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VickyZhou
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2020-12-08
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2020-12-08
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特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元
12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。
特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元
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2020-12-08
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特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元
12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。
特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元
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VickyZhou
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2020-11-18
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打破A股“三年魔咒”，高盛预测明年再涨15%
股民们苦苦期待的A股长牛可能真的要来了？ 回顾历史，A股给大多数人的印象都是牛短熊长。 事实上，A股历史上的牛市时间确实不太长。统计显示，A股牛市持续时间一般在2年到2年半之间。 2005年6月
打破A股“三年魔咒”，高盛预测明年再涨15%
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VickyZhou
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2020-03-27
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2020-03-22
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2020-03-11
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tg-height=\"1182\"><span>特斯拉9月份公告</span></p><p>特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。截至目前，特斯拉过去十年通过二次发售筹资约140亿美元，最近一次是在2月。这些筹资在特斯拉从小众电动汽车制造商向大众市场转型的过程中，帮助增强了现金力量。</p><p>EvercoreISI分析师Chris McNally和John Saager在研报中称，此举是利用特斯拉廉价资金成本的一种形式。</p><p>据华尔街日报报道，特斯拉曾在7月表示，计划在得克萨斯州奥斯汀开设第二家美国汽车厂，预计明年投产。该公司已经在柏林郊区建设其首家欧洲汽车厂，并与中国的银行签署了一项贷款协议，以扩大其在上海的汽车厂。</p><p>据华尔街日报，Morningstar Research的分析师David Whiston表示，可能会有更多的工厂需要大量的资本支出。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/964fefdc1ed71ef5a07e1368c3c180a2\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"450\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-12-08 19:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12398abf7a9ecf86c1a2467f36b0aa5\" tg-width=\"1654\" tg-height=\"1116\"><span>特斯拉最新公告</span></p><p>今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。该公司拟将所得款项用于增强资产负债表和用作一般公司用途。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/278ccdc3ee84fc6e862ecb58a2989965\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"1182\"><span>特斯拉9月份公告</span></p><p>特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。截至目前，特斯拉过去十年通过二次发售筹资约140亿美元，最近一次是在2月。这些筹资在特斯拉从小众电动汽车制造商向大众市场转型的过程中，帮助增强了现金力量。</p><p>EvercoreISI分析师Chris McNally和John Saager在研报中称，此举是利用特斯拉廉价资金成本的一种形式。</p><p>据华尔街日报报道，特斯拉曾在7月表示，计划在得克萨斯州奥斯汀开设第二家美国汽车厂，预计明年投产。该公司已经在柏林郊区建设其首家欧洲汽车厂，并与中国的银行签署了一项贷款协议，以扩大其在上海的汽车厂。</p><p>据华尔街日报，Morningstar Research的分析师David Whiston表示，可能会有更多的工厂需要大量的资本支出。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/964fefdc1ed71ef5a07e1368c3c180a2\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"450\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf056c93b86b4b78405c574b04f01c45","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100323184","content_text":"12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。特斯拉最新公告今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。该公司拟将所得款项用于增强资产负债表和用作一般公司用途。特斯拉9月份公告特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。截至目前，特斯拉过去十年通过二次发售筹资约140亿美元，最近一次是在2月。这些筹资在特斯拉从小众电动汽车制造商向大众市场转型的过程中，帮助增强了现金力量。EvercoreISI分析师Chris McNally和John Saager在研报中称，此举是利用特斯拉廉价资金成本的一种形式。据华尔街日报报道，特斯拉曾在7月表示，计划在得克萨斯州奥斯汀开设第二家美国汽车厂，预计明年投产。该公司已经在柏林郊区建设其首家欧洲汽车厂，并与中国的银行签署了一项贷款协议，以扩大其在上海的汽车厂。据华尔街日报，Morningstar Research的分析师David Whiston表示，可能会有更多的工厂需要大量的资本支出。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":392855463,"gmtCreate":1607427127552,"gmtModify":1704970100328,"author":{"id":"3456957921497407","authorId":"3456957921497407","name":"VickyZhou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456957921497407","idStr":"3456957921497407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/392855463","repostId":"1100323184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100323184","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1607425850,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100323184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2020-12-08 19:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100323184","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。","content":"<p>12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12398abf7a9ecf86c1a2467f36b0aa5\" tg-width=\"1654\" tg-height=\"1116\"><span>特斯拉最新公告</span></p><p>今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。该公司拟将所得款项用于增强资产负债表和用作一般公司用途。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/278ccdc3ee84fc6e862ecb58a2989965\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"1182\"><span>特斯拉9月份公告</span></p><p>特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。截至目前，特斯拉过去十年通过二次发售筹资约140亿美元，最近一次是在2月。这些筹资在特斯拉从小众电动汽车制造商向大众市场转型的过程中，帮助增强了现金力量。</p><p>EvercoreISI分析师Chris McNally和John Saager在研报中称，此举是利用特斯拉廉价资金成本的一种形式。</p><p>据华尔街日报报道，特斯拉曾在7月表示，计划在得克萨斯州奥斯汀开设第二家美国汽车厂，预计明年投产。该公司已经在柏林郊区建设其首家欧洲汽车厂，并与中国的银行签署了一项贷款协议，以扩大其在上海的汽车厂。</p><p>据华尔街日报，Morningstar Research的分析师David Whiston表示，可能会有更多的工厂需要大量的资本支出。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/964fefdc1ed71ef5a07e1368c3c180a2\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"450\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉盘前跌超2%，公司将出售股份预计收益高达50亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-12-08 19:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f12398abf7a9ecf86c1a2467f36b0aa5\" tg-width=\"1654\" tg-height=\"1116\"><span>特斯拉最新公告</span></p><p>今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。该公司拟将所得款项用于增强资产负债表和用作一般公司用途。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/278ccdc3ee84fc6e862ecb58a2989965\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"1182\"><span>特斯拉9月份公告</span></p><p>特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。截至目前，特斯拉过去十年通过二次发售筹资约140亿美元，最近一次是在2月。这些筹资在特斯拉从小众电动汽车制造商向大众市场转型的过程中，帮助增强了现金力量。</p><p>EvercoreISI分析师Chris McNally和John Saager在研报中称，此举是利用特斯拉廉价资金成本的一种形式。</p><p>据华尔街日报报道，特斯拉曾在7月表示，计划在得克萨斯州奥斯汀开设第二家美国汽车厂，预计明年投产。该公司已经在柏林郊区建设其首家欧洲汽车厂，并与中国的银行签署了一项贷款协议，以扩大其在上海的汽车厂。</p><p>据华尔街日报，Morningstar Research的分析师David Whiston表示，可能会有更多的工厂需要大量的资本支出。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/964fefdc1ed71ef5a07e1368c3c180a2\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"450\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf056c93b86b4b78405c574b04f01c45","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100323184","content_text":"12月8日讯，特斯拉盘前短线跳水，现跌超2%，此前一度涨超4%。据悉，特斯拉签订股权分配协议，将出售股票，收益高达50亿美元。特斯拉将通过高盛、花旗、巴克莱、巴黎银行、美银证券等出售股份。特斯拉最新公告今年9月初，特斯拉提交的监管公告显示，特斯拉与多家银行达成协议，将“不定时，以市场价值”出售股份。该公司拟将所得款项用于增强资产负债表和用作一般公司用途。特斯拉9月份公告特斯拉此前计划出售至少23.4亿美元股份，或将成为该公司有史以来最大一笔股权融资。截至目前，特斯拉过去十年通过二次发售筹资约140亿美元，最近一次是在2月。这些筹资在特斯拉从小众电动汽车制造商向大众市场转型的过程中，帮助增强了现金力量。EvercoreISI分析师Chris McNally和John Saager在研报中称，此举是利用特斯拉廉价资金成本的一种形式。据华尔街日报报道，特斯拉曾在7月表示，计划在得克萨斯州奥斯汀开设第二家美国汽车厂，预计明年投产。该公司已经在柏林郊区建设其首家欧洲汽车厂，并与中国的银行签署了一项贷款协议，以扩大其在上海的汽车厂。据华尔街日报，Morningstar Research的分析师David Whiston表示，可能会有更多的工厂需要大量的资本支出。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":390096850,"gmtCreate":1605662296370,"gmtModify":1704961589081,"author":{"id":"3456957921497407","authorId":"3456957921497407","name":"VickyZhou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456957921497407","idStr":"3456957921497407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/390096850","repostId":"1181856380","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181856380","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1605661398,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181856380?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2020-11-18 09:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"打破A股“三年魔咒”，高盛预测明年再涨15%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181856380","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"股民们苦苦期待的A股长牛可能真的要来了？\n\n回顾历史，A股给大多数人的印象都是牛短熊长。\n事实上，A股历史上的牛市时间确实不太长。统计显示，A股牛市持续时间一般在2年到2年半之间。\n\n 2005年6月","content":"<blockquote>\n 股民们苦苦期待的A股长牛可能真的要来了？\n</blockquote>\n<p>回顾历史，A股给大多数人的印象都是牛短熊长。</p>\n<p>事实上，A股历史上的牛市时间确实不太长。统计显示，A股牛市持续时间一般在2年到2年半之间。</p>\n<blockquote>\n 2005年6月至2007年10月的牛市持续2年4个月；\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 2008年10月至2009年8月的快牛只有1年时间，之后是长达1年半的高位震荡；\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 2013至2015年6月，是1年半的创业板结构性牛市和1年的全面牛市，总共2年半；\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 2016至2017年的慢牛，持续时间2年。\n</blockquote>\n<p>从2019年到如今，市场已经连续涨了2年，A股这次是否能打破“三年魔咒”实现更长时间的牛市呢？</p>\n<p><b>高盛预计，MSCI中国和沪深300在明年的回报率都将达到15%，这意味着到明年年底MSCI中国和沪深300的目标位分别为125和5600点。</b>得出这一结论主要依据以下四种分析。</p>\n<p>第一，是基于基本面的回报率。高盛预计中国企业盈利将在2021年和2022年分别增长20%和15%，同时MSCI中国和沪深300指数2021年底的目标PE分别达到15.6倍和14.5倍。 结合EPS增速和目标预测后，<b>高盛预计MSCI中国（MXCN）和沪深300在2021年的回报率均为15%。</b></p>\n<p>第二，是宏观因子隐含回报率。高盛的宏观模型，展示了宏观环境可能对股票回报产生的影响。模型显示，在常态化的宏观环境下，<b>2021年MSCI中国的回报率为11%。</b></p>\n<p>第三，分类加总法（SOTP）。考虑到新的中国企业受到非常不同的基本面和估值动态影响，不断变化的指数构成也需要更多特定行业的方法来估值。高盛将企业分成“新”和“旧”两组，并分别对应不同的盈利预期，最终估计<b>2021年MSCI中国回报率为13%。</b></p>\n<p>第四，是高盛的目标价格汇总方法。高盛的研究团队覆盖了MSCI中国中的193家企业，这些企业相当于整个指数市值的85%。简单汇总对这些覆盖股票的12个月目标价，<b>高盛预计指数在未来12个月将上涨15%。</b></p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>打破A股“三年魔咒”，高盛预测明年再涨15%</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n打破A股“三年魔咒”，高盛预测明年再涨15%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-11-18 09:03 北京时间 <a href=http://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3610724><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>股民们苦苦期待的A股长牛可能真的要来了？\n\n回顾历史，A股给大多数人的印象都是牛短熊长。\n事实上，A股历史上的牛市时间确实不太长。统计显示，A股牛市持续时间一般在2年到2年半之间。\n\n 2005年6月至2007年10月的牛市持续2年4个月；\n\n\n 2008年10月至2009年8月的快牛只有1年时间，之后是长达1年半的高位震荡；\n\n\n 2013至2015年6月，是1年半的创业板结构性牛市和1年的全面...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3610724\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a10424fe3b1f29e8d28fdc0dc474e86","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3610724","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1181856380","content_text":"股民们苦苦期待的A股长牛可能真的要来了？\n\n回顾历史，A股给大多数人的印象都是牛短熊长。\n事实上，A股历史上的牛市时间确实不太长。统计显示，A股牛市持续时间一般在2年到2年半之间。\n\n 2005年6月至2007年10月的牛市持续2年4个月；\n\n\n 2008年10月至2009年8月的快牛只有1年时间，之后是长达1年半的高位震荡；\n\n\n 2013至2015年6月，是1年半的创业板结构性牛市和1年的全面牛市，总共2年半；\n\n\n 2016至2017年的慢牛，持续时间2年。\n\n从2019年到如今，市场已经连续涨了2年，A股这次是否能打破“三年魔咒”实现更长时间的牛市呢？\n高盛预计，MSCI中国和沪深300在明年的回报率都将达到15%，这意味着到明年年底MSCI中国和沪深300的目标位分别为125和5600点。得出这一结论主要依据以下四种分析。\n第一，是基于基本面的回报率。高盛预计中国企业盈利将在2021年和2022年分别增长20%和15%，同时MSCI中国和沪深300指数2021年底的目标PE分别达到15.6倍和14.5倍。 结合EPS增速和目标预测后，高盛预计MSCI中国（MXCN）和沪深300在2021年的回报率均为15%。\n第二，是宏观因子隐含回报率。高盛的宏观模型，展示了宏观环境可能对股票回报产生的影响。模型显示，在常态化的宏观环境下，2021年MSCI中国的回报率为11%。\n第三，分类加总法（SOTP）。考虑到新的中国企业受到非常不同的基本面和估值动态影响，不断变化的指数构成也需要更多特定行业的方法来估值。高盛将企业分成“新”和“旧”两组，并分别对应不同的盈利预期，最终估计2021年MSCI中国回报率为13%。\n第四，是高盛的目标价格汇总方法。高盛的研究团队覆盖了MSCI中国中的193家企业，这些企业相当于整个指数市值的85%。简单汇总对这些覆盖股票的12个月目标价，高盛预计指数在未来12个月将上涨15%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":929142990,"gmtCreate":1585272762810,"gmtModify":1705297635540,"author":{"id":"3456957921497407","authorId":"3456957921497407","name":"VickyZhou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456957921497407","idStr":"3456957921497407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心] ","listText":"[开心] 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