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chuan3

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- chuan3chuan3
  ·12-03
  Great article, would you like to share it?
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- chuan3chuan3
  ·11-22
  Great article, would you like to share it?
  惊人大反转！美联储三号人物一句话点燃降息概率美股狂飙道指暴涨逾700点
  FX168财经报社讯纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯周五释放新的政策信号，称在12月的政策会议上，他可能支持进一步降息。这一表态迅速推动市场对再次降息的押注大幅升温，美股趁势强势反弹。尽管他对未来政策持开放态度，但威廉姆斯警告称，近期关税上调正暂时阻碍通胀回落至美联储2%的目标。他估算关税对通胀的贡献在 0.5 至 0.75 个百分点之间。美联储将在 12月9日至10日召开今年最后一次政策会议。
  惊人大反转！美联储三号人物一句话点燃降息概率美股狂飙道指暴涨逾700点
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- chuan3chuan3
  ·2024-08-05
  Holy sh....
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- chuan3chuan3
  ·2024-03-12
  Rate hike again this year? 🥲
  US February Core Inflation Data Slightly Hotter Than Expected
  US CPI YoY Actual 3.2% (Forecast 3.1%, Previous 3.1%)
  US February Core Inflation Data Slightly Hotter Than Expected
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- chuan3chuan3
  ·2023-05-04
  No more rate hike in next meeting? Cool
  Fed Increases Rates a Quarter Point and Signals a Potential End to Hikes
  The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved its 10th interest rate increase in just a little over a ye
  Fed Increases Rates a Quarter Point and Signals a Potential End to Hikes
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it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/502754222674016","repostId":"2585404721","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2585404721","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"FX168","home_visible":1,"media_name":"FX168","id":"1059947868","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a80f9d4086d7680bdea6ba04addf782"},"pubTimestamp":1763748327,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2585404721?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-11-22 02:05","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"惊人大反转！美联储三号人物一句话点燃降息概率 美股狂飙道指暴涨逾700点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2585404721","media":"FX168","summary":"FX168财经报社 讯 纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯周五释放新的政策信号，称在12月的政策会议上，他可能支持进一步降息。这一表态迅速推动市场对再次降息的押注大幅升温，美股趁势强势反弹。尽管他对未来政策持开放态度，但威廉姆斯警告称，近期关税上调正暂时阻碍通胀回落至美联储2%的目标。他估算关税对通胀的贡献在 0.5 至 0.75 个百分点之间。美联储将在 12月9日至10日召开今年最后一次政策会议。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>FX168财经报社(北美)讯 纽约联储主席约翰·<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>（John Williams）周五（11月21日）释放新的政策信号，称在12月的政策会议上，他可能支持进一步降息。这一表态迅速推动市场对再次降息的押注大幅升温，美股趁势强势反弹。</p>\n<p>威廉姆斯在智利圣地亚哥发表讲话时表示，他认为当前货币政策仍处于“温和紧缩”状态，“但较此前有所缓和”。他补充称：“因此，<strong>我认为近期仍有空间进一步调整联邦基金利率目标区间，使政策立场更接近中性，从而维持实现双重目标之间的平衡。</strong>”</p>\n<p><span><span><span><strong>投资者迅速将此解读为美联储最高层传递出的明确信号：12月的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上，再度降息的可能性正在上升。</strong></span></span></span></p>\n<p>尽管他对未来政策持开放态度，但威廉姆斯警告称，近期关税上调正暂时阻碍通胀回落至美联储2%的目标。他估算关税对通胀的贡献在 0.5 至 0.75 个百分点之间。不过，他仍预计明年通胀将重新回落。</p>\n<p><strong>由于威廉姆斯是FOMC副主席，同时也是与美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和副主席菲利普·杰斐逊（Philip Jefferson）组成的非正式“领导三人组（troika）”之一，他的言论被市场视为政策风向的重要提示。</strong></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVR\">Evercore</a> ISI全球政策主管Krishna Guha在给客户的报告中指出，虽然“近期”这一表述存在一定模糊空间，但“最直接的解读，就是指向下一次会议”。他补充称，尽管这可能是威廉姆斯的个人观点，但在利率等核心政策问题上，纽约联储主席与副主席的公开表态“几乎总是经过主席批准”，“如果未经鲍威尔点头就释放这样的信号，将属于严重的职业失当”。</p>\n<p>威廉姆斯此时关于利率的发声尤其敏感。一直以“共识驱动”著称、却常被批评缺乏思维多样性的FOMC，如今内部出现了明显分歧。</p>\n<p>一派官员认为当前政策仍对经济增长形成抑制，仍需调整；另一派则担忧通胀，坚持在经济增速稳健、且9月与10月已连续降息的背景下，没有必要进一步宽松。</p>\n<p>虽然威廉姆斯没有深入展开长期利率路径，但至少在短期内，<strong>美联储高层似乎倾向于支持再次降息</strong>。</p>\n<p>在这种背景下，威廉姆斯的鸽派立场格外引人关注。过去几周，市场已因人工智能板块是否泡沫化的争论、地缘政治风险上升及美联储政策不确定性而出现明显震荡。</p>\n<h3><strong>市场迅速反应：降息概率飙升至 70% 以上</strong></h3>\n<p>同日，<strong>美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰（Stephen Miran）也发表讲话表示，如果他是决定性的关键一票，他倾向于支持 25 个基点 的降息，而非此前多次呼吁的 50 个基点。</strong>米兰在加入董事会的短暂任期内一直态度更为激进，坚持“超大幅降息”，与部分希望维持利率不变的同僚观点产生明显分歧。</p>\n<p><strong>受威廉姆斯和米兰讲话影响，市场预计美联储12月再度降息的概率从周四的 30%-40% 暴涨至 70% 以上。<span><span><span>根据CME FedWatch工具，交易员目前认为12月降息的概率达 73%。</span></span></span></strong></p>\n<p><strong>在威廉姆斯暗示美联储今年可能再次降息后，美国股市周五强劲反弹。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨709点，涨幅1.6%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数上涨1.3%；纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.1%。</strong></p>\n<div>\n<img src=\"https://static.fx168api.com/img/user/e7480e51ba115b2a34770fa4628fbdfa/outside1763747862214\"/>\n</div>\n<p>(道指1小时走势图，来源：FX168)</p>\n<p>“我们认为确实应该降息，”Infrastructure Capital Advisors创始人兼CEO Jay Hatfield在接受CNBC采访时表示，“关键取决于下一份就业报告。如果数据明显疲弱，才会真正说服市场支持降息。”</p>\n<p>此前一个交易日，华尔街经历剧烈反转。道指在周四一度因<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>强劲的三季度财报大涨700点以上，但随后涨势快速回吐，三大指数收盘均大幅下挫，市场担忧美联储可能在12月按兵不动。</p>\n<p>即便周五反弹，三大股指本周仍将录得显著跌幅。标普500指数、道指本周均下跌约2%，纳斯达克则累计下跌约3%。</p>\n<p>谈及近期市场压力，Hatfield表示，这更像是“常见的财报季后估值回调”，并指出市场中“泡沫部分正遭遇惨烈杀跌”。</p>\n<p><strong>加密货币也受到显著冲击，比特币周五下跌约2%，周内跌幅扩大至逾10%，跌至自4月以来最低水平，反映市场风险偏好明显降温。</strong></p>\n<div>\n<img src=\"https://static.fx168api.com/img/user/e7480e51ba115b2a34770fa4628fbdfa/outside1763747902621\"/>\n</div>\n<p>(道指1小时走势图，来源：FX168)</p>\n<p>“唯一的问题是，市场会在什么位置触底？”Hatfield表示。</p>\n<p>业内人士普遍认为，威廉姆斯的发声“及时阻止了可能出现的又一轮抛售”。在科技股外大部分板块走强的带动下，市场风险情绪明显改善。</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI的Guha指出：“在威廉姆斯讲话前，已有数位联储官员对12月降息表达保留意见，但他们都刻意避免做出明确否定。或许他们意识到，这场关于12月降息的拉锯，正演变为对美联储治理能力的考验，因此需要为鲍威尔留出决策空间。”</p>\n<h3><strong>强劲就业数据令政策路径更扑朔迷离</strong></h3>\n<p>这些评论发布之际，市场仍在消化因政府停摆导致推迟发布的9月就业报告。数据显示，9月新增就业 <strong>11.9 万人</strong>，远高于经济学家预期的 <strong>5.1 万人</strong>，扭转了8月向下修正后的疲弱表现。</p>\n<p>近期就业数据波动加剧：6月就业为负，7月回升，8月再度下滑，9月又明显反弹。同时，失业率从4.3%上升至 <strong>4.4%</strong>。部分分析认为，这是更多劳动者重返就业市场所致。</p>\n<p>米兰认为，这份就业报告应推动犹豫不决的官员倾向支持降息。他指出，失业率小幅上升及永久性裁员增加，均显示紧缩政策已对劳动力市场造成压力，而在通胀前景改善之际，“没有必要继续保持如此紧的政策立场”。</p>\n<h3><strong>意见分化：部分地区联储主席更倾向按兵不动</strong></h3>\n<p>尽管威廉姆斯释放鸽派信号，但并非所有官员都同意再度降息。</p>\n<p><strong>波士顿联储主席苏珊·柯林斯（Susan Collins）</strong>——12月具投票权——表示<strong>她“更倾向于维持政策不变”</strong>。她指出：经济需求仍具韧性，可能推动企业把关税成本转嫁给消费者；她从调研对象中听到越来越多对通胀的担忧；美联储当前需要维持“<strong>略微紧缩</strong>”的政策立场。</p>\n<p>她对 CNBC 表示：“保持略微紧缩的政策有助于确保通胀持续下降。未来当然会进一步正常化，但必须谨慎、循序渐进。”</p>\n<p><strong>达拉斯联储主席洛里·洛根（Lorie Logan）重申，在已实施两次降息的背景下，除非出现显著的通胀下降或就业市场恶化，否则她难以支持12月再次降息。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>费城联储主席安娜·保尔森（Anna Paulson）也首次公开表达态度，称她正以“谨慎”的方式看待12月会议。</strong>她认为秋季的两次降息是“合适的”，但“每一次降息都抬高了下一次降息的门槛”。</p>\n<p>与此同时，<strong>“三人组”成员之一、副主席杰斐逊（Jefferson）近日表示，与通胀上行相比，就业下行风险正在增加，他对降息持开放态度，但强调政策应“缓慢推进”。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>美联储将在 12月9日至10日召开今年最后一次政策会议。</strong>随着内部意见分歧加剧、就业数据反复、通胀受关税扰动、市场波动升温，美联储在通胀与增长之间的平衡将变得更加微妙。12月是否会迎来今年第三次降息，将成为全球市场关注的焦点。</p>\n</div></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>惊人大反转！美联储三号人物一句话点燃降息概率 美股狂飙道指暴涨逾700点</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n惊人大反转！美联储三号人物一句话点燃降息概率 美股狂飙道指暴涨逾700点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1059947868\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a80f9d4086d7680bdea6ba04addf782);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">FX168 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-11-22 02:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><div>\n<p>FX168财经报社(北美)讯 纽约联储主席约翰·<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>（John Williams）周五（11月21日）释放新的政策信号，称在12月的政策会议上，他可能支持进一步降息。这一表态迅速推动市场对再次降息的押注大幅升温，美股趁势强势反弹。</p>\n<p>威廉姆斯在智利圣地亚哥发表讲话时表示，他认为当前货币政策仍处于“温和紧缩”状态，“但较此前有所缓和”。他补充称：“因此，<strong>我认为近期仍有空间进一步调整联邦基金利率目标区间，使政策立场更接近中性，从而维持实现双重目标之间的平衡。</strong>”</p>\n<p><span><span><span><strong>投资者迅速将此解读为美联储最高层传递出的明确信号：12月的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上，再度降息的可能性正在上升。</strong></span></span></span></p>\n<p>尽管他对未来政策持开放态度，但威廉姆斯警告称，近期关税上调正暂时阻碍通胀回落至美联储2%的目标。他估算关税对通胀的贡献在 0.5 至 0.75 个百分点之间。不过，他仍预计明年通胀将重新回落。</p>\n<p><strong>由于威廉姆斯是FOMC副主席，同时也是与美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和副主席菲利普·杰斐逊（Philip Jefferson）组成的非正式“领导三人组（troika）”之一，他的言论被市场视为政策风向的重要提示。</strong></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVR\">Evercore</a> ISI全球政策主管Krishna Guha在给客户的报告中指出，虽然“近期”这一表述存在一定模糊空间，但“最直接的解读，就是指向下一次会议”。他补充称，尽管这可能是威廉姆斯的个人观点，但在利率等核心政策问题上，纽约联储主席与副主席的公开表态“几乎总是经过主席批准”，“如果未经鲍威尔点头就释放这样的信号，将属于严重的职业失当”。</p>\n<p>威廉姆斯此时关于利率的发声尤其敏感。一直以“共识驱动”著称、却常被批评缺乏思维多样性的FOMC，如今内部出现了明显分歧。</p>\n<p>一派官员认为当前政策仍对经济增长形成抑制，仍需调整；另一派则担忧通胀，坚持在经济增速稳健、且9月与10月已连续降息的背景下，没有必要进一步宽松。</p>\n<p>虽然威廉姆斯没有深入展开长期利率路径，但至少在短期内，<strong>美联储高层似乎倾向于支持再次降息</strong>。</p>\n<p>在这种背景下，威廉姆斯的鸽派立场格外引人关注。过去几周，市场已因人工智能板块是否泡沫化的争论、地缘政治风险上升及美联储政策不确定性而出现明显震荡。</p>\n<h3><strong>市场迅速反应：降息概率飙升至 70% 以上</strong></h3>\n<p>同日，<strong>美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰（Stephen Miran）也发表讲话表示，如果他是决定性的关键一票，他倾向于支持 25 个基点 的降息，而非此前多次呼吁的 50 个基点。</strong>米兰在加入董事会的短暂任期内一直态度更为激进，坚持“超大幅降息”，与部分希望维持利率不变的同僚观点产生明显分歧。</p>\n<p><strong>受威廉姆斯和米兰讲话影响，市场预计美联储12月再度降息的概率从周四的 30%-40% 暴涨至 70% 以上。<span><span><span>根据CME FedWatch工具，交易员目前认为12月降息的概率达 73%。</span></span></span></strong></p>\n<p><strong>在威廉姆斯暗示美联储今年可能再次降息后，美国股市周五强劲反弹。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨709点，涨幅1.6%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数上涨1.3%；纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.1%。</strong></p>\n<div>\n<img src=\"https://static.fx168api.com/img/user/e7480e51ba115b2a34770fa4628fbdfa/outside1763747862214\"/>\n</div>\n<p>(道指1小时走势图，来源：FX168)</p>\n<p>“我们认为确实应该降息，”Infrastructure Capital Advisors创始人兼CEO Jay Hatfield在接受CNBC采访时表示，“关键取决于下一份就业报告。如果数据明显疲弱，才会真正说服市场支持降息。”</p>\n<p>此前一个交易日，华尔街经历剧烈反转。道指在周四一度因<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>强劲的三季度财报大涨700点以上，但随后涨势快速回吐，三大指数收盘均大幅下挫，市场担忧美联储可能在12月按兵不动。</p>\n<p>即便周五反弹，三大股指本周仍将录得显著跌幅。标普500指数、道指本周均下跌约2%，纳斯达克则累计下跌约3%。</p>\n<p>谈及近期市场压力，Hatfield表示，这更像是“常见的财报季后估值回调”，并指出市场中“泡沫部分正遭遇惨烈杀跌”。</p>\n<p><strong>加密货币也受到显著冲击，比特币周五下跌约2%，周内跌幅扩大至逾10%，跌至自4月以来最低水平，反映市场风险偏好明显降温。</strong></p>\n<div>\n<img src=\"https://static.fx168api.com/img/user/e7480e51ba115b2a34770fa4628fbdfa/outside1763747902621\"/>\n</div>\n<p>(道指1小时走势图，来源：FX168)</p>\n<p>“唯一的问题是，市场会在什么位置触底？”Hatfield表示。</p>\n<p>业内人士普遍认为，威廉姆斯的发声“及时阻止了可能出现的又一轮抛售”。在科技股外大部分板块走强的带动下，市场风险情绪明显改善。</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI的Guha指出：“在威廉姆斯讲话前，已有数位联储官员对12月降息表达保留意见，但他们都刻意避免做出明确否定。或许他们意识到，这场关于12月降息的拉锯，正演变为对美联储治理能力的考验，因此需要为鲍威尔留出决策空间。”</p>\n<h3><strong>强劲就业数据令政策路径更扑朔迷离</strong></h3>\n<p>这些评论发布之际，市场仍在消化因政府停摆导致推迟发布的9月就业报告。数据显示，9月新增就业 <strong>11.9 万人</strong>，远高于经济学家预期的 <strong>5.1 万人</strong>，扭转了8月向下修正后的疲弱表现。</p>\n<p>近期就业数据波动加剧：6月就业为负，7月回升，8月再度下滑，9月又明显反弹。同时，失业率从4.3%上升至 <strong>4.4%</strong>。部分分析认为，这是更多劳动者重返就业市场所致。</p>\n<p>米兰认为，这份就业报告应推动犹豫不决的官员倾向支持降息。他指出，失业率小幅上升及永久性裁员增加，均显示紧缩政策已对劳动力市场造成压力，而在通胀前景改善之际，“没有必要继续保持如此紧的政策立场”。</p>\n<h3><strong>意见分化：部分地区联储主席更倾向按兵不动</strong></h3>\n<p>尽管威廉姆斯释放鸽派信号，但并非所有官员都同意再度降息。</p>\n<p><strong>波士顿联储主席苏珊·柯林斯（Susan Collins）</strong>——12月具投票权——表示<strong>她“更倾向于维持政策不变”</strong>。她指出：经济需求仍具韧性，可能推动企业把关税成本转嫁给消费者；她从调研对象中听到越来越多对通胀的担忧；美联储当前需要维持“<strong>略微紧缩</strong>”的政策立场。</p>\n<p>她对 CNBC 表示：“保持略微紧缩的政策有助于确保通胀持续下降。未来当然会进一步正常化，但必须谨慎、循序渐进。”</p>\n<p><strong>达拉斯联储主席洛里·洛根（Lorie Logan）重申，在已实施两次降息的背景下，除非出现显著的通胀下降或就业市场恶化，否则她难以支持12月再次降息。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>费城联储主席安娜·保尔森（Anna Paulson）也首次公开表达态度，称她正以“谨慎”的方式看待12月会议。</strong>她认为秋季的两次降息是“合适的”，但“每一次降息都抬高了下一次降息的门槛”。</p>\n<p>与此同时，<strong>“三人组”成员之一、副主席杰斐逊（Jefferson）近日表示，与通胀上行相比，就业下行风险正在增加，他对降息持开放态度，但强调政策应“缓慢推进”。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>美联储将在 12月9日至10日召开今年最后一次政策会议。</strong>随着内部意见分歧加剧、就业数据反复、通胀受关税扰动、市场波动升温，美联储在通胀与增长之间的平衡将变得更加微妙。12月是否会迎来今年第三次降息，将成为全球市场关注的焦点。</p>\n</div></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.fx168news.com/article/美联储降息-968388","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2585404721","content_text":"FX168财经报社(北美)讯 纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯（John Williams）周五（11月21日）释放新的政策信号，称在12月的政策会议上，他可能支持进一步降息。这一表态迅速推动市场对再次降息的押注大幅升温，美股趁势强势反弹。\n威廉姆斯在智利圣地亚哥发表讲话时表示，他认为当前货币政策仍处于“温和紧缩”状态，“但较此前有所缓和”。他补充称：“因此，我认为近期仍有空间进一步调整联邦基金利率目标区间，使政策立场更接近中性，从而维持实现双重目标之间的平衡。”\n投资者迅速将此解读为美联储最高层传递出的明确信号：12月的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上，再度降息的可能性正在上升。\n尽管他对未来政策持开放态度，但威廉姆斯警告称，近期关税上调正暂时阻碍通胀回落至美联储2%的目标。他估算关税对通胀的贡献在 0.5 至 0.75 个百分点之间。不过，他仍预计明年通胀将重新回落。\n由于威廉姆斯是FOMC副主席，同时也是与美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和副主席菲利普·杰斐逊（Philip Jefferson）组成的非正式“领导三人组（troika）”之一，他的言论被市场视为政策风向的重要提示。\nEvercore ISI全球政策主管Krishna Guha在给客户的报告中指出，虽然“近期”这一表述存在一定模糊空间，但“最直接的解读，就是指向下一次会议”。他补充称，尽管这可能是威廉姆斯的个人观点，但在利率等核心政策问题上，纽约联储主席与副主席的公开表态“几乎总是经过主席批准”，“如果未经鲍威尔点头就释放这样的信号，将属于严重的职业失当”。\n威廉姆斯此时关于利率的发声尤其敏感。一直以“共识驱动”著称、却常被批评缺乏思维多样性的FOMC，如今内部出现了明显分歧。\n一派官员认为当前政策仍对经济增长形成抑制，仍需调整；另一派则担忧通胀，坚持在经济增速稳健、且9月与10月已连续降息的背景下，没有必要进一步宽松。\n虽然威廉姆斯没有深入展开长期利率路径，但至少在短期内，美联储高层似乎倾向于支持再次降息。\n在这种背景下，威廉姆斯的鸽派立场格外引人关注。过去几周，市场已因人工智能板块是否泡沫化的争论、地缘政治风险上升及美联储政策不确定性而出现明显震荡。\n市场迅速反应：降息概率飙升至 70% 以上\n同日，美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰（Stephen Miran）也发表讲话表示，如果他是决定性的关键一票，他倾向于支持 25 个基点 的降息，而非此前多次呼吁的 50 个基点。米兰在加入董事会的短暂任期内一直态度更为激进，坚持“超大幅降息”，与部分希望维持利率不变的同僚观点产生明显分歧。\n受威廉姆斯和米兰讲话影响，市场预计美联储12月再度降息的概率从周四的 30%-40% 暴涨至 70% 以上。根据CME FedWatch工具，交易员目前认为12月降息的概率达 73%。\n在威廉姆斯暗示美联储今年可能再次降息后，美国股市周五强劲反弹。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨709点，涨幅1.6%；标普500指数上涨1.3%；纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.1%。\n\n\n\n(道指1小时走势图，来源：FX168)\n“我们认为确实应该降息，”Infrastructure Capital Advisors创始人兼CEO Jay Hatfield在接受CNBC采访时表示，“关键取决于下一份就业报告。如果数据明显疲弱，才会真正说服市场支持降息。”\n此前一个交易日，华尔街经历剧烈反转。道指在周四一度因英伟达强劲的三季度财报大涨700点以上，但随后涨势快速回吐，三大指数收盘均大幅下挫，市场担忧美联储可能在12月按兵不动。\n即便周五反弹，三大股指本周仍将录得显著跌幅。标普500指数、道指本周均下跌约2%，纳斯达克则累计下跌约3%。\n谈及近期市场压力，Hatfield表示，这更像是“常见的财报季后估值回调”，并指出市场中“泡沫部分正遭遇惨烈杀跌”。\n加密货币也受到显著冲击，比特币周五下跌约2%，周内跌幅扩大至逾10%，跌至自4月以来最低水平，反映市场风险偏好明显降温。\n\n\n\n(道指1小时走势图，来源：FX168)\n“唯一的问题是，市场会在什么位置触底？”Hatfield表示。\n业内人士普遍认为，威廉姆斯的发声“及时阻止了可能出现的又一轮抛售”。在科技股外大部分板块走强的带动下，市场风险情绪明显改善。\nEvercore ISI的Guha指出：“在威廉姆斯讲话前，已有数位联储官员对12月降息表达保留意见，但他们都刻意避免做出明确否定。或许他们意识到，这场关于12月降息的拉锯，正演变为对美联储治理能力的考验，因此需要为鲍威尔留出决策空间。”\n强劲就业数据令政策路径更扑朔迷离\n这些评论发布之际，市场仍在消化因政府停摆导致推迟发布的9月就业报告。数据显示，9月新增就业 11.9 万人，远高于经济学家预期的 5.1 万人，扭转了8月向下修正后的疲弱表现。\n近期就业数据波动加剧：6月就业为负，7月回升，8月再度下滑，9月又明显反弹。同时，失业率从4.3%上升至 4.4%。部分分析认为，这是更多劳动者重返就业市场所致。\n米兰认为，这份就业报告应推动犹豫不决的官员倾向支持降息。他指出，失业率小幅上升及永久性裁员增加，均显示紧缩政策已对劳动力市场造成压力，而在通胀前景改善之际，“没有必要继续保持如此紧的政策立场”。\n意见分化：部分地区联储主席更倾向按兵不动\n尽管威廉姆斯释放鸽派信号，但并非所有官员都同意再度降息。\n波士顿联储主席苏珊·柯林斯（Susan Collins）——12月具投票权——表示她“更倾向于维持政策不变”。她指出：经济需求仍具韧性，可能推动企业把关税成本转嫁给消费者；她从调研对象中听到越来越多对通胀的担忧；美联储当前需要维持“略微紧缩”的政策立场。\n她对 CNBC 表示：“保持略微紧缩的政策有助于确保通胀持续下降。未来当然会进一步正常化，但必须谨慎、循序渐进。”\n达拉斯联储主席洛里·洛根（Lorie Logan）重申，在已实施两次降息的背景下，除非出现显著的通胀下降或就业市场恶化，否则她难以支持12月再次降息。\n费城联储主席安娜·保尔森（Anna Paulson）也首次公开表达态度，称她正以“谨慎”的方式看待12月会议。她认为秋季的两次降息是“合适的”，但“每一次降息都抬高了下一次降息的门槛”。\n与此同时，“三人组”成员之一、副主席杰斐逊（Jefferson）近日表示，与通胀上行相比，就业下行风险正在增加，他对降息持开放态度，但强调政策应“缓慢推进”。\n美联储将在 12月9日至10日召开今年最后一次政策会议。随着内部意见分歧加剧、就业数据反复、通胀受关税扰动、市场波动升温，美联储在通胀与增长之间的平衡将变得更加微妙。12月是否会迎来今年第三次降息，将成为全球市场关注的焦点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UDOW":0.6,"SPY":1.5,"DOG":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"DXD":0.6,".DJI":1.5,"OEX":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"YMmain":1.5,"UPRO":0.6,"MYMmain":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SH":0.6,"MESmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":335186904461408,"gmtCreate":1722839287998,"gmtModify":1722839807373,"author":{"id":"3581588317757356","authorId":"3581588317757356","name":"chuan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581588317757356","authorIdStr":"3581588317757356"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Holy sh....","listText":"Holy sh....","text":"Holy sh....","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d321cc52e6a6c1f86a4b2e41bc626c16","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/335186904461408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":283480019734728,"gmtCreate":1710247860136,"gmtModify":1710251528839,"author":{"id":"3581588317757356","authorId":"3581588317757356","name":"chuan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581588317757356","authorIdStr":"3581588317757356"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rate hike again this year? 🥲","listText":"Rate hike again this year? 🥲","text":"Rate hike again this year? 🥲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/283480019734728","repostId":"1168053302","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168053302","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1710246644,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168053302?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-03-12 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US February Core Inflation Data Slightly Hotter Than Expected","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168053302","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"US CPI YoY Actual 3.2% (Forecast 3.1%, Previous 3.1%)","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Inflation rose again in February, keeping the Federal Reserve on course to wait at least until the summer before starting to lower interest rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.4% for the month and 3.2% from a year ago, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The monthly gain was in line with expectations, but the annual rate was slightly ahead of the 3.1% forecast from the Dow Jones consensus.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core CPI increased 0.4% on the month and was up 3.8% on the year. Both were one-tenth of a percentage point higher than forecast.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5889035925b31691d094d1900524c4b4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"105\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While the 12-month pace is off the inflation peak in mid-2022, it remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal as the central bank approaches its two-day policy meeting in a week.</p><p>A 2.3% increase in energy costs helped boost the headline inflation number. Food costs were flat on the month, while shelter rose another 0.4%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The BLS reported that the increases in energy and shelter amounted to more than 60% of the total gain.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets showed little initial reaction after the news broke, with futures tied to major stock averages as well as Treasury yields slightly higher.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US February Core Inflation Data Slightly Hotter Than Expected</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS February Core Inflation Data Slightly Hotter Than Expected\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-03-12 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Inflation rose again in February, keeping the Federal Reserve on course to wait at least until the summer before starting to lower interest rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.4% for the month and 3.2% from a year ago, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The monthly gain was in line with expectations, but the annual rate was slightly ahead of the 3.1% forecast from the Dow Jones consensus.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core CPI increased 0.4% on the month and was up 3.8% on the year. Both were one-tenth of a percentage point higher than forecast.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5889035925b31691d094d1900524c4b4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"105\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While the 12-month pace is off the inflation peak in mid-2022, it remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal as the central bank approaches its two-day policy meeting in a week.</p><p>A 2.3% increase in energy costs helped boost the headline inflation number. Food costs were flat on the month, while shelter rose another 0.4%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The BLS reported that the increases in energy and shelter amounted to more than 60% of the total gain.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets showed little initial reaction after the news broke, with futures tied to major stock averages as well as Treasury yields slightly higher.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168053302","content_text":"Inflation rose again in February, keeping the Federal Reserve on course to wait at least until the summer before starting to lower interest rates.The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.4% for the month and 3.2% from a year ago, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The monthly gain was in line with expectations, but the annual rate was slightly ahead of the 3.1% forecast from the Dow Jones consensus.Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core CPI increased 0.4% on the month and was up 3.8% on the year. Both were one-tenth of a percentage point higher than forecast.While the 12-month pace is off the inflation peak in mid-2022, it remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal as the central bank approaches its two-day policy meeting in a week.A 2.3% increase in energy costs helped boost the headline inflation number. Food costs were flat on the month, while shelter rose another 0.4%.The BLS reported that the increases in energy and shelter amounted to more than 60% of the total gain.Markets showed little initial reaction after the news broke, with futures tied to major stock averages as well as Treasury yields slightly higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":1.1,"NQmain":1.1,"YMmain":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947208000,"gmtCreate":1683143491801,"gmtModify":1683165725953,"author":{"id":"3581588317757356","authorId":"3581588317757356","name":"chuan3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581588317757356","authorIdStr":"3581588317757356"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No more rate hike in next meeting? Cool","listText":"No more rate hike in next meeting? Cool","text":"No more rate hike in next meeting? Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947208000","repostId":"1185631860","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1185631860","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1683136852,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185631860?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-04 02:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Increases Rates a Quarter Point and Signals a Potential End to Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185631860","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved its 10th interest rate increase in just a little over a ye","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved its 10th interest rate increase in just a little over a year and dropped a tentative hint that the current tightening cycle is at an end.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a unanimous decision widely expected by markets, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee raised its benchmark borrowing rate by 0.25 percentage point. The rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but feeds through to many consumer debt products such as mortgages, auto loans and credit cards.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The increase takes the fed funds rate to a target range of 5%-5.25%, the highest since August 2007.<br/>Markets, though, are more focused on where the Fed will be going from here, particularly amid concerns over economic growth and a lingering bank crisis that has rattled nerves on Wall Street.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The post-meeting statement offered only some clarity, and not by what it said but what it didn’t say.<br/>The document omitted a sentence present in the previous statement saying that “the Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate” for the Fed to achieve its 2% inflation goal.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Also, the statement tweaked language to outline the conditions under which “additional policy firming may be appropriate.” Previously, the FOMC had framed the forward guidance around how it would determine “the extent of future increases in the target range.“<br/>The statement reiterated that the Fed “will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Taken together, the moves are at least a tenuous nod that while tight policy could remain in effect, the path ahead is less clear for actual interest rate hikes as policymakers assess incoming data and financial conditions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Wednesday’s decision comes amid U.S. economic fragility and over the objections of prominent Democratic lawmakers, who urged the Fed this week to stop rate hikes that they insisted could cause a recession and excessive loss of jobs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, the labor market has remained strong since the increases started in March 2022. At the same time, inflation is still well above the 2% target that policymakers consider optimum. Multiple officials have said rates probably will need to stay elevated even if the increases are put on hold.<br/>Along with inflation, the Fed has had to deal with tumult in the banking industry that has seen three mid-size banks shuttered.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Though central bank officials insist the industry as a whole is stable, an expected tightening in credit conditions and heightened regulations ahead are expected to weigh further on economic growth that was just 1.1% annualized in the first quarter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The post-meeting statement noted that “tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation.” The language was similar to the March statement, which came just after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.<br/>The Fed’s own economists at the March FOMC meeting warned that a shallow recession is likely due to the banking issues.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The statement from this week’s meeting reiterated that economic growth has been “modest” while “job gains have been robust” and inflation is “elevated.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While higher rates have compounded the banking problems, Fed officials insist they are focused squarely on inflation. Recent data points have indicated a softening in price increases, though “sticky” items such as housing costs and medical care have remained higher, while prices that tend to change a lot, such as food and energy, actually have decelerated, according to Atlanta Fed calculations.<br/>Markets are anticipating that slower growth and the possibility of recession will force the Fed to cut rates later this year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Manufacturing has been in contraction for the past six months, according to an Institute for Supply Management gauge. However, the services sector, which entails a broader slice of the $26.5 trillion U.S. economy and has been pointing to expansion.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The labor market also has remained resilient. Payroll processing firm ADP reported Wednesday that hiring by private sector companies increased by 296,000 in April, well ahead of economists’ expectation. That served as a potential signal that for all the Fed’s efforts to cool the jobs picture and correct a supply-demand imbalance, issues remain.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Increases Rates a Quarter Point and Signals a Potential End to Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Increases Rates a Quarter Point and Signals a Potential End to Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-05-04 02:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved its 10th interest rate increase in just a little over a year and dropped a tentative hint that the current tightening cycle is at an end.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a unanimous decision widely expected by markets, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee raised its benchmark borrowing rate by 0.25 percentage point. The rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but feeds through to many consumer debt products such as mortgages, auto loans and credit cards.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The increase takes the fed funds rate to a target range of 5%-5.25%, the highest since August 2007.<br/>Markets, though, are more focused on where the Fed will be going from here, particularly amid concerns over economic growth and a lingering bank crisis that has rattled nerves on Wall Street.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The post-meeting statement offered only some clarity, and not by what it said but what it didn’t say.<br/>The document omitted a sentence present in the previous statement saying that “the Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate” for the Fed to achieve its 2% inflation goal.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Also, the statement tweaked language to outline the conditions under which “additional policy firming may be appropriate.” Previously, the FOMC had framed the forward guidance around how it would determine “the extent of future increases in the target range.“<br/>The statement reiterated that the Fed “will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Taken together, the moves are at least a tenuous nod that while tight policy could remain in effect, the path ahead is less clear for actual interest rate hikes as policymakers assess incoming data and financial conditions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Wednesday’s decision comes amid U.S. economic fragility and over the objections of prominent Democratic lawmakers, who urged the Fed this week to stop rate hikes that they insisted could cause a recession and excessive loss of jobs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">However, the labor market has remained strong since the increases started in March 2022. At the same time, inflation is still well above the 2% target that policymakers consider optimum. Multiple officials have said rates probably will need to stay elevated even if the increases are put on hold.<br/>Along with inflation, the Fed has had to deal with tumult in the banking industry that has seen three mid-size banks shuttered.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Though central bank officials insist the industry as a whole is stable, an expected tightening in credit conditions and heightened regulations ahead are expected to weigh further on economic growth that was just 1.1% annualized in the first quarter.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The post-meeting statement noted that “tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation.” The language was similar to the March statement, which came just after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.<br/>The Fed’s own economists at the March FOMC meeting warned that a shallow recession is likely due to the banking issues.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The statement from this week’s meeting reiterated that economic growth has been “modest” while “job gains have been robust” and inflation is “elevated.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While higher rates have compounded the banking problems, Fed officials insist they are focused squarely on inflation. Recent data points have indicated a softening in price increases, though “sticky” items such as housing costs and medical care have remained higher, while prices that tend to change a lot, such as food and energy, actually have decelerated, according to Atlanta Fed calculations.<br/>Markets are anticipating that slower growth and the possibility of recession will force the Fed to cut rates later this year.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Manufacturing has been in contraction for the past six months, according to an Institute for Supply Management gauge. However, the services sector, which entails a broader slice of the $26.5 trillion U.S. economy and has been pointing to expansion.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The labor market also has remained resilient. Payroll processing firm ADP reported Wednesday that hiring by private sector companies increased by 296,000 in April, well ahead of economists’ expectation. That served as a potential signal that for all the Fed’s efforts to cool the jobs picture and correct a supply-demand imbalance, issues remain.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185631860","content_text":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved its 10th interest rate increase in just a little over a year and dropped a tentative hint that the current tightening cycle is at an end.In a unanimous decision widely expected by markets, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee raised its benchmark borrowing rate by 0.25 percentage point. The rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but feeds through to many consumer debt products such as mortgages, auto loans and credit cards.The increase takes the fed funds rate to a target range of 5%-5.25%, the highest since August 2007.Markets, though, are more focused on where the Fed will be going from here, particularly amid concerns over economic growth and a lingering bank crisis that has rattled nerves on Wall Street.The post-meeting statement offered only some clarity, and not by what it said but what it didn’t say.The document omitted a sentence present in the previous statement saying that “the Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate” for the Fed to achieve its 2% inflation goal.Also, the statement tweaked language to outline the conditions under which “additional policy firming may be appropriate.” Previously, the FOMC had framed the forward guidance around how it would determine “the extent of future increases in the target range.“The statement reiterated that the Fed “will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments.”Taken together, the moves are at least a tenuous nod that while tight policy could remain in effect, the path ahead is less clear for actual interest rate hikes as policymakers assess incoming data and financial conditions.Wednesday’s decision comes amid U.S. economic fragility and over the objections of prominent Democratic lawmakers, who urged the Fed this week to stop rate hikes that they insisted could cause a recession and excessive loss of jobs.However, the labor market has remained strong since the increases started in March 2022. At the same time, inflation is still well above the 2% target that policymakers consider optimum. Multiple officials have said rates probably will need to stay elevated even if the increases are put on hold.Along with inflation, the Fed has had to deal with tumult in the banking industry that has seen three mid-size banks shuttered.Though central bank officials insist the industry as a whole is stable, an expected tightening in credit conditions and heightened regulations ahead are expected to weigh further on economic growth that was just 1.1% annualized in the first quarter.The post-meeting statement noted that “tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation.” The language was similar to the March statement, which came just after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.The Fed’s own economists at the March FOMC meeting warned that a shallow recession is likely due to the banking issues.The statement from this week’s meeting reiterated that economic growth has been “modest” while “job gains have been robust” and inflation is “elevated.”While higher rates have compounded the banking problems, Fed officials insist they are focused squarely on inflation. Recent data points have indicated a softening in price increases, though “sticky” items such as housing costs and medical care have remained higher, while prices that tend to change a lot, such as food and energy, actually have decelerated, according to Atlanta Fed calculations.Markets are anticipating that slower growth and the possibility of recession will force the Fed to cut rates later this year.Manufacturing has been in contraction for the past six months, according to an Institute for Supply Management gauge. However, the services sector, which entails a broader slice of the $26.5 trillion U.S. economy and has been pointing to expansion.The labor market also has remained resilient. Payroll processing firm ADP reported Wednesday that hiring by private sector companies increased by 296,000 in April, well ahead of economists’ expectation. That served as a potential signal that for all the Fed’s efforts to cool the jobs picture and correct a supply-demand imbalance, issues remain.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}