in Focus.

      Last Week's Recap 1. Market Digest: Stocks Consolidate, Earnings Strong, PPI Cools, Oil Surges Stocks consolidate — S&P 500 fell 1.55% for the week; tech lost momentum late as TSM's capex hike and Alphabet's AI delay sparked valuation concerns. Health care, consumer staples, and real estate stayed strong. Energy minerals, commercial services, and consumer non-durables led; communications, electronic tech, and consumer durables lagged. Earnings strong — Major banks beat expectations to kick off Q2 season; more than 87% of S&P 500 companies reporting through Thursday exceeded estimates. Bonds volatile — 10-year Treasury traded near 4.6% midweek on resilient labor data and Middle East uncertainty, then eased into the weekend on softer PPI and new economic data. PPI cools — June produc
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      Weekly: Banks Beat While Tech Drags S&P Down; June CPI & Big Tech Earnings in Focus.
       
       
       
       

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