Time Anchor & Core Focus Issued: 2026-03-16 17:06 SGT (Asia PM Session) Period Covered: 2026-03-09 → 2026-03-15 Focus: Energy Supply Shock | BTC Decoupling | HALO Trade | Execution Discipline 1. Macro & Geopolitical Overview Over the past week, the core variables driving global markets have been entirely hijacked by the "Middle East Conflict + Energy Supply Shock." Macro fundamentals (rates, employment, growth) are being completely suppressed by geopolitics in the near term. U.S. Airstrikes on Kharg Island (Energy Hub): While the strikes did not completely obliterate Iran's export infrastructure, they delivered an unmistakable signal to the market: the war is escalating. De Facto Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz: Severe tanker congestion and suspensions are plaguing the chokepoint
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Global Market Outlook | Hormuz Shock Enters Week Three: The Energy War Reprices Assets
Global Market Outlook | Hormuz Shock Enters Week Three: The Energy War Reprices Assets
Global Market Outlook: Black Swan Unfolding? What Markets Do Next as Hormuz Closure Tightens
Note: As of Asian trading session March 9, WTI Spot trades at $91.55, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ implies a 6739 open. In the week of March 9, 2026, the key macro variable driving global markets has become unmistakably clear: The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz is no longer a tail risk — it is becoming an active market reality. During the Asian trading session, energy markets have already begun pricing in the shock. If the disruption persists, roughly 20% of global seaborne oil supply could be affected — making this one of the most critical energy chokepoints in the world. A Global Energy Shock Already in Motion Recent tanker tracking data shows maritime traffic in the strait collapsing, with hundreds of vessels stranded near Gulf ports. Several majo
Global Market Outlook: Black Swan Unfolding? What Markets Do Next as Hormuz Closure Tightens
Global Market Outlook: US-Israel Strikes Iran, How to Position for Oil Defense Stocks Next Week
Period Covered: Feb 23–28, 2026Issued: Saturday, Feb 28, 2026Focus: US | China/HK | Crypto | Commodities | Geopolitical Events1) Macro & Geopolitical SummaryUnited StatesEquities:S&P 500: 6,812Nasdaq Composite: 16,432Dow Jones: 34,910Fixed Income: US 10Y Treasury Yield: 3.961%FX: USD DXY: 102.34Macro drivers:Feb 26 PCE inflation 2.9% → marginal driver for 10Y yields decline and short-term equity repricing.Q4 GDP (2/20 Advance Estimate) already digested; included as background.AsiaChina / Hong Kong:Hang Seng: 26,381 (‑1.4%)Hang Seng Tech: 5,109 (‑2.9%)Shanghai Composite: 3,332 (‑0.4%)Japan: Nikkei 225: 31,110 (+0.3%)Capital flows: Anticipate Southbound outflow from HK tech → A-share defense / national tech replacement sectors in response to Pakistan–Afghanistan war.CryptocurrenciesB
Global Market Outlook: US-Israel Strikes Iran, How to Position for Oil Defense Stocks Next Week
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