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好事连轴转
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2021-06-13
666
Media in charge of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: It's time for real estate speculators to give up their illusions
炒房者最终会付出惨重代价。
Media in charge of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: It's time for real estate speculators to give up their illusions
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However, a fine product is also warning the property market. After all, the public speeches of leaders at this level are carefully deliberate and deliberate.</p><p>Who are the people who are betting that house prices will never fall? Real estate speculators. Guo Shuqing's words mean that real estate speculators will eventually pay a heavy price.</p><p>Guo Shuqing has always been known as the whistleblower of financial risks, and from time to time he talks about real estate, which is essentially a financial industry. Especially since August last year, he bluntly stated for three times in a row that the real estate bubble is the greatest gray rhino threatening financial security. Again and again, it has been emphasized repeatedly in just eight months, and since then the statement has been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.</p><p>It should be said that Guo Shuqing's remarks and ideas represent the views of the high level. Therefore, every speech reveals or suggests a certain wind direction in the future. Looking back at behind each of his words, the regulatory actions against the property market are quietly echoing.</p><p>At the end of last year, the new regulations on the concentration of real estate loans of banking financial institutions were introduced. In addition, the following two centralized land transfer systems, the establishment of a guide price mechanism for second-hand houses, and the severe crackdown on illegal business loans entering the property market followed one after another, each of which hit seven inches of the property market.</p><p>Various measures have been adopted in a multi-pronged manner, with obvious results. Not long ago, on June 1st, Liang Tao, vice chairman of China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, said that the bubble momentum of real estate financialization had been contained. This statement also appeared on Weibo hot search.</p><p>However, despite strong regulation and financial tightening, the hidden worries of the property market still exist. In the first five months of this year, the national housing prices still showed a general rise in the market, and the situation was tenacious. The enthusiasm of the property market remains undiminished, and many cities still have an irrational phenomenon of difficulty in finding a room. Especially with the upgrading of regulation and supervision of the property market, the chaos of arbitrage in the property market by various capital forces and various financial means has gradually been exposed.</p><p>Enhancing the intensity of financial supervision, cutting off the financial black hands extending to real estate transactions, and cracking down on leveraged real estate speculators have become the inevitable trend of regulating the deep water area. This is also the reason why Guangzhou and Shenzhen, the popular representative cities of the property market, intensively introduced financial supervision policies in early June, strictly investigated the illegal flow of funds into the property market, and interviewed financing guarantee and microfinance companies.</p><p>The financial supervision of real estate has increased from traditional commercial banks to financing guarantee companies, which conveys the guidance of further upgrading financial supervision. Next, financial regulators will firmly stick the lifeblood and source of funds for real estate speculation.</p><p>In a sense, from cracking down on business loans, to anti-money laundering, and then to bridge loan restrictions, this round of property market regulation has actually entered the stage of deep game and tackling difficulties.</p><p>This will have a profound impact on the whole property market. It is foreseeable that the activity of the property market will be suppressed to a certain extent in the short term. Those hot property markets where housing prices continue to rise, transactions will be obviously suppressed. With the continuous tightening of various financial channels, the number of abnormal purchase demand groups will inevitably decrease, directly reducing the liquidity of houses. Housing price growth will inevitably enter a low-speed, shock adjustment cycle.</p><p>It is worth being vigilant that once the ebb of capital power in the property market speculation will have an impact on the support of housing prices. In cities with high speculation heat, the risk of declining housing prices cannot be ruled out. In the early stage, the behavior of buying or speculating on real estate by financial means such as bridge loans even led to the risk of concentrated thunderstorms.</p><p>On the same day as Guo Shuqing's speech, the central bank released its financial statistics report for May 2021 as usual. Medium and long-term loans related to residential home purchase loans fell by about 10% compared with the previous month, which is basically in line with the current trend of tightening the property market.</p><p>Combined with the current rising mortgage interest rate, strict investigation of business loans, supervision upgrading to financial institutions and other regulatory behaviors, it is not difficult to imagine that the next property market may continue to decline.</p><p>It is in this context that Guo Shuqing shouted to real estate speculators, using the wording of \"heavy price\", which can be called an extreme word.</p><p>The core is to send a signal: the confidence of the regulatory authorities in the future real estate price regulation is very firm, and it is not ruled out that policies will be introduced one after another. The era of real estate as a tool of asset appreciation arbitrage is about to officially end. It is time for the lucky real estate speculators to give up their illusions and face reality.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632821\">中国房地产报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b534b0aaeb1794ec95e07b3462adf7ae","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632821","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112481215","content_text":"上周的2021年陆家嘴论坛上,郭树清的一段讲话,给风雨飘摇的楼市投入一枚石子,激荡起层层涟漪。\n这位央行党委书记、银保监会主席说:那些炒作外汇、黄金及其他商品期货的人很难有机会发家致富,正像押注房价永远不会下跌的人最终会付出沉重代价一样。\n乍一听,这句话主要是警告炒作外汇、黄金及其他商品期货等金融衍生品投资者。不过细细一品,同样也在警告楼市。毕竟这个层面的领导的公开讲话都是经过深思熟虑,字斟句酌的。\n押注房价永远不会下跌的都是哪些人?炒房者。郭树清话里话外透露的意思是,炒房者最终会付出惨重代价。\n郭树清一直被称为金融风险的吹哨人,也时不时谈论起本质上属于金融行业的房地产。尤其是在去年8月以来,他连续三次直言房地产泡沫是威胁金融安全最大的灰犀牛。一而再,再而三,短短八个月内反复强调,自此该说法深入人心。\n应该说,郭树清的言论和思路代表着高层的看法。故而每次讲话都透露或暗示着未来的某种风向。回看他每一次说话的背后,针对楼市的调控行动都在悄然落地呼应。\n去年年底,银行业金融机构房地产贷款集中度新规出台,加之后面的土地两集中出让制度、建立二手房指导价机制、严厉打击经营贷违规入楼市等行径接踵而至,每一条都打在楼市的七寸上。\n各种举措多管齐下,收效明显。不久前的6月1日,银保监会副主席梁涛表示,房地产金融化泡沫化势头得到遏制。这一表态还登上了微博热搜。\n不过,虽有强力调控和金融收紧,楼市隐忧依然存在。今年前5个月,全国的房价依然出现了普涨行情, 态势顽强。楼市热情不减,很多城市依然存在非理性的一房难求现象。尤其是随着楼市调控监管升级,各种资本力量和各种金融手段在楼市套利的乱象逐渐暴露出来。\n提升金融监管的力度,斩断伸向房产交易的金融黑手,打击加杠杆炒房者,就成为了调控深水区的必然走向。这也是6月初楼市热门代表城市广州和深圳密集出台金融监管政策,严查资金违规流入楼市,约谈融资担保、小额贷款公司的原因。\n对房地产的金融监管从传统的商业银行增加到融资担保公司,传达了金融监管进一步升级的导向。接下来,金融监管机构会牢牢卡住房产炒作的命脉和资金来源。\n某种意义上说,从打击经营贷,到反洗钱,再到过桥贷限制,本轮楼市调控事实上已经进入深度博弈和攻坚落地的阶段。\n这会给整个楼市带来深远影响。可以预见,楼市的活跃性短期会受到一定程度的抑制。那些房价持续上涨的热点楼市,成交会受到明显的抑制。各种金融渠道持续收紧,非正常购买需求群体的数量必然会减少,直接降低房子的流动性。房价增长必然会进入低速,震荡调整的周期。\n值得警惕的是,一旦楼市炒作资本力量的退潮会对房价支撑产生冲击,在炒作热度高的城市,不排除出现房价下滑的风险。前期凭借过桥贷等金融手段购买或者炒作房产的行为,甚至出现集中暴雷的风险。\n在郭树清讲话的同一天,央行照例发布2021年5月金融统计数据报告,与居民购房贷款相关的中长期贷款较上月下降约10%,与当前楼市收紧的趋势基本一致。\n结合当前房贷利率上升,严查经营贷,监管升级到类金融机构等调控行为,不难想象,接下来的楼市或持续下行。\n就是在这样的背景下,郭树清向炒房者喊话,用的措辞是“沉重代价”,称得上偏极端的用词了。\n核心在于传递一个信号:监管层对未来的房地产价格调控上的信心是很坚定的,不排除还会有政策陆续出台。房产作为资产增值套利的工具时代,即将正式结束。心存侥幸的炒房群体是时候放弃幻想,面对现实了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347740872,"gmtCreate":1618532887096,"gmtModify":1704712271000,"author":{"id":"3558650128182991","authorId":"3558650128182991","name":"好事连轴转","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3558650128182991","idStr":"3558650128182991"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347740872","repostId":"1179341244","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}