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SGDarrenC

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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·01-02 08:16
  $Apple(AAPL)$
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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·2022-08-17
  [LOL]
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·2022-08-10
  Roller coaster ride
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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·2022-05-21
  DCA
  Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off
  Here's why Apple is a golden investment amid the ongoing tech sell-off.
  Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off
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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·2022-05-16
  Good time to dca
  Apple: One Big Time Sale
  Investment ThesisApple (NASDAQ:AAPL) designs, manufactures, and distributes smartphones, personal co
  Apple: One Big Time Sale
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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·2022-05-10
  Thanks for providing some assurance that my stocks are worth to hold.
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- SGDarrenCSGDarrenC
  ·2022-05-07
  Bear with it
  Is It Safer to Pull Your Money Out of the Stock Market or Keep Investing for Now?
  Time in the market is important.
  Is It Safer to Pull Your Money Out of the Stock Market or Keep Investing for Now?
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coaster ride&nbsp;","listText":"Roller coaster ride&nbsp;","text":"Roller coaster 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07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236015712","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here's why Apple is a golden investment amid the ongoing tech sell-off.","content":"<div>\n<p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Apple Stock for Resiliency During the Tech Sell-Off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-21 07:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/buy-apple-stock-resiliency-during-tech-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236015712","content_text":"The stock market has been a circus show in recent history, due to record-high inflation levels, the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in response, and lingering concerns in connection to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Consequently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have backtracked 15% and 24% year to date, respectively, with no end to the negativism in sight.Even big tech has struggled, with premier companies Netflix and Meta Platforms posting weaker-than-anticipated financial reports in recent quarters. The panic has sent investors swarming to value stocks and safer assets for protection, leaving the technology sector drowning in the red. But as long-term investors, this doesn't mean that we should completely ignore tech stocks for the time being.Image source: Getty Images.In fact, there are several companies that continue to deliver strong financial results in spite of the challenges our current economy presents. One of those companies, Apple, is a world-beater that can provide investors with much-needed security in today's market environment. And since it's down almost 20% year to date, the technology juggernaut grants investors a handsome valuation at present levels.A resilient businessIn the past 12 quarters, Apple has beaten earnings estimates each time, and the company has only fallen short of Wall Street's revenue forecasts once. In the second quarter of 2022, the tech leader increased both total sales and earnings per share by 9% year over year, up to $97.3 billion and $1.52, respectively. While its product category -- which includes the iPhone, iPad, and Mac -- only grew a modest 7%, the company's services segment surged 17% to $19.8 billion.For the full fiscal year 2022, analysts are forecasting Apple's top line to improve 8% to $394.2 billion and its earnings per share to increase 10% to $6.15. Investors should like where the iPhone maker is positioned today. Not only does its world-class core business offer stability on top of its persistent growth, but the company's services segment enjoys a long runway for expansion in the years ahead.Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company's elite balance sheet and cash generation will comfortably facilitate growth for the tech giant in the future. The company has $28.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, and it continues to generate funds at a red-hot pace. In the past 12 months, Apple has produced $105.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF), and its three-year FCF compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 13%. The company's robust balance sheet and consistent cash generation provide financial flexibility to increase its dividends, buy back shares, and grow its business in the years to follow.A normalized valuationThe recent stock price pullback year to date has made Apple stock a very tempting buy. The stock carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24 today, representing its lowest trading level since the early summer of 2020.AAPL PE Ratio data by YChartsThe tech company's current earnings multiple is also largely in line with its five-year historical average of 23. But given that Apple has been able to maintain solid growth in recent quarters -- especially compared to the rest of big tech -- investors should be thrilled about buying the stock at existing levels.Apple is a good play on the turbulent stock market todayApple is a wise investment today -- the world-leading technology company continues to expand its business at a steady rate in an economy where many of its peers are suffering from growing pains. The stock is also trading at its lowest valuation since mid-2020, supplying investors with a favorable margin of safety. If you're searching for a durable stock to combat the market's volatility today, Apple might be the choice for you.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020773057,"gmtCreate":1652692494179,"gmtModify":1676535143174,"author":{"id":"4113265924591412","authorId":"4113265924591412","name":"SGDarrenC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/490332054db9b9bfd6e97300caaec5ec","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4113265924591412","idStr":"4113265924591412"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good time to dca","listText":"Good time to dca","text":"Good time to dca","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020773057","repostId":"2235798704","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2235798704","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652714308,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235798704?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-16 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: One Big Time Sale","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235798704","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Investment ThesisApple (NASDAQ:AAPL) designs, manufactures, and distributes smartphones, personal co","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Investment Thesis</h2><p>Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) designs, manufactures, and distributes smartphones, personal computers, wearables, and related services. Apple has been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most valuable companies in the world for a while and has leadership positions in numerous fields. Its massive installed device base (1.8B active devices) is pushing Apple&#39;s service revenue upwards at a rapid pace, and the overall company&#39;s profit margin is also improving. Furthermore, Apple is moving to become self-sufficient to reduce costs and mitigate supply chain disruptions, and the effort has been paying off. I expect Apple to continue its success well into the future, and the current volatility in the tech sector is presenting a huge opportunity to grab Apple shares at a discount because:</p><ul><li>Apple&#39;s high margin businesses (Mac and Service segments) are growing at a rapid pace, contributing to great revenue growth and margin expansion.</li><li>Revenue growth trajectory remains solid with an increasing subscription base and new product releases (iPad Air, iPhone SE, and etc.).</li><li>The market volatility and tech sector sell-off dragged Apple&#39;s stock down, and it is now being sold under its pre-pandemic level. This presents a great opportunity.</li></ul><h3>Growing in Right Segments</h3><p>Since I wrote my last article, Apple reported quarterly earnings in late April, and the results continue to demonstrate that Apple is focusing on the correct segments for growth and profitability. Overall revenue grew 9% YoY to $97.3 B, and they generated a whopping $28 B operating cash flow. Particularly, their Mac segment and services segment led the charge.</p><p>Apple has been working on becoming self-sufficient and manufacturing key product components internally. A couple of years ago Apple took the noteworthy action of severing ties with Intel and making their own computer chips. The effort has been paying a great dividend. The Apple M1 (their own chip) has been performing very well against Intel and other chips on the market, and Mac sales have been very strong. Additionally, producing their own chips boosted the profit margins on Mac products.</p><p>Strong performance by Apple Services segment (advertising, AppleCare, Cloud, Digital Content, Payment) is also welcome news for investors. The services segment is a 2x higher gross margin business (72.6%) than the products segment (36.4%), and it has higher growth potential from cloud and digital content. Assisted by its massive installed device base (1.8 B active devices), AppleCare has great potential for increasing revenue as well. Overall, the strong performance from Mac and Services shows that there are good days ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/141d5a91e5df23365dae251e9bab5e0b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"187\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Performance by Segments (SEC Filings)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/121762b45f7dec13cf921113a187da10\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Gross Margins of Apple by Segments (SEC Filings)</p><h4>Strong Revenue Growth Trajectory</h4><p>Apple has been growing at a solid pace (10% per year, 5-year average) in the past several years, and the revenue growth is accelerating. This acceleration is due to multiple factors. The first one is the continuing strong performance from new products, and there is no sign that this trend is going to end. During the last quarter, Apple released iPhone SE with 5 G technology, iPad Air with M1 chip, all-new Mac Studio, and all-new Apple Studio Display.</p><p>As mentioned before, Apple currently has 1.8 B active device bases, and the number is expected to grow with the release of new products. The active base has been growing at about 100-150 million per year (1.4 B, 1.5 B, 1.65 B, and 1.8 B in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively). Also, this larger installed base will translate into greater revenue growth from AppleCare, advertising, and cloud services. Currently, Apple has about 785 M subscribers to these services.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac35dc5d8146da0ab3d88270dbc0b6db\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><h4>Favorable Valuation Thanks to Volatility</h4><p>Ongoing volatility caused by supply chain disruption, inflation, war, and Federal Reserve&#39;s changing policies dragged the whole tech sector severely down. Nasdaq index is down from 16,000 in November 2021 to below 12,000. This volatility dragged great companies like Apple along, and now Apple stock is trading below its pre-pandemic level (current P/E ratio of 23.8x vs. pre-pandemic P/E around 25.5x). This presents a great opportunity for investors to grab Apple shares at a bargain.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60f28dab37b8c21b885a326a9994c721\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"386\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Nasdaq Index (CNBC)</p><h2>Intrinsic Value Estimation</h2><p>I used DCF model to estimate the intrinsic value of Apple. For the estimation, I utilized current EBITDA ($130 B) as a proxy for cash flow and WACC of 9.0% as the discount rate. For the base case, I assumed EBITDA growth of 20% (Sector median) for the next 5 years and zero growth afterwards (zero terminal growth). For the bullish and very bullish case, I assumed EBITDA growth of 22% and 24%, respectively, for the next 5 years and zero growth afterwards.</p><p>The estimation revealed that the current stock price presents 20-30% upside. Given their technological superiority, organic/inorganic growth, and market dominance, I expect them to achieve this upside with ease.</p><table><tbody><tr><td></td><td><p>Price Target</p></td><td><p>Upside</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Base Case</p></td><td><p>$170.23</p></td><td><p>16%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Bullish Case</p></td><td><p>$182.92</p></td><td><p>24%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Very Bullish Case</p></td><td><p>$196.41</p></td><td><p>34%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>The assumptions and data used for the price target estimation are summarized below:</p><ul><li>WACC: 9.0%</li><li>EBITDA Growth Rate: 20% (Base Case), 22% (Bullish Case), 24% (Very Bullish Case)</li><li>Current EBITDA: $130 B</li><li>Current Stock Price: $147.11 (05/14/2022)</li><li>Tax rate: 20%</li></ul><h2>Cappuccino Stock Rating</h2><p>The details of the metric is explained in this article.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td></td><td>Weighting</td><td>AAPL</td></tr><tr><td>Economic Moat Strength</td><td>30%</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td>Financial Strength</td><td>30%</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Growth Rate vs. Sector</td><td>15%</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Margin of Safety</td><td>15%</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td>Sector Outlook</td><td>10%</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td><b>Overall</b></td><td></td><td><b>4.3</b></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><b>Economic Moat Strength - 5/5</b></h4><p>Apple gets 5 out of 5. Apple is a clear leader with exceptional competitive edge. Their competitive edge stems from technological superiority, switching costs, and network effects.</p><h4><b>Financial Strength - 4/5</b></h4><p>Apple has $51.5 B in cash and a high covered ratio (45.13x), but their liquidity (current ratio at 0.93x and quick ratio of 0.76x) is in line with the sector.</p><h4><b>Growth Rate - 3/5</b></h4><p>Apple is growing at a pace consistent with their overall industry. Apple’s most recent annual revenue growth was 18.63% (vs. sector median of 19.98%). Given their leadership position and strong revenue, these revenue growth numbers are great. However, compared to hyper growth companies in the start-up or ramping-up phase with 50-60% growth rates, it’s hard to give out 4 or 5 stars.</p><h4><b>Margin of Safety - 5/5</b></h4><p>Apple is trading ~25% under intrinsic value at this point. The ongoing market volatility and tech sector struggles are providing a great opportunity to grab Apple’s shares under intrinsic value. Their P/E ratio is below pre-pandemic level, which just doesn&#39;t make sense.</p><h4><b>Sector Outlook - 4/5</b></h4><p>The tech sector will keep on growing at a rapid pace with new technology and markets, but the smartphone and laptop segments won’t be the fastest growing segment in tech. There will be adequate, but not exceptional, growth.</p><h2>Risk</h2><p>Apple&#39;s main segment is still the iPhone, and competition within the smartphone market is only increasing and getting complex. Also, consumer preference is diversifying in terms of preferred features (camera quality, computing/memory performance, weight/size, etc.). The iPhone family still commands a leadership position based on technological superiority, switching cost, and brand image, so I don&#39;t expect Apple to struggle. However, I wouldn&#39;t expect large growth from the iPhone segment in the future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5030495bf9b76a7a51f6dd535431666c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global Smartphone Market Share (Counterpoint)</p><p>As mentioned before, Apple has been moving towards self-sufficiency by manufacturing their own parts. So far, the effort has impacted the business in a positive way by improving margins and mitigating supply chain disruption. However, relying on their own parts can result in isolation, lower technological development, and less market penetration. One example is the Japanese cellphone makers (Panasonic, Sharp, or NEC). They were way ahead in terms of innovation, but they failed to achieve global success. This is an extreme case, and I don&#39;t expect this will be the problem for Apple. However, investors should monitor whether Apple is maintaining its cutting-edge technology as they transition towards being more self-sufficient.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Apple has been an outstanding investment for a couple of decades at this point. Their technological superiority, brand image, and switching cost provide a great economic moat, and new products and services will keep their growth engine running. Based on their strong financials and market leading position, I expect Apple to excel in the foreseeable future. I expect 20-30% upside.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: One Big Time Sale</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: One Big Time Sale\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-16 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4511930-apple-one-big-time-sale><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment ThesisApple (NASDAQ:AAPL) designs, manufactures, and distributes smartphones, personal computers, wearables, and related services. Apple has been one of the most valuable companies in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4511930-apple-one-big-time-sale\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4511930-apple-one-big-time-sale","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235798704","content_text":"Investment ThesisApple (NASDAQ:AAPL) designs, manufactures, and distributes smartphones, personal computers, wearables, and related services. Apple has been one of the most valuable companies in the world for a while and has leadership positions in numerous fields. Its massive installed device base (1.8B active devices) is pushing Apple's service revenue upwards at a rapid pace, and the overall company's profit margin is also improving. Furthermore, Apple is moving to become self-sufficient to reduce costs and mitigate supply chain disruptions, and the effort has been paying off. I expect Apple to continue its success well into the future, and the current volatility in the tech sector is presenting a huge opportunity to grab Apple shares at a discount because:Apple's high margin businesses (Mac and Service segments) are growing at a rapid pace, contributing to great revenue growth and margin expansion.Revenue growth trajectory remains solid with an increasing subscription base and new product releases (iPad Air, iPhone SE, and etc.).The market volatility and tech sector sell-off dragged Apple's stock down, and it is now being sold under its pre-pandemic level. This presents a great opportunity.Growing in Right SegmentsSince I wrote my last article, Apple reported quarterly earnings in late April, and the results continue to demonstrate that Apple is focusing on the correct segments for growth and profitability. Overall revenue grew 9% YoY to $97.3 B, and they generated a whopping $28 B operating cash flow. Particularly, their Mac segment and services segment led the charge.Apple has been working on becoming self-sufficient and manufacturing key product components internally. A couple of years ago Apple took the noteworthy action of severing ties with Intel and making their own computer chips. The effort has been paying a great dividend. The Apple M1 (their own chip) has been performing very well against Intel and other chips on the market, and Mac sales have been very strong. Additionally, producing their own chips boosted the profit margins on Mac products.Strong performance by Apple Services segment (advertising, AppleCare, Cloud, Digital Content, Payment) is also welcome news for investors. The services segment is a 2x higher gross margin business (72.6%) than the products segment (36.4%), and it has higher growth potential from cloud and digital content. Assisted by its massive installed device base (1.8 B active devices), AppleCare has great potential for increasing revenue as well. Overall, the strong performance from Mac and Services shows that there are good days ahead.Performance by Segments (SEC Filings)Gross Margins of Apple by Segments (SEC Filings)Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryApple has been growing at a solid pace (10% per year, 5-year average) in the past several years, and the revenue growth is accelerating. This acceleration is due to multiple factors. The first one is the continuing strong performance from new products, and there is no sign that this trend is going to end. During the last quarter, Apple released iPhone SE with 5 G technology, iPad Air with M1 chip, all-new Mac Studio, and all-new Apple Studio Display.As mentioned before, Apple currently has 1.8 B active device bases, and the number is expected to grow with the release of new products. The active base has been growing at about 100-150 million per year (1.4 B, 1.5 B, 1.65 B, and 1.8 B in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively). Also, this larger installed base will translate into greater revenue growth from AppleCare, advertising, and cloud services. Currently, Apple has about 785 M subscribers to these services.Data by YChartsFavorable Valuation Thanks to VolatilityOngoing volatility caused by supply chain disruption, inflation, war, and Federal Reserve's changing policies dragged the whole tech sector severely down. Nasdaq index is down from 16,000 in November 2021 to below 12,000. This volatility dragged great companies like Apple along, and now Apple stock is trading below its pre-pandemic level (current P/E ratio of 23.8x vs. pre-pandemic P/E around 25.5x). This presents a great opportunity for investors to grab Apple shares at a bargain.Nasdaq Index (CNBC)Intrinsic Value EstimationI used DCF model to estimate the intrinsic value of Apple. For the estimation, I utilized current EBITDA ($130 B) as a proxy for cash flow and WACC of 9.0% as the discount rate. For the base case, I assumed EBITDA growth of 20% (Sector median) for the next 5 years and zero growth afterwards (zero terminal growth). For the bullish and very bullish case, I assumed EBITDA growth of 22% and 24%, respectively, for the next 5 years and zero growth afterwards.The estimation revealed that the current stock price presents 20-30% upside. Given their technological superiority, organic/inorganic growth, and market dominance, I expect them to achieve this upside with ease.Price TargetUpsideBase Case$170.2316%Bullish Case$182.9224%Very Bullish Case$196.4134%The assumptions and data used for the price target estimation are summarized below:WACC: 9.0%EBITDA Growth Rate: 20% (Base Case), 22% (Bullish Case), 24% (Very Bullish Case)Current EBITDA: $130 BCurrent Stock Price: $147.11 (05/14/2022)Tax rate: 20%Cappuccino Stock RatingThe details of the metric is explained in this article.WeightingAAPLEconomic Moat Strength30%5Financial Strength30%4Growth Rate vs. Sector15%3Margin of Safety15%5Sector Outlook10%4Overall4.3Economic Moat Strength - 5/5Apple gets 5 out of 5. Apple is a clear leader with exceptional competitive edge. Their competitive edge stems from technological superiority, switching costs, and network effects.Financial Strength - 4/5Apple has $51.5 B in cash and a high covered ratio (45.13x), but their liquidity (current ratio at 0.93x and quick ratio of 0.76x) is in line with the sector.Growth Rate - 3/5Apple is growing at a pace consistent with their overall industry. Apple’s most recent annual revenue growth was 18.63% (vs. sector median of 19.98%). Given their leadership position and strong revenue, these revenue growth numbers are great. However, compared to hyper growth companies in the start-up or ramping-up phase with 50-60% growth rates, it’s hard to give out 4 or 5 stars.Margin of Safety - 5/5Apple is trading ~25% under intrinsic value at this point. The ongoing market volatility and tech sector struggles are providing a great opportunity to grab Apple’s shares under intrinsic value. Their P/E ratio is below pre-pandemic level, which just doesn't make sense.Sector Outlook - 4/5The tech sector will keep on growing at a rapid pace with new technology and markets, but the smartphone and laptop segments won’t be the fastest growing segment in tech. There will be adequate, but not exceptional, growth.RiskApple's main segment is still the iPhone, and competition within the smartphone market is only increasing and getting complex. Also, consumer preference is diversifying in terms of preferred features (camera quality, computing/memory performance, weight/size, etc.). The iPhone family still commands a leadership position based on technological superiority, switching cost, and brand image, so I don't expect Apple to struggle. However, I wouldn't expect large growth from the iPhone segment in the future.Global Smartphone Market Share (Counterpoint)As mentioned before, Apple has been moving towards self-sufficiency by manufacturing their own parts. So far, the effort has impacted the business in a positive way by improving margins and mitigating supply chain disruption. However, relying on their own parts can result in isolation, lower technological development, and less market penetration. One example is the Japanese cellphone makers (Panasonic, Sharp, or NEC). They were way ahead in terms of innovation, but they failed to achieve global success. This is an extreme case, and I don't expect this will be the problem for Apple. However, investors should monitor whether Apple is maintaining its cutting-edge technology as they transition towards being more self-sufficient.ConclusionApple has been an outstanding investment for a couple of decades at this point. Their technological superiority, brand image, and switching cost provide a great economic moat, and new products and services will keep their growth engine running. Based on their strong financials and market leading position, I expect Apple to excel in the foreseeable future. I expect 20-30% upside.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065155414,"gmtCreate":1652159071738,"gmtModify":1676535043212,"author":{"id":"4113265924591412","authorId":"4113265924591412","name":"SGDarrenC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/490332054db9b9bfd6e97300caaec5ec","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4113265924591412","idStr":"4113265924591412"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for providing some assurance that my stocks are worth to hold.","listText":"Thanks for providing some assurance that my stocks are worth to hold.","text":"Thanks for providing some assurance that my stocks are worth to hold.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065155414","repostId":"1194744770","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9066152069,"gmtCreate":1651880732051,"gmtModify":1676534988103,"author":{"id":"4113265924591412","authorId":"4113265924591412","name":"SGDarrenC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/490332054db9b9bfd6e97300caaec5ec","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4113265924591412","idStr":"4113265924591412"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bear with it","listText":"Bear with it","text":"Bear with it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9066152069","repostId":"2233330483","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2233330483","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1651838945,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2233330483?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-06 20:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is It Safer to Pull Your Money Out of the Stock Market or Keep Investing for Now?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2233330483","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Time in the market is important.","content":"<div>\n<p>It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/06/is-it-safer-to-pull-your-money-out-of-the-stock-ma/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Safer to Pull Your Money Out of the Stock Market or Keep Investing for Now?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Safer to Pull Your Money Out of the Stock Market or Keep Investing for Now?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-06 20:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/06/is-it-safer-to-pull-your-money-out-of-the-stock-ma/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/06/is-it-safer-to-pull-your-money-out-of-the-stock-ma/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/06/is-it-safer-to-pull-your-money-out-of-the-stock-ma/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2233330483","content_text":"It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term. Here's why you should keep investing during such periods.Image source: Getty Images.Use down periods to lower your cost basisAlthough nobody likes seeing their investments decline in price, it can actually be a good opportunity for long-term investors because it's a chance to lower your cost basis. Your cost basis essentially tells you the average price you paid per share for a particular company. If you bought 10 shares of a company at $100 each, your cost basis would be $100. If the stock's price dropped to $80 and you purchased 10 more shares, your new cost basis would be $90 ($1,800 spent / 20 shares owned).Lowering your cost basis is valuable because it increases your profit whenever you eventually sell your shares. Imagine you own 20 shares with a $90 cost basis, and someone else also owns 20 shares of the same company but with a $100 cost basis. If that stock's price increases to $150 and you both sell, you would have profited $1,200, and they would have profited $1,000.Although you both own the same number of shares, your profits are higher because you were able to lower your cost basis.If you're investing in sound businesses, don't panic over short-term drops in price; consider it a blessing in disguise and put yourself in a better long-term position.Time in the market is important\"Time in the market is better than timing the market\" is an investing saying that has stood the test of time -- and it's one investors should always keep in mind. On one end, it points to how timing the market is virtually impossible to do consistently long term. It also speaks to the power of time in the market -- especially regarding dividends.Companies pay out dividends to reward their shareholders for holding on to their investments. If you're investing in dividend-paying companies (preferably Dividend Aristocrats or Dividend Kings, which also have stood the test of time), you're doing yourself a disservice if you pull your money out due to drops in the market.If you have $10,000 invested in a company or fund with a 3% annual dividend yield, you can expect to receive $300 in dividends each year. If the stock's price is rising, you can expect that dividend payout; if the stock's price is dropping, you can expect that dividend payout. The company's stock price shouldn't be your only focus as long as it manages to keep paying out dividends.If you panic sell because the stock is dropping, you essentially remove an income source that could prove to be key to your return on investment. If the stock price drops and the value of your investment loses $200 in a year, but you made $300 from dividends, you still came out positive.Don't be an emotional investorAs an investor, it's easy to get too high on the highs and too low on the lows in the short term. One of the best ways to remove some emotions from investing is applying dollar-cost averaging. Dollar-cost averaging involves making consistent investments at regular intervals, no matter what the stock price is at the time. It's how 401(k) plans operate; no matter the cost of the investments, you contribute your designated amount each pay period.Focusing on the end goal and ignoring the short-term volatility can make investing less stressful and can help prevent you from making emotional decisions that may go against your best long-term interest. Keep your eyes on the prize.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}