Markets show mounting stress: $SPY hits its lowest in 4 months with a fourth straight red week, $VIX remains elevated above 25, $GLD faces record outflows, and $TSLA dips to multi-month lows. 1. $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ Gold $GLD ETF has seen an outflow of $5.5 Billion this month, on track for its largest monthly outflow since April 2013 🚨🚨 2. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ CBOE Volatility Index $VIX posts 3rd consecutive weekly close above 25 🚨🚨 This is only the 2nd time that's happened since 2023 🤯👀 3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY suffers 2nd consecutive close below the 200-day moving average for the first time since May 📉📉 S&P 500 $SPY on trac

Before every trade, I do a "thesis invalidation" writeup. Basically a breakdown of where & why I would exit if wrong. Here's what it looks like (6 parts): 1) technical...if the stock [blank], I'm out: - breaks a key level - loses prior breakout level - hits my stop - fails to hold higher low structure - re-enters prior range (failed breakout) - stock loses relative strength vs $spy 2) fundamental...if the stock's [blank], I'm out: - narrative breaks (no longer strong "story”) - sector / theme loses momentum - insiders start selling aggressively - macro shifts directly hurt the business - leadership starts showing cracks 3) thesis…if the [blank], I’m out: - reason I entered changes - news/narrative shifts - earnings/catalyst invalidates original idea - leaders break down 4) risk…if my [

The market is showing broad weakness, with $BABA and $META under pressure, $SPX testing its 200-day moving average, and $SLV extending a multi-day losing streak, though dip-buyers in AI and cloud names are starting to step in. 1. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA earnings miss sends shares lower (rev/EPS light), yet 1-yr chart shows epic rebound from chart bottoms + volume spikes. AI/cloud dip-buyers piling in? 📉🚀 Alibaba $BABA getting pounded to its lowest price since August 📉📉 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX headed for its first close below the 200-day moving average since May 📉📉 3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META has traded below its 200-day moving average sinc

The global financial services industry is currently undergoing a period of rapid change, driven by the intersection of AI, changing consumer preferences, and the rise of digital-first banking. At the center of this change is $Klarna Group plc(KLAR)$ ! Everyone loves shopping, but nobody loves paying, especially Gen Z. What if you could buy now, but pay later? If that sounds appealing to you, you are not alone, as Klarna has attracted over 188M customers to its BNPL business. The company’s primary mission is to provide a fairer and more transparent alternative to traditional credit cards, which often trap consumers in cycles of high-interest debt. By using advanced technology to lower costs and improve service, Klarna is attempting to rebuild the r

My Position Sizing, a Guide: (position sizing = what % of your account you risk on a trade) I personally use a combination of conviction-based sizing and pyramiding, meaning I sized based on how strong my thesis is + add size as the trade works. Here's a loose version of my style, as it applies to a+ setups. To start, I have zero problem putting 35%+ of my account into a high conviction, thematic long idea in a strong market environment. So let's say we have one of those situations in front of us. I have a $100K account, and I am putting up $35K for this trade. Starter position is typically 10-25% of full position, with entry during a basing of price or a retest of prior breakout at key levels. Stoploss is a daily candle close below those predetermined levels, usually around <5% on comm

The market shows mixed signals this week. Volatility remains elevated as $VIX is poised for a rare third consecutive weekly close above 25, reflecting persistent uncertainty. Broad indices face pressure: $SPX is approaching its 200-day moving average, while $SPY risks a third weekly close below its 20-week MA, echoing last year’s tariff-driven weakness. Among individual stocks, $CPB and $AMC have hit multi-year and all-time lows, highlighting ongoing downside risk, whereas $MU reacts sharply post-earnings with potential large market-cap swings, and $SNDK continues its streak with eight consecutive green months. The divergence between beaten-down names and resilient performers underscores a selective, cautious market environment as traders navigate macro and sector-specific headwinds. 1.

I think there is a fundamental misunderstanding about the purpose of Neo-Cloud $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ capital raises. It's not about what IREN and NBIS can directly do with the $6B and $4B raises, but what they enable. To build a data center, companies use: - Customer Pre-Payments - Bank Financing - Vendor Financing - Revolving Credit Lines - Asset Backed Loans However, these funding sources rarely cover 100% of the costs, companies need the remaining 10-20% in cash. Moreover, customers won't pre-pay, banks won't provide financing, vendors won't delay payments, and creditors won't take assets as collateral if you are broke. All funders must have the trust that you will keep your end of the ba

I have read the new $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ short seller report. 1) I miss DataDInvesting I guess this is why they hired Chris, as he could be writing a detailed response right now. 2) Fundamentally, this comes down to the trust in the management. The short report made some serious allegations, and I am not going to recite all of them as many have already done so. But if they are 100% true (they aren't), then the CEO Anthony Noto and CFO Chris Lapointe committed FRAUD. The allegations don't simply involve aggressive accounting, but clever and sophisticated legal manoeuvring to deceive the SEC, DOJ, lenders, credit investors, shareholders, convertible note investors, and the public. This would imply lawsuits and prison time. I have been foll

I made a "should I be trading?" dashboard. Scores the market across 5 pillars: - volatility (put/call ratio, vix, positioning) - trend (spx vs 20d, 50d, 200d ma's) - breadth (advancing/declining, nas highs/lows) - momentum (sector leaders, laggards, % participation) - macro (fomc, rates, geopolitics) Each is weighted, combined, and averaged to give me a score for the current environment. Basically a yes, no, or stay small. Sometimes I just need someone (or something) to remind me to stay out. Happy to share the prompt if you guys want it...but I made this with perplexity_ai's Computer. here is the prompt I used on perplexity_ai max (Computer)...feel free to mess around with the weightings, etc. PROMPT: Build “Should I Be Trading?” — Bloomberg Terminal-Style Market Dashboard Build a live, a

Markets show cracks in key sectors: $CPB hits a 23-year low, $XLF forms a Death Cross, $KRE closes below its 200-day SMA for 3 days, and $SOFI is down nearly 50% from its November highs. 1. $Campbell Soup(CPB)$ Campbell's Soup $CPB falls to its lowest price in nearly 23 years 🚨 Not even a huge green reversal day for the S&P 500 can stop this ship from sinking 📉📉 2. $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ S&P 500 Financial Stocks just formed a Death Cross ☠️ for the first time since October 2023 🚨 3. $SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF(KRE)$ Regional Banks $KRE have now closed below their 200-day moving average for 3 straight days 🚨 4.

Focus on the leading stocks: 1.Market Leaders $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ +194.73% $Western Digital(WDC)$ +77.09% $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ +76.71% $Elbit Systems Ltd(ESLT)$ +73.68% $Lumentum(LITE)$ +71.22% $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ +63.67% $Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.(ENLT)$ +59.50% $Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$ +58.38% $Micron Technology(MU)$ +56.44% $Ciena(CIEN)$ +53.37%

March is not finished yet, but it is safe to say that it has already been one of the most eventful months in $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ history. First, on March 11, it was announced that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is investing $2B in Nebius. Then, yesterday on March 17, Nebius signed a monster $27B deal with $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ . This comes after the company spent $275M to acquire the agentic AI start-up, Tavily, in February. These 3 events were important, so I decided to write this article and look at them in a little bit more detail. Let’s dig in. 1. $2B Nvidia Investment When the AI revolution began in 2022, it quickly became clear that Nvidia is the biggest beneficiary. D

10 Stocks to Buy and Hold for 10 Years 1/ $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $ONDS is building an autonomous military infrastructure platform by combining AI-powered drones and robots with mission-critical wireless networks while aggressively pursuing M&A and industry consolidation. In light of the Iran War, the need for their services has never been more apparent. The company is exiting the technology validation phase and entering the rapid execution phase. New contracts for its drones and robots are announced almost weekly. 2025 revenues are up 572% Y/Y, and 2027 revenues are set to reach $291M, 502% above 2025. Furthermore, the company is consolidating the very fragmented military start-up industry, acquiring companies at favourable terms. With it

Market volatility spikes as $SPX hits 24-month oversold, $VIX closes above 27, $DB drops 30%, while $CRDO eyes a weekly breakout and $ULTA faces its 5th worst day in a decade. 1. $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ Credo $CRDO trying for the Breakout on the Weekly 🚨📈📈 2. $ulta beauty(ULTA)$ Ulta Beauty $ULTA suffers 5th worst day in the last decade 👀 3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX hits most oversold level 24 months 🚨🚨 4. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ CBOE Volatility Index $VIX just posted consecutive weekly closes above 27 for only the 2nd time in the last 3.5 years 👻😱👀🫂 5.

$MercadoLibre(MELI)$ stock is falling, yet the company continues to invest in its business, positioning itself for decades of growth! The announcement of $3.4B investment in Argentina shouldn't have caused the stock to fall 6% 🔴 Investors still don't understand that it's not about the next 1-2 years with $MELI. The growth in Latin America is much more durable because: 1) E-commerce penetration is low 2) Financial access is low 3) Economies are growing faster than developed markets E-commerce penetration in many South American countries remains significantly lower than in developed markets, leaving substantial room for online retail expansion. Furthermore, contrary to popular belief, at maturity. e-commerce penetration in these markets will be even

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ $MasterCard(MA)$ Stablecoin partnership is a game-changing development for Sofi's new crypto business. The market completely shrugged it off because of the Fintech sell-off, and the Iran War is sucking all the attention. SOFI US dollar stablecoin, SoFiUSD, will support settlement across the Mastercard network. Historically, card transactions are settled by banks in fiat currency through central banks, taking a long time, sometimes days. This partnership allows SOFI to move money instantly at any time, instead of waiting days for traditional banks to process transactions. Issuers and acquirers can choose to settle transactions in SoFiUSD, allowing for 24/7/365 instant settlemen

Markets are showing signs of growing weakness as several high-profile stocks break key technical levels and major indices extend their losing streaks. At the same time, pockets of volatility compression suggest that some names may be setting up for sharp moves ahead. 1. $Nike(NKE)$ Nike $NKE just did it 🚨 An 11th straight red day, its longest losing streak since August 2023 📉📉📉 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla $TSLA closes below its 200-day moving average for the first time since September 📉📉 The Entire Group of Mag 7 stocks is now in the red this year, with each individual name underperforming the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 👀 Microsoft

$Adobe(ADBE)$ is down 8% after reporting earnings. As often, it was not the earnings themselves that caused this, as Adobe beat estimates, but rather 1) CEO leaving and 2) guidance. Shantanu Narayen, who has led Adobe for 18 years, announced yesterday that he is stepping down. He led ADBE through the difficult business model transition from licensing to SaaS subscriptions. He couldn't be leaving at the worst time for the company, as ADBE is going through a generational disruption threat to its business. While Adobe is integrating AI in its offerings, there is a growing fear that AI could lower the barrier to entry for competitors, in many use cases, eliminating the need for Adobe, thus reducing the number of paid seats. My personal opinion is that

A few notable technical signals across the market today. Here’s what stands out: 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY on track for its 2nd straight weekly close below the 20-week moving average 🚨🚨 The last time that happened was April/May 😱👀 2. $Campbell Soup(CPB)$ Campbell's Soup $CPB falls to its lowest price in almost 23 years and is now in danger of getting booted from the S&P 500 📉👻👀 3. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amazon $AMZN forms a Death Cross ☠️ for the first time since April 🚨 The last one marked the bottom ✅ 4. $Firefly Aerospace Inc.(FLY)$ Firefly Aerospace $FLY just gapped above its 200-day moving a

6 Undervalued Businesses with a Strong Moat 1/ $MercadoLibre(MELI)$ $MELI is the best company in Latin America, which is down over 30% from June highs. The company maintains a powerful moat through its integrated ecosystem, which locks in users by seamlessly combining: - E-commerce - Fintech - Loans - Logistics This creates a massive network effect where a growing buyer base attracts more merchants, while its proprietary logistics network provides a level of delivery speed and reliability. Key Segments are exploding: E-com Services $2.3B ➡️ $12.8B E-com Products $255M ➡️ $3.5B Fintech $1.1B ➡️ $6.7B Credit $246M ➡️ $5.9B - 78M Fintech Users - 121M E-com Buyers - $65B GMV 2/ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $GOOGL is th