Alice Arnault
Alice Arnault
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avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-03

Techical analysis 101: Valuation methods with cases

Follow me at @Alice Arnault to learn more  Saw quite a number of news stories which talk about valuation, so hope to share a bit on this Relative Valuation - estimates the value of an asset by looking at the pricing of assets relative to a common variable like earnings, cash flows, book value or sales. • Most common multiples: P/E, EV/EBITDA, Price/Book Value, EV/Sales, PEG ratio, free cash flow yield, dividend yield Case: In 2020, the average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 index was around 22x, while the historical average is about 15x. This suggested that the market might have been overvalued at that time. • Historical analysis: how does current pricing compare to history Quant: In 2007, just before the financial crisis,
Techical analysis 101: Valuation methods with cases
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-09

Tech analysis 101: ADR vs Stock price: Whats the difference

Follow me at @Alice Arnault and let us learn and earn together![Lovely]  The use of ADR is very common on Tiger express and related news. A few have expressed that they are the same as stocks but it's actually different  When someone says an ADR has fallen, it means that the price of the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) has decreased in value on the U.S. stock exchange where it is traded.  This decline in the ADR's price may be due to various factors, such as changes in the underlying foreign company's stock price, fluctuations in currency exchange rates, or shifts in market sentiment towards the company or its industry. The difference between an ADR falling and a domestic stock falling is primarily related to the
Tech analysis 101: ADR vs Stock price: Whats the difference
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-06-04

Stock Persona Method: Tesla and Apple as cases

Follow me @Alice Arnault for less fluff A lot of us would use user persona, product persona etc, this is the same for stocks as well. In this case Stock persona refers to the specific characteristics and behavioral patterns of a stock, which reflect its performance in the market and how investors perceive it. It can involve factors such as volatility, stability, growth potential, and value attributes. Understanding stock persona helps you to choose some stocks suitable  for oneself and requires research and analysis. Here are some methods to understand it 1. Study the company's fundamentals: Understand the company's financial condition, profitability, competitive advantages, etc. These factors can help you assess the company'
Stock Persona Method: Tesla and Apple as cases
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-16

Whats a “good”payback period?

This concept actually moves beyond short term investment but also into project decisions so many readers would be familiar with it, but when evaluating businesses and products this requires a different erspective  The payback period in business and finance refers to the length of time required to recover the cost of an investment. In simple terms, it's the time it takes for an investment to generate enough cash flows to recover the initial outlay. The calculation for the payback period is quite straightforward: Payback Period = Initial Investment / Annual Cash Inflows For example, if a company invests $1 million in a project that's expected to generate $200,000 per year, the payback period would be: $1 million / $200,000 = 5 years Good? As always in business, it depends The payback pe
Whats a “good”payback period?
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-04

Tech analysis 101: EV/Ebita pls use this with PE

🔹Why use EV/EBITDA?🔹 EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) is a valuation multiple used alongside P/E (Price-to-Earnings) to evaluate companies, especially those with heavy investment. It's useful for comparing firms with different capital structures and has some advantages over P/E. 🌟 Enterprise Value (EV) = Equity market cap + Long-term debt - Cash ✅ Strengths of EV/EBITDA: 1️⃣ Rarely negative: Unlike P/E, EV/EBITDA is hardly ever negative, making it easier to compare companies. 2️⃣ Eliminates D&A differences: Depreciation & Amortization (D&A) can vary across companies, but using EBITDA eliminates these differences. 3️⃣ Eases comparisons: By factoring in debt and cash, EV/EBITDA helps compare companies with different c
Tech analysis 101: EV/Ebita pls use this with PE
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-21

Compare with effective interest rate not interest rate

Loans are a fundamental part of of businesses, forming a critical component of leverage .recenly a friend was comparing the loans between what she can get Note from the big differences in interest quoted for $DBS Group Holdings Ltd.(DBSDY)$ $UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$ and $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$  Basically the difference comes from the inclusion of fees and compounding and other fees effects making it a more comparison Follow me @Alice Arnault To for logical learning and earning together 
Compare with effective interest rate not interest rate
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-15

Reasonable bid spread for options

Follow me at @Alice Arnault Less fluff and more substance  Always look far and wide 5 to 10 percent A good rule of thumb for a "reasonable" bid-ask spread on options is to look for spreads that are no more than 5-10% of the option's ask price. For highly liquid options, such as those on widely-traded stocks or ETFs, you may find spreads much narrower, sometimes just a few cents. However, for less liquid options or options with less trading activity, you may find wider spreads.  In such cases, be cautious when trading these options, as the spread could significantly impact your profits. Additonal costs from spreads If the spread is higher than 10% of the ask price, it may be considered too high, and you should evaluate
Reasonable bid spread for options
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-12

Technical 101: Straddle strategy : a formula and template

This is a extension of @Tiger_comments piece on this where this strategy can be used for highly volatile assets.  Follow me @Alice Arnault and let us learn and earn together Step by step  Identify a growth stock: Find a growth stock that you believe will experience significant price movement in the near future, either up or down. Growth stocks are typically characterized by rapidly increasing revenues, earnings, and market share. Choose the strike price: Select a strike price that is close to the current trading price of the stock. This is the price at which you will buy the call option and the put option. Buy call and put options: Purchase a call option (t
Technical 101: Straddle strategy : a formula and template
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-22

Lost money? What you do next depend on why you invested

Follow me @Alice Arnault To learn and earn at all times Many of my friends consult me at times what they should do when their equity or fund has lost ground ,as in life it depends  The first category, quite common, is known as 'momentum' or 'trend following' investing. In simpler terms, this involves being attracted to assets that seem to be consistently growing. When people observe an asset rising day by day, they naturally get excited and are tempted to jump on the bandwagon. Hence, if a fund is constantly appreciating, it's quite likely that a lot of people will buy into it. Many platforms love to promote such funds that have been performing exceptionally well over the short term. And when these funds outpace the market's
Lost money? What you do next depend on why you invested
avatarAlice Arnault
2023-05-05

101 QnA: Why does Sheng Shiong have higher ROE than Alibaba/JD

Warren Buffett is often said to value ROE has a indicator but we also see that companies like $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ has a higher ROE than $Alibaba(BABA)$  Always look beyond the rainbow This is might seem perculiar but the reasons why it might be so be because  Profit margins: Sheng Siong might have higher profit margins compared to Alibaba and JD.com, which could contribute to a higher ROE. This can be due to factors like efficient cost management, pricing strategies, or lower competition in their respective markets. Financial leverage: Companies with higher financial leverage (more debt relative to equity) can exhibit higher ROE because they use borrowed money to gen
101 QnA: Why does Sheng Shiong have higher ROE than Alibaba/JD

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