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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
·
2021-06-18
?
Over 2 trillion U.S. stock options decisive battle tonight's "Four Witches Day"
美股今年第二个“四巫日”今晚到来，届时将有超2万亿美元美股期权到期，加上美联储暗示流动性或收紧，此次“四巫日”或许是美股的一个转折点。 四巫日(Quadruplewitchingday)是指美国市场于
Over 2 trillion U.S. stock options decisive battle tonight's "Four Witches Day"
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-16
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Sorry, this post has been deleted
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-16
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Layoffs, executive resignations, and repeated rejections, Apple has been really difficult to build cars in the past seven years
七年过去了，苹果汽车还是个 PPT 产品吗？ 屡被拒绝的苹果 近日，根据路透社报道，苹果公司正在与宁德时代、比亚迪就电动汽车项目的电池供应进行初步洽谈。 更早之前，苹果被传出与现代、日产等传统车企洽
Layoffs, executive resignations, and repeated rejections, Apple has been really difficult to build cars in the past seven years
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-15
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Sorry, this post has been deleted
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-15
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Is the Fed going to turn against it? Super Central Bank Week, Markets Await Solemnly
本周迎来超级央行周，美联储等多家央行将公布利率决议。 美国5月通胀已经高达5%，创出十三年新高，美联储本周议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这已成为市场焦点。 著名经济学家任泽平近日表示，如果美联储货币政策
Is the Fed going to turn against it? Super Central Bank Week, Markets Await Solemnly
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-12
?
U.S. Michigan consumer confidence climbed in June from the previous month, inflation expectations unexpectedly fell
周五公布的密歇根大学消费者信心指数6月初值显示，美国消费者情绪在6月初升幅超过预期。 根据数据，6月的消费者信心指数初值为86.4，相较5月终值82.9出现明显上升，也高于84.4的市场预期。此外，同
U.S. Michigan consumer confidence climbed in June from the previous month, inflation expectations unexpectedly fell
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-12
?
Reminder: The lunch break arrangement is here! Hong Kong stocks will be closed for one day on June 14
6月14日（周一）休市，6月15日（周二）起照常开市。美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。端午节，又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等，源于自然天象崇拜，由上古时代祭龙演变而来。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽，后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日；也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说，端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪，注入夏季时令“祛病防疫"风尚。
Reminder: The lunch break arrangement is here! Hong Kong stocks will be closed for one day on June 14
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
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2021-06-12
?
Bank of America "slaps" the Federal Reserve in the face: How can there be "temporary" inflation?
美联储真的如市场相信的那样，可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上？美银不同意：“历史表明，一旦通胀走高，就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。 美国通胀又爆表了，但市场似乎已经无所畏惧，美股美债齐齐
Bank of America "slaps" the Federal Reserve in the face: How can there be "temporary" inflation?
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
·
2021-06-10
?
Terrible Impact or September Coming! New Debt King: A huge amount of water released seriously distorts the economy
美国联邦政府的疫情紧急失业补偿（PUEC）计划延长了人们能够领取周失业救济的时间，而疫情失业援助（PUA）计划则覆盖了自雇、兼职和零工人群，还有混合收入者失业补偿（MEUC）计划，为那些自雇者和混合型
Terrible Impact or September Coming! New Debt King: A huge amount of water released seriously distorts the economy
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SamuelTse
SamuelTse
·
2021-06-09
?
Foreign media headlines: IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data
Rettig指出，加密货币市场的价值现在超过2万亿美元。他表示，“大多数加密货币、虚拟货币的创设旨在远离监管雷达，国税局目前已向第三方发出传票，以获取有关加密货币用户的信息”。其表示，国税局正在积极参与民事和刑事执法，但也需要国会提供额外的工具和资源。美国和欧盟还将宣布建立旨在加强两地区半导体供应的伙伴关系。美国对外商品出口攀升至纪录最高。
Foreign media headlines: IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data
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13:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Over 2 trillion U.S. stock options decisive battle tonight's \"Four Witches Day\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144572198","media":"Wind万得","summary":"美股今年第二个“四巫日”今晚到来，届时将有超2万亿美元美股期权到期，加上美联储暗示流动性或收紧，此次“四巫日”或许是美股的一个转折点。\n四巫日(Quadruplewitchingday)是指美国市场于","content":"<p>The second \"Four Witches Day\" of U.S. stocks this year is coming tonight, when more than $2 trillion in U.S. stock options will expire. In addition, the Federal Reserve has hinted that liquidity may tighten. This \"Four Witches Day\" may be a turning point for U.S. stocks..</p><p>Quadruplewitchingday refers to the maturity and settlement date of derivative financial products in the U.S. market on the third Friday of the quarter (March, June, September, December). Stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures are all due and delivered on the same day. Simultaneous delivery of these four asset classes will bring violent market volatility, with long and short positions playing against each other.</p><p><b>Options expiring this Friday include: $240 billion worth of<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVV\">S&P 500 Index ETF</a>Options, $200 billion mini S&P 500 futures and $1.8 trillion S&P 500 options, are worth more than $2 trillion in total.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e084b716c88bd8163b59b6f21fa71734\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As U.S. stocks have been hitting new highs recently, most open interest prices in June are expected to be lower than current spot prices. As shown in the figure below, options are most densely distributed with strike prices around 3900 and 4150. This means there may be some support around these points after this Friday until they are refilled with a new gamma.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0e8bce636a6f73c6b57a18d39a180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The trading volume of the four witches is very huge in the calendar,<b>But what is more noteworthy this time is that the volatility of U.S. stocks was very low before, and hints of the Fed's liquidity turning point have already come out.</b></p><p>In the past 13 trading days, the volatility of the S&P 500 index was only 5.1%, which is the lowest volatility since 2019. However, compared with the dead market, the volatility of individual stocks is extremely high, especially retail group stocks, such as GME and AMC, etc.</p><p>Charlie McElligott of Nomura Securities pointed out,<b>It is very dangerous to coexist with extremely low market volatility and a large number of bullish gamma options expiring.</b>Because once the positions are collectively closed, the actual volatility may rebound instantly. At the same time, VIX futures are rising relative to the S&P 500 Beta, suggesting that if the market sells off, short gamma positions will pick up and the market will become more volatile.</p><p>In addition, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on Thursday did not indicate an immediate tightening of liquidity, but also admitted that high inflation will not disappear in the short term, which is equivalent to walking a tightrope between doves and hawks. But on Friday, real action began to tighten liquidity.</p><p>Friday,<b>68 counterparties put $756 billion in funds to the Federal Reserve through overnight reverse repurchase facilities, setting a record high of $584 billion.</b>And the day before. The use of the Fed's overnight reverse repurchase rate is only $520.9 billion. This means that the tool's usage increased by $235.1 billion in just one day, a whopping 45% increase.</p><p>The effect of the Fed's reverse repurchase is just the opposite of that of China. Simply put, the role of my country's central bank's reverse repurchase is to release liquidity, while the Fed's reverse repurchase is to recover liquidity. Since last Wednesday, it exceeded the $500 billion mark for the first time in history, the single-day usage of the Fed's reverse repurchase facility has exceeded $500 billion for seven consecutive trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Over 2 trillion U.S. stock options decisive battle tonight's \"Four Witches Day\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOver 2 trillion U.S. stock options decisive battle tonight's \"Four Witches Day\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-18 13:13</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The second \"Four Witches Day\" of U.S. stocks this year is coming tonight, when more than $2 trillion in U.S. stock options will expire. In addition, the Federal Reserve has hinted that liquidity may tighten. This \"Four Witches Day\" may be a turning point for U.S. stocks..</p><p>Quadruplewitchingday refers to the maturity and settlement date of derivative financial products in the U.S. market on the third Friday of the quarter (March, June, September, December). Stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures are all due and delivered on the same day. Simultaneous delivery of these four asset classes will bring violent market volatility, with long and short positions playing against each other.</p><p><b>Options expiring this Friday include: $240 billion worth of<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVV\">S&P 500 Index ETF</a>Options, $200 billion mini S&P 500 futures and $1.8 trillion S&P 500 options, are worth more than $2 trillion in total.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e084b716c88bd8163b59b6f21fa71734\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As U.S. stocks have been hitting new highs recently, most open interest prices in June are expected to be lower than current spot prices. As shown in the figure below, options are most densely distributed with strike prices around 3900 and 4150. This means there may be some support around these points after this Friday until they are refilled with a new gamma.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0e8bce636a6f73c6b57a18d39a180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The trading volume of the four witches is very huge in the calendar,<b>But what is more noteworthy this time is that the volatility of U.S. stocks was very low before, and hints of the Fed's liquidity turning point have already come out.</b></p><p>In the past 13 trading days, the volatility of the S&P 500 index was only 5.1%, which is the lowest volatility since 2019. However, compared with the dead market, the volatility of individual stocks is extremely high, especially retail group stocks, such as GME and AMC, etc.</p><p>Charlie McElligott of Nomura Securities pointed out,<b>It is very dangerous to coexist with extremely low market volatility and a large number of bullish gamma options expiring.</b>Because once the positions are collectively closed, the actual volatility may rebound instantly. At the same time, VIX futures are rising relative to the S&P 500 Beta, suggesting that if the market sells off, short gamma positions will pick up and the market will become more volatile.</p><p>In addition, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on Thursday did not indicate an immediate tightening of liquidity, but also admitted that high inflation will not disappear in the short term, which is equivalent to walking a tightrope between doves and hawks. But on Friday, real action began to tighten liquidity.</p><p>Friday,<b>68 counterparties put $756 billion in funds to the Federal Reserve through overnight reverse repurchase facilities, setting a record high of $584 billion.</b>And the day before. The use of the Fed's overnight reverse repurchase rate is only $520.9 billion. This means that the tool's usage increased by $235.1 billion in just one day, a whopping 45% increase.</p><p>The effect of the Fed's reverse repurchase is just the opposite of that of China. Simply put, the role of my country's central bank's reverse repurchase is to release liquidity, while the Fed's reverse repurchase is to recover liquidity. Since last Wednesday, it exceeded the $500 billion mark for the first time in history, the single-day usage of the Fed's reverse repurchase facility has exceeded $500 billion for seven consecutive trading days.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0bdd49975f3ab5453ab8ae8b24f37e","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SVXY":"做空波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","UVXY":"1.5倍做多短期期货恐慌指数ETF-Proshares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144572198","content_text":"美股今年第二个“四巫日”今晚到来，届时将有超2万亿美元美股期权到期，加上美联储暗示流动性或收紧，此次“四巫日”或许是美股的一个转折点。\n四巫日(Quadruplewitchingday)是指美国市场于季月(三月、六月、九月、十二月)第三个星期五之衍生性金融商品到期结算日，股指期货、股指期权、股票期权以及单一股票期货，都在同一天到期交割。这四种资产类别同时交割会带来剧烈的市场波动，多头空头相互博弈。\n本周五到期的期权包括：价值2400亿美元的标普500指数ETF期权，2000亿美元的迷你标普500指数期货以及1.8万亿美元的标普500指数期权，总计价值超2万亿美元。\n\n由于近期美股一直在创新高，预计大部分6月未平仓合约价格都低于当前的现货价格。如下图所示，行权价在3900和4150附近期权分布最密集。这意味着在本周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的支撑，直到被新的gamma重新填充。\n\n四巫日历来成交量都非常巨大，但此次更值得注意的点是，此前美股波动率非常低，另外美联储流动性转折的暗示已经出来了。\n过去13个交易日，标普500指数波动率仅有5.1%，这是自2019年以来最低的波动率，但是与大盘死气沉沉相比，个股的波动性却极大，特别是散户抱团股，如GME和AMC等。\n野村证券的Charlie McElligott指出，极低的大盘波动率与大量看涨gamma期权到期并存非常危险，因为一旦头寸集体平仓，实际波动率可能会瞬间回升。同时，VIX指数期货相对于标普500指数Beta值不断上升，这表明，如果市场出现抛售，空头gamma仓位会回升，市场将变得更加不稳定。\n另外，周四的美联储议息会议并没有表示立即收紧流动性，但是也承认了通胀高企短期不会消失，相当于在鸽、鹰派之间走钢丝。但是周五却实实在在行动开始收紧流动性。\n周五，68家对手方通过隔夜逆回购工具将7560亿美元资金放到美联储，刷新了5840亿美元的纪录高位。而前一天。美联储的隔夜逆回购率的使用规模仅为5209亿美元。这意味着，在短短一天时间内，该工具的使用量增加了2351亿美元，增幅高达45%。\n美联储逆回购功效和中国刚刚相反，简单来说，我国央行逆回购的作用是为了释放流动性，而美联储逆回购则是为了收回流动性。自上周三用量史上首次突破5000亿美元大关以来，美联储逆回购工具的单日用量已连续七个交易日超过5000亿美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SVXY":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"UVXY":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"VIXY":0.9,"VIXmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QID":0.9,"SH":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"PSQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169597365,"gmtCreate":1623841740257,"gmtModify":1703821059137,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169597365","repostId":"1110862709","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169699105,"gmtCreate":1623831436307,"gmtModify":1703820771890,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169699105","repostId":"1132950320","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132950320","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623829906,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132950320?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-16 15:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Layoffs, executive resignations, and repeated rejections, Apple has been really difficult to build cars in the past seven years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132950320","media":"AI前线","summary":"七年过去了，苹果汽车还是个 PPT 产品吗？\n\n屡被拒绝的苹果\n近日，根据路透社报道，苹果公司正在与宁德时代、比亚迪就电动汽车项目的电池供应进行初步洽谈。\n更早之前，苹果被传出与现代、日产等传统车企洽","content":"<p>Seven years have passed, is Apple Car still a PPT product?<b>Repeatedly rejected apples</b></p><p>Recently, according to Reuters, Apple is conducting preliminary negotiations with CATL and BYD on battery supply for electric vehicle projects.</p><p>Earlier, Apple was rumored to be negotiating cooperation with traditional car companies such as Hyundai and Nissan. This negotiation became the focus of the industry. There were even rumors that Apple had actually signed relevant agreements with Hyundai's subsidiaries, but unfortunately there was no result in the end.</p><p>According to Wall Street News, as early as May 2018, Apple was in talks with German auto giant Volkswagen to produce an autonomous employee shuttle based on the T6 Transporter commercial vehicle-a plan that will lead to the development of Apple cars for the mass market. But the partnership between the two companies was stifled after a series of test crashes and employee leaks, with little disclosure about the matter.</p><p>Since launching the Titan Project in 2014 and making it clear that it wants to enter the automotive industry, Apple has suffered repeated setbacks in advancing its own plans and seeking partners. As a result, seven years have passed, and the outside world has not seen much substantial progress. Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo recently claimed that the Apple Car may not launch until 2028 or later given the stalemate in negotiations, so expect a long wait to see it on the road.</p><p>According to people familiar with the matter, Apple has a small team dedicated to developing a new car, hoping to eventually compete with Tesla, but the development work is still in its early stages. It will take at least five years for Apple to launch a self-driving electric car, because the research and development work is still in its infancy. Combined with the forecasts of the above analysts, it will really take some time to wait for this Apple car.</p><p><b>Layoffs, frequent executive departures</b></p><p>Why is it so difficult for Apple to build a car?</p><p>There hasn't been much movement for a long time since Apple launched the \"Project Titan\" autonomous driving program in 2014. In 2018, what exposed the progress of this project turned out to be a leak, and relevant documents showed that Apple's autonomous driving project had more than 5,000 employees at that time, of which about 2,700 were core employees.</p><p>In January 2019, the \"Titan Project\" was reported to be laid off again, and more than 200 employees were laid off in this incident.</p><p>Unlike the past, an Apple spokesman acknowledged the news of layoffs and said the company still believes there are opportunities in the field of autonomous driving:</p><p>\"At Apple, we have a very talented team working on autonomous systems and related technologies. In 2019, they will focus their work on several key areas, and some team members will be transferred to projects in other departments of the company, where they will support machine learning and other projects across Apple. However, we continue to believe that there are huge opportunities for autonomous systems and that Apple has the unique ability to contribute, which is the most ambitious machine learning project ever undertaken. \" As mentioned earlier, Apple's autonomous driving plan sprouted as early as 2014. It is said that at that time, more than 1,000 employees were working on the project at Apple headquarters in Cupertino, San Francisco. However, as internal strife, leadership issues and other privacy issues affected the project, Apple laid off employees and fired hundreds of employees on the project.</p><p>A month later, the safety report of Apple's self-driving car was pointed out to be \"too simple\", with only seven short pages, and even fewer key safety-related contents.</p><p>Basically, it can be said that since the establishment of Apple's autonomous driving project, as long as it appears on news pages, it is basically not good news.</p><p>In the second half of 2019, the \"Titan Project\" finally had pretty good news: In June, Apple officially acquired Drive.ai, a \"mom-and-pop store\" co-founded by AI big coffee Andrew Ng and his wife. Inject fresh vitality into its own self-driving project.</p><p>Then, there was another long period of silence, and the progress of Apple's autonomous driving disappeared from the public's view again. Until January 2020, new progress appeared.</p><p>On January 29, local time, some media discovered that Apple published a paper on Arxiv.org. The paper pointed out that Apple scientist Yichuan Charlie Tang and his team are using a method to simulate the driving scene of vehicles merging and gradually create a more diverse simulation environment.</p><p>Tang and his co-authors write: \"We demonstrate this technology in a challenging multi-agent lane change simulation. In this simulation environment, experimental targets must interact and negotiate with other vehicles to successfully merge on the road. Although the environment starts with simple road conditions, as the training progresses, we increase its complexity by repeatedly adding increasingly diverse factors to the agent'zoo '. Qualitatively, we found that through self-training, experimental targets automatically learn interesting behaviors, such as defensive driving, overtaking, giving way, and using signal lights to communicate with other agents. \"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01883ebc73afc1f71d865339da65ecbf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Lane change simulation schematic diagram</p><p>As explained by the researchers, lane-changing behavior is considered a complex operation in the field of autonomous driving because it requires the driving system to accurately predict intentions and respond accordingly. Traditional solutions make assumptions and rely on manually coded behaviors, but these flexibility-limited and fragile strategies do not handle edge cases well, such as several vehicles trying to merge into the same lane at the same time. In contrast to rule-based systems, reinforcement learning directly learns strategies through repeated interactions with the environment.</p><p>Although it is still being tested in a simulated environment, Apple's autonomous driving has finally shown some decent progress.</p><p>Since the beginning of this year, many executives of Apple's autonomous driving have resigned one after another. In February, Benjamin Lyon, a veteran member of Apple's self-driving, officially left. It is reported that Benjamin Lyon is one of the founders of Apple's self-driving car project and served as Apple's senior director of self-driving hardware.</p><p>During his 21 years at Apple, he worked on the research and development of Touch ID, a fingerprint recognition technology for iPhone, and then he joined Apple's self-driving car team. In the same month, Jaime Waydo, who is in charge of the self-driving car safety and supervision team, left Apple, and the engineer was praised by Apple CEO Cook as \"the mother of all artificial intelligence projects.\" In the following months, three more executives left one after another.</p><p>According to relevant sources, Apple's chip division, led by Johny Srouji, is also involved in automotive research and development. Since 2018, Srouji's team has been developing customized Arm-based chips, mainly focusing on machine learning processing to drive the underlying self-driving car system.</p><p>Since 2017, Apple has been testing autonomous technology on public roads. Cars tested by companies averaged 118 miles in 2019 until human safety drivers needed control. According to the California Department of Vehicles, this figure is an increase from 1 mile per hand-dropped drive in 2018. According to the California Department of Vehicles, the company owns 66 vehicles. This is an increase from 55 licensed vehicles as of mid-2018.</p><p><b>In the excitement of Robotaxi, there is no Apple</b></p><p>In the past two years, Robotaxi has been in the limelight in the field of autonomous driving, and many domestic and foreign companies have deployed in this field.</p><p>On September 26, 2019, Baidu launched Robotaxi service to the public in Changsha City, Hunan Province; On August 5, 2019, Didi Chuxing announced that its autonomous driving department had been upgraded to an independent company, focusing on autonomous driving research and development, product applications and related business development. It is understood that RoboTaxi is also one of the main businesses developed by Didi Autonomous Driving Company. As a domestic travel service provider, Didi seems to have innate advantages in this field; Pony.ai is the first company to launch Robotaxi services in both China and the United States. In addition to Beijing, it currently provides services to the public in Guangzhou, China, Irvine, California, and Fremont.</p><p>In Beijing, the service scope of Pony.ai Robotaxi will cover the core operating area of 150 square kilometers in Beijing Economic and Technological Development Zone, including about 150 sites. The operating hours will last from 8:30 am to 22:30 pm, including morning and evening peak hours and night time.</p><p>From 2017 to 2018, BMW, Volkswagen, General Motors, Ford and other car manufacturers joined forces with Intel, Nvidia, Google, Lyft and other companies to enter RoboTaxi, and this is also the hottest period for autonomous driving.</p><p>In April 2019, Tesla founder Elon Musk publicly stated that the Tesla RoboTaxi network will be established in 2020. As part of the Tesla network's \"RoboTaxi\" service, owners of operating vehicles can earn up to $30,000 in revenue every year. Musk has set his sights on the autonomous mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) market. In a conference call after Tesla announced its rate hike, Musk pointed out that RoboTaxi could eventually push the company to a market value of $500 billion.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that, just like the promise of \"realizing fully autonomous driving by 2020\", most companies set 2025 as the target year for fully realizing RoboTaxi. From this point of view, it is somewhat difficult for Apple to catch up with this wave.</p>","source":"lsy1580199951562","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Layoffs, executive resignations, and repeated rejections, Apple has been really difficult to build cars in the past seven years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLayoffs, executive resignations, and repeated rejections, Apple has been really difficult to build cars in the past seven years\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">AI前线</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 15:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Seven years have passed, is Apple Car still a PPT product?<b>Repeatedly rejected apples</b></p><p>Recently, according to Reuters, Apple is conducting preliminary negotiations with CATL and BYD on battery supply for electric vehicle projects.</p><p>Earlier, Apple was rumored to be negotiating cooperation with traditional car companies such as Hyundai and Nissan. This negotiation became the focus of the industry. There were even rumors that Apple had actually signed relevant agreements with Hyundai's subsidiaries, but unfortunately there was no result in the end.</p><p>According to Wall Street News, as early as May 2018, Apple was in talks with German auto giant Volkswagen to produce an autonomous employee shuttle based on the T6 Transporter commercial vehicle-a plan that will lead to the development of Apple cars for the mass market. But the partnership between the two companies was stifled after a series of test crashes and employee leaks, with little disclosure about the matter.</p><p>Since launching the Titan Project in 2014 and making it clear that it wants to enter the automotive industry, Apple has suffered repeated setbacks in advancing its own plans and seeking partners. As a result, seven years have passed, and the outside world has not seen much substantial progress. Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo recently claimed that the Apple Car may not launch until 2028 or later given the stalemate in negotiations, so expect a long wait to see it on the road.</p><p>According to people familiar with the matter, Apple has a small team dedicated to developing a new car, hoping to eventually compete with Tesla, but the development work is still in its early stages. It will take at least five years for Apple to launch a self-driving electric car, because the research and development work is still in its infancy. Combined with the forecasts of the above analysts, it will really take some time to wait for this Apple car.</p><p><b>Layoffs, frequent executive departures</b></p><p>Why is it so difficult for Apple to build a car?</p><p>There hasn't been much movement for a long time since Apple launched the \"Project Titan\" autonomous driving program in 2014. In 2018, what exposed the progress of this project turned out to be a leak, and relevant documents showed that Apple's autonomous driving project had more than 5,000 employees at that time, of which about 2,700 were core employees.</p><p>In January 2019, the \"Titan Project\" was reported to be laid off again, and more than 200 employees were laid off in this incident.</p><p>Unlike the past, an Apple spokesman acknowledged the news of layoffs and said the company still believes there are opportunities in the field of autonomous driving:</p><p>\"At Apple, we have a very talented team working on autonomous systems and related technologies. In 2019, they will focus their work on several key areas, and some team members will be transferred to projects in other departments of the company, where they will support machine learning and other projects across Apple. However, we continue to believe that there are huge opportunities for autonomous systems and that Apple has the unique ability to contribute, which is the most ambitious machine learning project ever undertaken. \" As mentioned earlier, Apple's autonomous driving plan sprouted as early as 2014. It is said that at that time, more than 1,000 employees were working on the project at Apple headquarters in Cupertino, San Francisco. However, as internal strife, leadership issues and other privacy issues affected the project, Apple laid off employees and fired hundreds of employees on the project.</p><p>A month later, the safety report of Apple's self-driving car was pointed out to be \"too simple\", with only seven short pages, and even fewer key safety-related contents.</p><p>Basically, it can be said that since the establishment of Apple's autonomous driving project, as long as it appears on news pages, it is basically not good news.</p><p>In the second half of 2019, the \"Titan Project\" finally had pretty good news: In June, Apple officially acquired Drive.ai, a \"mom-and-pop store\" co-founded by AI big coffee Andrew Ng and his wife. Inject fresh vitality into its own self-driving project.</p><p>Then, there was another long period of silence, and the progress of Apple's autonomous driving disappeared from the public's view again. Until January 2020, new progress appeared.</p><p>On January 29, local time, some media discovered that Apple published a paper on Arxiv.org. The paper pointed out that Apple scientist Yichuan Charlie Tang and his team are using a method to simulate the driving scene of vehicles merging and gradually create a more diverse simulation environment.</p><p>Tang and his co-authors write: \"We demonstrate this technology in a challenging multi-agent lane change simulation. In this simulation environment, experimental targets must interact and negotiate with other vehicles to successfully merge on the road. Although the environment starts with simple road conditions, as the training progresses, we increase its complexity by repeatedly adding increasingly diverse factors to the agent'zoo '. Qualitatively, we found that through self-training, experimental targets automatically learn interesting behaviors, such as defensive driving, overtaking, giving way, and using signal lights to communicate with other agents. \"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01883ebc73afc1f71d865339da65ecbf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Lane change simulation schematic diagram</p><p>As explained by the researchers, lane-changing behavior is considered a complex operation in the field of autonomous driving because it requires the driving system to accurately predict intentions and respond accordingly. Traditional solutions make assumptions and rely on manually coded behaviors, but these flexibility-limited and fragile strategies do not handle edge cases well, such as several vehicles trying to merge into the same lane at the same time. In contrast to rule-based systems, reinforcement learning directly learns strategies through repeated interactions with the environment.</p><p>Although it is still being tested in a simulated environment, Apple's autonomous driving has finally shown some decent progress.</p><p>Since the beginning of this year, many executives of Apple's autonomous driving have resigned one after another. In February, Benjamin Lyon, a veteran member of Apple's self-driving, officially left. It is reported that Benjamin Lyon is one of the founders of Apple's self-driving car project and served as Apple's senior director of self-driving hardware.</p><p>During his 21 years at Apple, he worked on the research and development of Touch ID, a fingerprint recognition technology for iPhone, and then he joined Apple's self-driving car team. In the same month, Jaime Waydo, who is in charge of the self-driving car safety and supervision team, left Apple, and the engineer was praised by Apple CEO Cook as \"the mother of all artificial intelligence projects.\" In the following months, three more executives left one after another.</p><p>According to relevant sources, Apple's chip division, led by Johny Srouji, is also involved in automotive research and development. Since 2018, Srouji's team has been developing customized Arm-based chips, mainly focusing on machine learning processing to drive the underlying self-driving car system.</p><p>Since 2017, Apple has been testing autonomous technology on public roads. Cars tested by companies averaged 118 miles in 2019 until human safety drivers needed control. According to the California Department of Vehicles, this figure is an increase from 1 mile per hand-dropped drive in 2018. According to the California Department of Vehicles, the company owns 66 vehicles. This is an increase from 55 licensed vehicles as of mid-2018.</p><p><b>In the excitement of Robotaxi, there is no Apple</b></p><p>In the past two years, Robotaxi has been in the limelight in the field of autonomous driving, and many domestic and foreign companies have deployed in this field.</p><p>On September 26, 2019, Baidu launched Robotaxi service to the public in Changsha City, Hunan Province; On August 5, 2019, Didi Chuxing announced that its autonomous driving department had been upgraded to an independent company, focusing on autonomous driving research and development, product applications and related business development. It is understood that RoboTaxi is also one of the main businesses developed by Didi Autonomous Driving Company. As a domestic travel service provider, Didi seems to have innate advantages in this field; Pony.ai is the first company to launch Robotaxi services in both China and the United States. In addition to Beijing, it currently provides services to the public in Guangzhou, China, Irvine, California, and Fremont.</p><p>In Beijing, the service scope of Pony.ai Robotaxi will cover the core operating area of 150 square kilometers in Beijing Economic and Technological Development Zone, including about 150 sites. The operating hours will last from 8:30 am to 22:30 pm, including morning and evening peak hours and night time.</p><p>From 2017 to 2018, BMW, Volkswagen, General Motors, Ford and other car manufacturers joined forces with Intel, Nvidia, Google, Lyft and other companies to enter RoboTaxi, and this is also the hottest period for autonomous driving.</p><p>In April 2019, Tesla founder Elon Musk publicly stated that the Tesla RoboTaxi network will be established in 2020. As part of the Tesla network's \"RoboTaxi\" service, owners of operating vehicles can earn up to $30,000 in revenue every year. Musk has set his sights on the autonomous mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) market. In a conference call after Tesla announced its rate hike, Musk pointed out that RoboTaxi could eventually push the company to a market value of $500 billion.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that, just like the promise of \"realizing fully autonomous driving by 2020\", most companies set 2025 as the target year for fully realizing RoboTaxi. From this point of view, it is somewhat difficult for Apple to catch up with this wave.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/DiAEY2Hho3JCnzymaNuzZA\">AI前线</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9c6038c922a501076310ac125cdbb5","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/DiAEY2Hho3JCnzymaNuzZA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132950320","content_text":"七年过去了，苹果汽车还是个 PPT 产品吗？\n\n屡被拒绝的苹果\n近日，根据路透社报道，苹果公司正在与宁德时代、比亚迪就电动汽车项目的电池供应进行初步洽谈。\n更早之前，苹果被传出与现代、日产等传统车企洽谈合作，这场谈判成为了业界的关注焦点，更有传言称苹果实际上已经与现代的子公司签署了相关协议，但可惜最终没有什么结果。\n据华尔街见闻报道，早在 2018 年 5 月，苹果就曾与德国汽车巨头大众汽车进行谈判，以生产基于 T6 Transporter 商用车的自动员工穿梭车——该计划将导致为大众市场开发苹果汽车。但在一系列测试崩溃和员工泄密之后，两家公司之间的合作关系被扼杀了，关于此事的披露几乎没有。\n自 2014 年推出泰坦计划，明确要进军汽车行业之后，苹果公司在推进自身计划和寻求合作伙伴上屡屡受挫，导致七年过去了，外界还没有看到太多实质性的进展。苹果分析师郭明錤最近声称，鉴于谈判陷入僵局，Apple Car 可能要到 2028 年或更晚才会推出，因此预计要等很长时间才能在路上看到它。\n据知情人士透露，苹果公司拥有一个小团队，专门研发一款新车，希望最终能和特斯拉竞争，但是开发工作还处在初期。苹果要推出一款自动驾驶的电动车至少需要 5 年的时间，因为研发工作还处于初期阶段。结合上述分析师的预测，要等到这款苹果汽车着实还需要一些时日。\n裁员、高管频繁离职\n苹果造车怎么这么难？\n自苹果于 2014 年推出“泰坦（Project Titan）”自动驾驶计划之后很长一段时间里都没有什么太大的动静。2018 年，让这个项目进展曝光的竟然是一起泄密事件，而相关文件显示，当时苹果自动驾驶项目拥有超过 5000 名员工，其中约 2700 人为核心员工。\n到了 2019 年 1 月，“泰坦计划”又被传出裁员的消息，有 200 余名员工在此次事件中被裁。\n不同以往的是，苹果公司的一名发言人承认了裁员的消息，并表示公司仍然相信自动驾驶领域存在机会：\n\n “在苹果，我们拥有一个非常有才华的团队，他们致力于自主系统和相关技术。2019 年，他们将把工作重点放在几个关键领域，一些团队成员将被转移到公司其他部门的项目，在那里，他们将支持整个苹果的机器学习和其他项目。但是，我们仍然相信，自主系统存在巨大的机遇，苹果有独特的能力做出贡献，这是有史以来最雄心勃勃的机器学习项目。”\n\n前文也已提到，苹果的自动驾驶计划早在 2014 年就萌芽了，据称当时有 1000 多名员工在位于旧金山库比蒂诺的苹果总部从事项目工作。但是由于内部争斗、领导问题和其他隐私问题影响到了项目，导致苹果裁员，解聘了数百名该项目员工。\n一个月后，苹果自动驾驶汽车的安全报告又被指出“过于简单”，内容仅有短短的 7 页，而安全相关的重点内容则更是少之又少。\n基本上可以说，苹果自动驾驶项目成立以来，只要出现在新闻页面上，基本都不是什么好消息。\n到了 2019 年的下半年，“泰坦计划”终于有了还算不错的消息传来：6 月，苹果正式收购了 AI 大咖吴恩达及其妻子共同创立的“夫妻店”——Drive.ai，为自己的自动驾驶项目注入新鲜活力。\n随后，又是一段漫长的沉寂期，苹果自动驾驶的进展就这样再次消失在了公众的视野里，直到 2020 年 1 月，新的进展出现了。\n当地时间 1 月 29 日，有媒体发现：苹果在 Arxiv.org 上发表了一篇论文，论文指出，苹果科学家 Yichuan Charlie Tang 及其团队正在使用一种方法，模拟车辆并道的驾驶场景，并逐步创建更加多样化的模拟环境。\nTang 及其合著者写道：“我们在具有挑战性的多智能体变道模拟中演示了这项技术。在该模拟环境中，实验目标必须与其他车辆进行交互和协商才能成功地在道路上进行合并。虽然环境从简单路况开始，但随着训练的深入，我们通过向智能体’zoo’反复添加越来越多样化的因素来增加其复杂性。定性地说，我们发现通过自我训练，实验目标会自动学习有趣的行为，例如防御性驾驶、超车、让道以及使用信号灯与其他智能体交流。”\n\n变道模拟示意图\n正如研究人员所解释的那样，在自动驾驶领域，变道行为被认为是复杂的操作，因为这需要驾驶系统准确地预测意图并做出相应的反应。传统的解决方案会做出假设并依赖于手动编码的行为，但是这些灵活度受限且脆弱的策略无法很好地处理边缘情况，例如几辆车试图同时合并到同一车道。与基于规则的系统相比，强化学习通过与环境的反复交互来直接学习策略。\n虽然还在模拟环境中测试，但是苹果自动驾驶总算是展示了一些像样的进展。\n今年以来，苹果自动驾驶的多位高管又相继离职。2 月份，苹果自动驾驶元老成员 Benjamin Lyon 正式离开。据悉，Benjamin Lyon 是苹果自动驾驶汽车项目的创始人之一，曾担任苹果自动驾驶硬件高级总监。\n在苹果公司工作的 21 年中，他从事了 iPhone 的指纹识别技术 Touch ID 研发工作，此后他加入苹果自动驾驶汽车团队。同月，负责自动驾驶汽车安全和监管团队的 Jaime Waydo 离开苹果公司，而这位工程师被苹果 CEO 库克赞赏为“所有人工智能项目之母”。随后几个月内，陆续又出走了 3 位高管。\n据有关人士透露，苹果公司由 Johny Srouji 领导的芯片部门也参与了汽车研发。从 2018 年开始， Srouji 的团队就一直在开发基于 Arm 的定制化芯片，主要集中于机器学习处理，用于驱动底层自动驾驶汽车系统。\n从 2017 年开始，苹果就开始在公共道路上测试自主技术。公司测试的汽车在 2019 年平均行驶 118 英里，直到人类安全驾驶员需要控制为止。据加利福尼亚车辆管理局称，这一数字比 2018 年每次撒手驾驶的里程 1 英里有所增加。据加利福尼亚车辆管理局统计，公司拥有 66 辆汽车。这比截至 2018 年年中的 55 辆许可车辆有所增加。\nRobotaxi 的热闹中，没有苹果的身影\n近两年，Robotaxi 在自动驾驶领域风头正盛，国内外众多企业在此上布局。\n2019 年 9 月 26 日，百度在湖南省长沙市向公众推出 Robotaxi 服务；2019 年 8 月 5 日，滴滴出行宣布旗下自动驾驶部门升级为独立公司, 专注于自动驾驶研发、产品应用及相关业务拓展。据了解，RoboTaxi 也是滴滴自动驾驶公司主要发展的业务之一，作为国内出行服务提供商，滴滴在该领域似乎有着先天的优势；小马智行则是首家在中美均推出 Robotaxi 服务的公司，除北京外，目前在中国广州、美国加州尔湾以及弗里蒙特市向公众提供服务。\n在北京，小马智行 Robotaxi 服务范围将覆盖北京经济技术开发区 150 平方公里核心运营区域，包括约 150 个站点，运营时间从早 8:30 持续至晚 22:30，囊括早、晚高峰以及夜间时段。\n2017 至 2018 年，宝马、大众、通用、福特等车厂联合英特尔、英伟达、谷歌、Lyft 等等公司纷纷入局 RoboTaxi，而这也是自动驾驶最火热的一个时段。\n2019 年 4 月，特斯拉创始人埃隆·马斯克更是公开表示：要在 2020 年建立特斯拉 RoboTaxi 网络，作为特斯拉网络“RoboTaxi”服务的一部分，运营车辆的车主每年可以获得高达 30,000 美元的收入。马斯克已将目光投向 自主移动即服务（MaaS） 市场，在特斯拉宣布加息后的一次电话会议中，马斯克指出：RoboTaxi 最终可能将公司推向 市值 5000 亿美元。\n值得一提的是：就像“2020 年实现全面自动驾驶”的承诺一样，大部分公司把 2025 年设置为全面实现 RoboTaxi 的目标年限。如此看来，苹果要赶上这波浪潮是有些难度了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187222291,"gmtCreate":1623756192113,"gmtModify":1703818231257,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187222291","repostId":"1116108105","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184149199,"gmtCreate":1623692112911,"gmtModify":1704208902191,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184149199","repostId":"1123321973","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123321973","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1623649058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123321973?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:37","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"Is the Fed going to turn against it? Super Central Bank Week, Markets Await Solemnly","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123321973","media":"Wind万得","summary":"本周迎来超级央行周，美联储等多家央行将公布利率决议。\n美国5月通胀已经高达5%，创出十三年新高，美联储本周议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这已成为市场焦点。\n著名经济学家任泽平近日表示，如果美联储货币政策","content":"<p>This week ushered in Super Central Bank Week, and many central banks such as the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate decisions.</p><p>U.S. inflation has reached 5% in May, hitting a 13-year high. Will the Federal Reserve announce a reduction in QE at its interest rate meeting this week? This has become the focus of the market.</p><p>Ren Zeping, a famous economist, said recently,<b>If the Federal Reserve normalizes its monetary policy, or starts shrinking balance sheet and tightening monetary policy, it will put pressure on the global capital market.</b></p><p><b>//The super central bank is coming//</b></p><p>This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the Swiss National Bank, etc. will announce interest rate decisions.</p><p><b>Among them, the most concerned one is the Federal Reserve.</b></p><p><b>At 2 o'clock on June 17th, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision; In half an hour, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference.</b></p><p>See the chart below for the specific schedule:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff5e9242d2cb24ab2f8c085ee97398fa\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80c2ba121bcf020e5143b1c267e4b3ab\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"677\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cc1db7d53aa8152a842b90048161e1\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"1037\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dd247431fbeed69ea074da3ebbc4788\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Wind combed and found that judging from current market expectations, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Indonesia, the Swiss National Bank, the Norwegian Bank, the Turkish Central Bank and the Egyptian Central Bank will most likely choose to maintain the existing benchmark interest rate level unchanged.</p><p>The Ukrainian central bank may choose rate hike for 50 basis points, and the Brazilian central bank may choose rate hike for 75 basis points. The Norges central bank may hint at a rate hike in September this year.</p><p><b>//Inflation soars, the Fed will change its face? //</b></p><p>Once the Federal Reserve announces a reduction in monthly bond purchases (QE), it will be considered a key signal to tighten monetary policy globally.</p><p>Wind queried various sources and found that the current mainstream view is that the Federal Reserve is expected to release this signal at the annual meeting of global central banks in Jackson Hole before the end of August this year at the earliest, while the more common view is to announce it at the meeting in September this year. But no, people don't seem to believe the Fed's argument that \"inflation is only temporary.\"</p><p>\"Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors,\" the Fed wrote in its April policy statement. Therefore, for the interest rate decision in June, whether the Federal Reserve will delete this statement is expected to be the \"epicenter\" of market-wide fluctuations.</p><p>The market is now waiting for a clear signal from the Federal Reserve, and the volatility of the US dollar has fallen to its lowest level in more than a year.</p><p><b>//US CPI hits a new high in nearly 13 years//</b></p><p>If the Fed changes its dovish stance, inflation will be the deciding factor.</p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on the 10th local time showed that,<b>CPI rose 5% year-on-year in May, a new high since August 2008. It was expected to rise by 4.7%, and the previous value rose by 4.2%, the largest year-on-year increase in the past 13 years</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c0507e13d2d924ecaefcd462dced92\" tg-width=\"989\" tg-height=\"758\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>(Picture from Wind Financial Terminal EDB Module)</p><p>The annual inflation gauge got a boost compared to last year's data during the pandemic, when prices fell sharply as demand for many goods and services plummeted. Markets are now expecting this so-called base effect to push up inflation numbers for May and June significantly into the fall.</p><p>According to a number of recent data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce, as of April, house prices across the United States are soaring.</p><p>The S&P Schiller House Price Index rose 13.2% in March compared with the same period in 2020, the largest increase since December 2005. The housing price index of 90% cities in the United States, including New York and San Francisco, hit new highs.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's \"Beige Book\" released in early June showed that inflationary pressures in the United States increased further. According to the report, from the beginning of April to the end of May, economic activities in various jurisdictions in the United States expanded moderately at a faster rate. Jurisdictions generally expect that costs and selling prices may continue to rise in the coming months.</p><p><b>//Inflation data is released, the market is not panicking//</b></p><p>However, it is worth noting that the U.S. inflation data on June 11 exceeded expectations, but did not trigger market panic.</p><p>On the same day, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed up, with gains all within 1%; European stocks were mixed. COMEX gold futures rose 0.31% to $1,901.3 an ounce; International crude oil futures closed generally higher, with the July U.S. oil contract rising 0.19% to $70.09 a barrel. London base metals were mixed, with LME copper futures falling 0.85%.</p><p><b>One of the reasons why market volatility has not risen is the dovish attitude of the European Central Bank overnight. The market may think that the same phenomenon will happen to the Federal Reserve.</b></p><p>The European Central Bank (ECB) has chosen not to suggest when it may begin scaling back its pandemic-era stimulus package and expects inflation to remain below target for the foreseeable future. At the same time, the European Central Bank decided to continue to implement the stimulus plan, and its ultra-low interest rate remained unchanged.</p><p><b>//Ren Zeping: Be wary of the Fed's rate hike shrinking balance sheet risks//</b></p><p>Although there was no panic in the market after the inflation data was released last week, U.S. inflation continued to rise, posing a real threat to emerging markets.</p><p>Tatiana Lysenko, chief emerging markets economist at S&P Global Ratings, said that rising inflation and yields in the United States will push up borrowing costs in developing countries. In addition,<b>The broader risk is that the U.S. economy will be ahead of emerging economies, which will lead to outflows from emerging market stocks and bonds, ultimately triggering currency devaluation.</b></p><p>According to S&P data, refinancing costs in 15 of the 18 largest advanced economies are more than 1 percentage point lower than the average borrowing cost. Most of these economies pay less than 1% in interest.</p><p>Ren Zeping, chief economist of Soochow Securities, called for vigilance against the risks caused by the Federal Reserve's rate hike shrinking balance sheet in a research report released on June 11.</p><p>He said that according to market expectations, the vaccination rate in the United States may reach 70% around October, and the vaccination will be basically completed by the end of the year. The future shrinking balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and the risk of capital outflows from new markets deserve vigilance.</p><p>He stressed that global asset price valuations are now very high, and China has normalized its monetary policy.<b>If one day the Federal Reserve normalizes its monetary policy, or starts shrinking balance sheet and tightening monetary policy, it will put pressure on the global capital market.</b>In February and March this year, the US Dollar Index briefly strengthened, funds flowed out of new markets, and the Turkish market collapsed directly.</p><p>Regarding the economic, policy and market outlook for the third quarter, he reminded investors to remember three points:</p><p><b>First, the first quarter is the economic high point, and there will be a marginal slowdown in the second and third quarters.</b></p><p><b>Second, the most violent rise in commodity prices may be over, and the high point is approaching.</b></p><p><b>Third, the market's expectations and anxiety about monetary policy tightening will ease.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Fed going to turn against it? Super Central Bank Week, Markets Await Solemnly</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Fed going to turn against it? Super Central Bank Week, Markets Await Solemnly\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-14 13:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This week ushered in Super Central Bank Week, and many central banks such as the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate decisions.</p><p>U.S. inflation has reached 5% in May, hitting a 13-year high. Will the Federal Reserve announce a reduction in QE at its interest rate meeting this week? This has become the focus of the market.</p><p>Ren Zeping, a famous economist, said recently,<b>If the Federal Reserve normalizes its monetary policy, or starts shrinking balance sheet and tightening monetary policy, it will put pressure on the global capital market.</b></p><p><b>//The super central bank is coming//</b></p><p>This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the Swiss National Bank, etc. will announce interest rate decisions.</p><p><b>Among them, the most concerned one is the Federal Reserve.</b></p><p><b>At 2 o'clock on June 17th, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision; In half an hour, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference.</b></p><p>See the chart below for the specific schedule:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff5e9242d2cb24ab2f8c085ee97398fa\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80c2ba121bcf020e5143b1c267e4b3ab\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"677\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62cc1db7d53aa8152a842b90048161e1\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"1037\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dd247431fbeed69ea074da3ebbc4788\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Wind combed and found that judging from current market expectations, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Indonesia, the Swiss National Bank, the Norwegian Bank, the Turkish Central Bank and the Egyptian Central Bank will most likely choose to maintain the existing benchmark interest rate level unchanged.</p><p>The Ukrainian central bank may choose rate hike for 50 basis points, and the Brazilian central bank may choose rate hike for 75 basis points. The Norges central bank may hint at a rate hike in September this year.</p><p><b>//Inflation soars, the Fed will change its face? //</b></p><p>Once the Federal Reserve announces a reduction in monthly bond purchases (QE), it will be considered a key signal to tighten monetary policy globally.</p><p>Wind queried various sources and found that the current mainstream view is that the Federal Reserve is expected to release this signal at the annual meeting of global central banks in Jackson Hole before the end of August this year at the earliest, while the more common view is to announce it at the meeting in September this year. But no, people don't seem to believe the Fed's argument that \"inflation is only temporary.\"</p><p>\"Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors,\" the Fed wrote in its April policy statement. Therefore, for the interest rate decision in June, whether the Federal Reserve will delete this statement is expected to be the \"epicenter\" of market-wide fluctuations.</p><p>The market is now waiting for a clear signal from the Federal Reserve, and the volatility of the US dollar has fallen to its lowest level in more than a year.</p><p><b>//US CPI hits a new high in nearly 13 years//</b></p><p>If the Fed changes its dovish stance, inflation will be the deciding factor.</p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on the 10th local time showed that,<b>CPI rose 5% year-on-year in May, a new high since August 2008. It was expected to rise by 4.7%, and the previous value rose by 4.2%, the largest year-on-year increase in the past 13 years</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c0507e13d2d924ecaefcd462dced92\" tg-width=\"989\" tg-height=\"758\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>(Picture from Wind Financial Terminal EDB Module)</p><p>The annual inflation gauge got a boost compared to last year's data during the pandemic, when prices fell sharply as demand for many goods and services plummeted. Markets are now expecting this so-called base effect to push up inflation numbers for May and June significantly into the fall.</p><p>According to a number of recent data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce, as of April, house prices across the United States are soaring.</p><p>The S&P Schiller House Price Index rose 13.2% in March compared with the same period in 2020, the largest increase since December 2005. The housing price index of 90% cities in the United States, including New York and San Francisco, hit new highs.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's \"Beige Book\" released in early June showed that inflationary pressures in the United States increased further. According to the report, from the beginning of April to the end of May, economic activities in various jurisdictions in the United States expanded moderately at a faster rate. Jurisdictions generally expect that costs and selling prices may continue to rise in the coming months.</p><p><b>//Inflation data is released, the market is not panicking//</b></p><p>However, it is worth noting that the U.S. inflation data on June 11 exceeded expectations, but did not trigger market panic.</p><p>On the same day, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed up, with gains all within 1%; European stocks were mixed. COMEX gold futures rose 0.31% to $1,901.3 an ounce; International crude oil futures closed generally higher, with the July U.S. oil contract rising 0.19% to $70.09 a barrel. London base metals were mixed, with LME copper futures falling 0.85%.</p><p><b>One of the reasons why market volatility has not risen is the dovish attitude of the European Central Bank overnight. The market may think that the same phenomenon will happen to the Federal Reserve.</b></p><p>The European Central Bank (ECB) has chosen not to suggest when it may begin scaling back its pandemic-era stimulus package and expects inflation to remain below target for the foreseeable future. At the same time, the European Central Bank decided to continue to implement the stimulus plan, and its ultra-low interest rate remained unchanged.</p><p><b>//Ren Zeping: Be wary of the Fed's rate hike shrinking balance sheet risks//</b></p><p>Although there was no panic in the market after the inflation data was released last week, U.S. inflation continued to rise, posing a real threat to emerging markets.</p><p>Tatiana Lysenko, chief emerging markets economist at S&P Global Ratings, said that rising inflation and yields in the United States will push up borrowing costs in developing countries. In addition,<b>The broader risk is that the U.S. economy will be ahead of emerging economies, which will lead to outflows from emerging market stocks and bonds, ultimately triggering currency devaluation.</b></p><p>According to S&P data, refinancing costs in 15 of the 18 largest advanced economies are more than 1 percentage point lower than the average borrowing cost. Most of these economies pay less than 1% in interest.</p><p>Ren Zeping, chief economist of Soochow Securities, called for vigilance against the risks caused by the Federal Reserve's rate hike shrinking balance sheet in a research report released on June 11.</p><p>He said that according to market expectations, the vaccination rate in the United States may reach 70% around October, and the vaccination will be basically completed by the end of the year. The future shrinking balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and the risk of capital outflows from new markets deserve vigilance.</p><p>He stressed that global asset price valuations are now very high, and China has normalized its monetary policy.<b>If one day the Federal Reserve normalizes its monetary policy, or starts shrinking balance sheet and tightening monetary policy, it will put pressure on the global capital market.</b>In February and March this year, the US Dollar Index briefly strengthened, funds flowed out of new markets, and the Turkish market collapsed directly.</p><p>Regarding the economic, policy and market outlook for the third quarter, he reminded investors to remember three points:</p><p><b>First, the first quarter is the economic high point, and there will be a marginal slowdown in the second and third quarters.</b></p><p><b>Second, the most violent rise in commodity prices may be over, and the high point is approaching.</b></p><p><b>Third, the market's expectations and anxiety about monetary policy tightening will ease.</b></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c642e2602b0226eff0cc78e1452765cc","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123321973","content_text":"本周迎来超级央行周，美联储等多家央行将公布利率决议。\n美国5月通胀已经高达5%，创出十三年新高，美联储本周议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE？这已成为市场焦点。\n著名经济学家任泽平近日表示，如果美联储货币政策正常化，或者说开始缩表、紧缩货币政策，会对全球资本市场产生压力。\n// 超级央行周到来 //\n本周，美联储、日本央行、瑞士央行等将公布利率决议。\n其中，最受关注的还是美联储。\n北京时间6月17日2点，美联储将公布利率决议；半小时后，美联储主席鲍威尔将举行新闻发布会。\n具体日程参见下方图表：\n\nWind梳理发现，从目前市场预期来看，美联储、日本央行、印尼央行、瑞士央行、挪威央行、土耳其央行和埃及央行等大概率会选择维持现有基准利率水平不变。\n而乌克兰央行可能会选择加息50个基点，巴西央行则可能会加息75个基点。挪威央行可能会暗示在今年9月的时候宣布加息。\n// 通胀飙升，美联储要变脸？ //\n美联储一旦宣布减少每月债券购买规模（QE），将被认为是全球收紧货币政策的关键信号。\nWind查询多方资料发现，目前主流看法是，美联储最快有望在今年8月末之前的杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上释放该信号，而更为普遍看法是在今年9月份的会议上宣布。但不人们似乎不太相信美联储认为“通胀只是暂时的”说法。\n美联储在4月份的政策声明中写道：“Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors.”（通胀已经走高，主要反映了暂时性因素）。因此，对于6月的利率决议来说，美联储是否会删除这一表述，预计将会是引发全市场波动的“震中”。\n目前市场正在等待美联储的明确信号，美元波动率已跌至一年多来的最低水平。\n// 美国CPI创近13年新高 //\n如果美联储改变鸽派立场，通胀将是决定性因素。\n美国劳工部当地时间10日公布的数据显示，5月CPI同比升5%，创2008年8月来新高，预期升4.7%，前值升4.2%，创下近13年来最大同比增幅。\n\n（图片来自Wind金融终端EDB模块）\n与去年疫情期间的数据相比，年度通胀指标得到了提振，当时由于对许多商品和服务的需求暴跌，价格大幅下跌。市场目前预计这种所谓的基数效应将大幅推高5月和6月的通胀数据，直至秋季。\n据美国商务部近期公布的多项数据显示，截止4月，全美范围内的房价正在大幅飙升。\n标普席勒房价指数3月较2020年同期上涨13.2%，为2005年12月以来最大涨幅，包括纽约、旧金山在内的美国90%的城市房价指数均创下新高。\n6月月初公布的美联储“褐皮书”显示美国通胀压力进一步增加。报告显示，4月初至5月底，美国各辖区经济活动以更快速度温和扩张。各辖区普遍预计，未来几个月成本和销售价格可能继续上扬。\n// 通胀数据公布，市场并未恐慌 //\n不过值得注意的是，6月11日美国通胀数据超预期，但是并没有引发市场恐慌。\n当天，美国三大股指集体收涨，涨幅均在1%之内；欧股涨跌不一。COMEX期金涨0.31%，报1901.3美元/盎司；国际原油期货收盘普涨，美油7月合约涨0.19%，报70.09美元/桶。伦敦基本金属涨跌不一，LME期铜跌0.85%。\n市场波动率未上升的其中一个原因是隔夜欧央行鸽派的态度，市场或认为同样现象也会发生在美联储身上。\n欧洲央行(ECB)选择不暗示何时可能开始缩减其疫情时期的刺激计划，并预计在可预见的未来，通胀仍将低于目标水平。同时欧洲央行决定继续实施刺激计划，其超低利率也保持不变。\n// 任泽平：警惕美联储加息缩表风险 //\n尽管上周通胀数据公布后，市场并未出现恐慌，但是美国通胀持续走高，对新兴市场却构成实质威胁。\n标普全球评级新兴市场首席经济学家塔蒂亚娜·李森科表示，美国通胀和收益率上升会推高发展中国家的借贷成本，除此之外，更广泛的风险是，美国经济将领先于新兴经济体，这将导致资金流出新兴市场股票和债券，最终引发货币贬值。\n标普的数据显示，18个最大的发达经济体中有15个的再融资成本比平均借贷成本低1个百分点以上。其中大多数经济体支付的利息不到1%。\n东吴证券首席经济学家任泽平在6月11日发布的研报中呼吁，警惕美联储加息缩表引发的风险。\n他表示，如果按照市场预计，10月份前后，美国的疫苗接种可能能达到70%，到年底基本接种完毕，美联储未来的缩表和资本从新市场流出的风险值得警惕。\n他强调，现在全球资产价格估值都很高，中国已经货币政策正常化了，如果哪天美联储货币政策正常化，或者说开始缩表、紧缩货币政策，会对全球的资本市场产生压力。今年二三月份美元指数短暂走强，资金从新市场流出，土耳其市场直接就崩盘了。\n对于三季度的经济、政策和市场展望，他提醒投资者记住三点：\n第一点，一季度是经济高点，二三季度会边际放缓。\n第二点，大宗商品价格最猛烈的上涨的阶段可能结束了，高点临近了。\n第三点，市场对货币政策收紧的预期和焦虑会缓解。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186889979,"gmtCreate":1623484520191,"gmtModify":1704204916987,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186889979","repostId":"2142197209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142197209","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623423107,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142197209?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 22:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. Michigan consumer confidence climbed in June from the previous month, inflation expectations unexpectedly fell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142197209","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"周五公布的密歇根大学消费者信心指数6月初值显示，美国消费者情绪在6月初升幅超过预期。\n根据数据，6月的消费者信心指数初值为86.4，相较5月终值82.9出现明显上升，也高于84.4的市场预期。此外，同","content":"<p>The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index released on Friday in early June showed that U.S. consumer sentiment rose more than expected in early June.</p><p>According to the data, the initial value of the consumer confidence index in June was 86.4, which was significantly higher than the final value of 82.9 in May and higher than the market expectation of 84.4. In addition, the current economic conditions index released at the same time rose slightly to 90.6 from 89.4 in May, while the consumer expectation index rose to 83.8 from 78.8 in May.</p><p>In terms of inflation, this survey shows that consumers' expectations for inflation in the coming year are 4.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from 4.6% last month; The expected value of inflation in the next five years is 2.8%, down 0.2 percentage points from 3.0% last month.</p><p>However, it should be noted that one-year and five-year inflation expectations are still at the highest level since 2011.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7f775be5dbf6b1ae3d012b4636fb0c2\" tg-width=\"1199\" tg-height=\"692\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As a reference, the upward trend of the break-even inflation rate, which measures the inflation expectation of the U.S. bond market, since the beginning of the year has temporarily ended in mid-May. The current 5-year period is roughly in the 2.4 ~ 2.5% range, while the 10-year period is in the 2.3 ~ 2.4% range.</p><p>Richard Curtin, head of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey, pointed out when releasing the data that the U.S. economy is expected to see stronger growth, and the number of consumers who expect the unemployment rate to record a net decrease has hit a record high. But even as inflation expectations fell in early June, rising inflation rates remain top of mind for consumers.</p><p>Richard Curtin also said that in this survey, the negative feedback of consumers surveyed on the prices of housing, automobiles and household durable goods was the worst level since the record low in November 1974.</p><p>Financial blog ZeroHedge pointed out in the analysis after the data was released that the increase in consumer confidence index this month far exceeded market expectations, because the sharp rise in consumer expectation index provided impetus.</p><p>Bloomberg pointed out in an article after the data was released that with the lifting of travel restrictions, the warming of temperatures and the weakening of health problems, consumers' sentiment is more optimistic. At the same time, policymakers, as well as investors, are paying close attention to inflation expectations as the economy accelerates.</p><p>ben'ci</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Michigan consumer confidence climbed in June from the previous month, inflation expectations unexpectedly fell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Michigan consumer confidence climbed in June from the previous month, inflation expectations unexpectedly fell\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 22:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index released on Friday in early June showed that U.S. consumer sentiment rose more than expected in early June.</p><p>According to the data, the initial value of the consumer confidence index in June was 86.4, which was significantly higher than the final value of 82.9 in May and higher than the market expectation of 84.4. In addition, the current economic conditions index released at the same time rose slightly to 90.6 from 89.4 in May, while the consumer expectation index rose to 83.8 from 78.8 in May.</p><p>In terms of inflation, this survey shows that consumers' expectations for inflation in the coming year are 4.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from 4.6% last month; The expected value of inflation in the next five years is 2.8%, down 0.2 percentage points from 3.0% last month.</p><p>However, it should be noted that one-year and five-year inflation expectations are still at the highest level since 2011.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7f775be5dbf6b1ae3d012b4636fb0c2\" tg-width=\"1199\" tg-height=\"692\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>As a reference, the upward trend of the break-even inflation rate, which measures the inflation expectation of the U.S. bond market, since the beginning of the year has temporarily ended in mid-May. The current 5-year period is roughly in the 2.4 ~ 2.5% range, while the 10-year period is in the 2.3 ~ 2.4% range.</p><p>Richard Curtin, head of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey, pointed out when releasing the data that the U.S. economy is expected to see stronger growth, and the number of consumers who expect the unemployment rate to record a net decrease has hit a record high. But even as inflation expectations fell in early June, rising inflation rates remain top of mind for consumers.</p><p>Richard Curtin also said that in this survey, the negative feedback of consumers surveyed on the prices of housing, automobiles and household durable goods was the worst level since the record low in November 1974.</p><p>Financial blog ZeroHedge pointed out in the analysis after the data was released that the increase in consumer confidence index this month far exceeded market expectations, because the sharp rise in consumer expectation index provided impetus.</p><p>Bloomberg pointed out in an article after the data was released that with the lifting of travel restrictions, the warming of temperatures and the weakening of health problems, consumers' sentiment is more optimistic. At the same time, policymakers, as well as investors, are paying close attention to inflation expectations as the economy accelerates.</p><p>ben'ci</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632805\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632805","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142197209","content_text":"周五公布的密歇根大学消费者信心指数6月初值显示，美国消费者情绪在6月初升幅超过预期。\n根据数据，6月的消费者信心指数初值为86.4，相较5月终值82.9出现明显上升，也高于84.4的市场预期。此外，同时发布的经济现况指数从5月的89.4小升至90.6，而消费者预期指数则是从5月的78.8升至83.8。\n通胀方面，本次调查显示，消费者对未来一年通胀的预期值为4.0%，较上月的4.6%下降了0.6个百分点；而对未来五年通胀的预期值为2.8%，较上月的3.0%下降了0.2个百分点。\n不过需要注意的是，一年及五年通胀预期目前仍然处于2011年以来的高位。\n\n作为参照，衡量美债市场对通胀预期的盈亏平衡通胀率年初以来的上行趋势已在5月中旬暂告终结，目前5年期大体位于2.4~2.5%区间，而10年期则位于2.3~2.4%区间。\n密歇根大学消费者信心调查的负责人Richard Curtin在公布数据时指出，美国经济预期会出现更强增长，预计失业率将录得净降低的消费者人数创下历史新高。但是，尽管通胀预期在6月初有所下降，通胀率上升仍然是消费者最关心的问题。\nRichard Curtin同时还表示，本次调查中，受访消费者对住房、汽车、家庭耐用品价格的负面反馈是1974年11月历史新低以来最差水平。\n金融博客ZeroHedge在数据出炉之后的分析中指出，本月消费者信心指数的升幅远超市场预期，原因在于消费者预期指数的大幅上升提供了动力。\n而彭博在数据公布后的文章当中指出，随着旅行限制的取消，气温回暖以及健康问题的弱化，消费者的情绪更加乐观。与此同时，随着经济发展加速，政策制定者以及投资者都在密切关注通胀预期。\nben'ci","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186880890,"gmtCreate":1623484487710,"gmtModify":1704204916016,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186880890","repostId":"1105134625","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105134625","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623140058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105134625?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 16:14","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: The lunch break arrangement is here! Hong Kong stocks will be closed for one day on June 14","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105134625","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月14日（周一）休市，6月15日（周二）起照常开市。美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。端午节，又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等，源于自然天象崇拜，由上古时代祭龙演变而来。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽，后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日；也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说，端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪，注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。","content":"<p>As the Dragon Boat Festival, a traditional Chinese festival, approaches, the closing arrangements of major markets are as follows:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad358d24b10a4ecf9c9fa183f3c2ab9b\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>A shares:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on June 14th (Monday) and open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on June 14th (Monday) and open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on Monday, June 14 for Queen's Birthday, and will be open as usual from Tuesday, June 15.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks, British stocks and Singapore stock markets traded as usual.</b></p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>The service will not be available on June 14th (Monday), and will be open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>The service will not be available on June 14th (Monday), and will be open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Background Introduction:</b></p><p>Dragon Boat Festival, also known as Duanyang Festival, Dragon Boat Festival, Tianzhong Festival, etc., originated from the worship of natural astronomical phenomena and evolved from worshipping dragons in ancient times. During the Dragon Boat Festival in midsummer, the seven stays of the black dragon soared into the middle of the south, and was in the most \"middle\" position of the whole year, that is, the fifth line of the Book of Changes Gan Gua said: \"The flying dragon is in the sky\". Its origin covers ancient astrological culture, humanistic philosophy and other aspects, and contains profound and rich cultural connotations. In the process of inheritance and development, a variety of folk customs are mixed into one, and the contents of festivals and customs are rich. Picking dragon boats and eating rice dumplings are the two major rituals and customs of the Dragon Boat Festival, which have been passed down in China since ancient times and have continued until now.</p><p>The Dragon Boat Festival was originally a festival founded by ancient ancestors to worship the dragon ancestors and pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits. Legend has it that Qu Yuan, a poet of Chu during the Warring States Period, committed suicide by jumping into Miluo River on May 5th. Later, people also took the Dragon Boat Festival as a festival to commemorate Qu Yuan. There are also sayings to commemorate Wu Zixu, Cao E and Jie Zitui. Generally speaking, the Dragon Boat Festival originated from the ancient ancestors who chose the auspicious day of \"flying dragon in the sky\" to worship the dragon ancestors, pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits, and injected the fashion of \"curing diseases and preventing epidemics\" in summer.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: The lunch break arrangement is here! Hong Kong stocks will be closed for one day on June 14</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: The lunch break arrangement is here! Hong Kong stocks will be closed for one day on June 14\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-08 16:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Dragon Boat Festival, a traditional Chinese festival, approaches, the closing arrangements of major markets are as follows:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad358d24b10a4ecf9c9fa183f3c2ab9b\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>A shares:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on June 14th (Monday) and open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on June 14th (Monday) and open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on Monday, June 14 for Queen's Birthday, and will be open as usual from Tuesday, June 15.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks, British stocks and Singapore stock markets traded as usual.</b></p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>The service will not be available on June 14th (Monday), and will be open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>The service will not be available on June 14th (Monday), and will be open as usual from June 15th (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Background Introduction:</b></p><p>Dragon Boat Festival, also known as Duanyang Festival, Dragon Boat Festival, Tianzhong Festival, etc., originated from the worship of natural astronomical phenomena and evolved from worshipping dragons in ancient times. During the Dragon Boat Festival in midsummer, the seven stays of the black dragon soared into the middle of the south, and was in the most \"middle\" position of the whole year, that is, the fifth line of the Book of Changes Gan Gua said: \"The flying dragon is in the sky\". Its origin covers ancient astrological culture, humanistic philosophy and other aspects, and contains profound and rich cultural connotations. In the process of inheritance and development, a variety of folk customs are mixed into one, and the contents of festivals and customs are rich. Picking dragon boats and eating rice dumplings are the two major rituals and customs of the Dragon Boat Festival, which have been passed down in China since ancient times and have continued until now.</p><p>The Dragon Boat Festival was originally a festival founded by ancient ancestors to worship the dragon ancestors and pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits. Legend has it that Qu Yuan, a poet of Chu during the Warring States Period, committed suicide by jumping into Miluo River on May 5th. Later, people also took the Dragon Boat Festival as a festival to commemorate Qu Yuan. There are also sayings to commemorate Wu Zixu, Cao E and Jie Zitui. Generally speaking, the Dragon Boat Festival originated from the ancient ancestors who chose the auspicious day of \"flying dragon in the sky\" to worship the dragon ancestors, pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits, and injected the fashion of \"curing diseases and preventing epidemics\" in summer.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105134625","content_text":"临近中国传统节日端午节假期，各主要市场休市安排如下：A股：6月14日（周一）休市，6月15日（周二）起照常开市。港股：6月14日（周一）休市，6月15日（周二）起照常开市。澳股：6月14日（周一）因 Queen's Birthday 休市，6月15日（周二）起照常开市。美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。沪股通、深股通：6月14日（周一）不提供服务，6月15日（周二）起照常开通。港股通：6月14日（周一）不提供服务，6月15日（周二）起照常开通。背景介绍：端午节，又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等，源于自然天象崇拜，由上古时代祭龙演变而来。仲夏端午，苍龙七宿飞升于正南中天，处于全年最“正中”之位，即如《易经·乾卦》第五爻的爻辞曰：“飞龙在天”。其起源涵盖了古老星象文化、人文哲学等方面内容，蕴含着深邃丰厚的文化内涵，在传承发展中杂糅了多种民俗为一体，节俗内容丰富。扒龙舟与食粽是端午节的两大礼俗，这两大礼俗在中国自古传承，至今不辍。端午节，本是上古先民创立用于拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪的节日。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽，后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日；也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说，端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪，注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188695046,"gmtCreate":1623430899285,"gmtModify":1704203660616,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188695046","repostId":"1185815929","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185815929","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1623381455,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185815929?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 11:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America \"slaps\" the Federal Reserve in the face: How can there be \"temporary\" inflation?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185815929","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储真的如市场相信的那样，可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上？美银不同意：“历史表明，一旦通胀走高，就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了，但市场似乎已经无所畏惧，美股美债齐齐","content":"<p>The Fed really, as the market believes, can easily turn high inflation<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0NQC.UK\">Pandora</a>Magic box closed? Bank of America disagrees: \"History shows that once inflation is higher, it is difficult to control it without triggering a recession\". U.S. inflation has exploded again, but the market seems to be fearless, and U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds have all soared. Investors seem to have begun to believe the Fed's rhetoric: inflation is only temporarily higher.</p><p>However,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Chief economist Michelle Meyer said bluntly: We don't buy it!</p><p>In her opinion,<b>As signs of labor shortages and inflation continue to emerge, the confidence of both the Fed and the market is becoming increasingly unconvincing, and the groundwork for more sustained inflation in the future is beginning to be laid from this moment on.</b></p><p>Bank of America said that at a time when U.S. inflation hit consecutive new highs in April and May, instead of realizing the inflation risks implied by a range of indicators, the market has a long list of excuses to turn a blind eye to signs of inflation:</p><p>1. Labor shortages will disappear in the autumn, when unemployment benefits will be reduced, child care will be easier to find, and concerns about contracting Novel Coronavirus at work will also decrease; 2. The bottleneck of commodity production is caused by special shocks. As production picks up and demand shifts from goods to services, bottlenecks will gradually disappear; 3. As the impact of past supply disruptions subsides, labor shortages ease and commodity demand growth slows down, trade bottlenecks will also be alleviated; 4. The price increase is purely temporary, and it is aimed at specific industries. As supply picks up, the rally will also fade; 5. By definition, either aspect of price inflation is temporarily higher, because the output gap still exists, and the persistent price pressure requires the gap to disappear; 6. Salary increases mainly occur in lower-paid jobs. This is a good thing because it helps to close the income gap; 7. In recent years, the link between wage level and price inflation has weakened. We should still celebrate, not lament, the wage increase; 8. By definition, any aspect of wage growth is temporary, because the unemployment rate is still too high to produce sustained wage pressure; 9. The University of Michigan's inflation expectations index has soared, but this is an overreaction to the obvious rise in food and energy prices; When these two major prices go lower, inflation expectations also fade; 10. Historically, inflation expectations will only rise after actual inflation remains high for a period of time; The recent rise must have been a fluke; 11. The break-even inflation rate is only rising moderately. If there is a real problem, the bond market will tell us everything; 12. Ignoring those rough surveys on inflation expectations, the survey of professional economists still believes that in the long run, inflation will reach the Fed's target. Bank of America also pointed out that the most important point is that,<b>The market believes that \"don't worry about inflation being too high, because the Fed can do everything it can to rate hike to cool inflation.\"</b></p><p>In this regard, the financial blog Zero Hedge directly sarcastically said: The Federal Reserve has done a good job. It can not only use rate hike to cool inflation, but also make baby U.S. stocks collapse within 15 minutes.</p><p>However, it is worth noting that the above views of the market are more or less reasonable. So, what is Bank of America worried about?</p><p>Meyer believes that it is unreasonable to regard all recent inflation problems as \"temporary.\" The most crucial point is,<b>These \"temporary\" pressures may last for several months and may become an inherent factor in the psychology of inflation.</b></p><p>She also said that considering that the U.S. monetary and fiscal authorities have shown in words and actions that they want the economy to overheat and inflation to rise in the next few years, the above possibility becomes very high.</p><p>Bank of America does not agree with the statement that \"the Federal Reserve can easily close the Pandora's box of high inflation\":</p><p>We have never had consistently high inflation in recent decades.<b>But history shows that once inflation is higher, it is difficult to control it without triggering a recession.</b>In addition, the Fed has promised that rate hike will come later than normal and will only rate hike if they believe higher inflation is embedded in the U.S. economy.</p><p>This means that the Fed's current policy strategy makes rate hike more and more difficult, but if something unexpected happens and the rate hike signal comes earlier than the Fed's current hint, then it will be too late for the market.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America \"slaps\" the Federal Reserve in the face: How can there be \"temporary\" inflation?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America \"slaps\" the Federal Reserve in the face: How can there be \"temporary\" inflation?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-11 11:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Fed really, as the market believes, can easily turn high inflation<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0NQC.UK\">Pandora</a>Magic box closed? Bank of America disagrees: \"History shows that once inflation is higher, it is difficult to control it without triggering a recession\". U.S. inflation has exploded again, but the market seems to be fearless, and U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds have all soared. Investors seem to have begun to believe the Fed's rhetoric: inflation is only temporarily higher.</p><p>However,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Chief economist Michelle Meyer said bluntly: We don't buy it!</p><p>In her opinion,<b>As signs of labor shortages and inflation continue to emerge, the confidence of both the Fed and the market is becoming increasingly unconvincing, and the groundwork for more sustained inflation in the future is beginning to be laid from this moment on.</b></p><p>Bank of America said that at a time when U.S. inflation hit consecutive new highs in April and May, instead of realizing the inflation risks implied by a range of indicators, the market has a long list of excuses to turn a blind eye to signs of inflation:</p><p>1. Labor shortages will disappear in the autumn, when unemployment benefits will be reduced, child care will be easier to find, and concerns about contracting Novel Coronavirus at work will also decrease; 2. The bottleneck of commodity production is caused by special shocks. As production picks up and demand shifts from goods to services, bottlenecks will gradually disappear; 3. As the impact of past supply disruptions subsides, labor shortages ease and commodity demand growth slows down, trade bottlenecks will also be alleviated; 4. The price increase is purely temporary, and it is aimed at specific industries. As supply picks up, the rally will also fade; 5. By definition, either aspect of price inflation is temporarily higher, because the output gap still exists, and the persistent price pressure requires the gap to disappear; 6. Salary increases mainly occur in lower-paid jobs. This is a good thing because it helps to close the income gap; 7. In recent years, the link between wage level and price inflation has weakened. We should still celebrate, not lament, the wage increase; 8. By definition, any aspect of wage growth is temporary, because the unemployment rate is still too high to produce sustained wage pressure; 9. The University of Michigan's inflation expectations index has soared, but this is an overreaction to the obvious rise in food and energy prices; When these two major prices go lower, inflation expectations also fade; 10. Historically, inflation expectations will only rise after actual inflation remains high for a period of time; The recent rise must have been a fluke; 11. The break-even inflation rate is only rising moderately. If there is a real problem, the bond market will tell us everything; 12. Ignoring those rough surveys on inflation expectations, the survey of professional economists still believes that in the long run, inflation will reach the Fed's target. Bank of America also pointed out that the most important point is that,<b>The market believes that \"don't worry about inflation being too high, because the Fed can do everything it can to rate hike to cool inflation.\"</b></p><p>In this regard, the financial blog Zero Hedge directly sarcastically said: The Federal Reserve has done a good job. It can not only use rate hike to cool inflation, but also make baby U.S. stocks collapse within 15 minutes.</p><p>However, it is worth noting that the above views of the market are more or less reasonable. So, what is Bank of America worried about?</p><p>Meyer believes that it is unreasonable to regard all recent inflation problems as \"temporary.\" The most crucial point is,<b>These \"temporary\" pressures may last for several months and may become an inherent factor in the psychology of inflation.</b></p><p>She also said that considering that the U.S. monetary and fiscal authorities have shown in words and actions that they want the economy to overheat and inflation to rise in the next few years, the above possibility becomes very high.</p><p>Bank of America does not agree with the statement that \"the Federal Reserve can easily close the Pandora's box of high inflation\":</p><p>We have never had consistently high inflation in recent decades.<b>But history shows that once inflation is higher, it is difficult to control it without triggering a recession.</b>In addition, the Fed has promised that rate hike will come later than normal and will only rate hike if they believe higher inflation is embedded in the U.S. economy.</p><p>This means that the Fed's current policy strategy makes rate hike more and more difficult, but if something unexpected happens and the rate hike signal comes earlier than the Fed's current hint, then it will be too late for the market.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185815929","content_text":"美联储真的如市场相信的那样，可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上？美银不同意：“历史表明，一旦通胀走高，就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制”。\n\n美国通胀又爆表了，但市场似乎已经无所畏惧，美股美债齐齐大涨。投资者们似乎已经开始相信美联储的那一套说辞：通胀嘛，只是暂时走高而已。\n然而，美国银行首席经济学家Michelle Meyer却直言：我们不买账！\n在她看来，随着劳动力短缺和通胀迹象不断出现，美联储和市场的自信都在变得越来越令人难以信服，未来更持续的通胀正从此刻开始打下基础。\n美国银行表示，在美国4月、5月通胀连续创出新高之际，市场非但没有意识到一系列指标所暗示的通胀风险，反而还有一长串对通胀迹象视而不见的借口：\n\n 1、劳动力短缺将在秋季消失，届时失业福利将减少，儿童保育更好找，对于在工作岗位上感染新冠病毒的担忧也将减退；\n\n\n 2、商品生产的瓶颈是由特殊的冲击造成的。随着生产回暖，需求从商品转向服务，瓶颈就将逐渐消失；\n\n\n 3、随着过去供应中断的影响消退，劳动力短缺出现缓解以及商品需求增长减速，贸易瓶颈也将得到缓解；\n\n\n 4、价格纯粹是暂时性上涨，而且是针对了特定行业。随着供应回升，涨势也将消退；\n\n\n 5、从定义出发，价格通胀的任一方面都是暂时性走高，因为产出缺口仍旧存在，而持续的价格压力则需要缺口消失；\n\n\n 6、薪资上涨主要出现在工资较低的工作当中。这是一件好事，因为这有助于缩小收入差距；\n\n\n 7、近年来，薪资水平和物价通胀之间的联系有所减弱。我们仍旧应该庆祝，而非哀叹工资上涨；\n\n\n 8、从定义出发，薪资增速的任一方面都是暂时性增长，因为失业率仍旧太高，无法产生持续的薪资压力；\n\n\n 9、密歇根大学通胀预期指数已经飙升，但这是对显而易见的食物和能源价格上涨的过度反应；当这两大价格走低时，通胀预期也会消退；\n\n\n 10、从历史上看，只有在实际通胀持续高企一段时间之后，通胀预期才会走高；最近的上涨一定是侥幸；\n\n\n 11、盈亏平衡通胀率只是温和上升，如果真的存在问题，债市会告诉我们一切；\n\n\n 12、忽略那些有关通胀预期的粗略调查，对专业经济学家的调查仍旧认为，长期来看，通胀将达到美联储的目标。\n\n美国银行还指出，最重要的一点在于，市场相信“不要担心通胀过高，因为美联储可以竭尽所能地加息，以此来冷却通胀”。\n对此，金融博客Zero Hedge直接讽刺道：美联储行得很，不仅可以用加息来冷却通胀，还可以让宝贝美股在15分钟之内就崩盘呢。\n不过值得注意的是，市场的上述观点，多多少少都还算有一些道理。那么，美国银行在担心什么？\nMeyer认为，若将近期所有的通胀问题均视为“暂时出现”，这并不合情理。最关键的地方是，这些“暂时性”压力可能会持续好几个月，并可能成为通胀心理学当中的固有因素。\n她还称，考虑到美国货币和财政当局已经用言语和行动表明，他们希望未来几年经济过热、通胀走高，上述可能性就变得非常之大。\n对于“美联储可以轻易把高通胀的潘多拉魔盒关上”的说法，美国银行也并不认同：\n\n 近几十年来，我们从未有过持续的高通胀。\n 但历史表明，一旦通胀走高，就很难在不引发经济衰退的情况下加以控制。\n\n此外，美联储已经承诺，加息将比常态情况下来得更晚，且只有当他们相信更高的通胀已经根植于美国经济之中时才会加息。\n这也就意味着，美联储当前的政策策略使得加息变得愈发困难，但如果有意外发生，加息信号来得比美联储目前的暗示还要早，那么对于市场而言，一切就已经太晚了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SH":0.9,"QID":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SDS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183414844,"gmtCreate":1623340597688,"gmtModify":1704201374508,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183414844","repostId":"1174161709","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174161709","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623329027,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174161709?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-10 20:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Terrible Impact or September Coming! New Debt King: A huge amount of water released seriously distorts the economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174161709","media":"腾讯美股 ","summary":"美国联邦政府的疫情紧急失业补偿（PUEC）计划延长了人们能够领取周失业救济的时间，而疫情失业援助（PUA）计划则覆盖了自雇、兼职和零工人群，还有混合收入者失业补偿（MEUC）计划，为那些自雇者和混合型","content":"<p><i>The U.S. federal government's Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation (PUEC) program extends the time people can receive weekly unemployment benefits, while the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) program covers self-employed, part-time and gig workers, as well as mixed-income unemployment compensation (MEUC) program to support those who are self-employed and mixed-income earners. All these plans will expire on September 6th this year. Gundlach, the new debt king, predicted that by then, the economy would suffer a \"major impact\", because people's discretionary income would be greatly reduced.</i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1128c45336de836d2faa4cd00f221686\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"718\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">On the one hand, it is the slow restart in the post-epidemic era, and on the other hand, it is the fiscal stimulus of the federal government. According to Jeffrey Gundlach, the founder of Double Line Capital, the interaction of the two has caused \"serious distortions\" to the US economy.</p><p>The famous \"debt king\" pointed out in a webcast on Tuesday that at the national level, countless enterprises, large and small, are finding it extremely difficult to recruit enough people to keep the company running and expand its operations. Although \"a large number of jobs are vacant, they can't be filled in time, all because the federal government is competing with private enterprises\". Double Line Capital manages more than $140 billion in investments. What Gundlach is referring to here is obviously too generous unemployment benefits. During Tuesday's more than 90-minute webcast, he also talked about his many other views on the economy in the post-epidemic era.</p><p><b>Inflation expectations</b></p><p>Gundlach said that although inflation is rising rapidly now, it may only be temporary. At present, food prices are high, and manufacturing inventory levels are at their lowest point in nearly two decades. \"None of this is obviously likely to put downward pressure on inflation.\"</p><p>The producer price index (PPI), which measures the long-term changes in the sales prices of goods and services in the United States, has also been rising, but no one knows how long this rise will last. Gundlach predicted that even if the price will continue to rise, the rise rate of the index may slow down.</p><p><b>Distorted departments</b></p><p>\"What we're not really looking at right now are special areas of the economy, such as used cars,\" Gundlach analyzed. \"The price of these goods has almost doubled in the past year.\" He also recently found that the price of used trucks is now close to that of new trucks, and in fact they are almost out of stock across the United States. \"This situation is clearly unsustainable.\" Gundlach added that these high prices are clearly \"not enough to create a disinflationary trend.\"</p><p>Housing inventory is also a \"highly distorted\" sector of the economy. Gundlach pointed out that the residential inventory in the United States has now dropped to the only level seen in many years, and in some areas, there are no homes for sale. He said that in many places, the number of real estate brokers is even ten times that of the houses they sell. \"This is not good news for brokerage houses\".</p><p>Demand for residential construction and renovation materials also remained high, directly leading to the explosion of lumber prices, joining the army of skyrocketing prices of other commodities, but Gundlach believes that these troubles may have peaked.</p><p>Office real estate prices continue to plummet, and occupancy rates continue to remain low. \"Although the recovery in all fields of the economy is in progress, and it has also led to the emergence of these inflationary pressures,\" the process of everyone returning to the company office is very slow. Gundlach predicted that \"unless there is a recurrence of the epidemic,\" the change of going back to office will usher in a peak by the end of summer.</p><p>But even so, I'm afraid the business operation will not be the same as before. \"Many people have expressed the hope of working from home more days. Now that virtual technology is so developed, reality has proven that in some cases, working from home can actually improve efficiency because a lot of communication time is removed.\"</p><p><b>Overseas Stocks vs. USD</b></p><p>For many years, the performance of the U.S. stock market has been better than that of overseas stock markets. Recently, however, the gap between the two is narrowing. \"Non-U.S. stocks have started to keep pace with U.S. stocks and no longer let the latter outperform.\" Gundlach noted that if the dollar starts to weaken, the situation could become more favorable for overseas stocks. He has recently started investing in overseas stock markets for the first time in his career.</p><p>\"There are strong signs that the dollar will weaken in the medium to long term,\" Gundlach added, adding that in the short term, he would be neutral on the dollar for the time being.</p><p>From a long-term perspective, the eventual decline of the US dollar exchange rate is an almost unchangeable trend. After all, the trade deficit and budget deficit of the United States have now \"doubled compared with the level we once thought was terrible\". After Americans get their stimulus checks from the government, many people use them to buy products, many of which are produced in Asia, which can only further widen the trade deficit.</p><p>\"Retail investors have suddenly emerged recently, and their strength is astonishing. In fact, it is also a distortion, and its root lies in the discretionary income from the government.\"</p><p><b>Unemployment Claims' Shock '</b></p><p>The number of weekly initial jobless claims has inevitably increased significantly during the pandemic, and this data has not yet returned to normal levels. Although the unemployment rate in various states has begun to normalize, it is completely \"delusional\" to truly normalize it. Gundlach said, this is because the federal stimulus benefits are still being distributed.</p><p>The federal government's Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation (PUEC) program extends the time people can receive weekly unemployment benefits, while the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) program covers self-employed, part-time and gig workers, as well as the Mixed-Income Unemployment Compensation (MEUC) program to support those who are self-employed and mixed-income earners. All these plans will expire on September 6th this year. Gundlach predicted that by then, the economy would suffer a \"major impact\", because people's discretionary income would be greatly reduced.</p><p>This shock may reverse some of the current jaw-dropping momentum, such as the severe scarcity of homes and cars. Gundlach said that this may be \"the strongest basis for thinking that inflation will only be a temporary phenomenon-but it also means that the economy may suffer a major reversal as a result\".</p>","source":"txmg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Terrible Impact or September Coming! New Debt King: A huge amount of water released seriously distorts the economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTerrible Impact or September Coming! New Debt King: A huge amount of water released seriously distorts the economy\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">腾讯美股 </strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 20:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>The U.S. federal government's Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation (PUEC) program extends the time people can receive weekly unemployment benefits, while the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) program covers self-employed, part-time and gig workers, as well as mixed-income unemployment compensation (MEUC) program to support those who are self-employed and mixed-income earners. All these plans will expire on September 6th this year. Gundlach, the new debt king, predicted that by then, the economy would suffer a \"major impact\", because people's discretionary income would be greatly reduced.</i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1128c45336de836d2faa4cd00f221686\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"718\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">On the one hand, it is the slow restart in the post-epidemic era, and on the other hand, it is the fiscal stimulus of the federal government. According to Jeffrey Gundlach, the founder of Double Line Capital, the interaction of the two has caused \"serious distortions\" to the US economy.</p><p>The famous \"debt king\" pointed out in a webcast on Tuesday that at the national level, countless enterprises, large and small, are finding it extremely difficult to recruit enough people to keep the company running and expand its operations. Although \"a large number of jobs are vacant, they can't be filled in time, all because the federal government is competing with private enterprises\". Double Line Capital manages more than $140 billion in investments. What Gundlach is referring to here is obviously too generous unemployment benefits. During Tuesday's more than 90-minute webcast, he also talked about his many other views on the economy in the post-epidemic era.</p><p><b>Inflation expectations</b></p><p>Gundlach said that although inflation is rising rapidly now, it may only be temporary. At present, food prices are high, and manufacturing inventory levels are at their lowest point in nearly two decades. \"None of this is obviously likely to put downward pressure on inflation.\"</p><p>The producer price index (PPI), which measures the long-term changes in the sales prices of goods and services in the United States, has also been rising, but no one knows how long this rise will last. Gundlach predicted that even if the price will continue to rise, the rise rate of the index may slow down.</p><p><b>Distorted departments</b></p><p>\"What we're not really looking at right now are special areas of the economy, such as used cars,\" Gundlach analyzed. \"The price of these goods has almost doubled in the past year.\" He also recently found that the price of used trucks is now close to that of new trucks, and in fact they are almost out of stock across the United States. \"This situation is clearly unsustainable.\" Gundlach added that these high prices are clearly \"not enough to create a disinflationary trend.\"</p><p>Housing inventory is also a \"highly distorted\" sector of the economy. Gundlach pointed out that the residential inventory in the United States has now dropped to the only level seen in many years, and in some areas, there are no homes for sale. He said that in many places, the number of real estate brokers is even ten times that of the houses they sell. \"This is not good news for brokerage houses\".</p><p>Demand for residential construction and renovation materials also remained high, directly leading to the explosion of lumber prices, joining the army of skyrocketing prices of other commodities, but Gundlach believes that these troubles may have peaked.</p><p>Office real estate prices continue to plummet, and occupancy rates continue to remain low. \"Although the recovery in all fields of the economy is in progress, and it has also led to the emergence of these inflationary pressures,\" the process of everyone returning to the company office is very slow. Gundlach predicted that \"unless there is a recurrence of the epidemic,\" the change of going back to office will usher in a peak by the end of summer.</p><p>But even so, I'm afraid the business operation will not be the same as before. \"Many people have expressed the hope of working from home more days. Now that virtual technology is so developed, reality has proven that in some cases, working from home can actually improve efficiency because a lot of communication time is removed.\"</p><p><b>Overseas Stocks vs. USD</b></p><p>For many years, the performance of the U.S. stock market has been better than that of overseas stock markets. Recently, however, the gap between the two is narrowing. \"Non-U.S. stocks have started to keep pace with U.S. stocks and no longer let the latter outperform.\" Gundlach noted that if the dollar starts to weaken, the situation could become more favorable for overseas stocks. He has recently started investing in overseas stock markets for the first time in his career.</p><p>\"There are strong signs that the dollar will weaken in the medium to long term,\" Gundlach added, adding that in the short term, he would be neutral on the dollar for the time being.</p><p>From a long-term perspective, the eventual decline of the US dollar exchange rate is an almost unchangeable trend. After all, the trade deficit and budget deficit of the United States have now \"doubled compared with the level we once thought was terrible\". After Americans get their stimulus checks from the government, many people use them to buy products, many of which are produced in Asia, which can only further widen the trade deficit.</p><p>\"Retail investors have suddenly emerged recently, and their strength is astonishing. In fact, it is also a distortion, and its root lies in the discretionary income from the government.\"</p><p><b>Unemployment Claims' Shock '</b></p><p>The number of weekly initial jobless claims has inevitably increased significantly during the pandemic, and this data has not yet returned to normal levels. Although the unemployment rate in various states has begun to normalize, it is completely \"delusional\" to truly normalize it. Gundlach said, this is because the federal stimulus benefits are still being distributed.</p><p>The federal government's Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation (PUEC) program extends the time people can receive weekly unemployment benefits, while the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) program covers self-employed, part-time and gig workers, as well as the Mixed-Income Unemployment Compensation (MEUC) program to support those who are self-employed and mixed-income earners. All these plans will expire on September 6th this year. Gundlach predicted that by then, the economy would suffer a \"major impact\", because people's discretionary income would be greatly reduced.</p><p>This shock may reverse some of the current jaw-dropping momentum, such as the severe scarcity of homes and cars. Gundlach said that this may be \"the strongest basis for thinking that inflation will only be a temporary phenomenon-but it also means that the economy may suffer a major reversal as a result\".</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/D0R8RIuBdSQ_YXcKnU3ksQ\">腾讯美股 </a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1128c45336de836d2faa4cd00f221686","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/D0R8RIuBdSQ_YXcKnU3ksQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174161709","content_text":"美国联邦政府的疫情紧急失业补偿（PUEC）计划延长了人们能够领取周失业救济的时间，而疫情失业援助（PUA）计划则覆盖了自雇、兼职和零工人群，还有混合收入者失业补偿（MEUC）计划，为那些自雇者和混合型收入者提供支持。所有这些计划都将在今年9月6日期满。新债王冈拉克预言说，到那时，经济就会受到“重大冲击”，因为人们的可任意支配所得将大幅度减少。\n一方面是后疫情时代的重启步履迟缓，一方面是联邦政府的财政刺激，在双线资本创始人冈拉克（JeffreyGundlach）看来，两者交相作用，已经使得美国经济受到“严重扭曲”。\n这位鼎鼎大名的“债王”在周二的网络广播当中指出，全美层面，无数大大小小的企业都发现，想要招募到足够公司运转下去和扩大经营的人手正变得极端困难。虽然“为数众多的岗位都空缺着，但是却无法及时得到填补，这都是因为联邦政府在同私人企业竞争的缘故”。双线资本旗下管理着超过1400亿美元投资，冈拉克这里所指的，显然是过于慷慨大度的失业救济补贴。在周二长达九十多分钟的网络广播当中，他还谈到了自己对后疫情时代经济的许多其他看法。\n通货膨胀预期\n冈拉克表示，虽然通货膨胀现在正在急速抬头，但是这真的可能只是暂时性的。目前，食品价格高企，制造业库存水平处在近二十年来的最低点。“这些显然都不可能对通货膨胀造成下行的压力。”\n度量全美商品和服务销售价格长期变化的生产者价格指数（PPI）也一直在上涨，但是没有人知道这涨势会持续多久。冈拉克预言说，即便价格还会继续走高，但是指数的上涨速度可能将会放缓。\n被扭曲的部门\n“我们现在并没有真正认真去研究的，其实是经济当中的一些特殊领域，比如二手汽车。”冈拉克分析道，“这些商品的价格在过去一年时间里几乎翻了一番。”他最近还发现，现在二手卡车的价格已经和新卡车相去无几，而且事实上几乎是在全美范围内断货了。“这种局面显然是不可持久的。”冈拉克补充说，这些高企的价格显然“不足以形成反通货膨胀趋势”。\n住宅库存也是经济当中被“高度扭曲”的一个部门。冈拉克指出，现在全美住宅库存已经跌到了多年以来仅见的水平，在一些地区，甚至已经找不到待售的住宅了。他说，在许多地方，房地产经纪商的数量甚至要十倍于他们销售的住宅，“这对于经纪行来说可不是什么好消息”。\n住宅建筑和翻修材料的需求也居高不下，直接导致木材价格大爆炸，加入了其他商品价格暴涨的大军，但是冈拉克认为，这些麻烦可能已经见顶了。\n办公房地产价格还在持续暴跌，入住率持续保持低水平。“虽然经济各个领域当中的复苏都在进行当中，而且还导致了这些通货膨胀压力的出现”，但是大家回公司办公的进程却很迟缓。冈拉克预计说，“除非疫情出现反复”，不然到夏季结束的时候，回去办公的变化就会迎来峰值。\n不过即便如此，企业经营恐怕也不会再像以前那样了。“许多人都表示，希望多一点在家办公的日子，现在虚拟技术已经如此发达，而且现实已经证明，在一些情况下，因为去除了大量沟通的时间，在家上班反而能够提高效率。”\n海外股票与美元\n此前的许多年时间当中，美国股市的表现一直都要好于海外股市。不过近期以来，两者之间的差距正在缩小。“非美股票已经开始与美国股票表现并驾齐驱，不再让后者专美于前。”冈拉克指出，如果美元汇率开始走低，局面就可能变得对海外股票更加有利。他近期已经职业生涯第一次开始投资海外股市。\n“有充分的迹象显示，中期到长期之内，美元将会趋向疲软。”冈拉克补充道，只是短期之内，他会暂时对美元持中立立场。\n长期角度看来，美元汇率最终走低已经是近乎不可改变的趋势，毕竟美国的贸易赤字和预算赤字现在已经“较之我们曾经以为很糟糕的水平又翻了一番”。美国人从政府拿到他们的刺激支票之后，很多人都将其用于购买产品了，而这些产品当中许多都是在亚洲生产的，而这只能让贸易赤字进一步扩大。\n“散户投资者近来异军突起，强势惊人，其实同样是一种扭曲，而其根源就在于来自政府的可任意支配收入。”\n失业救济“冲击”\n在疫情期间，每周首度申报失业救济人数不可避免地大幅增加，而这一数据至今尚未恢复正常水平。各州的失业率虽然已经开始趋向常态，但是要真正正常化完全是“妄想”，冈拉克说，这是因为联邦刺激福利还在持续发放。\n联邦政府的疫情紧急失业补偿（PUEC）计划延长了人们能够领取周失业救济的时间，而疫情失业援助（PUA）计划则覆盖了自雇、兼职和零工人群，还有混合收入者失业补偿（MEUC）计划，为那些自雇者和混合型收入者提供支持。所有这些计划都将在今年9月6日期满。冈拉克预言说，到那时，经济就会受到“重大冲击”，因为人们的可任意支配所得将大幅度减少。\n这一冲击也许会扭转目前一些令人瞠目结舌的势头，比如住宅和汽车的严重稀缺。冈拉克说，这也许是“认为通货膨胀将只是暂时性现象的最有力根据——不过，这同时也意味着经济可能因此遭遇重大反转”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180252874,"gmtCreate":1623208083798,"gmtModify":1704198388668,"author":{"id":"3575693618857163","authorId":"3575693618857163","name":"SamuelTse","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c835f9ee5e2d52dafa611e8a1cf083d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575693618857163","authorIdStr":"3575693618857163"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/180252874","repostId":"2142293923","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142293923","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623187875,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142293923?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 05:31","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines: IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142293923","media":"新浪财经","summary":"Rettig指出，加密货币市场的价值现在超过2万亿美元。他表示，“大多数加密货币、虚拟货币的创设旨在远离监管雷达，国税局目前已向第三方发出传票，以获取有关加密货币用户的信息”。其表示，国税局正在积极参与民事和刑事执法，但也需要国会提供额外的工具和资源。美国和欧盟还将宣布建立旨在加强两地区半导体供应的伙伴关系。美国对外商品出口攀升至纪录最高。","content":"<p><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The U.S. Internal Revenue Service asked Congress to authorize access to encryption market data, Bitcoin and others fell in response</b><b>2. The United States and the European Union will pledge to end the $18 billion tariff war initiated by Trump</b><b>3. Fancy tax avoidance: The report says that the actual income tax rate of Bezos, Buffett and other wealthy people is much lower than that of ordinary people</b><b>4. Fed inflation indicator reformers warn of inflation expectations, saying policy changes are imperative</b><b>5. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed for the first time this year in April due to a surge in exports of goods and services</b><b>6. Oxford University researcher funded by Man Group claims that its AI can predict stock trends</b><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/34/w500h334/20210609/253f-krhvrxt0024272.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data, Bitcoin and others fall in response</b></p><p>IRS Commissioner Charles Rettig said at a Senate Finance Committee hearing on Tuesday that the IRS needs more power from Congress to regulate the cryptocurrency industry and require the industry to strengthen user reporting.</p><p>Rettig said, \"We are often challenged, and it will be crucial to get clear authorization from Congress to collect this information\".</p><p>The Biden administration has proposed requiring cryptocurrency brokers such as exchanges to report information about customers, including information about indirect foreign investors. In addition, businesses are required to file with the IRS when they receive crypto assets worth more than $10,000.</p><p>Rettig noted that the value of the cryptocurrency market is now over $2 trillion.</p><p>He said, \"Most cryptocurrencies and virtual currencies are created to stay away from the regulatory radar, and the IRS has currently issued subpoenas to third parties to obtain information about cryptocurrency users\". Rettig did not disclose the identity of specific individuals. It said the IRS is actively participating in civil and criminal enforcement, but it also needs additional tools and resources from Congress.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/61/w550h311/20210609/4207-krhvrxt0065471.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The US and EU will pledge to end Trump's $18 billion tariff war</b></p><p>It is reported that EU leaders and US President Biden will promise to end the trade war at the EU-US summit on June 15 and promise to cancel tariffs related to the steel and aluminum trade conflict before the end of the year.</p><p>According to the draft, Europe and the United States will promise to find a solution to aviation disputes before July 11th. The content of the draft may also be revised. The two sides had previously agreed to suspend aviation tariffs until July to promote the conclusion of a solution.</p><p>In addition, the draft shows that the two sides will also strive to cancel the tariffs imposed in the steel and aluminum trade dispute before December 1st.</p><p>The United States and the European Union will also announce a partnership aimed at strengthening semiconductor supply between the two regions. This will be part of the work of the Trade and Technology Committee, a platform for cooperation on digital issues between the EU and the United States, and the two sides will formally reach an agreement at this summit.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/59/w550h309/20210609/51f4-krhvrxs9900794.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Fancy tax avoidance: Report says the real income tax rate of Bezos, Buffett and other wealthy people is much lower than that of ordinary people</b></p><p>A report released Tuesday showed that some of the world's richest people-Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, Carl-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IKAN\">Icahn</a>Michael Bloomberg and George Soros-pay only a fraction of their increasing wealth in income taxes, and even pay zero taxes in some specific years.</p><p>Citing confidential data from thousands of wealthy people obtained from the IRS, ProPublica said that the worth of the 25 richest Americans increased by a total of $401 billion between 2014 and 2018, but these people only paid a total of $13.6 billion in federal income tax during these five years, \"equivalent to a true tax rate of only 3.4%.\"</p><p>In contrast, in recent years, the median annual household income in the United States has been about $70,000, the federal income tax rate has reached 14%, and the tax rate of the highest household income is as high as 37%.</p><p>ProPublica noted that unlike ordinary people, who earn most of their income from traditional wages, billionaires often benefit from \"tax avoidance strategies beyond the reach of ordinary people.\" Their wealth is usually based primarily on the appreciation of stocks and real estate, which are not considered taxable unless they are sold, the report notes.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/89/w533h356/20210609/52a2-krhvrxt0029367.png/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Fed inflation gauge reformers warn of inflation expectation levels, saying policy shift is imperative</b></p><p>Economists who have helped the Fed revise the way it assesses long-term inflation expectations said the current level of expectations means the Fed needs to start paving the way for tapering bond purchases.</p><p>When Brian Sack was the head of monetary and financial market analysis on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors nearly two decades ago, he and his colleagues advocated using forward-looking inflation expectations indicators to help guide policy. Sack, who now serves as a global economic director at hedge fund DE Shaw & Co., said that if the 5-year/5-year forward breakeven inflation rate rises further, it will be a problem for the Fed.</p><p>This indicator will filter out short-term noise affecting consumer prices. It reached a seven-year high of 2.55% last month, which means that from 2026 to 2030, the average annual increase of the price index targeted by the Federal Reserve is expected to exceed 2%. That said, in the eyes of investors, the Fed is actually on track to meet its average inflation target of 2%.</p><p>Sack said the gauge's rebound from the ultra-low levels at the COVID-19 pandemic's initial outbreak is favorable, but if it rises too much further, it could make it more difficult for the Fed to achieve its dual goals of price stability and full employment.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/41/w550h291/20210609/d41d-krhvrxt0017686.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. trade deficit narrowed for the first time this year in April as exports of goods and services surged</b></p><p>The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April for the first time this year, as exports of goods and services rose while imports fell.</p><p>According to data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday, the U.S. trade deficit in goods and services narrowed by 8.2% to $68.9 billion in April, compared with market expectations for a deficit of $68.7 billion, while the trade deficit in March was revised upward to $75 billion.</p><p>U.S. exports rose to $205 billion in April, the highest level since January 2020, while imports fell to $273.9 billion.</p><p>The data showed that imports fell, after consumer demand during the COVID-19 pandemic pushed U.S. imports to new highs. At the same time, the overseas economy improved and began to drive demand for American products and services. U.S. foreign merchandise exports climbed to a record high.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/59/w550h309/20210609/917c-krhvrxt0031254.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Oxford University researcher funded by Man Group claims its AI can predict stock movements</b></p><p>Oxford University researchers funded by Man Group say they created a machine learning program that can predict how stock prices will move-achieving an 80% success rate in about 30 seconds of live trading.</p><p>Artificial intelligence experts at the Oxford-Man Institute for Quantitative Finance use the principles of natural language processing to mine liquidity data in limit trading orders.</p><p>This is a potential improvement for fast money traders looking to step on the market, and the algorithm can figure out the direction of price change over 100 ticks (time-sharing cycles), equivalent to about 30 seconds to 2 minutes of trading time, depending on market conditions.</p><p>\"In multi-step prediction, we effectively build a model that is trained to predict over a smaller time frame,\" said Stefan Zohren, an associate professor at the institute and co-author of this study. \"But we can feed this information back to the model itself and roll forecasts to get longer-term forecasts.\"</p><p>The algorithm is still in beta. Anthony Ledford, chief scientist at Man AHL, said the algorithm is tempting for hedge fund managers, who often split large trade orders into multiple smaller trades.</p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines: IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines: IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">新浪财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-09 05:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The U.S. Internal Revenue Service asked Congress to authorize access to encryption market data, Bitcoin and others fell in response</b><b>2. The United States and the European Union will pledge to end the $18 billion tariff war initiated by Trump</b><b>3. Fancy tax avoidance: The report says that the actual income tax rate of Bezos, Buffett and other wealthy people is much lower than that of ordinary people</b><b>4. Fed inflation indicator reformers warn of inflation expectations, saying policy changes are imperative</b><b>5. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed for the first time this year in April due to a surge in exports of goods and services</b><b>6. Oxford University researcher funded by Man Group claims that its AI can predict stock trends</b><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/34/w500h334/20210609/253f-krhvrxt0024272.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>IRS asks Congress to authorize access to crypto market data, Bitcoin and others fall in response</b></p><p>IRS Commissioner Charles Rettig said at a Senate Finance Committee hearing on Tuesday that the IRS needs more power from Congress to regulate the cryptocurrency industry and require the industry to strengthen user reporting.</p><p>Rettig said, \"We are often challenged, and it will be crucial to get clear authorization from Congress to collect this information\".</p><p>The Biden administration has proposed requiring cryptocurrency brokers such as exchanges to report information about customers, including information about indirect foreign investors. In addition, businesses are required to file with the IRS when they receive crypto assets worth more than $10,000.</p><p>Rettig noted that the value of the cryptocurrency market is now over $2 trillion.</p><p>He said, \"Most cryptocurrencies and virtual currencies are created to stay away from the regulatory radar, and the IRS has currently issued subpoenas to third parties to obtain information about cryptocurrency users\". Rettig did not disclose the identity of specific individuals. It said the IRS is actively participating in civil and criminal enforcement, but it also needs additional tools and resources from Congress.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/61/w550h311/20210609/4207-krhvrxt0065471.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The US and EU will pledge to end Trump's $18 billion tariff war</b></p><p>It is reported that EU leaders and US President Biden will promise to end the trade war at the EU-US summit on June 15 and promise to cancel tariffs related to the steel and aluminum trade conflict before the end of the year.</p><p>According to the draft, Europe and the United States will promise to find a solution to aviation disputes before July 11th. The content of the draft may also be revised. The two sides had previously agreed to suspend aviation tariffs until July to promote the conclusion of a solution.</p><p>In addition, the draft shows that the two sides will also strive to cancel the tariffs imposed in the steel and aluminum trade dispute before December 1st.</p><p>The United States and the European Union will also announce a partnership aimed at strengthening semiconductor supply between the two regions. This will be part of the work of the Trade and Technology Committee, a platform for cooperation on digital issues between the EU and the United States, and the two sides will formally reach an agreement at this summit.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/59/w550h309/20210609/51f4-krhvrxs9900794.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Fancy tax avoidance: Report says the real income tax rate of Bezos, Buffett and other wealthy people is much lower than that of ordinary people</b></p><p>A report released Tuesday showed that some of the world's richest people-Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, Carl-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IKAN\">Icahn</a>Michael Bloomberg and George Soros-pay only a fraction of their increasing wealth in income taxes, and even pay zero taxes in some specific years.</p><p>Citing confidential data from thousands of wealthy people obtained from the IRS, ProPublica said that the worth of the 25 richest Americans increased by a total of $401 billion between 2014 and 2018, but these people only paid a total of $13.6 billion in federal income tax during these five years, \"equivalent to a true tax rate of only 3.4%.\"</p><p>In contrast, in recent years, the median annual household income in the United States has been about $70,000, the federal income tax rate has reached 14%, and the tax rate of the highest household income is as high as 37%.</p><p>ProPublica noted that unlike ordinary people, who earn most of their income from traditional wages, billionaires often benefit from \"tax avoidance strategies beyond the reach of ordinary people.\" Their wealth is usually based primarily on the appreciation of stocks and real estate, which are not considered taxable unless they are sold, the report notes.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/89/w533h356/20210609/52a2-krhvrxt0029367.png/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Fed inflation gauge reformers warn of inflation expectation levels, saying policy shift is imperative</b></p><p>Economists who have helped the Fed revise the way it assesses long-term inflation expectations said the current level of expectations means the Fed needs to start paving the way for tapering bond purchases.</p><p>When Brian Sack was the head of monetary and financial market analysis on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors nearly two decades ago, he and his colleagues advocated using forward-looking inflation expectations indicators to help guide policy. Sack, who now serves as a global economic director at hedge fund DE Shaw & Co., said that if the 5-year/5-year forward breakeven inflation rate rises further, it will be a problem for the Fed.</p><p>This indicator will filter out short-term noise affecting consumer prices. It reached a seven-year high of 2.55% last month, which means that from 2026 to 2030, the average annual increase of the price index targeted by the Federal Reserve is expected to exceed 2%. That said, in the eyes of investors, the Fed is actually on track to meet its average inflation target of 2%.</p><p>Sack said the gauge's rebound from the ultra-low levels at the COVID-19 pandemic's initial outbreak is favorable, but if it rises too much further, it could make it more difficult for the Fed to achieve its dual goals of price stability and full employment.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/41/w550h291/20210609/d41d-krhvrxt0017686.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. trade deficit narrowed for the first time this year in April as exports of goods and services surged</b></p><p>The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April for the first time this year, as exports of goods and services rose while imports fell.</p><p>According to data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday, the U.S. trade deficit in goods and services narrowed by 8.2% to $68.9 billion in April, compared with market expectations for a deficit of $68.7 billion, while the trade deficit in March was revised upward to $75 billion.</p><p>U.S. exports rose to $205 billion in April, the highest level since January 2020, while imports fell to $273.9 billion.</p><p>The data showed that imports fell, after consumer demand during the COVID-19 pandemic pushed U.S. imports to new highs. At the same time, the overseas economy improved and began to drive demand for American products and services. U.S. foreign merchandise exports climbed to a record high.<img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/59/w550h309/20210609/917c-krhvrxt0031254.jpg/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Oxford University researcher funded by Man Group claims its AI can predict stock movements</b></p><p>Oxford University researchers funded by Man Group say they created a machine learning program that can predict how stock prices will move-achieving an 80% success rate in about 30 seconds of live trading.</p><p>Artificial intelligence experts at the Oxford-Man Institute for Quantitative Finance use the principles of natural language processing to mine liquidity data in limit trading orders.</p><p>This is a potential improvement for fast money traders looking to step on the market, and the algorithm can figure out the direction of price change over 100 ticks (time-sharing cycles), equivalent to about 30 seconds to 2 minutes of trading time, depending on market conditions.</p><p>\"In multi-step prediction, we effectively build a model that is trained to predict over a smaller time frame,\" said Stefan Zohren, an associate professor at the institute and co-author of this study. \"But we can feed this information back to the model itself and roll forecasts to get longer-term forecasts.\"</p><p>The algorithm is still in beta. Anthony Ledford, chief scientist at Man AHL, said the algorithm is tempting for hedge fund managers, who often split large trade orders into multiple smaller trades.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-06-09/doc-ikqcfnaz9938624.shtml\">新浪财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-06-09/doc-ikqcfnaz9938624.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142293923","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美国国税局要求国会授权获取加密市场数据 比特币等应声下挫2、美国与欧盟将承诺结束特朗普发起的180亿美元关税战3、花式避税：报告称贝佐斯、巴菲特等巨富实际所得税率远低于普通民众4、美联储通胀指标改革者预警通胀预期水平 称政策转变势在必行5、美国4月份贸易逆差今年来首次收窄 因商品和服务出口额大增6、Man Group资助的牛津大学研究员声称其AI可以预测股票走势美国国税局要求国会授权获取加密市场数据 比特币等应声下挫美国国税局局长Charles Rettig周二在参议院财政委员会听证会上表示，国税局需要国会授予更多权力来监管加密货币行业，并要求该行业加强用户报告事宜。Rettig称，“我们经常受到挑战，如果能获得国会对收集这些信息的明确授权，将是至关重要的”。拜登政府提议要求交易所等加密货币经纪人报告客户的信息，包括间接外国投资者的信息。此外，还要求企业在收到价值超过10000美元的加密资产时对国税局申报。Rettig指出，加密货币市场的价值现在超过2万亿美元。他表示，“大多数加密货币、虚拟货币的创设旨在远离监管雷达，国税局目前已向第三方发出传票，以获取有关加密货币用户的信息”。Rettig未透露具体个人的身份。其表示，国税局正在积极参与民事和刑事执法，但也需要国会提供额外的工具和资源。美国与欧盟将承诺结束特朗普发起的180亿美元关税战据悉，欧盟领导人与美国总统拜登将在6月15日欧盟-美国峰会召开时承诺结束贸易战，并承诺年底前取消与钢铝贸易冲突相关的关税。根据草案，欧美将承诺在7月11日前找出航空业争端解决方案。草案内容还可能有修改。双方先前已同意暂停航空业关税到7月份，以促进解决方案的达成。另外草案显示，双方还将努力在12月1日前取消钢铝贸易争端中加征的关税。美国和欧盟还将宣布建立旨在加强两地区半导体供应的伙伴关系。这将是欧盟与美国的数字问题合作平台--贸易和技术委员会的部分工作内容，双方将在此次峰会上正式达成一致。花式避税：报告称贝佐斯、巴菲特等巨富实际所得税率远低于普通民众周二公布的一份报告显示，一些世界上最富有的人——杰夫-贝佐斯、埃隆-马斯克、沃伦-巴菲特、卡尔-伊坎、迈克尔-布隆伯格和乔治-索罗斯——缴纳的所得税仅占到他们不断增加的财富的一小部分，在某些特定年份纳税甚至为零。ProPublica援引从美国国税局获得的数千名富人的机密数据称，25位最富有的美国人的身价在2014年到2018年期间总共增加了4010亿美元，但这些人在这五年中总共只缴纳了136亿美元的联邦所得税，“相当于真实税率仅为3.4%”。相比之下，近年来美国家庭年收入的中位数约为70000美元，联邦所得税率达到14%，家庭收入最高一档的税率则高达37%。ProPublica指出，与大多数收入来自传统工资的普通民众不同，亿万富翁们往往受益于“普通人无法企及的避税策略”。报告指出，他们的财富通常主要基于股票和房地产的升值，除非出售这些资产，否则这些资产不被视为应纳税项。美联储通胀指标改革者预警通胀预期水平 称政策转变势在必行曾帮助美联储修改了长期通胀预期评估方式的经济学家表示，目前预期水平意味着美联储需要开始为缩减购债铺路。Brian Sack将近二十年前担任美联储理事会货币和金融市场分析主管的时候，与同事主张用前瞻性的通胀预期指标来帮助指引政策。现在担任对冲基金DE Shaw&Co．全球经济董事的Sack称，若5年/5年远期盈亏平衡通胀率进一步上升，对美联储而言将是个问题。这项指标会滤掉影响消费者价格的短期噪音，上月一度达到2.55%的七年高点，意味着在2026-2030年，被美联储作为目标的价格指数平均年涨幅料超过2%。也就是说，在投资者看来，美联储实际上正在实现2%的平均通胀目标。Sack表示，该指标从新冠疫情最初爆发时的超低水平反弹是有利的，但如果进一步上涨太多，就可能导致美联储更难实现物价稳定和充分就业的双重目标。美国4月份贸易逆差今年来首次收窄 因商品和服务出口额大增美国4月份的贸易逆差今年来首次收窄，因商品和服务出口额攀升而进口额下降。据美国商务部周二公布的数据，4月份美国商品和服务贸易逆差收窄8.2%，至689亿美元，市场预期为逆差687亿美元，而3月份贸易逆差上修至750亿美元。美国4月份出口额增长至2050亿美元，为2020年1月以来最高水平，而进口额下降至2739亿美元。数据显示进口回落，此前新冠疫情期间的消费者需求使美国进口迭创新高。同时，海外经济改善，开始推动对美国产品和服务的需求。美国对外商品出口攀升至纪录最高。Man Group资助的牛津大学研究员声称其AI可以预测股票走势Man Group资助的牛津大学研究员说，他们创建了一个机器学习程序，可以预测股价如何变动——在大约30秒的实况交易中取得80%的成功率。牛津-Man数量金融研究所的人工智能专家利用自然语言处理的原理，在限价交易指令中挖掘流动性数据。这对寻求市场踩点的快钱交易者来说是一个潜在的进步，该算法可以算出价格在100个tick（分时周期）内的变化方向，相当于大约30秒到2分钟的交易时间，具体取决于市场状况。“在多步预测中，我们有效地建立了一个模型，经过训练可以在较小时间范围内进行预测，”该研究所副教授、本项研究的共同作者Stefan Zohren说。“但我们可以将这些信息反馈给模型自身，滚动预测，以获得更长期的预测。”该算法仍然处于测试阶段。Man AHL的首席科学家Anthony Ledford表示，这个算法对对冲基金经理很有诱惑力，他们经常将大额交易指令分拆成多个较小的交易。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"QID":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"UDOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}