Profile - To The Moon

Terrens

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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2025-02-07
  Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers
  Find out more here:Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers Receive a S$1,000 welcome bonus!
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  Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers
- TerrensTerrens
  ·2025-02-07
  🐍
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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2025-01-20
  Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers
  Find out more here:Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers Receive a S$1,000 welcome bonus!
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  Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers
- TerrensTerrens
  ·2025-01-01
  Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers
  Find out more here:Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers Receive a S$1,000 welcome bonus!
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  Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers
- TerrensTerrens
  ·2024-10-17
  💯
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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2021-06-30
  ?
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2021-06-29
  ?
  Nayuki's tea winning rate is 8%, and 40 hands are subscribed to win steadily
  6月29日消息，本周二奈雪的茶发布公告，公司发行2.57亿股股份，每股定价19.8港元，每手500股，预期将于6月30日上市。分配结果：甲组每手500股，一手中签率8%，认购40手稳中一手。乙组头
  Nayuki's tea winning rate is 8%, and 40 hands are subscribed to win steadily
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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2021-06-27
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  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2021-06-26
  ?
  Dalio's latest speech: Stocks aren't necessarily in a bubble right now
  全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文，介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标，并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中，达里奥表示，
  Dalio's latest speech: Stocks aren't necessarily in a bubble right now
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- TerrensTerrens
  ·2021-06-25
  Ok//@Kenwen: k
  5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street
  If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns
  5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street
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bonus!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7da129f2111dbd507cec542284f117cc"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/394630249480416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387830287995064,"gmtCreate":1735726632172,"gmtModify":1735729675830,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"title":"Deposit funds with Tiger Brokers","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a 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bonus!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7da129f2111dbd507cec542284f117cc"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/387830287995064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360838291132712,"gmtCreate":1729121107307,"gmtModify":1729121111597,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💯","listText":"💯","text":"💯","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/51511b849efee7c36f7a3c8044b361c0","width":"1192","height":"2086"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/360838291132712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153848156,"gmtCreate":1625019001775,"gmtModify":1703850238866,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":372,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153848156","repostId":"1133732318","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574500206068120","authorId":"3574500206068120","name":"Kenwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e40d46e852addbb8143debd4343a58c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574500206068120","authorIdStr":"3574500206068120"},"content":"Now market sell covered call and sell put every week better [LOL] slowly slowly gain","text":"Now market sell covered call and sell put every week better [LOL] slowly slowly gain","html":"Now market sell covered call and sell put every week better [LOL] slowly slowly gain"},{"author":{"id":"3574500206068120","authorId":"3574500206068120","name":"Kenwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e40d46e852addbb8143debd4343a58c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574500206068120","authorIdStr":"3574500206068120"},"content":"Short those who have gone through a lot of times, don't guess the roof, look at the candle before going to the air, or fall to the force position. Stop putting it on the previous one, or, every time I make a short, I make a backhand long, and I always make a long list of sohai haha","text":"Short those who have gone through a lot of times, don't guess the roof, look at the candle before going to the air, or fall to the force position. Stop putting it on the previous one, or, every time I make a short, I make a backhand long, and I always make a long list of sohai haha","html":"Short those who have gone through a lot of times, don't guess the roof, look at the candle before going to the air, or fall to the force position. Stop putting it on the previous one, or, every time I make a short, I make a backhand long, and I always make a long list of sohai haha"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150773864,"gmtCreate":1624929468758,"gmtModify":1703848127385,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150773864","repostId":"1104770632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104770632","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624927163,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104770632?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 08:39","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Nayuki's tea winning rate is 8%, and 40 hands are subscribed to win steadily","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104770632","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月29日消息，本周二奈雪的茶发布公告，公司发行2.57亿股股份，每股定价19.8港元，每手500股，预期将于6月30日上市。分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率8%，认购40手稳中一手。\n乙组头","content":"<p>June 29 news, this Tuesday<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">Nayuki's tea</a>An announcement was made that the company issued 257 million shares at a price of HK$ 19.8 per share and 500 shares per lot, which is expected to be listed on June 30th.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af239b570522de01079011982ac9576\" tg-width=\"661\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Assignment Results:</b></p><p>Group A has 500 shares per lot, with a successful rate of 8% in one lot, and 40 lots are subscribed for a steady one.</p><p>The head of Group B is 300,000 shares (600 lots), and 3,000 shares (6 lots) are allocated.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1861f115ef2892bc51ce6b5f05ff7b8\" tg-width=\"536\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f27f80d6ce9a1fdc75d8516bf6b6ffe\" tg-width=\"543\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Nayuki's tea was subscribed 432.03 times during the Public Offer, and the final number of Offer Shares allocated to the Public Offer was 129 million, representing 50% of the total Offer Shares (before any Over-allotment Option is exercised). A total of 642,033 valid applications were received.</p><p>In addition, the International Offering was significantly over-subscribed and the final number of Offer Shares was 129 million (excluding the Over-allocated Shares), representing 50% of the total number of Offer Shares.</p><p>For fundraising purposes, the Company intends to use the estimated net proceeds received from the Global Offering of approximately HK$4.84 billion (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised) for the following purposes: approximately 70.0% will be used to expand the teahouse network and increase its market penetration in the next three years; Approximately 10.0% will be used in the next three years to further enhance the overall operation by strengthening technical capabilities to improve operational efficiency; Approximately 10.0% will be used to enhance supply chain capabilities in the next three years to support the company's scale-up; Approximately 10.0% will be used as working capital and for general corporate purposes.</p><p>It is reported that Naixue's tea shop operated by the company is the leading high-end freshly made tea chain store in China, focusing on providing freshly made tea drinks. According to CIC, Nayuki's tea was the second largest teahouse brand in the high-end freshly made teahouse market in China with a market share of 18.9% in terms of total retail consumption in 2020. In terms of total retail consumption in 2020, Nayuki's tea was the seventh largest teahouse brand in the overall freshly made teahouse industry in China, with a market share of 3.9%.</p><p>In order to enhance the convenience and personalized experience of Nayuki's tea to customers, the Company launched Nayuki's tea membership system and Nayuki's tea application, and achieved full integration with the Company's Nayuki's tea shop network. The company's Nayuki's tea membership system has about 34.7 million registered members. In 2020, approximately 49.0% of Nayuki's total tea orders came from Nayuki's tea members.</p><p>The number of Nayuki teahouses grew rapidly from 44 as of December 31, 2017 to 491 as of December 31, 2020, and further to 562 as of the Latest Practicable Date. Revenue generated from the Company's Nayuki teahouses increased from RMB910 million in 2018 to RMB2,292 million in 2019, and further increased to RMB2,871 million in 2020.</p><p>In addition, in terms of same store in 2018 and 2019, Nayuki's tea same store profit margin remained stable at 24.9% and 25.3% in 2018 and 2019, respectively. Due to the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, Nayuki's tea same-store profit margin was 13.5% in 2020 as compared to 21.0% in 2019 in terms of same-store in 2019 and 2020.</p><p>Throughout the Track Record Period, the Company's profitability continued to improve, with total revenue increasing from RMB1,087 million in 2018 to RMB3,057 million in 2020, representing a CAGR of 67.7% from 2018 to 2020; Adjusted net loss decreased significantly from RMB56.58 million in 2018 to RMB11.735 million in 2019, and further reversed to adjusted net profit of RMB16.643 million in 2020.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2020, the Company recorded revenue of RMB2.115 billion and adjusted net profit of RMB4.484 million. Under the influence of the pandemic, the domestic food industry was greatly impacted, and the adjusted net profit of the Company narrowed under pressure, but the revenue still maintained a strong growth momentum.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nayuki's tea winning rate is 8%, and 40 hands are subscribed to win steadily</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNayuki's tea winning rate is 8%, and 40 hands are subscribed to win steadily\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-29 08:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 29 news, this Tuesday<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">Nayuki's tea</a>An announcement was made that the company issued 257 million shares at a price of HK$ 19.8 per share and 500 shares per lot, which is expected to be listed on June 30th.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af239b570522de01079011982ac9576\" tg-width=\"661\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Assignment Results:</b></p><p>Group A has 500 shares per lot, with a successful rate of 8% in one lot, and 40 lots are subscribed for a steady one.</p><p>The head of Group B is 300,000 shares (600 lots), and 3,000 shares (6 lots) are allocated.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1861f115ef2892bc51ce6b5f05ff7b8\" tg-width=\"536\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f27f80d6ce9a1fdc75d8516bf6b6ffe\" tg-width=\"543\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Nayuki's tea was subscribed 432.03 times during the Public Offer, and the final number of Offer Shares allocated to the Public Offer was 129 million, representing 50% of the total Offer Shares (before any Over-allotment Option is exercised). A total of 642,033 valid applications were received.</p><p>In addition, the International Offering was significantly over-subscribed and the final number of Offer Shares was 129 million (excluding the Over-allocated Shares), representing 50% of the total number of Offer Shares.</p><p>For fundraising purposes, the Company intends to use the estimated net proceeds received from the Global Offering of approximately HK$4.84 billion (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised) for the following purposes: approximately 70.0% will be used to expand the teahouse network and increase its market penetration in the next three years; Approximately 10.0% will be used in the next three years to further enhance the overall operation by strengthening technical capabilities to improve operational efficiency; Approximately 10.0% will be used to enhance supply chain capabilities in the next three years to support the company's scale-up; Approximately 10.0% will be used as working capital and for general corporate purposes.</p><p>It is reported that Naixue's tea shop operated by the company is the leading high-end freshly made tea chain store in China, focusing on providing freshly made tea drinks. According to CIC, Nayuki's tea was the second largest teahouse brand in the high-end freshly made teahouse market in China with a market share of 18.9% in terms of total retail consumption in 2020. In terms of total retail consumption in 2020, Nayuki's tea was the seventh largest teahouse brand in the overall freshly made teahouse industry in China, with a market share of 3.9%.</p><p>In order to enhance the convenience and personalized experience of Nayuki's tea to customers, the Company launched Nayuki's tea membership system and Nayuki's tea application, and achieved full integration with the Company's Nayuki's tea shop network. The company's Nayuki's tea membership system has about 34.7 million registered members. In 2020, approximately 49.0% of Nayuki's total tea orders came from Nayuki's tea members.</p><p>The number of Nayuki teahouses grew rapidly from 44 as of December 31, 2017 to 491 as of December 31, 2020, and further to 562 as of the Latest Practicable Date. Revenue generated from the Company's Nayuki teahouses increased from RMB910 million in 2018 to RMB2,292 million in 2019, and further increased to RMB2,871 million in 2020.</p><p>In addition, in terms of same store in 2018 and 2019, Nayuki's tea same store profit margin remained stable at 24.9% and 25.3% in 2018 and 2019, respectively. Due to the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, Nayuki's tea same-store profit margin was 13.5% in 2020 as compared to 21.0% in 2019 in terms of same-store in 2019 and 2020.</p><p>Throughout the Track Record Period, the Company's profitability continued to improve, with total revenue increasing from RMB1,087 million in 2018 to RMB3,057 million in 2020, representing a CAGR of 67.7% from 2018 to 2020; Adjusted net loss decreased significantly from RMB56.58 million in 2018 to RMB11.735 million in 2019, and further reversed to adjusted net profit of RMB16.643 million in 2020.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2020, the Company recorded revenue of RMB2.115 billion and adjusted net profit of RMB4.484 million. Under the influence of the pandemic, the domestic food industry was greatly impacted, and the adjusted net profit of the Company narrowed under pressure, but the revenue still maintained a strong growth momentum.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969153dc5674369c3b376e33d2fc3976","relate_stocks":{"02150":"奈雪的茶"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104770632","content_text":"6月29日消息，本周二奈雪的茶发布公告，公司发行2.57亿股股份，每股定价19.8港元，每手500股，预期将于6月30日上市。分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率8%，认购40手稳中一手。\n乙组头为30万股（600手），获配3000股（6手）。公开发售阶段奈雪的茶获432.03倍认购，分配至公开发售的发售股份最终数目为1.29亿股，占发售股份总数的50%（任何超额配股权获行使前）。合共接获642033份有效申请。\n此外，国际发售获大幅超额认购，发售股份最终数目为1.29亿股（不包括超额分配股份），相当于发售股份总数的50%。\n筹资用途方面，公司拟将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约48.4亿港元（假设超额配股权并无获行使）用于以下用途：约70.0%将在未来三年用于扩张茶饮店网络并提高其市场渗透率；约10.0%将在未来三年用于通过强化技术能力，进一步提升整体运营，以提升运营效率；约10.0%将在未来三年用于提升供应链能力，以支持公司的规模扩张；约10.0%将用作营运资金及作一般企业用途。\n据悉，公司所经营的奈雪的茶茶饮店是中国领先的高端现制茶饮连锁店，专注于提供现制茶饮。根据灼识谘询的资料，按2020年零售消费总值计，奈雪的茶在中国高端现制茶饮店市场中为第二大茶饮店品牌，市场份额为18.9%。按2020年零售消费总值计，奈雪的茶在中国整体现制茶饮店行业中为第七大茶饮店品牌，市场份额为3.9%。\n为提升奈雪的茶对客户的便利性及个性化体验，公司推出奈雪的茶会员体系及奈雪的茶应用程序，并实现与公司奈雪的茶茶饮店网络的全面整合。公司的奈雪的茶会员体系有注册会员约3470万名。于2020年，奈雪的茶订单总数中约49.0%来自奈雪的茶会员。\n奈雪的茶茶饮店数量由截至2017年12月31日的44间迅速增长至截至2020年12月31日的491间，并于截至最后实际可行日期进一步增至562间。公司的奈雪的茶茶饮店所产生的收益由2018年的人民币9.1亿元增至2019年的人民币22.92亿元，并进一步增至2020年的人民币28.71亿元。\n此外，就2018年及2019年的同店而言，奈雪的茶同店利润率于2018年及2019年维持稳定，分别为24.9%及25.3%。由于COVID-19爆发的影响，就2019年及2020年的同店而言，奈雪的茶同店利润率于2020年为13.5%，而2019年为21.0%。\n于整个往绩记录期间，公司的盈利能力不断提升，总营收由2018年的10.87亿元提升至2020年的30.57亿元人民币，2018~2020年的复合年增长率达67.7%；经调整净亏损由2018年的人民币5658万元大幅减少至2019年的人民币1173.5万元，并进一步扭转为2020年的经调整净利润1664.3万元人民币。\n2020年前9个月，公司录得收入21.15亿元，经调整净利润448.4万元。在疫情影响下，国内食品行业受到较大冲击，公司经调整净利润承压收窄，但营收仍保持强劲增长势头。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02150":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574500206068120","authorId":"3574500206068120","name":"Kenwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e40d46e852addbb8143debd4343a58c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574500206068120","authorIdStr":"3574500206068120"},"content":"Sohai one day up one day down","text":"Sohai one day up one day down","html":"Sohai one day up one day down"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124121799,"gmtCreate":1624754683111,"gmtModify":1703844391717,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/124121799","repostId":"1181161116","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574500206068120","authorId":"3574500206068120","name":"Kenwen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e40d46e852addbb8143debd4343a58c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3574500206068120","authorIdStr":"3574500206068120"},"content":"The current market is really contradictory. Too many people feel guilty and want to sell. If they fall, they want to take a long-term line and can't do it. [LOL], [LOL] and [LOL]","text":"The current market is really contradictory. Too many people feel guilty and want to sell. If they fall, they want to take a long-term line and can't do it. [LOL], [LOL] and [LOL]","html":"The current market is really contradictory. Too many people feel guilty and want to sell. If they fall, they want to take a long-term line and can't do it. [LOL], [LOL] and [LOL]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125696873,"gmtCreate":1624670526592,"gmtModify":1703843191910,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125696873","repostId":"1186578125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186578125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624879503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186578125?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 19:25","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Dalio's latest speech: Stocks aren't necessarily in a bubble right now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186578125","media":"人民币交易与研究","summary":"全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文，介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标，并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。\n在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中，达里奥表示，","content":"<p>Dario, founder of Bridgewater, the world's largest hedge fund, sent two tweets on June 24th, introducing his six indicators to measure bubbles, and released a 10-minute video to explain his views on the current stock market bubble.</p><p>In this video explaining the equity bubble at the request of the Robin Hood Foundation, Dalio said that while indicators show that some stocks are \"bubbling\" right now, the stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed46d81d71867f2d1eb8b3b9ad012779\" tg-width=\"532\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"By bubble, I mean unsustainably high prices, and I measure it with six metrics,\" Dalio wrote in a tweet, noting that investors need to watch for signs such as buyer leverage levels and the number of new buyers.</p><p>In fact, as early as mid-May, Dario shared his research on stock market bubbles in WeChat official account, detailing these six systematic \"bubble indicators\", including price, bullish sentiment, leverage, etc.:</p><p>1. How high is the price relative to traditional measurement standards?</p><p>2. Do prices reflect unsustainable conditions?</p><p>3. How many new buyers (i.e. people who were not in the market before) have entered the market?</p><p>4. How common is bullish sentiment?</p><p>5. Does trading rely on the support of high leverage?</p><p>6. Do buyers excessively engage in forward transactions (such as building inventory, entering into forward agreements, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves from future price increases?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89447f632ae50e578dd9ebcd007795e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Here is the full text of this video speech, titled \"Is the stock market in a bubble right now?\":</p><p>Hello everyone, it's a pleasure to be here on behalf of all those who have been helped by Robin Hood (Foundation).</p><p>You know, knowing Robin Hood, because I knew Paul Tudor Jones, when Robin Hood was a glimmer in his eye, he would play basketball with kids in the Bedford-Stuy neighborhood (Bed Stuy), and I was fortunate to be able to see him and all the staff at the Robin Hood Fund, in a very personal and efficient way to help alleviate poverty in America, and to be a part of it. Everything you guys have done is great, so I just want to thank you for what you have done, and to tell you how happy I am to be here and do my meager part.</p><p>I was asked to talk about bubbles, whether the market, the stock market is in a bubble, and what kind of bubble. I just wanted to give you some thoughts on the subject, I only have about 10 minutes. So I want to talk quickly, a few years ago, I started thinking: What is a bubble? When we are in a bubble, what do I mean by bubble? Because in my 50 years of investing, I've seen a lot of bubbles.</p><p>There are six things in my mind that I basically think will lead to bubbles, and I'll list them all. Now, look at them so that you know what I'm talking about.</p><p>First of all, you know, how high our prices are relative to traditional price measures is a consideration. For example, you know our PSI or yield and stuff like that, that's a consideration, but that's not what I call a bubble.</p><p>For example, there may be high prices and low returns, and this can be the case for a long time, but that doesn't mean that the bubble will burst, it's just one component.</p><p>Second, price is a reflection of unsustainable conditions, here referring to the nature of the buyer, who is buying and how to buy, unsustainable conditions will produce a price correction or decline, and then there is a third speculative factor-new buyers in the market are attracted.</p><p>You know, it's like a cocktail party where some people who never attend show up, which is invested in certain assets, it could be tech stocks, it could be real estate, but anyway, everybody thinks, not holding that stuff makes them feel stupid, and all that stuff.</p><p>The fifth item is to buy forward \"contracts\" for large sums, such as someone buying an apartment they don't know about because they think it will go up, or using the age of large-scale commodity trading as an example. I would look at people who use commodities and they buy a lot of forward contracts. In other words, buy inventory to protect yourself from rising prices.</p><p>So when they leave the market – as we've seen recently in commodity markets – when they dump forward contracts and the price keeps falling, they'll say \"I don't want it either\".</p><p>And when the price goes up, they will say that we want premium protection to hedge against the price increase. So, the buyers who extend these forward purchases are a (bubble) indicator.</p><p>I use this table to show the entire stock market, and I apply this framework to basically all assets, and I use a systematic approach to try to determine which ones are in a bubble. In my opinion, among the wide variety of stocks, some have bubbles and some don't, and the entire stock market is just as this chart shows.</p><p>This chart dates back to 1910, and it is an indicator of the extent of the bubble. You can see that there is a bubble at present, but it is not as high as in 2000 and 1929, but higher than in 2007.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4f2ff86c22e19d1a051e96d120c0fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Let's look at stocks that have bubbles, and by those criteria, a lot of them don't have bubbles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebf9f9bfdd5c982106b5c4f97acf635\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This chart goes back to 1995. Compared to 2000, the share of the top 1,000 companies with bubbles in market capitalization is about 5%, and the share of the entire S&P 500 index with bubbles is about 2%, which is not as high as in 2000, but higher than in 2007.</p><p>Now on to the next chart showing bubble stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15720e9f5f0240be2ddeda3d14230eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>I separate these bubble stocks from the S&P 500 and can see a decline in the proportion of bubble stocks in the broader market, which I believe is likely to continue, but is currently in a bubble. One of the problems is that bubbles can expand and contract, and timing is a big question.</p><p>The following chart dates back to 1900. The upper chart shows the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP). The blue line in the lower chart shows interest rates, and the red line shows the size of money printed, that is, the amount of money flowing in. So you can see when debt accumulates, as is the case now, and near-zero interest rates are implemented, when both scenarios exist at the same time, there is a big printing of money.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d3d3c839ca42009c377a3eed7c9c3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>That's a key element of the bubble because there's a lot of liquidity coming into the market and then there's a lot of money gouging up all kinds of asset prices, so you can see that when the blue line hits zero, the red line goes up significantly. A lot of liquidity, a lot of debt financing and debt monetization created a typical bubble.</p><p>Other factors that can create a bubble are new stock listings, especially if they are not profitable or, in many cases, have no prospect of making a profit.</p><p>These are also bubble considerations, so I would say that you can't say that the current stock market is at the highest degree of bubble, you have to distinguish which stocks are in a bubble, or have been in a bubble; Which stocks aren't, there are actually many stocks currently that aren't in a bubble.</p><p>So I hope this gives you some insight into the bubbles, how I see them and where we are at the moment. Thanks.</p>","source":"lsy1574157197600","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dalio's latest speech: Stocks aren't necessarily in a bubble right now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDalio's latest speech: Stocks aren't necessarily in a bubble right now\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">人民币交易与研究</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 19:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dario, founder of Bridgewater, the world's largest hedge fund, sent two tweets on June 24th, introducing his six indicators to measure bubbles, and released a 10-minute video to explain his views on the current stock market bubble.</p><p>In this video explaining the equity bubble at the request of the Robin Hood Foundation, Dalio said that while indicators show that some stocks are \"bubbling\" right now, the stock market is not necessarily in a bubble right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed46d81d71867f2d1eb8b3b9ad012779\" tg-width=\"532\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"By bubble, I mean unsustainably high prices, and I measure it with six metrics,\" Dalio wrote in a tweet, noting that investors need to watch for signs such as buyer leverage levels and the number of new buyers.</p><p>In fact, as early as mid-May, Dario shared his research on stock market bubbles in WeChat official account, detailing these six systematic \"bubble indicators\", including price, bullish sentiment, leverage, etc.:</p><p>1. How high is the price relative to traditional measurement standards?</p><p>2. Do prices reflect unsustainable conditions?</p><p>3. How many new buyers (i.e. people who were not in the market before) have entered the market?</p><p>4. How common is bullish sentiment?</p><p>5. Does trading rely on the support of high leverage?</p><p>6. Do buyers excessively engage in forward transactions (such as building inventory, entering into forward agreements, etc.) to speculate or protect themselves from future price increases?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89447f632ae50e578dd9ebcd007795e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Here is the full text of this video speech, titled \"Is the stock market in a bubble right now?\":</p><p>Hello everyone, it's a pleasure to be here on behalf of all those who have been helped by Robin Hood (Foundation).</p><p>You know, knowing Robin Hood, because I knew Paul Tudor Jones, when Robin Hood was a glimmer in his eye, he would play basketball with kids in the Bedford-Stuy neighborhood (Bed Stuy), and I was fortunate to be able to see him and all the staff at the Robin Hood Fund, in a very personal and efficient way to help alleviate poverty in America, and to be a part of it. Everything you guys have done is great, so I just want to thank you for what you have done, and to tell you how happy I am to be here and do my meager part.</p><p>I was asked to talk about bubbles, whether the market, the stock market is in a bubble, and what kind of bubble. I just wanted to give you some thoughts on the subject, I only have about 10 minutes. So I want to talk quickly, a few years ago, I started thinking: What is a bubble? When we are in a bubble, what do I mean by bubble? Because in my 50 years of investing, I've seen a lot of bubbles.</p><p>There are six things in my mind that I basically think will lead to bubbles, and I'll list them all. Now, look at them so that you know what I'm talking about.</p><p>First of all, you know, how high our prices are relative to traditional price measures is a consideration. For example, you know our PSI or yield and stuff like that, that's a consideration, but that's not what I call a bubble.</p><p>For example, there may be high prices and low returns, and this can be the case for a long time, but that doesn't mean that the bubble will burst, it's just one component.</p><p>Second, price is a reflection of unsustainable conditions, here referring to the nature of the buyer, who is buying and how to buy, unsustainable conditions will produce a price correction or decline, and then there is a third speculative factor-new buyers in the market are attracted.</p><p>You know, it's like a cocktail party where some people who never attend show up, which is invested in certain assets, it could be tech stocks, it could be real estate, but anyway, everybody thinks, not holding that stuff makes them feel stupid, and all that stuff.</p><p>The fifth item is to buy forward \"contracts\" for large sums, such as someone buying an apartment they don't know about because they think it will go up, or using the age of large-scale commodity trading as an example. I would look at people who use commodities and they buy a lot of forward contracts. In other words, buy inventory to protect yourself from rising prices.</p><p>So when they leave the market – as we've seen recently in commodity markets – when they dump forward contracts and the price keeps falling, they'll say \"I don't want it either\".</p><p>And when the price goes up, they will say that we want premium protection to hedge against the price increase. So, the buyers who extend these forward purchases are a (bubble) indicator.</p><p>I use this table to show the entire stock market, and I apply this framework to basically all assets, and I use a systematic approach to try to determine which ones are in a bubble. In my opinion, among the wide variety of stocks, some have bubbles and some don't, and the entire stock market is just as this chart shows.</p><p>This chart dates back to 1910, and it is an indicator of the extent of the bubble. You can see that there is a bubble at present, but it is not as high as in 2000 and 1929, but higher than in 2007.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c4f2ff86c22e19d1a051e96d120c0fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Let's look at stocks that have bubbles, and by those criteria, a lot of them don't have bubbles.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebf9f9bfdd5c982106b5c4f97acf635\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This chart goes back to 1995. Compared to 2000, the share of the top 1,000 companies with bubbles in market capitalization is about 5%, and the share of the entire S&P 500 index with bubbles is about 2%, which is not as high as in 2000, but higher than in 2007.</p><p>Now on to the next chart showing bubble stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15720e9f5f0240be2ddeda3d14230eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>I separate these bubble stocks from the S&P 500 and can see a decline in the proportion of bubble stocks in the broader market, which I believe is likely to continue, but is currently in a bubble. One of the problems is that bubbles can expand and contract, and timing is a big question.</p><p>The following chart dates back to 1900. The upper chart shows the ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP). The blue line in the lower chart shows interest rates, and the red line shows the size of money printed, that is, the amount of money flowing in. So you can see when debt accumulates, as is the case now, and near-zero interest rates are implemented, when both scenarios exist at the same time, there is a big printing of money.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d3d3c839ca42009c377a3eed7c9c3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>That's a key element of the bubble because there's a lot of liquidity coming into the market and then there's a lot of money gouging up all kinds of asset prices, so you can see that when the blue line hits zero, the red line goes up significantly. A lot of liquidity, a lot of debt financing and debt monetization created a typical bubble.</p><p>Other factors that can create a bubble are new stock listings, especially if they are not profitable or, in many cases, have no prospect of making a profit.</p><p>These are also bubble considerations, so I would say that you can't say that the current stock market is at the highest degree of bubble, you have to distinguish which stocks are in a bubble, or have been in a bubble; Which stocks aren't, there are actually many stocks currently that aren't in a bubble.</p><p>So I hope this gives you some insight into the bubbles, how I see them and where we are at the moment. Thanks.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lv14Xv-iB491-ddK3pdX_w\">人民币交易与研究</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ac6f61084482a9c0c70291c78e92f5","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lv14Xv-iB491-ddK3pdX_w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186578125","content_text":"全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达里奥6月24日连发两篇推文，介绍自己衡量泡沫的六项指标，并发布了一个10分钟的视频阐述自己对当下股市泡沫的看法。\n在这个应罗宾汉基金会要求解释股票泡沫的视频中，达里奥表示，虽然指标显示一些股票目前“存在泡沫”，但股市眼下不一定处于泡沫中。\n\n达里奥在推文中写道，“我所说的泡沫是指不可持续的高价，我用六项指标来衡量它”，并指出投资者需关注买家杠杆水平和新买家数量等迹象。\n事实上，早在5月中旬时，达里奥就曾在公众号分享了他对股市泡沫的研究，详述了这六种系统性“泡沫指标”，包括价格、看涨情绪、杠杆高低等：\n1． 相对传统的衡量标准，价格有多高？\n2． 价格是否反映了不可持续的状况？\n3． 有多少新买家（即之前不在市场里的人）进入了市场？\n4． 看涨情绪有多普遍？\n5． 交易是否依赖高杠杆的支撑？\n6． 买家是否过度进行远期交易（如建立库存、签订远期协议等）来投机或保护自己免受未来价格上涨的影响？\n\n以下是这个名为《股市目前是否处于泡沫中？》的视频演讲全文：\n大家好，很高兴能代表所有被罗宾汉（基金会）帮助过的人来到这里。\n你们知道，知道罗宾汉，是因为我认识保罗·都铎·琼斯，当时罗宾汉是他眼里的一抹微光，他会在贝德福德-斯图文森特街区（Bed Stuy）和孩子们一起打篮球，我很幸运能够看到他和罗宾汉基金的所有工作人员，以一种非常个人化和高效的方式来帮助减轻美国的贫困，并且能够成为其中的一员。你们所做的一切都很棒，所以我只想感谢你们所做的一切，并且告诉你们能够来到这里并尽我的微薄之力，我有多么高兴。\n我被要求谈论泡沫，市场、股市是否处于泡沫中，以及什么样的泡沫。我只想给你们一些关于这个问题的想法，我只有大约10分钟的时间。所以我想讲快点，几年前，我开始思考：什么是泡沫？当我们身处泡沫中时，我所说的泡沫是指什么？因为在我50年的投资生涯中，我看到了很多泡沫。\n在我脑海中，有六件事是我基本上认为会导致产生泡沫的，我将他们一一列举出来。现在，看着它们，以便您知道我在说什么。\n首先，您知道，我们的价格相对于传统的价格衡量标准有多高是一个考虑因素。例如，你知道我们的PSI或收益率之类的东西，这是一个考虑因素，但这不是我所说的泡沫。\n比方说，可能出现价格高回报低的现象，而且这种情况可以持续很长时间，但这并不意味着泡沫会破灭，只是其中一个组成因素。\n第二，价格是反映不可持续的条件，这里指的是买方的性质，谁在买入和如何买入，不可持续的条件会产生了价格调整或下跌，然后就出现了第三个投机因素——市场上的新买家被吸引了。\n您知道，这就像鸡尾酒会，有些从不参加的人出现了，也就是投资了某些资产，可能是科技股，也可能是房地产，但无论如何，每个人都想，没有持有这些东西会让他们觉得自己很蠢，诸如此类。\n第五项是大额购买远期“合约”，比如有人买了他们不了解的公寓，因为他们认为公寓会上涨，或者用大规模交易大宗商品的年代来举例。我会观察那些使用大宗商品的人，他们购买了大量远期合约。换句话说，购买库存以保护自己免受价格上涨的影响。\n所以当他们离场的时候——正如我们最近在大宗商品市场看到的——当他们抛售远期合约时，价格持续下跌，他们会说“我也不想要它”。\n而当价格上涨时，他们会说我们要进行溢价保护，对冲价格上涨。所以，延长了这些远期购买的买家是一个（泡沫）指标。\n我用这张表显示整个股市，我把这个框架基本上应用到所有资产上，并且使用一种系统化的方法，试图判断哪些处在泡沫中。在我看来，在各种各样的股票中，有些存在泡沫，有些则没有，而整个股市正如这张图表所显示的。\n这张图表可以追溯到1910年，它是一个彰显泡沫程度的指标。你可以看到当前是有泡沫的，但没有2000年和1929年那么高，不过高于2007年。\n\n让我们看看存在泡沫的股票，根据这些标准，很多股票没有泡沫。\n\n这张图表追溯到1995年，与2000年相比，前1000名的企业市值存在泡沫比例约为5%，整个标普500指数存在泡沫的份额约为2%，虽然不如2000年高，但比2007年高。\n现在来看下一张显示了泡沫股票的图表。\n\n我把这些泡沫股票与标准普尔500指数分离，可以看到泡沫股在大盘中的比例下降，我相信这种情况很可能会持续下去，但目前处于泡沫之中。其中一个问题是，泡沫可以扩张和收缩，时机是个大问题。\n下面这张图表可以追溯到1900年，上图显示的是债务与国内生产总值（GDP）之比，下图中蓝线显示的是利率，红线显示印钞规模，也就是流入的货币量。所以你可以看到当债务累加时，就像现在的情况，并且实施近零利率，这两种情况同时存在时就会大肆印钞。\n\n这是泡沫的一个关键因素，因为有大量的流动性进入市场，然后有很多资金哄抬各种各样的资产价格，所以你可以看到，当蓝线触及零时，红线大幅上行。大量流动性，大量的债务融资和债务货币化形成了一个典型的泡沫。\n其他可能产生泡沫的因素则是新股上市，特别是如果它们没有盈利，或者是在许多情况下没有盈利的前景。\n这些也是泡沫的考虑因素，所以我想说，你不能说当前的股市处于最高程度的泡沫，你必须区分哪些股票正处于泡沫中、或者一直处于泡沫中；哪些股票没有，实际上目前有许多股票并没有处于泡沫中。\n所以我希望这能让你对泡沫有所了解、我如何看待它们以及我们目前处于什么位置。谢谢。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126746181,"gmtCreate":1624586066243,"gmtModify":1703841016063,"author":{"id":"3571363097076123","authorId":"3571363097076123","name":"Terrens","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9a43583a9ba17a34199f12c82c5a3526","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571363097076123","authorIdStr":"3571363097076123"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574500206068120\">@Kenwen</a>: k","listText":"Ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574500206068120\">@Kenwen</a>: k","text":"Ok//@Kenwen: k","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126746181","repostId":"1166056944","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166056944","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623160615,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166056944?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166056944","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns","content":"<blockquote><b>If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns over the next year.</b></blockquote><p>For the past 12 years, growth stocks have been the key to sending the broader market higher. Even though value stocks have been the better performer of the two categories over the very long-term, historically low lending rates and trillions of dollars being pumped into the U.S. economy have created a perfect storm for growth stocks to thrive.</p><p>Yet according to Wall Street's one-year consensus price targets, somegrowth stocksaren't anywhere near realizing their full potential. If analysts' consensus price targets prove accurate, the following five high-octane growth stocks offer upside ranging from 54% to 94% over the next year.</p><p><b>Vaxart: Implied upside of 94%</b></p><p>The supercharged growth stock on this list with thegreatest implied upsideover the coming 12 months is clinical-stagebiotech stock<b>Vaxart</b>(NASDAQ:VXRT). If you're wondering why I've included a clinical-stage drug developer, it's because all of the analysts covering it are forecasting recurring sales for the company, beginning in 2022. If Wall Street's estimates are correct, Vaxart's stock could nearly double from where it closed this past week.</p><p>What makes Vaxart such a unique drug developer is its approach to developing treatments. Specifically, it develops oral recombinant vaccines, rather than vaccines administered by injection. It should be a lot easier to dispense and administer pills than injections, which could resolve factors like shot hesitancy and vaccine access.</p><p>Even though it has multiple treatments in the works, most of the buzz surrounding Vaxart has to do with its work in the lab on VXA-CoV2-1, an experimental oral tablet to treat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Data from a phase 1 study in February showed VXA-CoV2-1 met all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. The data also signaled that Vaxart's oral treatment may be effective against COVID-19 variants.</p><p>Though it's probablya bit too earlyto get overly excited about Vaxart, it's a name worth closely monitoring.</p><p><b>Trulieve Cannabis: Implied upside of 88%</b></p><p>It's no secret that cannabis is set to be one of North America's fastest-growing industries this decade. But amongmarijuana stocks, U.S. multistate operator (MSO)<b>Trulieve Cannabis</b>(OTC:TCNNF)offers some of the most robust upside. If Wall Street's consensus price target of a little over $72 is correct, Trulieve could gallop higher by 88% over the coming year.</p><p>There are a lot of unique growth strategies among MSOs, but none hasproved more successful than Trulieve's blueprint. At the moment, Trulieve has 88 operational dispensaries. But here's the kicker: 82 of them are located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By focusing its efforts on a single big-dollar state, Trulieve has been able to saturate the market, effectively build up its brand, and keep its marketing costs down. The company has been profitable for 13 consecutive quarters, and as of the end of 2020 controlled 53% of the Sunshine State's dried flower market and 49% of its high-margin cannabinoid oils market.</p><p>Equally intriguing is Trulieve's recently announced all-stock deal to acquire MSO<b>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation</b>(OTC:HRVSF)for $2.1 billion. Harvest has a focus on five states, one of which happens to be Florida. Aside from solidifying an even bigger presence in the Sunshine State, Trulieve will gain access to Harvest's state-leading 15 dispensaries in Arizona. The Grand Canyon State legalized recreational weed in November. There's a good chance Trulieve can use Harvest's infrastructure to duplicate its success in Arizona.</p><p><b>Magnite: Implied upside of 59%</b></p><p>Another high-octane growth stock with significant upside potential, according to Wall Street, is sell-side advertising technology platform<b>Magnite</b>(NASDAQ:MGNI). If analysts are correct about Magnite hitting nearly $46 a share in 12 months, it would represent upside potential of 59%.</p><p>Magnite finds itself at the center of a double-digit growth trend that should last for a long time to come. As consumers cut the cord to traditional cable and shift to other forms of entertainment and content consumption, businesseswill be more likely to shift their advertising dollarsonline, to apps, and to streaming/connected TV (CTV). Although mobile platforms accounted for almost half of Magnite's revenue last year, it's CTV that looks to be the most intriguing long-term growth driver.</p><p>One of thebiggest boostsfor Magnite should come from its recently closed cash-and-stock acquisition of SpotX. SpotX generated $31.2 million in sales (less traffic acquisition costs) in the first quarter, with $19.7 million of this net revenue attributable to CTV. That was up 70% from the prior-year period. The now-combined company has sell-side ad platform exposure to the likes of<b>fuboTV</b>,<b>Roku</b>,<b>Disney</b>, and WarnerMedia, to name a few leading platforms.</p><p>With Magnite profitable on a recurring basis and fully capable of sustainable double-digit growth, a 59% 12-month return isn't out of the question.</p><p><b>Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 56%</b></p><p>Transformativehealthcare stock<b>Teladoc Health</b>(NYSE:TDOC)is also expected to offer abundant upside potential. Based on Wall Street's consensus price target of around $229, Teladoc could rise by a cool 56% over the next 12 months.</p><p>A lot of folks view Teladoc asone of the biggest winners during the COVID-19 pandemic. With doctors wanting to keep high-risk people and infected patients out of their offices, many turned to virtual visits. Teladoc ultimately handled 10.59 million telehealth visits last year, up from 4.14 million in 2019. But these folks are probably overlooking that Teladoc grew sales by an annual average of 74% in the six years leading up to the pandemic.</p><p>What makes telemedicine such a winning trend is that itoffers advantages up and down the treatment chain. Telehealth allows patients to stay home for consultations, and it's a tool physicians can use to keep closer tabs on their chronically ill patients. This ease of oversight could result in improved patient outcomes. It also doesn't hurt that virtual visits are billed at a lower rate than office visits.</p><p>Following its acquisition of leading applied health signals company Livongo Health in the fourth quarter, Teladoc has all the tools needed to provide next-level personalized care. In other words, this price target looks very realistic over the next year.</p><p>Plug Power: Implied upside of 54%</p><p>Finally, hydrogen fuel-cell solutions company<b>Plug Power</b>(NASDAQ:PLUG)is a (pardon the irony) high-octane growth stock with ample upside. If analysts are correct about its price target of almost $47 in a year, Plug could deliver a 54% return to its shareholders.</p><p>The big buzz with Plug Power is the push by developed countries, including the U.S., to renewable sources of energy. President Biden has proposed a massive infrastructure bill tailored to renewable energy projects, which signals the federal government's willingness to invest in clean-energy solutions.</p><p>Since the year began, Plug Power landed two major joint venture partners. South Korea's SK Group took a 10% equity stake in Plug and will work with the company to develop hydrogen fuel-cell solutions for vehicles and refilling stations. Meanwhile, French auto company<b>Renault</b>formed a joint venture with Plug to tackle Europe's light commercial vehicle market. Following these joint venture announcements, the companyintroduced a gross billings target of $1.7 billion by 2024, which would almost quadruple its forecasted sales for 2021.</p><p>Whether it'll be smooth sailingremains to be seen. The company recently restated years' worth of its income statements, and history hasn't always been kind to the introduction of new automotive technology.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 High-Octane Growth Stocks With 54% to 94% Upside, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 21:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/08/5-high-octane-growth-stocks-with-54-to-94-upside/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns over the next year.For the past 12 years, growth stocks have been the key to sending the broader ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/08/5-high-octane-growth-stocks-with-54-to-94-upside/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MGNI":"Magnite, Inc.","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","VXRT":"Vaxart, Inc.","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/08/5-high-octane-growth-stocks-with-54-to-94-upside/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166056944","content_text":"If analysts are correct, this assortment of rapidly growing companies could deliver big-time returns over the next year.For the past 12 years, growth stocks have been the key to sending the broader market higher. Even though value stocks have been the better performer of the two categories over the very long-term, historically low lending rates and trillions of dollars being pumped into the U.S. economy have created a perfect storm for growth stocks to thrive.Yet according to Wall Street's one-year consensus price targets, somegrowth stocksaren't anywhere near realizing their full potential. If analysts' consensus price targets prove accurate, the following five high-octane growth stocks offer upside ranging from 54% to 94% over the next year.Vaxart: Implied upside of 94%The supercharged growth stock on this list with thegreatest implied upsideover the coming 12 months is clinical-stagebiotech stockVaxart(NASDAQ:VXRT). If you're wondering why I've included a clinical-stage drug developer, it's because all of the analysts covering it are forecasting recurring sales for the company, beginning in 2022. If Wall Street's estimates are correct, Vaxart's stock could nearly double from where it closed this past week.What makes Vaxart such a unique drug developer is its approach to developing treatments. Specifically, it develops oral recombinant vaccines, rather than vaccines administered by injection. It should be a lot easier to dispense and administer pills than injections, which could resolve factors like shot hesitancy and vaccine access.Even though it has multiple treatments in the works, most of the buzz surrounding Vaxart has to do with its work in the lab on VXA-CoV2-1, an experimental oral tablet to treat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Data from a phase 1 study in February showed VXA-CoV2-1 met all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. The data also signaled that Vaxart's oral treatment may be effective against COVID-19 variants.Though it's probablya bit too earlyto get overly excited about Vaxart, it's a name worth closely monitoring.Trulieve Cannabis: Implied upside of 88%It's no secret that cannabis is set to be one of North America's fastest-growing industries this decade. But amongmarijuana stocks, U.S. multistate operator (MSO)Trulieve Cannabis(OTC:TCNNF)offers some of the most robust upside. If Wall Street's consensus price target of a little over $72 is correct, Trulieve could gallop higher by 88% over the coming year.There are a lot of unique growth strategies among MSOs, but none hasproved more successful than Trulieve's blueprint. At the moment, Trulieve has 88 operational dispensaries. But here's the kicker: 82 of them are located in medical marijuana-legal Florida. By focusing its efforts on a single big-dollar state, Trulieve has been able to saturate the market, effectively build up its brand, and keep its marketing costs down. The company has been profitable for 13 consecutive quarters, and as of the end of 2020 controlled 53% of the Sunshine State's dried flower market and 49% of its high-margin cannabinoid oils market.Equally intriguing is Trulieve's recently announced all-stock deal to acquire MSOHarvest Health & Recreation(OTC:HRVSF)for $2.1 billion. Harvest has a focus on five states, one of which happens to be Florida. Aside from solidifying an even bigger presence in the Sunshine State, Trulieve will gain access to Harvest's state-leading 15 dispensaries in Arizona. The Grand Canyon State legalized recreational weed in November. There's a good chance Trulieve can use Harvest's infrastructure to duplicate its success in Arizona.Magnite: Implied upside of 59%Another high-octane growth stock with significant upside potential, according to Wall Street, is sell-side advertising technology platformMagnite(NASDAQ:MGNI). If analysts are correct about Magnite hitting nearly $46 a share in 12 months, it would represent upside potential of 59%.Magnite finds itself at the center of a double-digit growth trend that should last for a long time to come. As consumers cut the cord to traditional cable and shift to other forms of entertainment and content consumption, businesseswill be more likely to shift their advertising dollarsonline, to apps, and to streaming/connected TV (CTV). Although mobile platforms accounted for almost half of Magnite's revenue last year, it's CTV that looks to be the most intriguing long-term growth driver.One of thebiggest boostsfor Magnite should come from its recently closed cash-and-stock acquisition of SpotX. SpotX generated $31.2 million in sales (less traffic acquisition costs) in the first quarter, with $19.7 million of this net revenue attributable to CTV. That was up 70% from the prior-year period. The now-combined company has sell-side ad platform exposure to the likes offuboTV,Roku,Disney, and WarnerMedia, to name a few leading platforms.With Magnite profitable on a recurring basis and fully capable of sustainable double-digit growth, a 59% 12-month return isn't out of the question.Teladoc Health: Implied upside of 56%Transformativehealthcare stockTeladoc Health(NYSE:TDOC)is also expected to offer abundant upside potential. Based on Wall Street's consensus price target of around $229, Teladoc could rise by a cool 56% over the next 12 months.A lot of folks view Teladoc asone of the biggest winners during the COVID-19 pandemic. With doctors wanting to keep high-risk people and infected patients out of their offices, many turned to virtual visits. Teladoc ultimately handled 10.59 million telehealth visits last year, up from 4.14 million in 2019. But these folks are probably overlooking that Teladoc grew sales by an annual average of 74% in the six years leading up to the pandemic.What makes telemedicine such a winning trend is that itoffers advantages up and down the treatment chain. Telehealth allows patients to stay home for consultations, and it's a tool physicians can use to keep closer tabs on their chronically ill patients. This ease of oversight could result in improved patient outcomes. It also doesn't hurt that virtual visits are billed at a lower rate than office visits.Following its acquisition of leading applied health signals company Livongo Health in the fourth quarter, Teladoc has all the tools needed to provide next-level personalized care. In other words, this price target looks very realistic over the next year.Plug Power: Implied upside of 54%Finally, hydrogen fuel-cell solutions companyPlug Power(NASDAQ:PLUG)is a (pardon the irony) high-octane growth stock with ample upside. If analysts are correct about its price target of almost $47 in a year, Plug could deliver a 54% return to its shareholders.The big buzz with Plug Power is the push by developed countries, including the U.S., to renewable sources of energy. President Biden has proposed a massive infrastructure bill tailored to renewable energy projects, which signals the federal government's willingness to invest in clean-energy solutions.Since the year began, Plug Power landed two major joint venture partners. South Korea's SK Group took a 10% equity stake in Plug and will work with the company to develop hydrogen fuel-cell solutions for vehicles and refilling stations. Meanwhile, French auto companyRenaultformed a joint venture with Plug to tackle Europe's light commercial vehicle market. Following these joint venture announcements, the companyintroduced a gross billings target of $1.7 billion by 2024, which would almost quadruple its forecasted sales for 2021.Whether it'll be smooth sailingremains to be seen. The company recently restated years' worth of its income statements, and history hasn't always been kind to the introduction of new automotive technology.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MGNI":0.9,"TCNNF":0.9,"VXRT":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}