1 I would grade my own performance as underperforming market 2 in march sell off I did not buy us stocks 3. There is more bad news from high inflation and high interest rates with low growth
1. Nasdaq entering technical recession is due to an economic slowdown due to the energy crisis 2. None of the mag 7 stocks are prepared for an energy crisis 3. A recession is highly likely at this time which is a bear market 4. There is a reason to sell and buy cash at this time
1. 2,5 percent interest rate is below the risk free rate for interest payments 2. The equity investment in dbs has a higher expected return than reits and other property holding groups 3. Dbs group is growing and can increase earnings and payments to shareholders
1. Arm has a high market share which it needs to protect in phones 2. There is no reason for a pullback in share price at this time. 3. CPU is a system component for running large memory models on Gpus and slows down processing time
1. Google’s newly released turboquant reduces memory usage pressure for larger models 2. Memory stocks are very highly valued at this time 3. The investment thesis in memory stocks has not changed at this time
To the moon: musk is likely to deliver of any individual, however what is the value of a space exploration company if it succeeds? Also there is a high likelihood of low valuation with high competition
A bottom fishing addiction: it is difficult to distinguish value from low growth stocks b. No stop loss: it is difficult to apply stop loss since changes could be structural or temporary C. Overtrading: my issues are undertrading D falling or fakeouts: I do not adequately assess high growth stocks
1. The current gold and silver sell off is a bear trap since there is high market volatility and the price of gold is likely to increase sharply 2. To benefit from this position the best position is to short $ETFS Physical Gold(GOLD.AU)$ 3 at the moment gold is falling in value and oil is appeciatinf in value, however over supply of oil is forecast in the near term to benefit from selling oil today
Samsung: while sk Hynix has more volumes of production and micron has more advanced HBM memory, Samsung has greater scale and integration with other technology divisions
1. Bank stocks are higher profit margin relative to leveraged property stocks 2. Follow the trends in purchasing ai stocks 3. Ltd rules tightening do reduce profitability of money related stocks