Gold is no longer the safe haven. Inflation is set to remain stuck at higher levels with the destroyed infrastructure in the Middle East that would take years to recover. The hopes of a rate cut is diminishing and this would put a curb on gold prices rising. To me, gold and silver have always been speculative in nature that depends on the supply and demand ratio and have no real growth value of their own. I would prefer to keep away from them. Oil and gas is similar to gold and silver as these are commodities. A lot of the prices depends largely on how the war goes. Since there is no way I can predict that, I do not want to risk being trapped at the currently already high prices in case the war ceases. Based on the current risk ratio, I prefer to wait it out for further price action, and
Whether the S&P500 can safeguard the 6500 support really depends on how the war pans out and the price of oil and gas. No one has any control of this and cannot predict if the war would escalate or de escalate. If the war escalates, fears of recession and inflation and even stagflation would rise and many might just sell and flee to safety. If the war successfully de escalates, I think a rebound will happen. I’m neutral at this point as I would prefer more price action before deciding. Although prices have slipped, it has not reached a compelling buy as it came down from relative highs. The Fed is not in a rush to rescue the market as inflation is expected to rise with the higher oil prices that influence not just energy but also other industries like the fertilisers. I would prefe
I am most heavily positioned between shops and tech giants in the model layer. I see them as the real catalyst for further use cases and innovation and these are the real income sources. Also, there are adequate investors to ensure that the stocks remain with good bid-ask spread and will be liquid enough for both trading and investing. I don’t think the market underestimates energy. It is just unpredictable and the supply and demand can be easily manipulated by the opec countries. It is not easily understood by most investors and so l prefer to stay out of it. With the unpredictability of the war that makes prices of all stocks volatile and unpredictable, I don think the GTC will be the main reason for price moves. I would prefer to hold off any trades and watch for the effect of the w
Iran’s warning is just a fear strategy towards the commoner. Its military means has been crippled largely and I see that as empty threats. Energy stocks might be the current leader due to rising oil and gas prices. However, it is volatile and highly unpredictable. The war could escalate and prices could go up but it could also end quickly or even stabilise just like how the Russia Ukraine war is still ongoing but energy prices have already stabilised before this new war. I won’t rotate out of tech stocks. I see it like what happened during Covid where the longer run tech would still shine and where the growth story really is. I would prefer to buy the dip. I have not added defensive stocks as growth is limited in the longer term. I prefer to invest for growth for the US market. Defen
I think stablecoins will drift further away from cryptocurrencies as after all these years, cryptocurrencies have yet to broken themselves to be an investable asset beyond speculation, unlike stablecoins. Beyond the use cases, investors want to be able to evaluate and invest in it as an asset class that cryptocurrencies have yet to shown. I won’t chase after circle’s surge as the earnings reflect the last quarter where the hype was still strong. I would prefer to take profit and use the next earnings to re-evaluate the fundamentals of the company to determine if it is worth investing for the longer term. BTC has been unfortunately just a speculative tool after the rise over the past few years with the expectation of supply dwindling. I expect a larger decline as many take profit and move t