Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Trend is King.Jesse Livermore’s motto: Follow the line of least resistance.Today’s tape:🚀 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just broke all-time highs💪Breadth is expanding (more highs than lows)👻Risk-on proxies ( $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ , $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ) are breaking outLivermore would stay long while the trend holds——but watch price like a hawk. He never married a position.For bulls in July, the job is simple: Keep price above 6100. We just went through a healthy move like this in May.Image2.This gives everyone 3 weeks to watch for topping patterns, structure, sentiment and digest more head

Look. This is the partially the right outlook imo. You will be bullish much more than bearish. You don’t need to worry about bear markets, but certainly need to be aware of conditions that lead to one. Successfully do this and you outperform. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Correctly navigating February through April is responsible for majority of outperformance for me this year.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up

1.Markets closed Friday with the strongest breadth reading in 2025. Across NYSE and Nasdaq listings more stocks made new highs than lows. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ This simplified breadth perspective is core to my weekly analysis. A strong reading is supportive of the ongoing bullish narrative.2.It is most certainly not bearish. As always, more thoughts on Sunday in long form letter. Have a super weekend.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：💰Join the TB Contra Teleg

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: Momentum Interruptions. Momentum has been the market's best friend from November through year end. This is being subtly interrupted. In the lower panel of the chart is the Percentage Price Oscillator. This oscillator offers a quick insight into trend momentum. The red dots within the panel signify negative crossover events, a slowdown in momentum. In my analysis, momentum interruption occurs when the initial negative crossover is not succeeded by a corrective price move. Instead, price continues to climb with successive negative crossovers, creating a pattern of interruptions. Based on my observations, the decline that follows such an interruption cycle tends to erase most of the earlier advance. Previous instances ar

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ There is a tremendous amount of top calling today. This is important, but first a recap for context. My risk system fired the alarm bell on February 21, this was well shared. This was the sole reason for outperformance through Q1. In April I shared thoughts of sentiment (Fear & Greed Index read 3!) and positioning being simultaneously depressed. This combination did well again to mark a local bottom. This was a good trade. (The market rallied another 5%. Happy to have caught 2/3 of the rally)Most recently for me however is a misstep taking a short sided traded last week. This was quickly cut on Monday. Many more of these will happen, the objective is to limit the number of missteps per year. There is a lot to review this we

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Between Sydney Sweeney, Trump, and the haters (where there is good argument to be made that they don’t spend the money anyway) you’ve all made American Eagle more popular than it has been in the last 5 years. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Undeniably bullish.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram G

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: Momentum reversed on a dime through last week with the index breaking above 4600 and hitting 2023 highs alongside the Nasdaq. The Dow Jones marked new all-time highs. Breadth is the best the market has seen over the last two years. I'm cautious here. It has been well shared that retail participants have jumped in with both feet. The "Everyone Is In The Pool" feeling. Sentiment remains in greed, and most technical measures are stretched into key resistance zones. The breakout last week quickly reversed the negative crossover in the Price Percentage Oscillator (lower panel). This oscillator offers insight into trend momentum. To add probability to a local top I am keeping watch for signs of momentum fatigue with success

Similar to January 16 the market today recorded negative breadth today across NYSE and Nasdaq markets— more stocks made new lows vs new highs. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ If the S&P 500 trades below 4850 while breadth remains negative it spells an imminent decline. Both conditions (1) negative breadth and (2) loss of the short term moving average are needed for decline risk to elevate. January 16 was 1 of 2 and breadth flipped positive the next day. A thought to keep in mind throughout the week.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/tomthetrader1

$HSI(HSI)$ thoughts: $Alibaba(BABA)$ and $TENCENT(00700)$ are titans in the Asian markets. Both have progressed through a 70-80% decline from their 2020/2021 peaks. Today both charts show a loose year long pattern of consolidation where the upper resistance boundary is near the long duration moving average (200-day). Given this setup, I find the risk to reward here as favorable and have established initial positions in both.ImageImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/tomthetrader1

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Markets continue to look hot. $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ 6230 is the level to hold on the S&P 500, until that breaks there is limited reason to be bearish. Looking ahead towards August & September is some seasonal weakness. Seasonality is never a certainty— but I pay attention. August / September could be a sideways consolidation that gives this rally a pause and cools sentiment & positioning. That would be a wonderful setup into the final three months of the year. ARKK has served well to capture outperformance, I think 90-100 remains in the cards for this trade.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,0

Wow. Largest inflow ever to $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ever. In past 72 hours I have observed the chart below, another showing record retail inflow, retail confidence at highs, progressing through a month of greed on the back of the best November since 1980. Breadth has been phenomenal relative to the last two years. Santa spirit is at all time highs. Considering the above— it is likely everyone has felt some benefit from this past two month. Small caps remarkable outperformance saving many late index participants, bonds outperforming the S&P 500 from the October low, even the bitcoin crowd has sense of euphoria into year end. Again— it feels like everyone is in the equity pool again, and much faster than the last time. The bull trade ta

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ Thoughts:> 6000 = Good< 6000 = BadSimple. Everything else right now is noise.Image2.Futures marked have opened with the S&P 500 below 6000. Bad boy Trump and his tariffs— market does not like uncertainty. Will monitor breadth and momentum throughout it the week— if both flip negative with the index below 6000 = alarm 🚨Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ market thoughts visualized:I maintain the outlook where a healthy correction returning the index to 4500 - 4600 sets the stage for a breakout advance into new all time highs. 5000 on the index I think will be filled with a similar euphoria as when a penny stock crosses 0.50 for the first time, leading to an accelerated advance.Predicting the exact peak is purely speculative, I've marked a high of 5300. The core analysis of breadth, momentum, sentiment and positioning will aid in assessing the probability for a top. I hold the thought that the market peak will align closely with the highly anticipated Fed pivot. For now, the market odds are pointing towards March. I'm indifferent here, it happens when it happens.From there a wel