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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-16
[LOL] [LOL] [LOL]
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-16
[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-16
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Chinese ADRs Crashed in Morning Trading, With Bilibili Falling Nearly 6% and Alibaba Falling Over 4%
Chinese ADRs crashed in morning trading, with Bilibili falling nearly 6% and Alibaba falling over 4%
Chinese ADRs Crashed in Morning Trading, With Bilibili Falling Nearly 6% and Alibaba Falling Over 4%
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-13
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Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer
Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of th
Charlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-13
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-13
[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] [LOL]
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-13
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ShibaDoge Price Predictions: Can SHIBDOGE Overtake the SHIB Crypto?
ShibaDoge (SHIBDOGE-USD) has been trending lately on social media.This comes as the crypto tries to
ShibaDoge Price Predictions: Can SHIBDOGE Overtake the SHIB Crypto?
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-13
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Tiger Chart｜Which Tech Giant Will Get a Better Q2 Earning Results
Second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, Tesla and Nvi
Tiger Chart｜Which Tech Giant Will Get a Better Q2 Earning Results
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Zambala108
Zambala108
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2022-07-13
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Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply
SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen
Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply
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Zambala108
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2022-07-13
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21:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Chinese ADRs crashed in morning trading, with Bilibili falling nearly 6% and Alibaba falling over 4%. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ff82fe6886ec7f6e4d848624828629\" tg-width=\"266\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132762684","content_text":"Chinese ADRs crashed in morning trading, with Bilibili falling nearly 6% and Alibaba falling over 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCharlie Munger Says Avoid Crypto Like An Open Sewer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 21:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.What Happened: Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/07/28043520/charlie-munger-says-to-avoid-crypto-like-an-open-sewer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100179501","content_text":"Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., unleashed a fresh batch of criticism of the crypto industry.What Happened: Munger shared his best investment tips — one of which includes advice to “never touch” cryptocurrencies, in a recent interview with the Australian Financial Review.“I just avoid it as if it were an open sewer, full of malicious organisms. I just totally avoid and recommended everybody else follow my example,” said Munger.The 98-year-old billionaire investor said that the crypto craze was nothing but “mass folly,” reiterating his belief that any investment in crypto is worth nothing.\"I regard it as almost insane to buy this stuff or to trade in it,\" he said.In his view, just because something is scarce or difficult to create, it doesn’t warrant enough reason to own it as an investment.\"I think anybody that sells this stuff is either delusional or evil,” said Munger, referring to the creators of tokens and individual crypto projects. \"I'm not interested in undermining the national currencies of the world.\"Cryptocurrencies have witnessed a massive selloff over the course of 2022, in what has been labeled the worst bear market in crypto history.Price Action: At press time, the leading digital asset Bitcoin was trading at $19,433. Ethereum was trading at $1,044 and Dogecoin was trading at $0.06.Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading 70% below their all-time highs, while Dogecoin is down 91% from its peak price in 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078531616,"gmtCreate":1657711968635,"gmtModify":1676536049492,"author":{"id":"4105616718464200","authorId":"4105616718464200","name":"Zambala108","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/368971c0b3f93eb547fce5ef750a5442","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105616718464200","idStr":"4105616718464200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","listText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078531616","repostId":"2251090136","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078246471,"gmtCreate":1657702203093,"gmtModify":1676536048596,"author":{"id":"4105616718464200","authorId":"4105616718464200","name":"Zambala108","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/368971c0b3f93eb547fce5ef750a5442","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105616718464200","idStr":"4105616718464200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] [LOL] ","listText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] [LOL] ","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078246471","repostId":"1127371261","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078246249,"gmtCreate":1657702167581,"gmtModify":1676536048586,"author":{"id":"4105616718464200","authorId":"4105616718464200","name":"Zambala108","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/368971c0b3f93eb547fce5ef750a5442","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105616718464200","idStr":"4105616718464200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","listText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078246249","repostId":"2251818976","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2251818976","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657701978,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2251818976?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 16:46","market":"other","language":"en","title":"ShibaDoge Price Predictions: Can SHIBDOGE Overtake the SHIB Crypto?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2251818976","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"ShibaDoge (SHIBDOGE-USD) has been trending lately on social media.This comes as the crypto tries to ","content":"<div>\n<p>ShibaDoge (SHIBDOGE-USD) has been trending lately on social media.This comes as the crypto tries to unite investors in Shiba Inu-themed tokens.As a result, we're checking in on the latest price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/shibadoge-price-predictions-can-shibdoge-overtake-the-shib-crypto/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ShibaDoge Price Predictions: Can SHIBDOGE Overtake the SHIB Crypto?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShibaDoge Price Predictions: Can SHIBDOGE Overtake the SHIB Crypto?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 16:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/07/shibadoge-price-predictions-can-shibdoge-overtake-the-shib-crypto/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ShibaDoge (SHIBDOGE-USD) has been trending lately on social media.This comes as the crypto tries to unite investors in Shiba Inu-themed tokens.As a result, we're checking in on the latest price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/shibadoge-price-predictions-can-shibdoge-overtake-the-shib-crypto/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/shibadoge-price-predictions-can-shibdoge-overtake-the-shib-crypto/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2251818976","content_text":"ShibaDoge (SHIBDOGE-USD) has been trending lately on social media.This comes as the crypto tries to unite investors in Shiba Inu-themed tokens.As a result, we're checking in on the latest price predictions for the token.ShibaDoge (SHIBDOGE-USD) price predictions are a hot topic on Tuesday as the crypto has been trending on social media for the last few days.It looks like crypto traders are hoping that ShibaDoge will be able to become the next Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) or Shiba Inu (SHIB-USD), if the name is anything to go by. But that doesn’t tell us what the token is all about.According to its website, ShibaDoge’s focus is pulling away control of currency from the “government controlled monopolies.” To do that, it’s attempting to unite the whales behind the Dogecoin and Shiba Inu communities into a single community.This has ShibaDoge focusing on a community that is anti-whale. It limits wallets to only holding 1% of the current supply. It’s also an auto-deflationary token with supply dropping with every transaction. The plan is for this to increase value over time while decreasing supplySo now we know what ShibaDoge is all about, but what does its future hold? Let’s check out the latest price predictions for SHIBDOGE to find out!ShibaDoge Price PredictionsWalletInvestor starts us off with a one-year price forecast of $0.000001 per token for the crypto.Gov Capital is next with its one-year price prediction of $4.2049323240026E-17 for ShibaDoge.DigitalCoinPrice closes us out with an average price estimate of $0.00 for the crypto in 2023.As you can see, there’s not much coverage SHIBDOGE to rely on. The early nature of the crypto makes it hard to predict what’s in store for it.SHIBDOGE is down 1.5% over the prior 24-hour period as of Tuesday morning.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078248405,"gmtCreate":1657702113707,"gmtModify":1676536048578,"author":{"id":"4105616718464200","authorId":"4105616718464200","name":"Zambala108","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/368971c0b3f93eb547fce5ef750a5442","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105616718464200","idStr":"4105616718464200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","listText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078248405","repostId":"1139848208","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139848208","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657697176,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139848208?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 15:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart｜Which Tech Giant Will Get a Better Q2 Earning Results","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139848208","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, Tesla and Nvi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, Tesla and Nvidia are expected to have a larger increase on revenue, while Meta, Apple and Amazon will experience a larger decline in net profit.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa767733e5ec69101b9f7ec2f2c9a866\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Tesla</b>, which is down 40% for the year, may be facing the worst of the quintet's quarterly reports,given the hit to production it took from Covid lockdowns in Shanghai and the impact of a potential for a massive writedown on its bitcoin holdings.</p><p><b>Microsoft</b>, for it part, hasalready forecast lower-than-expected earnings June quarterthanks in part to headwinds linked to the strength of the U.S. dollar. Shares in the group are down around 21.2% so far this year.</p><p>In an end-May trading updatepublished on its website, Microsoft said it sees current quarter revenues in the region of $51.94 billion to $54.74 billion, with operating income of between $20.6 billion to $21.3 billion. Earnings will likely come in between $2.24 and $2.32 per share, Microsoft said, down from its April estimate of $2.28 to $2.35 per share.</p><p><b>Apple</b>, meanwhile, told investors in April that Covid and supply chain disruptions around what he called the "Shanghai corridor", as well as Russia's war in Ukraine,would clip between $4 billion and $8 billion from June quarter revenues. Apple is down 20.2% so far this year.</p><p><b>Alphabet</b> CFO Ruth Porat was also cautious on the group's second quarter prospects,telling investors in April that the Google parent would face "a tough comp" for search revenues.</p><p>"I would say, in addition, the second quarter results are going to continue to reflect that we suspended the vast majority of our commercial activities in Russia," she added on the group's first quarter conference call. Shares in the group are down 19.5% so far this year.</p><p><b>Amazon</b>, which is down 34% so far this year andrecorded its biggest single-day decline in late April following a surprise first quarter loss, said June quarter operating income would fall between -$1 billion to +$3 billion on revenues in the range of $116 billion to $121 billion, a tally that would be essentially flat to the prior period.</p><p><b>Netflix:</b><b> </b>There are worries that net subscriber losses will be larger than the two million that Netflix has projected, as competition intensifies, and consumers cut budgets. Netflix has been trying to bring costs under control. As part of those efforts, the streaming giant has laid off employees, including 150 in May and another 300 in June.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart｜Which Tech Giant Will Get a Better Q2 Earning Results</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart｜Which Tech Giant Will Get a Better Q2 Earning Results\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-13 15:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, Tesla and Nvidia are expected to have a larger increase on revenue, while Meta, Apple and Amazon will experience a larger decline in net profit.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa767733e5ec69101b9f7ec2f2c9a866\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1700\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Tesla</b>, which is down 40% for the year, may be facing the worst of the quintet's quarterly reports,given the hit to production it took from Covid lockdowns in Shanghai and the impact of a potential for a massive writedown on its bitcoin holdings.</p><p><b>Microsoft</b>, for it part, hasalready forecast lower-than-expected earnings June quarterthanks in part to headwinds linked to the strength of the U.S. dollar. Shares in the group are down around 21.2% so far this year.</p><p>In an end-May trading updatepublished on its website, Microsoft said it sees current quarter revenues in the region of $51.94 billion to $54.74 billion, with operating income of between $20.6 billion to $21.3 billion. Earnings will likely come in between $2.24 and $2.32 per share, Microsoft said, down from its April estimate of $2.28 to $2.35 per share.</p><p><b>Apple</b>, meanwhile, told investors in April that Covid and supply chain disruptions around what he called the "Shanghai corridor", as well as Russia's war in Ukraine,would clip between $4 billion and $8 billion from June quarter revenues. Apple is down 20.2% so far this year.</p><p><b>Alphabet</b> CFO Ruth Porat was also cautious on the group's second quarter prospects,telling investors in April that the Google parent would face "a tough comp" for search revenues.</p><p>"I would say, in addition, the second quarter results are going to continue to reflect that we suspended the vast majority of our commercial activities in Russia," she added on the group's first quarter conference call. Shares in the group are down 19.5% so far this year.</p><p><b>Amazon</b>, which is down 34% so far this year andrecorded its biggest single-day decline in late April following a surprise first quarter loss, said June quarter operating income would fall between -$1 billion to +$3 billion on revenues in the range of $116 billion to $121 billion, a tally that would be essentially flat to the prior period.</p><p><b>Netflix:</b><b> </b>There are worries that net subscriber losses will be larger than the two million that Netflix has projected, as competition intensifies, and consumers cut budgets. Netflix has been trying to bring costs under control. As part of those efforts, the streaming giant has laid off employees, including 150 in May and another 300 in June.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","TSLA":"特斯拉","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139848208","content_text":"Second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, Tesla and Nvidia are expected to have a larger increase on revenue, while Meta, Apple and Amazon will experience a larger decline in net profit.Tesla, which is down 40% for the year, may be facing the worst of the quintet's quarterly reports,given the hit to production it took from Covid lockdowns in Shanghai and the impact of a potential for a massive writedown on its bitcoin holdings.Microsoft, for it part, hasalready forecast lower-than-expected earnings June quarterthanks in part to headwinds linked to the strength of the U.S. dollar. Shares in the group are down around 21.2% so far this year.In an end-May trading updatepublished on its website, Microsoft said it sees current quarter revenues in the region of $51.94 billion to $54.74 billion, with operating income of between $20.6 billion to $21.3 billion. Earnings will likely come in between $2.24 and $2.32 per share, Microsoft said, down from its April estimate of $2.28 to $2.35 per share.Apple, meanwhile, told investors in April that Covid and supply chain disruptions around what he called the \"Shanghai corridor\", as well as Russia's war in Ukraine,would clip between $4 billion and $8 billion from June quarter revenues. Apple is down 20.2% so far this year.Alphabet CFO Ruth Porat was also cautious on the group's second quarter prospects,telling investors in April that the Google parent would face \"a tough comp\" for search revenues.\"I would say, in addition, the second quarter results are going to continue to reflect that we suspended the vast majority of our commercial activities in Russia,\" she added on the group's first quarter conference call. Shares in the group are down 19.5% so far this year.Amazon, which is down 34% so far this year andrecorded its biggest single-day decline in late April following a surprise first quarter loss, said June quarter operating income would fall between -$1 billion to +$3 billion on revenues in the range of $116 billion to $121 billion, a tally that would be essentially flat to the prior period.Netflix: There are worries that net subscriber losses will be larger than the two million that Netflix has projected, as competition intensifies, and consumers cut budgets. Netflix has been trying to bring costs under control. As part of those efforts, the streaming giant has laid off employees, including 150 in May and another 300 in June.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078248835,"gmtCreate":1657702047028,"gmtModify":1676536048564,"author":{"id":"4105616718464200","authorId":"4105616718464200","name":"Zambala108","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/368971c0b3f93eb547fce5ef750a5442","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105616718464200","idStr":"4105616718464200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","listText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078248835","repostId":"1183317786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183317786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657725663,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183317786?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183317786","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple seems sensitive to money supply changes.</li><li>The money supply has moved lower recently.</li><li>Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.</li><li>Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.</li></ul><p><b>An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock Changes</b></p><p>Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but <i>investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares</i>.</p><p><b>Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money Supply</b></p><p>Below, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528936fdee032a8df5df1f1d9346f525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2601df6c94bcf33cf9d8cb513831f02b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85bcf86056d9f31c4696dcff5cb61ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f11921668cd853bfe3dc9a034bd4f0a1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.</p><p>Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3e8ea9499f7bf942e815b8629bc4b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9de35bc7a244e8f28e9c7246ee334e17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a0dcb7a36a761a9ae06fd52c7f67f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.</p><p>The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.</p><p><b>Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High Watermark</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bedb4549bcfeabac38c78e2582fbe3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Discussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.</p><p>Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b79a57b9e23952ddfd1caa062c3d8fe\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>According tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.</p><p>Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.</p><p>My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.</p><p><b>Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started Dropping</b></p><p>An article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,<i>“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”</i>From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8bb00b5e7614aa6767abf974c06357\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>The Money Supply Is Contracting</b></p><p>Since January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.</p><p><b>Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For Apple</b></p><p>Comparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/086832380f269b21a2fd83d8cc9d4139\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Charted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94585746919c5467bda08f0283ff58c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Macro Considerations</b></p><p>Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.</p><p><b>Modeling Growth</b></p><p>Consider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually <i>contracted</i> 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c5fd4e8e04894d00c02d07c82a81d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>And if you look further back, at the <i>five</i> years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b118c3060735a60824a74f03f86a2568\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>If services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.</p><p>It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Companies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 23:21 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183317786","content_text":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock ChangesApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares.Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money SupplyBelow, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.Seeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High WatermarkSeeking AlphaDiscussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.Seeking AlphaAccording tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started DroppingAn article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.Seeking AlphaThe Money Supply Is ContractingSince January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For AppleComparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.Seeking AlphaCharted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?Seeking AlphaMacro ConsiderationsChairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.Modeling GrowthConsider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually contracted 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.Seeking AlphaAnd if you look further back, at the five years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?Seeking AlphaI think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.RisksIf services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.ConclusionCompanies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078248022,"gmtCreate":1657701999366,"gmtModify":1676536048557,"author":{"id":"4105616718464200","authorId":"4105616718464200","name":"Zambala108","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/368971c0b3f93eb547fce5ef750a5442","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4105616718464200","idStr":"4105616718464200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","listText":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker] ","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078248022","repostId":"1148609617","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}