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2023-01-11

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Tiger Review | US December CPI estimate, how much will the increase fall?

2023-01-11

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What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI Data> Powell's Speech on a Certain Occasion> Other Fed Member's Speech on a Certain Occasion> FOMC Meeting</b>”。 The most uninteresting thing is the FOMC meeting, and of course I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Federal Reserve will release thunder.</p><p>The U.S. CPI data for December hasn't come out yet, but the EU CPI data is out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from a high level. The chart below shows the CPI of the US (blue line) and the EU (white line), which are very closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to fall later than that of the United States, and the core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the U.S. CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference and common sense also align with each other. The United States is more energy independent and the EU is more energy dependent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the specific CPI of the United States 12? I'll make an estimate today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, that is to say, the price of gasoline in December 2022 is cheaper than that in December 2021, and the year-on-year growth is about-1%. Considering that there are some services in the energy segment, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the chart below is the index of food), which is the stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation is beginning to slow down from the previous month. Here, mathematically, using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of food in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of food in November of 10.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For the third part (commodities) and the fourth part (services), the treatment method is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of commodities will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; Year-over-year growth in services will be 7%, slightly up from 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the contribution of rent is the biggest. From the actual feeling now, the rent has indeed not dropped.</p><p><b>Finally, put the four parts of the estimate on their respective weight coefficients, then the inflation estimate in December is 6.0%. The current average estimate of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% below their estimates.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has been smaller and smaller in the past four months, while I used the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The following chart shows the index of these three parts in the past four months and the month-on-month growth, and the trend of month-on-month weakening is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: Non-research report, for informational purposes only, does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Review | US December CPI estimate, how much will the increase fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Review | US December CPI estimate, how much will the increase fall?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 21:55</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>December CPI Estimate</b></p><p>Since Friday, the market has been trading with clear macro signs. What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI Data> Powell's Speech on a Certain Occasion> Other Fed Member's Speech on a Certain Occasion> FOMC Meeting</b>”。 The most uninteresting thing is the FOMC meeting, and of course I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Federal Reserve will release thunder.</p><p>The U.S. CPI data for December hasn't come out yet, but the EU CPI data is out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from a high level. The chart below shows the CPI of the US (blue line) and the EU (white line), which are very closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to fall later than that of the United States, and the core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the U.S. CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference and common sense also align with each other. The United States is more energy independent and the EU is more energy dependent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the specific CPI of the United States 12? I'll make an estimate today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, that is to say, the price of gasoline in December 2022 is cheaper than that in December 2021, and the year-on-year growth is about-1%. Considering that there are some services in the energy segment, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the chart below is the index of food), which is the stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation is beginning to slow down from the previous month. Here, mathematically, using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of food in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of food in November of 10.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For the third part (commodities) and the fourth part (services), the treatment method is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of commodities will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; Year-over-year growth in services will be 7%, slightly up from 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the contribution of rent is the biggest. From the actual feeling now, the rent has indeed not dropped.</p><p><b>Finally, put the four parts of the estimate on their respective weight coefficients, then the inflation estimate in December is 6.0%. The current average estimate of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% below their estimates.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has been smaller and smaller in the past four months, while I used the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The following chart shows the index of these three parts in the past four months and the month-on-month growth, and the trend of month-on-month weakening is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: Non-research report, for informational purposes only, does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df74a3173019df9d7cecb61fc0d78eea","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185461473","content_text":"12月CPI预估从上周五开始，市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象，就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言，但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强，而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候，恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。按照重要性排序，现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“CPI数据 >鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 >其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 > FOMC会议”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议，当然也不得不看，因为害怕美联储会放雷。12月美国的CPI数据还没出来，但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据，欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国（蓝线）和欧盟（白线）的CPI，两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚，这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率，是去年6月见顶。但是欧盟CPI的能源部分，是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合，美国的能源独立性更强，欧盟的能源依赖性更强。欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落，那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢？我今天来估算一下。第一个部分是能源，11月的同比增长还是13%，但是根据汽油的平均价格来看，12月的同比增长会是负数，也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜，大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分，价格具有一定的粘滞性，能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格，红框是12月。第二部分是食物（下图是食物的指数），是属于通胀比较顽固的部分，目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下，沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数，那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%，这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。对于第三部分（商品）和第四部分（服务），均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%，低于11月的3.7%；服务的同比增长将会是7%，略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹，所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性，这里面房租的贡献最大，从现在的实际感受来看，房租确实没有回落。最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数，那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%，我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。注意，我的预估其实都是偏保守，因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小，而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数，很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长，环比变弱的趋势明显。周四的数字不会难看。免责声明：非研究报告，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407484,"gmtCreate":1673398311350,"gmtModify":1676538830121,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407484","repostId":"1118702062","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407579,"gmtCreate":1673398293592,"gmtModify":1676538830115,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407579","repostId":"1129242286","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129242286","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673360880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129242286?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-10 22:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | Alibaba opens higher, Tesla rises more than 2%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129242286","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月10日周二，美股小幅低开，但随后拉升，截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示，美联储的政策是有效的，我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开，涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团，杭州市人民","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10th, U.S. stocks open low slightly, but then rose. As of press time, all three major indexes turned up.<b>The Fed's policies are working and there is nothing wrong with our mission, Fed Powell said in his remarks tonight.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55213d1c864fbf260a9c22a95bbb2b0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Opened higher, up about 2%. Investigation of Secretary of Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">Ant Group</a>Hangzhou Municipal People's Government and Alibaba signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35609e447b1917b2057ddcbb64dada4d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The new car-making forces collectively rose at the beginning of the session,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>rose by more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It rose more than 2% at the beginning of the session, and it was reported that Tesla China won 30,000 vehicle orders in three days after announcing the price cut. But Tesla officials did not comment. It is also reported that Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, will begin to expand in size in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3eeff30d0063f48d0f9768dd5ebdb72\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Faraday Future fell more than 5% after receiving a notice from the Nasdaq exchange informing the company that it did not meet certain continued listing requirements.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit</a>With a 20% drop, Virgin Orbit admitted on social media that its first satellite launch from Britain failed.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Up 7.1%, although the company posted a quarterly loss of about $393 million during the holiday season, it did not indicate it would file for bankruptcy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>down 1.56%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Downgraded Boeing to hold from overweight, saying there was a lack of potential upside from current levels.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>Slightly down 1%, with reports<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Plans to abandon by 2025<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Chip, switch to internal design.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>It fell more than 11% after the company lowered its 2023 guidance and missed market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | Alibaba opens higher, Tesla rises more than 2%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | Alibaba opens higher, Tesla rises more than 2%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 22:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10th, U.S. stocks open low slightly, but then rose. As of press time, all three major indexes turned up.<b>The Fed's policies are working and there is nothing wrong with our mission, Fed Powell said in his remarks tonight.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55213d1c864fbf260a9c22a95bbb2b0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Opened higher, up about 2%. Investigation of Secretary of Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">Ant Group</a>Hangzhou Municipal People's Government and Alibaba signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35609e447b1917b2057ddcbb64dada4d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The new car-making forces collectively rose at the beginning of the session,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>rose by more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It rose more than 2% at the beginning of the session, and it was reported that Tesla China won 30,000 vehicle orders in three days after announcing the price cut. But Tesla officials did not comment. It is also reported that Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, will begin to expand in size in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3eeff30d0063f48d0f9768dd5ebdb72\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Faraday Future fell more than 5% after receiving a notice from the Nasdaq exchange informing the company that it did not meet certain continued listing requirements.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit</a>With a 20% drop, Virgin Orbit admitted on social media that its first satellite launch from Britain failed.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Up 7.1%, although the company posted a quarterly loss of about $393 million during the holiday season, it did not indicate it would file for bankruptcy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>down 1.56%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Downgraded Boeing to hold from overweight, saying there was a lack of potential upside from current levels.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>Slightly down 1%, with reports<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Plans to abandon by 2025<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Chip, switch to internal design.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>It fell more than 11% after the company lowered its 2023 guidance and missed market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129242286","content_text":"1月10日周二，美股小幅低开，但随后拉升，截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示，美联储的政策是有效的，我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开，涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团，杭州市人民政府和阿里巴巴签订全面深化战略合作协议。造车新势力盘初集体走高，小鹏汽车涨超3%，理想汽车、蔚来涨2%。特斯拉盘初涨超2%，消息称在宣布降价后，特斯拉中国三天内获3万辆汽车订单。但特斯拉官方未予置评。另据报道，未来几周，特斯拉位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀的电动汽车工厂的规模将开始扩大。法拉第未来跌超5%，此前收到纳斯达克交易所的通知，告知公司不符合某些继续上市要求。维珍轨道大跌20%，维珍轨道在社交媒体承认，首次从英国发射卫星宣告失败。3B家居涨7.1%，尽管公司假日季出现了约3.93亿美元的季度亏损，但没有表示会申请破产。波音跌1.56%，摩根士丹利将波音的评级从增持下调至持有，称从当前水平看缺乏潜在的上升空间。博通微跌1%，有报道称苹果计划到2025年放弃博通芯片，改用内部设计。Illumina跌超11%，此前该公司下调2023年的业绩指引，且低于市场预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407208,"gmtCreate":1673398270405,"gmtModify":1676538830104,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407208","repostId":"2302209798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2302209798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673391598,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2302209798?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-11 06:59","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302209798","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测，并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。　　世行周二表示，全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%，约为6月预测增速的一半。　　该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期，称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。　　美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示，美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做，应该进一步加息，然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The World Bank slashes its 2023 economic forecast, warning of a global recession</b><b>2. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The head says the probability of a Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b><b>4. US small business optimism drops to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b><b>5. The U.S. public pension gap exceeds $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b><b>6. JPMorgan Chase expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected. U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market prices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>World Bank slashes 2023 economic forecast, warns of global recession</b></p><p>The World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts for most countries and regions and warned that new negative shocks could plunge the global economy into recession.</p><p>The World Bank said on Tuesday that global GDP is likely to grow only 1.7% this year, about half the pace forecast for June. If the predictions are true, it will be the third-lowest in the last three decades, behind only 2009 and 2020.</p><p>The bank also lowered its economic growth forecast for 2024, citing persistent inflation and rising interest rates as key reasons. The report also mentioned the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the decline in investment.</p><p>World Bank President Malpass wrote in the foreword to the bank's semi-annual Global Economic Prospect report that \"the crisis facing development is intensifying\" and the global economic boom may continue to suffer. By the end of next year, GDP in emerging markets and developing economies will be roughly 6% below pre-pandemic expectations.</p><p>Other headwinds facing poorer countries are exacerbated by spillovers from weaker U.S. and European Union economies, according to Bank of America. While inflation is slowing, there are signs that price pressures are becoming more persistent and central banks are having to rate hike faster than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201f31a4a7b549e763bf9d08ae766df9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Fed Gov. Bowman: Further rate hike Needed to Curb High Inflation</b></p><p>Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the Fed has more work to do to curb inflation and should further rate hike and then keep interest rates in restrictive territory for some time.</p><p>In written remarks prepared for the Florida Bankers Association on Tuesday, Bowman said, \"In recent months, we've seen some measures of inflation come down, but there's still a lot of work to be done, and I expect the Fed to continue raising interest rates to tighten monetary policy, as we said after the December meeting.\"</p><p>Fed officials are signaling to markets that tightening is not over. The Federal Open Market Committee in December was all in favor of rate hike 50 basis points, raising the benchmark interest rate to 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>Bowman said the magnitude of future interest rate adjustments and the timing of stopping the rate hike would depend on inflation, and she would like to see \"compelling signs that inflation has peaked\" and is looking for \"consistent\" evidence that inflation is on a downward path.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ea0dce3d3abfe235755f4d695d1f9d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan head says probability of Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b></p><p>JPMorgan CEO Dimon believes the Fed may need rate hike to levels beyond current expectations, but he advocates a pause to see the full impact of last year's rate hike.</p><p>Dimon said in an interview on Tuesday that the Fed's forecast to raise its benchmark interest rate to around 5% has a 50% probability of being correct, and the other half is likely that the central bank will have to increase it to 6%.</p><p>\"I also think it's probably not enough,\" Dimon said. \"Our pace was a little slow before. It was catching up. I don't see any harm in waiting three or six months.\"</p><p>Two Fed officials said Monday that the Fed may need to rate hike above 5% and then maintain that level for some time.</p><p>although<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Wall Street peers are laying off jobs, but Dimon said JPMorgan is \"still in hiring mode.\" He said wage pressures have eased slightly as consumption levels have declined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c311eac63f1f78fe74606b571a8871df\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. small business optimism falls to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b></p><p>Optimism among U.S. small business owners dropped in December to its second-to-last level in nearly a decade as the economy and earnings expectations deteriorated.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) noted in a report Tuesday that the overall optimism index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month. Eight of the index's 10 component indicators fell, and readings were lower than all economists surveyed had expected.</p><p>Inflation remains the most important single factor affecting small businesses, with rising labor and material costs seen as the top reason for shocking earnings. The net share of companies that said profits had fallen in the past three months was 30% in December, up from 22% in November.</p><p>However, there are signs that price pressures are easing. The proportion of business owners raising prices compared to three months ago was about 43%, the lowest proportion since May 2021. The net proportion of planned near-term markup is 24%, the lowest level in two years.</p><p>Perception of the economy is deteriorating, though, with 51% of business owners expecting even bleaker conditions for doing business in the first half of the year. Ten percent of business owners expect sales to fall in the first quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed2c05ab5def11bb4837f5853154413c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. public pension gap crosses $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b></p><p>The Equable Institute, a New York-based nonprofit, estimates that the U.S. state and local pension funding gap rose to $1.45 trillion last year.</p><p>In its report released Tuesday, Equable said the shortfall for 2021 was $986.6 billion. Last year, poor investment returns dragged down the average funded ratio of large state and local pensions to 77.3% from 83.9% in 2021, the report said. The gap between pension assets and liabilities to retirees widened by nearly $500 billion.</p><p>Public pensions are invested in stocks, bonds and other financial instruments, earning profits to pay for promised employee benefits. Surging inflation, rising interest rates and rising fears of a recession have hit stocks and bond markets last year.</p><p>Equable estimates that state and local pensions averaged a negative 6.14% initial return on investment in 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c708afd8a49964cadf48b9f365d32\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market</b></p><p>JPMorgan Chase's sales and trading department believes that the U.S. inflation data released on Thursday may be lower than expected, which will help push U.S. stocks to rebound from the bear market.</p><p>Economists generally predict that the year-over-year CPI rise will fall to 6.5% in December, while JPMorgan analysts such as Andrew Tyler expect a two-thirds chance that the actual data will be within 10 basis points of expectations. Given that investors maintained largely defensive position deployments, any sign of progress in the Fed's anti-inflation action would spur markets to trim bearish positions, with the S&P 500 on track to gain 1.5%-2% on the day.</p><p>Tyler wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday that \"cooling inflation should help the bear market rally, but we will remain cautious as long as the Fed remains in an aggressive tightening cycle, with our scenario analysis skewed toward bullish stocks as existing position deployments could cause the market to overreact to short covering.\"</p><p>If inflation falls below 6.4%, which the team puts at a 20% probability, the benchmark stock index will rise between 3% and 3.5%. For the U.S. bond market only, unless the actual data is significantly lower than expected, such as falling to 6% or below, the bond market should react calmly. Only if the CPI rise falls below 4.5%-5% will investors re-evaluate expectations about a pause in interest rate hikes at the March meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-11 06:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The World Bank slashes its 2023 economic forecast, warning of a global recession</b><b>2. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The head says the probability of a Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b><b>4. US small business optimism drops to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b><b>5. The U.S. public pension gap exceeds $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b><b>6. JPMorgan Chase expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected. U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market prices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>World Bank slashes 2023 economic forecast, warns of global recession</b></p><p>The World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts for most countries and regions and warned that new negative shocks could plunge the global economy into recession.</p><p>The World Bank said on Tuesday that global GDP is likely to grow only 1.7% this year, about half the pace forecast for June. If the predictions are true, it will be the third-lowest in the last three decades, behind only 2009 and 2020.</p><p>The bank also lowered its economic growth forecast for 2024, citing persistent inflation and rising interest rates as key reasons. The report also mentioned the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the decline in investment.</p><p>World Bank President Malpass wrote in the foreword to the bank's semi-annual Global Economic Prospect report that \"the crisis facing development is intensifying\" and the global economic boom may continue to suffer. By the end of next year, GDP in emerging markets and developing economies will be roughly 6% below pre-pandemic expectations.</p><p>Other headwinds facing poorer countries are exacerbated by spillovers from weaker U.S. and European Union economies, according to Bank of America. While inflation is slowing, there are signs that price pressures are becoming more persistent and central banks are having to rate hike faster than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201f31a4a7b549e763bf9d08ae766df9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Fed Gov. Bowman: Further rate hike Needed to Curb High Inflation</b></p><p>Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the Fed has more work to do to curb inflation and should further rate hike and then keep interest rates in restrictive territory for some time.</p><p>In written remarks prepared for the Florida Bankers Association on Tuesday, Bowman said, \"In recent months, we've seen some measures of inflation come down, but there's still a lot of work to be done, and I expect the Fed to continue raising interest rates to tighten monetary policy, as we said after the December meeting.\"</p><p>Fed officials are signaling to markets that tightening is not over. The Federal Open Market Committee in December was all in favor of rate hike 50 basis points, raising the benchmark interest rate to 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>Bowman said the magnitude of future interest rate adjustments and the timing of stopping the rate hike would depend on inflation, and she would like to see \"compelling signs that inflation has peaked\" and is looking for \"consistent\" evidence that inflation is on a downward path.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ea0dce3d3abfe235755f4d695d1f9d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan head says probability of Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b></p><p>JPMorgan CEO Dimon believes the Fed may need rate hike to levels beyond current expectations, but he advocates a pause to see the full impact of last year's rate hike.</p><p>Dimon said in an interview on Tuesday that the Fed's forecast to raise its benchmark interest rate to around 5% has a 50% probability of being correct, and the other half is likely that the central bank will have to increase it to 6%.</p><p>\"I also think it's probably not enough,\" Dimon said. \"Our pace was a little slow before. It was catching up. I don't see any harm in waiting three or six months.\"</p><p>Two Fed officials said Monday that the Fed may need to rate hike above 5% and then maintain that level for some time.</p><p>although<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Wall Street peers are laying off jobs, but Dimon said JPMorgan is \"still in hiring mode.\" He said wage pressures have eased slightly as consumption levels have declined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c311eac63f1f78fe74606b571a8871df\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. small business optimism falls to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b></p><p>Optimism among U.S. small business owners dropped in December to its second-to-last level in nearly a decade as the economy and earnings expectations deteriorated.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) noted in a report Tuesday that the overall optimism index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month. Eight of the index's 10 component indicators fell, and readings were lower than all economists surveyed had expected.</p><p>Inflation remains the most important single factor affecting small businesses, with rising labor and material costs seen as the top reason for shocking earnings. The net share of companies that said profits had fallen in the past three months was 30% in December, up from 22% in November.</p><p>However, there are signs that price pressures are easing. The proportion of business owners raising prices compared to three months ago was about 43%, the lowest proportion since May 2021. The net proportion of planned near-term markup is 24%, the lowest level in two years.</p><p>Perception of the economy is deteriorating, though, with 51% of business owners expecting even bleaker conditions for doing business in the first half of the year. Ten percent of business owners expect sales to fall in the first quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed2c05ab5def11bb4837f5853154413c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. public pension gap crosses $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b></p><p>The Equable Institute, a New York-based nonprofit, estimates that the U.S. state and local pension funding gap rose to $1.45 trillion last year.</p><p>In its report released Tuesday, Equable said the shortfall for 2021 was $986.6 billion. Last year, poor investment returns dragged down the average funded ratio of large state and local pensions to 77.3% from 83.9% in 2021, the report said. The gap between pension assets and liabilities to retirees widened by nearly $500 billion.</p><p>Public pensions are invested in stocks, bonds and other financial instruments, earning profits to pay for promised employee benefits. Surging inflation, rising interest rates and rising fears of a recession have hit stocks and bond markets last year.</p><p>Equable estimates that state and local pensions averaged a negative 6.14% initial return on investment in 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c708afd8a49964cadf48b9f365d32\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market</b></p><p>JPMorgan Chase's sales and trading department believes that the U.S. inflation data released on Thursday may be lower than expected, which will help push U.S. stocks to rebound from the bear market.</p><p>Economists generally predict that the year-over-year CPI rise will fall to 6.5% in December, while JPMorgan analysts such as Andrew Tyler expect a two-thirds chance that the actual data will be within 10 basis points of expectations. Given that investors maintained largely defensive position deployments, any sign of progress in the Fed's anti-inflation action would spur markets to trim bearish positions, with the S&P 500 on track to gain 1.5%-2% on the day.</p><p>Tyler wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday that \"cooling inflation should help the bear market rally, but we will remain cautious as long as the Fed remains in an aggressive tightening cycle, with our scenario analysis skewed toward bullish stocks as existing position deployments could cause the market to overreact to short covering.\"</p><p>If inflation falls below 6.4%, which the team puts at a 20% probability, the benchmark stock index will rise between 3% and 3.5%. For the U.S. bond market only, unless the actual data is significantly lower than expected, such as falling to 6% or below, the bond market should react calmly. Only if the CPI rise falls below 4.5%-5% will investors re-evaluate expectations about a pause in interest rate hikes at the March meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-11/doc-imxztvzv0699895.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-11/doc-imxztvzv0699895.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2302209798","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、世界银行大砍2023年经济预测 警告全球经济将衰退2、美联储理事Bowman：需要进一步加息以遏制高通胀3、摩根大通掌门人称美联储加息至6%的概率高达一半4、美国小企业乐观度降至近十年来倒数第二5、美国公共养老金缺口2022年突破1万亿美元 平均回报率为负6、摩根大通料美国CPI将低于预期 美股投资者可借机炒一波行情世界银行大砍2023年经济预测 警告全球经济将衰退世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测，并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。世行周二表示，全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%，约为6月预测增速的一半。如果预测属实，这将是过去三十年来倒数第三低，仅次于2009年和2020年。该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期，称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。报告还提到了俄乌冲突的影响以及投资下降。世界银行行长马尔帕斯在该行半年度全球经济展望报告的前言中写道，“发展面临的危机正在加剧”，全球经济荣景可能继续受挫。到明年年底，新兴市场和发展中经济体的GDP将比疫情爆发前的预期水平低大约6%。美银行表示，美国和欧盟经济疲软的溢出效应加剧了较贫穷国家面临的其他不利因素。虽然通胀正在放缓，但有迹象表明，物价压力变得更加持久，央行不得不以快于预期的速度加息。美联储理事Bowman：需要进一步加息以遏制高通胀美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示，美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做，应该进一步加息，然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。Bowman周二在为佛罗里达州银行家协会准备的书面讲话中表示，“近几个月来，我们看到一些通胀指标下降，但还有很多工作需要做，我预计美联储将继续提高利率以收紧货币政策，正如我们在12月会议后所说的那样”。美联储官员们正在向市场传达紧缩政策还没结束的信号。联邦公开市场委员会12月全体赞成加息50个基点，将基准利率上调至4.25%-4.5%。Bowman表示，未来利率调整的幅度和停止加息的时点将取决于通胀情况，她希望看到“令人信服的迹象表明通胀已经见顶”，并正在寻找表明通胀处于下行路径的“前后一致”的证据。摩根大通掌门人称美联储加息至6%的概率高达一半摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙认为，美联储可能需要加息至超出当前预期的水平，但他主张先停一停来观察去年加息的全部影响。戴蒙周二接受采访时表示，美联储提高基准利率至5%左右的预测有50%的正确概率，另一半的可能是央行不得不加到6%。“我也认为这可能还不够，” 戴蒙说，“我们之前的步伐有点慢。它迎头赶上。我不觉得等三或六个月有什么坏处。”两位美联储官员周一表示，美联储可能需要加息到5%以上，然后维持这个水平一段时间。虽然高盛和摩根士丹利等华尔街同行正在裁员，但戴蒙表示摩根大通“仍处在招聘模式”。他说，随着消耗水平下降，薪资压力已略有减弱。美国小企业乐观度降至近十年来倒数第二随着经济和盈利预期恶化，美国小企业主的乐观度在12月下降到了近十年来倒数第二的水平。全美独立企业联合会（NFIB）周二在一份报告中指出，上月整体乐观指数下降2.1点至89.8。该指数10项成分指标中有8项下跌，且读数低于接受调查的所有经济学家的预期。通胀仍然是影响小企业的最重要单一因素，其中劳动力和材料成本的上升被视为冲击盈利的首要原因。12月称过去三个月利润下降的企业净比重为30%，过于11月的22%。然而，有迹象表明价格压力正在缓解。当月和三个月前相比提高价格的企业主比重为约43%，比例为2021年5月以来的最低。计划近期加价的净比重为24%，创下两年来最低水平。不过，对经济的看法正在恶化，51%的企业主预计今年上半年营商条件更惨淡。有10%的企业主预计第一季销售下降。美国公共养老金缺口2022年突破1万亿美元 平均回报率为负总部位于纽约的非营利机构Equable Institute估计，美国州和地方养老金资金缺口去年升至1.45万亿美元。Equable在周二发布的报告中称，2021年的缺口为9，866亿美元。报告称，去年，投资回报不佳拖累大型州和地方养老金平均资金比率（funded ratio）从2021年的83.9%降至77.3%。养老金资产和对退休人员的负债之间的缺口扩大了近5，000亿美元。公共养老金投资于股票、债券和其他金融工具，盈利用于支付所承诺的员工福利。去年，通胀飙升、利率上升以及对经济衰退的担忧加剧，冲击了股市和债市。据Equable估计，州和地方养老金2022年初步投资回报率平均为负6.14%。摩根大通料美国CPI将低于预期 美股投资者可借机炒一波行情摩根大通销售和交易部门认为，周四公布的美国通胀数据可能低于预期，将有助于推动美股从熊市反弹。经济学家普遍预测12月CPI同比升幅降至6.5%，而Andrew Tyler等摩根大通分析师预计，实际数据有三分之二的可能性会比预期值低10基点以内。鉴于投资者基本保持防御型的仓位部署，任何显示美联储抗通胀行动取得进展的迹象都会刺激市场削减看跌头寸，标普500指数当天有望上涨1.5%-2%。Tyler周二在给客户的报告中写道，“通胀降温应该有助于熊市反弹，但只要美联储仍处于积极的紧缩周期，我们就会保持谨慎，我们的情境分析偏向看涨股市，因为现有的仓位部署可能导致市场对空头回补反应过度”。如果通胀跌破6.4%（该团队认为概率为20%），基准股指将上涨3%至3.5%。对于美债市场而已，除非实际数据明显低于预期，比如降至6%或以下，否则债市应该反应平静。只有在CPI升幅跌破4.5%-5%的情况下，投资者才会重新评估有关3月份会议上暂停升息的预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407631,"gmtCreate":1673398252125,"gmtModify":1676538830100,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407631","repostId":"1122928788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122928788","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673395332,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122928788?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-11 08:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning | Nasdaq rose three times in a row, and Chinese stocks outperformed the market again! Biden revealed to have confidential documents in private","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122928788","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①隔夜纳指涨超1%录3连涨，热门中概再度领跑，阿里巴巴涨近4%；②世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期下调至1.7%，并警告存在衰退风险；③美媒：拜登私人办公室内发现10份机密文件。海外行情1","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① Overnight, the Nasdaq rose by more than 1%, recording three consecutive gains, and the popular Chinese concept led again.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up nearly 4%; ② The World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast in 2023 to 1.7% and warned of the risk of recession; ③ US media: 10 confidential documents were found in Biden's private office. Overseas Quotes</p><p>1. The market pays attention to the Federal Reserve's policy, US stocks close higher, and the Nasdaq rose more than 1%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday. Investors were relieved that Fed Chairman Powell did not comment on interest rate policy in his speech, did not talk about the US economic situation, and did not continue to beat the market as before. This week, the market is paying attention to Thursday's CPI data and Friday's earnings reports of large banks, thinking that this may be an important market driver. The World Bank cuts global and U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2023. By the close, the Nasdaq was up 1.01%, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% and the Dow Jones was up 0.56%.</p><p>Star Tech Stocks Only<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Down. \"Metaverse\" Meta rose nearly 3%, the highest since October 25th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>up nearly 3% to a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>After falling more than 1%, it turned up 0.5%, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Both rose for three consecutive days, and Netflix rose nearly 4% to the highest since April 19th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Google A</a>Class stocks fell 2.5% and then rose 0.5%. Tesla fell 2.5% at the deepest, stopping two consecutive positives and falling back from its highest level during the year.</p><p>Chip stocks were also shaky, with late gains widening. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 0.7% at the beginning of the session, then fell by 0.9%, and finally closed up by more than 1% and rose above 2,700 integer points, setting a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>After falling by more than 1%, it rose by 0.4%, setting a five-week high. After falling by 1%, AMD rose by more than 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>It rose nearly 2%, both hitting another three-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>It closed down 0.3% after falling 4.7%.</p><p>On the news, Microsoft is negotiating a $10 billion stake in OpenAI, the development company behind ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence \"small composition\" tool. Tesla China was rumored to have received orders for 30,000 vehicles in three days after the price cut, and the company said it would not comment.</p><p>2. The popular Chinese concept leads Ali again, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year</p><p>Popular Chinese stocks outperformed the broader market, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (HXC) rising nearly 2%. Among the four constituent stocks of the Nasdaq 100,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Up nearly 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>Up nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>down 1.5%. Among other stocks, Alibaba rose nearly 4%, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year, Station B rose nearly 2%, and the \"three fools of building cars\" rose together and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 4%. On the news, Hangzhou signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement with Alibaba, and specific measures to support the platform economy are already being formulated.</p><p>3. The main indexes of European stocks fell, and Germany's DAX30 index fell by 0.12%</p><p>Major European stock indexes closed down on Tuesday, with Germany's DAX30 index falling 0.12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>The index fell 0.39%, France's CAC40 index fell 0.55%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell 0.27%.</p><p>4. Oil prices rose for three consecutive days to a week high, and oil returned to $80. European and American natural gas fell by more than 6%</p><p>WTI February crude oil futures closed up $0.49, or 0.65%, at $75.12/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.29 or 1.7%, once forcing $76. Brent March crude oil futures closed up $0.45, or 0.56%, at $80.10/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.72 or 2.2%, and once rose above $81.</p><p>The warm winter weather weakened the heating demand, and the European benchmark TTF Dutch natural gas futures fell by more than 7%, falling below the integer digit of 70 euros/MWh. ICE UK natural gas fell more than 6% in late trading, and once fell 8.6% and fell below 170p/kcal. NYMEX February U.S. natural gas futures closed down 6.93% at $3.6390/million British thermal units, once falling more than 9% during the session, approaching the low since June 2021.</p><p>5. New York gold futures closed down 0.1% on Tuesday, holding steady near an eight-month high</p><p>Gold futures for February delivery fell $1.30, or nearly 0.1%, to close at $1,876.50 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday. It stopped a two-day losing streak, but it was not far from an eight-month high. Spot gold maintained its rally throughout the day, rising as much as 0.5% and above the $1,880 integer, also hovering at an eight-month high.</p><p>Macro News</p><p>1. Powell emphasizes the need for political independence in the Fed's response to inflation</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell attended the \"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>Independence \"International Symposium and give a short presentation.</p><p>Powell emphasized the importance of political independence as a national central bank. In his speech, he said that stabilizing prices requires difficult decisions, which may be politically unpopular, and said that the Fed is not a \"climate policymaker\" and should not be used as a direct tool to tackle the climate crisis when talking about some U.S. lawmakers calling on the Fed to use its supervisory and regulatory powers to tackle climate change.</p><p>Powell believes that price stability is the cornerstone of a healthy economy, but in order to reduce inflation and ensure price stability, the Federal Reserve may take unpopular measures in the short term, such as raising interest rates.</p><p>2. World Bank cuts global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% and warns of recession risk</p><p>The World Bank on Tuesday released its latest Global Economic Prospect report, which slashed its 2023 global GDP growth forecast to 1.7% and warned of a recession risk amid surging inflation, central bank rate hike, reduced investment and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Specifically, the World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% growth from 3.0% growth in June last year, which would be the third-slowest global growth in nearly 30 years, following the recessions of 2009 and 2020.</p><p>3. US media: 10 classified documents found in Biden's private office</p><p>According to a CNN report on January 10th local time, a total of 10 classified documents were found in the private office of U.S. President Joe Biden. It is reported that the 10 classified documents came from the Obama administration and Biden as vice president. The documents include U.S. intelligence memos and briefing materials, and cover topics including Ukraine, Iran and Britain. Sources said the documents were dated between 2013 and 2016.</p><p>4. Results of the North American Leaders' Summit: The semiconductor industry has attracted much attention and sought to open up the integration of the industrial chain</p><p>On Tuesday, local time, the official website of the White House released a summary of the results of the North American Leaders' Summit. The document showed that the semiconductor industry has become the economic issue that the leaders of the United States, Mexico and Canada are most concerned about.</p><p>The three countries said they would organize their first tripartite semiconductor forum in early 2023 to adjust government policies and increase investment in North American semiconductor supply chains. The parties will send industry executives and cabinet-level officials to the meeting. In addition, the three countries will collaborate on the mapping of their respective industries in the semiconductor supply chain. This cooperation will also enhance mutual understanding and identify complementary investment opportunities.</p><p>5. The U.S. Department of Energy expects U.S. oil production to hit a record high in 2023, and the expected price of Brent oil in 2023 will be significantly lowered by 10%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">U.S. Energy</a>The Ministry report slightly raised its forecast for U.S. crude oil production in 2023 to a record 12.34 million barrels per day, with production expected to rise 3.2% from 2023 to a new high in 2024; Global oil inventories are expected to grow over the next two years as production exceeds consumption; It also cut the expected 2023 U.S. natural gas spot price by nearly 10%, the retail price of gasoline by more than 5%, and LNG export volume by nearly 1.6%.</p><p>In the latest official forecast report published, the U.S. Department of Energy expects the domestic economy to grow slightly in 2023, and oil production will increase further, and significantly lowered the expected price of Brent crude oil, the annual international crude oil benchmark.</p><p>Situation between Russia and Ukraine</p><p>1. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Says Germany Will Provide Leopard Tanks</p><p>According to Ukrainian Free TV, German Foreign Minister Berberk said during his visit to Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine on the 10th local time that Germany has provided Ukraine with IRIS-T air defense system, Cheetah air defense tank and Weasel infantry fighting vehicle, and will continue to provide military and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba, who accompanied his German foreign minister on his visit, said that Ukraine will receive \"Leopard\" tanks provided by Germany.</p><p>2. Vice-Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation: New penalties will be imposed on breaching the execution of defense order contracts if necessary</p><p>Medvedev, vice chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, said when inspecting the \"61st Armor Repair Workshop\" in St. Petersburg on January 10th, local time, that the Russian Military Industry Committee will set up a subordinate working group to manage the production of weapons needed by the Russian army. He stressed that if necessary, the Russian government would be forced to impose new penalties, including criminal responsibility, for acts that undermine the execution of defense order contracts.</p><p>3. U.S. Department of Defense: Ukrainian soldiers will go to the United States next week to receive \"Patriot\" system training</p><p>The U.S. Department of Defense announced on the 10th local time that about 100 Ukrainian soldiers will receive operation training of the Patriot anti-missile system in the United States from next week. The training will take place at the U.S. Fort Sill Artillery Academy and will last for months. In December last year, the United States announced for the first time that it would provide Ukraine with the Patriot anti-missile system. According to a spokesman for the U.S. Defense Department, the Patriot anti-missile system can shoot down more cruise missiles, short-range ballistic missiles and aircraft than the air defense systems previously provided to Ukraine.</p><p>Company News</p><p>1. Tesla plans to invest more than $700 million to expand its Texas factory</p><p>Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, is reportedly set to start expanding in size in the coming weeks. On January 9th, local time, Tesla said in a document submitted to the Texas Department of Licensing and Supervision (TDLR) that it plans to invest $717 million to build four new buildings at the Austin factory from the end of this month at the earliest, with a total construction area of 1.4 million square feet.</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Burst out huge losses and bankruptcy is imminent</p><p>US home retail giant Bed Bath & Beyond posted a massive loss of $393 million on Tuesday as the business's chief executive admitted that its turnaround plans failed to materialize. The company could file for bankruptcy at any time due to holiday promotions that fell short of expectations. The home furnishings seller has been grappling with dwindling cash reserves as suppliers demand faster payments. Additionally, sales in the homeware and decor industries have also taken a hit as the economy slows. The company is in the early stages of its planned Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, which could be completed within weeks, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>3. In-depth layout of virtual power plant industry: top American car companies join hands across borders<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Cooperate</p><p>On Tuesday, local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Google, Google and others said they would work together to develop standards to expand the market for virtual power plants (VPPs). In addition to GM, Ford and Google, there are<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">Solar energy</a>Producer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPWR\">SunPower</a>, Sunrun and others have also joined the initiative, called the Virtual Power Plant Partnership (VP3), which will be hosted by the energy transition nonprofit RMI, with the goal of setting rules for the use of VPP systems.</p><p>4. Amazon expands Buy with Prime service: from self-operated to covering all sellers</p><p>According to reports, Amazon announced on January 10 that it will expand its \"Buy with Prime\" service to cover all sellers in the United States by the end of the month. Amazon first launched its \"Buy with Prime\" service last April, allowing merchants to add Prime badges to products on their own websites.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning | Nasdaq rose three times in a row, and Chinese stocks outperformed the market again! Biden revealed to have confidential documents in private</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning | Nasdaq rose three times in a row, and Chinese stocks outperformed the market again! Biden revealed to have confidential documents in private\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-11 08:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① Overnight, the Nasdaq rose by more than 1%, recording three consecutive gains, and the popular Chinese concept led again.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up nearly 4%; ② The World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast in 2023 to 1.7% and warned of the risk of recession; ③ US media: 10 confidential documents were found in Biden's private office. Overseas Quotes</p><p>1. The market pays attention to the Federal Reserve's policy, US stocks close higher, and the Nasdaq rose more than 1%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday. Investors were relieved that Fed Chairman Powell did not comment on interest rate policy in his speech, did not talk about the US economic situation, and did not continue to beat the market as before. This week, the market is paying attention to Thursday's CPI data and Friday's earnings reports of large banks, thinking that this may be an important market driver. The World Bank cuts global and U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2023. By the close, the Nasdaq was up 1.01%, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% and the Dow Jones was up 0.56%.</p><p>Star Tech Stocks Only<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Down. \"Metaverse\" Meta rose nearly 3%, the highest since October 25th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>up nearly 3% to a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>After falling more than 1%, it turned up 0.5%, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Both rose for three consecutive days, and Netflix rose nearly 4% to the highest since April 19th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Google A</a>Class stocks fell 2.5% and then rose 0.5%. Tesla fell 2.5% at the deepest, stopping two consecutive positives and falling back from its highest level during the year.</p><p>Chip stocks were also shaky, with late gains widening. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 0.7% at the beginning of the session, then fell by 0.9%, and finally closed up by more than 1% and rose above 2,700 integer points, setting a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>After falling by more than 1%, it rose by 0.4%, setting a five-week high. After falling by 1%, AMD rose by more than 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>It rose nearly 2%, both hitting another three-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>It closed down 0.3% after falling 4.7%.</p><p>On the news, Microsoft is negotiating a $10 billion stake in OpenAI, the development company behind ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence \"small composition\" tool. Tesla China was rumored to have received orders for 30,000 vehicles in three days after the price cut, and the company said it would not comment.</p><p>2. The popular Chinese concept leads Ali again, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year</p><p>Popular Chinese stocks outperformed the broader market, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (HXC) rising nearly 2%. Among the four constituent stocks of the Nasdaq 100,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Up nearly 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>Up nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>down 1.5%. Among other stocks, Alibaba rose nearly 4%, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year, Station B rose nearly 2%, and the \"three fools of building cars\" rose together and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 4%. On the news, Hangzhou signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement with Alibaba, and specific measures to support the platform economy are already being formulated.</p><p>3. The main indexes of European stocks fell, and Germany's DAX30 index fell by 0.12%</p><p>Major European stock indexes closed down on Tuesday, with Germany's DAX30 index falling 0.12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>The index fell 0.39%, France's CAC40 index fell 0.55%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell 0.27%.</p><p>4. Oil prices rose for three consecutive days to a week high, and oil returned to $80. European and American natural gas fell by more than 6%</p><p>WTI February crude oil futures closed up $0.49, or 0.65%, at $75.12/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.29 or 1.7%, once forcing $76. Brent March crude oil futures closed up $0.45, or 0.56%, at $80.10/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.72 or 2.2%, and once rose above $81.</p><p>The warm winter weather weakened the heating demand, and the European benchmark TTF Dutch natural gas futures fell by more than 7%, falling below the integer digit of 70 euros/MWh. ICE UK natural gas fell more than 6% in late trading, and once fell 8.6% and fell below 170p/kcal. NYMEX February U.S. natural gas futures closed down 6.93% at $3.6390/million British thermal units, once falling more than 9% during the session, approaching the low since June 2021.</p><p>5. New York gold futures closed down 0.1% on Tuesday, holding steady near an eight-month high</p><p>Gold futures for February delivery fell $1.30, or nearly 0.1%, to close at $1,876.50 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday. It stopped a two-day losing streak, but it was not far from an eight-month high. Spot gold maintained its rally throughout the day, rising as much as 0.5% and above the $1,880 integer, also hovering at an eight-month high.</p><p>Macro News</p><p>1. Powell emphasizes the need for political independence in the Fed's response to inflation</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell attended the \"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>Independence \"International Symposium and give a short presentation.</p><p>Powell emphasized the importance of political independence as a national central bank. In his speech, he said that stabilizing prices requires difficult decisions, which may be politically unpopular, and said that the Fed is not a \"climate policymaker\" and should not be used as a direct tool to tackle the climate crisis when talking about some U.S. lawmakers calling on the Fed to use its supervisory and regulatory powers to tackle climate change.</p><p>Powell believes that price stability is the cornerstone of a healthy economy, but in order to reduce inflation and ensure price stability, the Federal Reserve may take unpopular measures in the short term, such as raising interest rates.</p><p>2. World Bank cuts global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% and warns of recession risk</p><p>The World Bank on Tuesday released its latest Global Economic Prospect report, which slashed its 2023 global GDP growth forecast to 1.7% and warned of a recession risk amid surging inflation, central bank rate hike, reduced investment and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Specifically, the World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% growth from 3.0% growth in June last year, which would be the third-slowest global growth in nearly 30 years, following the recessions of 2009 and 2020.</p><p>3. US media: 10 classified documents found in Biden's private office</p><p>According to a CNN report on January 10th local time, a total of 10 classified documents were found in the private office of U.S. President Joe Biden. It is reported that the 10 classified documents came from the Obama administration and Biden as vice president. The documents include U.S. intelligence memos and briefing materials, and cover topics including Ukraine, Iran and Britain. Sources said the documents were dated between 2013 and 2016.</p><p>4. Results of the North American Leaders' Summit: The semiconductor industry has attracted much attention and sought to open up the integration of the industrial chain</p><p>On Tuesday, local time, the official website of the White House released a summary of the results of the North American Leaders' Summit. The document showed that the semiconductor industry has become the economic issue that the leaders of the United States, Mexico and Canada are most concerned about.</p><p>The three countries said they would organize their first tripartite semiconductor forum in early 2023 to adjust government policies and increase investment in North American semiconductor supply chains. The parties will send industry executives and cabinet-level officials to the meeting. In addition, the three countries will collaborate on the mapping of their respective industries in the semiconductor supply chain. This cooperation will also enhance mutual understanding and identify complementary investment opportunities.</p><p>5. The U.S. Department of Energy expects U.S. oil production to hit a record high in 2023, and the expected price of Brent oil in 2023 will be significantly lowered by 10%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">U.S. Energy</a>The Ministry report slightly raised its forecast for U.S. crude oil production in 2023 to a record 12.34 million barrels per day, with production expected to rise 3.2% from 2023 to a new high in 2024; Global oil inventories are expected to grow over the next two years as production exceeds consumption; It also cut the expected 2023 U.S. natural gas spot price by nearly 10%, the retail price of gasoline by more than 5%, and LNG export volume by nearly 1.6%.</p><p>In the latest official forecast report published, the U.S. Department of Energy expects the domestic economy to grow slightly in 2023, and oil production will increase further, and significantly lowered the expected price of Brent crude oil, the annual international crude oil benchmark.</p><p>Situation between Russia and Ukraine</p><p>1. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Says Germany Will Provide Leopard Tanks</p><p>According to Ukrainian Free TV, German Foreign Minister Berberk said during his visit to Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine on the 10th local time that Germany has provided Ukraine with IRIS-T air defense system, Cheetah air defense tank and Weasel infantry fighting vehicle, and will continue to provide military and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba, who accompanied his German foreign minister on his visit, said that Ukraine will receive \"Leopard\" tanks provided by Germany.</p><p>2. Vice-Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation: New penalties will be imposed on breaching the execution of defense order contracts if necessary</p><p>Medvedev, vice chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, said when inspecting the \"61st Armor Repair Workshop\" in St. Petersburg on January 10th, local time, that the Russian Military Industry Committee will set up a subordinate working group to manage the production of weapons needed by the Russian army. He stressed that if necessary, the Russian government would be forced to impose new penalties, including criminal responsibility, for acts that undermine the execution of defense order contracts.</p><p>3. U.S. Department of Defense: Ukrainian soldiers will go to the United States next week to receive \"Patriot\" system training</p><p>The U.S. Department of Defense announced on the 10th local time that about 100 Ukrainian soldiers will receive operation training of the Patriot anti-missile system in the United States from next week. The training will take place at the U.S. Fort Sill Artillery Academy and will last for months. In December last year, the United States announced for the first time that it would provide Ukraine with the Patriot anti-missile system. According to a spokesman for the U.S. Defense Department, the Patriot anti-missile system can shoot down more cruise missiles, short-range ballistic missiles and aircraft than the air defense systems previously provided to Ukraine.</p><p>Company News</p><p>1. Tesla plans to invest more than $700 million to expand its Texas factory</p><p>Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, is reportedly set to start expanding in size in the coming weeks. On January 9th, local time, Tesla said in a document submitted to the Texas Department of Licensing and Supervision (TDLR) that it plans to invest $717 million to build four new buildings at the Austin factory from the end of this month at the earliest, with a total construction area of 1.4 million square feet.</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Burst out huge losses and bankruptcy is imminent</p><p>US home retail giant Bed Bath & Beyond posted a massive loss of $393 million on Tuesday as the business's chief executive admitted that its turnaround plans failed to materialize. The company could file for bankruptcy at any time due to holiday promotions that fell short of expectations. The home furnishings seller has been grappling with dwindling cash reserves as suppliers demand faster payments. Additionally, sales in the homeware and decor industries have also taken a hit as the economy slows. The company is in the early stages of its planned Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, which could be completed within weeks, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>3. In-depth layout of virtual power plant industry: top American car companies join hands across borders<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Cooperate</p><p>On Tuesday, local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Google, Google and others said they would work together to develop standards to expand the market for virtual power plants (VPPs). In addition to GM, Ford and Google, there are<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">Solar energy</a>Producer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPWR\">SunPower</a>, Sunrun and others have also joined the initiative, called the Virtual Power Plant Partnership (VP3), which will be hosted by the energy transition nonprofit RMI, with the goal of setting rules for the use of VPP systems.</p><p>4. Amazon expands Buy with Prime service: from self-operated to covering all sellers</p><p>According to reports, Amazon announced on January 10 that it will expand its \"Buy with Prime\" service to cover all sellers in the United States by the end of the month. Amazon first launched its \"Buy with Prime\" service last April, allowing merchants to add Prime badges to products on their own websites.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122928788","content_text":"摘要：①隔夜纳指涨超1%录3连涨，热门中概再度领跑，阿里巴巴涨近4%；②世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期下调至1.7%，并警告存在衰退风险；③美媒：拜登私人办公室内发现10份机密文件。海外行情1、市场关注联储政策美股收涨纳指涨超1%美股周二收高。美联储主席鲍威尔在讲话中没有就利率政策发表评论，也没有谈及美国经济形势，并未像此前一样继续敲打市场，这令投资者松了一口气。本周市场关注周四的CPI数据与周五的大型银行财报，认为这可能是重要的市场驱动因素。世界银行下调2023年全球与美国经济增长预期。截至收盘，纳斯达克指数涨1.01%，标普500指数涨0.7%，道琼斯指数涨0.56%。明星科技股仅特斯拉跌。“元宇宙”Meta转涨近3%，至去年10月25日来最高。亚马逊涨近3%至四周高位。苹果跌超1%后转涨0.5%，与微软均连涨三日，奈飞涨近4%至去年4月19日来最高，谷歌A类股跌2.5%后转涨0.5%。特斯拉最深跌2.5%，止步两连阳并从年内高位回落。芯片股也震荡不安，尾盘涨幅扩大。费城半导体指数盘初涨0.7%后转跌0.9%，最终收涨超1%并升破2700点整数位，刷新四周高位。英特尔跌超1%后转涨0.4%，刷新五周高位，AMD跌1%后转涨超1%，英伟达涨近2%，均再创三周高位。博通跌4.7%后收跌0.3%。消息面上，微软洽谈100亿美元入股人工智能“小作文”工具ChatGPT背后的开发公司OpenAI。传闻降价后特斯拉中国三天内获3万辆汽车订单，公司称不予置评。2、热门中概再领跑阿里连涨六日至半年最高热门中概股跑赢大盘，纳斯达克金龙中国指数（HXC）涨近2%。纳斯达克100四只成份股中，京东涨近1%，网易涨近4%，百度涨1%，拼多多跌1.5%。其他个股中，阿里巴巴涨近4%，连涨六日至半年最高，B站涨近2%，“造车三傻”齐涨且蔚来汽车涨超4%。消息面上，杭州市与阿里巴巴签订全面深化战略合作协议，支持平台经济具体措施已在制定中。3、欧股主要指数下跌德国DAX30指数跌0.12%欧洲主要股指周二收盘普跌，德国DAX30指数跌0.12%，英国富时100指数跌0.39%，法国CAC40指数跌0.55%，欧洲斯托克50指数跌0.27%。4、油价连涨三日至一周高位 布油重返80美元 欧美天然气跌超6%WTI 2月原油期货收涨0.49美元，涨幅0.65%，报75.12美元/桶，盘中最高涨1.29美元或涨1.7%，一度上逼76美元。布伦特3月原油期货收涨0.45美元，涨幅0.56%，报80.10美元/桶，盘中最高涨1.72美元或涨2.2%，一度升破81美元。暖冬天气削弱取暖需求，欧洲基准的TTF荷兰天然气期货跌超7%，失守70欧元/兆瓦时整数位。ICE英国天然气尾盘跌超6%，盘中一度跌8.6%并跌穿170便士/千卡。NYMEX 2月美国天然气期货收跌6.93%，报3.6390美元/百万英热单位，盘中一度跌超9%，逼近2021年6月来低位。5、周二纽约黄金期货价格收跌0.1% 持稳八个月高位附近周二，纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌1.30美元，跌幅近0.1%，收于每盎司1876.50美元。止步两日连跌，但离八个月高位不远。现货黄金全天保持涨势，最高涨0.5%并升破1880美元整数位，也徘徊八个月高位。宏观新闻1、鲍威尔强调美联储应对通胀时需要政治独立美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔当地时间1月10日参加在瑞典斯德哥尔摩举行的有关“中央银行独立性”国际研讨会并进行简短发言。鲍威尔强调作为国家中央银行政治独立的重要性。他在讲话中称，稳定物价需要做出艰难的决定，这些决定可能在政治上不受欢迎，并在谈到部分美国议员呼吁美联储利用其监督管理权力应对气候变化问题时表示，美联储不是“气候政策制定者”，不应作为应对气候危机的直接工具。鲍威尔认为，物价稳定是健康经济的基石，但是为了降低通胀、保证物价稳定，美联储可能会采取短期内不受欢迎的措施，比如提高利率。2、世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期下调至1.7% 并警告存在衰退风险世界银行周二发布了最新的《全球经济展望》报告，在通胀飙升、央行加息、投资减少以及俄乌冲突的背景下，世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期大幅下调至1.7%，并警告存在衰退风险。具体来看，世界银行将2023年全球GDP增长预期从去年6月份的增长3.0%下调至增长1.7%，这将是继2009年和2020年的经济衰退后，近30年来全球增长速度第三低的一年。3、美媒：拜登私人办公室内发现10份机密文件据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）当地时间1月10日报道，美国总统拜登私人办公室内发现的机密文件共有10份。据悉，这10份机密文件来源于奥巴马执政、拜登担任副总统时期，文件包括美国情报备忘录和简报材料，涉及的话题包括乌克兰、伊朗和英国。消息人士称，文件的日期是2013年至2016年之间。4、北美领导人峰会成果：半导体行业颇受关注 谋求打通产业链一体化当地时间周二，美国白宫官网发布了北美领导人峰会的成果摘要，文件显示半导体行业俨然成为美、墨、加领导人最为关心的经济议题。三国表示，将在2023年初组织首次三方半导体论坛，以调整政府政策并增加对北美半导体供应链的投资。各方将派出行业高管和内阁级别的官员参会。此外三个国家将协同各自产业在半导体供应链的映射工作，这项合作也将增进彼此的理解，并确定具有互补性的投资机会。5、美能源部预计2023年美国产油创历史新高 2023年布油预期价大幅下调10%美国能源部报告将预期2023年美国原油产量小幅上调至创纪录的1234万桶/日，预计2024年产量较2023年增长3.2%至新高；预计未来两年全球石油库存因产量超过消耗而增长；还将预期的2023年美国天然气现货价下调近10%、汽油零售价下调逾5%、LNG出口量下调近1.6%。在最新公布的官方预测报告中，美国能源部预计2023年国内经济小幅增长，产油量将进一步增长，并大幅下调了对年度国际原油基准布伦特原油的预期价。俄乌局势1、乌克兰外长称德国将提供“豹”式坦克据乌克兰自由电视台报道，德国外长贝尔伯克当地时间10日在访问乌克兰东部城市哈尔科夫期间表示，德国已经向乌克兰提供了IRIS-T防空系统、猎豹式防空坦克、黄鼠狼步兵战车，并且还将继续向乌方提供军事和人道主义援助。陪同德国外长访问的乌克兰外长库列巴则表示，乌克兰将会收到德国提供的“豹”式坦克。2、俄联邦安全会议副主席：必要时将对破坏国防订单合同执行行为施加新处罚俄罗斯联邦安全会议副主席梅德韦杰夫当地时间1月10日在视察圣彼得堡“第61装甲修理厂”时表示，俄罗斯军工委员会将成立一个下属的工作小组以管理俄军所需武器的生产。他强调必要情况下，俄罗斯政府将被迫对破坏国防订单合同执行的行为施加新的处罚，其中包括追究刑事责任。3、美国防部：乌军士兵下周赴美接受“爱国者”系统训练美国国防部当地时间10日宣布，将有约100名乌克兰士兵于下周起在美国接受“爱国者”反导系统的操作训练。训练将在美国锡尔堡炮兵学院进行，并将持续数月。去年12月，美国首次宣布将向乌克兰提供“爱国者”反导系统。美国国防部发言人称，与此前提供给乌克兰的防空系统相比，“爱国者”反导系统可以击落更多巡航导弹、短程弹道导弹和飞机。公司新闻1、特斯拉计划投资逾7亿美元扩建得州工厂据报道，未来几周，特斯拉位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀的电动汽车工厂的规模将开始扩大。当地时间1月9日，特斯拉在提交给得克萨斯州许可和监督管理部（TDLR）的文件中称，计划投资7.17亿美元，最早从本月底开始，在奥斯汀工厂再建造四座新大楼，总建筑面积达到140万平方英尺。2、3B家居爆出巨额亏损破产在即美国家居零售巨头3B家居(Bed Bath & Beyond)于周二公布了3.93亿美元的巨额亏损，这家企业的首席执行官承认，其扭亏为盈计划未能实现。因假日促销未达预期，导致该公司可能随时申请破产。由于供应商要求更快地付款，这家家居用品销售商一直在努力应对现金储备不断减少的问题。此外，随着经济放缓，家居用品和装饰行业的销售也受到了冲击。据知情人士透露，该公司正处于计划申请第11章破产保护的早期阶段，申请破产保护可能会在几周内完成。3、深入布局虚拟电厂行业：美国顶级车企跨界牵手谷歌展开合作当地时间周二，通用汽车、福特汽车、谷歌等公司表示，他们将共同努力制定标准，以拓展虚拟电厂 (VPP) 的市场。除了通用、福特和谷歌，还有太阳能生产商SunPower、Sunrun等也加入了这项名为“虚拟电厂合作伙伴关系”（VP3）的倡议，该倡议将由能源转型非营利组织RMI主持，目标是制定VPP系统使用的规则。4、亚马逊拓展Buy with Prime服务：从自营到覆盖所有卖家据报道，亚马逊1月10日宣布，将拓展其“Buy with Prime”服务，在月底之前涵盖到美国所有卖家。亚马逊去年4月首次推出了“Buy with Prime”服务，允许商家在他们自家网站上的产品上添加Prime徽章。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621799053,"gmtCreate":1672618743774,"gmtModify":1676538711041,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621799053","repostId":"2300110067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2300110067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672603620,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2300110067?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-02 04:07","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | S&P's record performance in energy industry builds on the decline of other industries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2300110067","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业，今年迄今涨幅达58%；这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。　　道琼斯市场数据显示，标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年，超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。　　因此，“可以理解，石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司，但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的，”他继续说道。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. S&P's record performance in the energy industry builds on the decline of other industries</b><b>2. The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of housing price volatility after World War II</b><b>3. The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has been alleviated</b><b>4. 53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b><b>5. U.S. companies paid record Dividend against the backdrop of economic downturn</b><b>6. Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13860f7c9bbf62366a6b409bbdaded80\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>S&P's energy sector record results build on decline in other sectors</b></p><p>Not only was the energy sector the S&P 500's best performer in 2022, with a year-to-date gain of 58%; It is also the only division of the benchmark company that did not lose money at the same time.</p><p>The S&P 500 Energy Index is having its best year on record, surpassing its previous high of 47.74%, according to Dow Jones market data. The record gains also mark the first time this year that just one sector has risen in the S&P 500.</p><p>Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York, said in an interview that surging energy prices have helped fuel inflation and the cost of living in part as the economy recovers from the pandemic much faster than oil producers expected.</p><p>As a result, \"oil and gas companies are understandably the outperformers in 2022, but their success is built on the decline of other industries,\" he continued. \"The performance of energy companies at S&P is intrinsically tied to oil and gas prices, and while they enjoyed a record year, most other companies experienced a very different experience.\"</p><p>Overall, the S&P 500 fell about 20% year over year and closed its worst since 2008, while benchmark sectors such as industrials, healthcare, finance and materials were all below the red line over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility after World War II</b></p><p>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility since World War II.</p><p>Roschelle, a US real estate expert, attributed the sharp correction to Americans' uncertainty about the market and their \"unease\" about the economy. And said that if the U.S. starts to see a rise in unemployment, it could lead to a \"halving\" of the housing market.</p><p>Roschelle explained: \"There are two things that can cause home prices to go in the opposite direction, which means they are going up. One thing is for sure. When you don't know if interest rates are going to go up. I think that's exactly what drives a lot of people to give up on buying because they don't know if interest rates are going to be cheaper in two months and they just wait.\"</p><p>\"The other thing is the unease about the economy. I think that's going to happen if we start to see layoffs and the unemployment rate starts to rise. I think that could lead to a big decline in the housing market.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbef45b9bd5beb3acce42a26c537456d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has eased</b></p><p>U.S. SMB owners say it's getting easier to hire workers and keep them, and they hope it's a sign that their worst labor problems are behind them.</p><p>The U.S. job market has been on edge. However, December was the first time since July that more small business owners said in a survey that they found it easier to find workers.</p><p>Some entrepreneurs say measures such as raising wages, increasing apprenticeship schemes and rewriting job ads are starting to pay off. Others said the number of applicants increased as competitors stopped hiring or began cutting jobs.</p><p>UnaliWear Inc., a company that makes medical watches, struggled to retain new employees this summer. Jean-Anne Booth, chief executive of 17 employees, said: \"They're going to put us in a bind.\" \"They'll take the job and never show up again in a week.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80478a79b8e393ada3de3b16c6addb3a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b></p><p>Many Americans who plan to set goals for the new year intend to set more cautious financial goals, according to a recent survey.</p><p>The survey, released Wednesday, found that 50% of consumers said they intend to make plans for the coming year, and of those who plan to do so, 53% said their focus will be on finances, up 6% year-over-year.</p><p>For those who set financial goals, overall, saving more money was the most commonly cited 57%. They were followed by 48% who said they wanted to track their spending harder and 43% who wanted to keep their spending under control overall, the survey found. Other popular financial goals include: reducing spending on discretionary items: 42%, and repaying loans: 40%.</p><p>Inflation has prompted more than half of respondents to set money-centric targets, the survey found. The possibility of the economy slipping into a recession has also prompted consumers to prioritize their finances, with 48% expressing concern.</p><p>Although inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in November, inflation remained hovering at painfully high levels. In November, the index rose 0.1% from the previous month and 7.1% year-over-year.</p><p>Americans are also concerned that a Fed rate hike could trigger a recession. In 2022, the central bank recorded four consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points and the most recent rate hike of 50 basis points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c96b95b55bdf988f06010e0042ba2e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. companies paid record Dividend amid downturn</b></p><p>S&P 500 companies have spent records on Dividend this year, and despite the slowdown, the trend is expected to continue in 2023 as more companies that suspended or cut their Dividend early in the pandemic resume payouts.</p><p>Dividend allocated by companies in the S&P 500 Index was estimated to be $561 billion in 2022, up from $511.2 billion in 2021 and the highest amount on record, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, owned by S&P Global Inc.</p><p>Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said dividend payouts are on track for another record high in 2023 as investors demand companies continue to improve returns. \"There's still a lot of cash on the company's balance sheet,\" Silverblatt said. \"You have to pull back significantly to get to record levels (in 2023).\"</p><p>While businesses say they are less optimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy as interest rates keep rising and inflation is still rising, cutting or removing Dividend is often a last resort because doing so worries investors. Many companies say they are confident they have enough cash flow to cover payroll, capital investments and other expenses, and at least in the near future, they can reward shareholders with dividends.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbbe22aca21bf37de8f8424602ede0d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b></p><p>The Securities Commission of the Bahamas said on Thursday that it seized all digital assets controlled by FTX's Bahamian subsidiary FTX digital Markets Ltd, amounting to more than $3.5 billion, following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange.</p><p>The funds were transferred to digital wallets under FTX's exclusive control on Nov. 12, the day after FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, after assets under FTXDM's control \"presented a significant risk of imminent dissipation,\" according to information provided by founder Sam Bankman Fried about a cyberattack on the system, the regulator said in a press release.</p><p>The SCB said the funds were held \"on an interim basis\" while awaiting directions from the Bahamas Supreme Court as to whether the assets should be \"delivered to the customers and creditors who own them\" or to the Joint Provisional Liquidators (JPL) appointed by the court to set aside the FTXDM.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | S&P's record performance in energy industry builds on the decline of other industries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | S&P's record performance in energy industry builds on the decline of other industries\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-02 04:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. S&P's record performance in the energy industry builds on the decline of other industries</b><b>2. The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of housing price volatility after World War II</b><b>3. The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has been alleviated</b><b>4. 53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b><b>5. U.S. companies paid record Dividend against the backdrop of economic downturn</b><b>6. Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13860f7c9bbf62366a6b409bbdaded80\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>S&P's energy sector record results build on decline in other sectors</b></p><p>Not only was the energy sector the S&P 500's best performer in 2022, with a year-to-date gain of 58%; It is also the only division of the benchmark company that did not lose money at the same time.</p><p>The S&P 500 Energy Index is having its best year on record, surpassing its previous high of 47.74%, according to Dow Jones market data. The record gains also mark the first time this year that just one sector has risen in the S&P 500.</p><p>Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York, said in an interview that surging energy prices have helped fuel inflation and the cost of living in part as the economy recovers from the pandemic much faster than oil producers expected.</p><p>As a result, \"oil and gas companies are understandably the outperformers in 2022, but their success is built on the decline of other industries,\" he continued. \"The performance of energy companies at S&P is intrinsically tied to oil and gas prices, and while they enjoyed a record year, most other companies experienced a very different experience.\"</p><p>Overall, the S&P 500 fell about 20% year over year and closed its worst since 2008, while benchmark sectors such as industrials, healthcare, finance and materials were all below the red line over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility after World War II</b></p><p>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility since World War II.</p><p>Roschelle, a US real estate expert, attributed the sharp correction to Americans' uncertainty about the market and their \"unease\" about the economy. And said that if the U.S. starts to see a rise in unemployment, it could lead to a \"halving\" of the housing market.</p><p>Roschelle explained: \"There are two things that can cause home prices to go in the opposite direction, which means they are going up. One thing is for sure. When you don't know if interest rates are going to go up. I think that's exactly what drives a lot of people to give up on buying because they don't know if interest rates are going to be cheaper in two months and they just wait.\"</p><p>\"The other thing is the unease about the economy. I think that's going to happen if we start to see layoffs and the unemployment rate starts to rise. I think that could lead to a big decline in the housing market.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbef45b9bd5beb3acce42a26c537456d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has eased</b></p><p>U.S. SMB owners say it's getting easier to hire workers and keep them, and they hope it's a sign that their worst labor problems are behind them.</p><p>The U.S. job market has been on edge. However, December was the first time since July that more small business owners said in a survey that they found it easier to find workers.</p><p>Some entrepreneurs say measures such as raising wages, increasing apprenticeship schemes and rewriting job ads are starting to pay off. Others said the number of applicants increased as competitors stopped hiring or began cutting jobs.</p><p>UnaliWear Inc., a company that makes medical watches, struggled to retain new employees this summer. Jean-Anne Booth, chief executive of 17 employees, said: \"They're going to put us in a bind.\" \"They'll take the job and never show up again in a week.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80478a79b8e393ada3de3b16c6addb3a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b></p><p>Many Americans who plan to set goals for the new year intend to set more cautious financial goals, according to a recent survey.</p><p>The survey, released Wednesday, found that 50% of consumers said they intend to make plans for the coming year, and of those who plan to do so, 53% said their focus will be on finances, up 6% year-over-year.</p><p>For those who set financial goals, overall, saving more money was the most commonly cited 57%. They were followed by 48% who said they wanted to track their spending harder and 43% who wanted to keep their spending under control overall, the survey found. Other popular financial goals include: reducing spending on discretionary items: 42%, and repaying loans: 40%.</p><p>Inflation has prompted more than half of respondents to set money-centric targets, the survey found. The possibility of the economy slipping into a recession has also prompted consumers to prioritize their finances, with 48% expressing concern.</p><p>Although inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in November, inflation remained hovering at painfully high levels. In November, the index rose 0.1% from the previous month and 7.1% year-over-year.</p><p>Americans are also concerned that a Fed rate hike could trigger a recession. In 2022, the central bank recorded four consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points and the most recent rate hike of 50 basis points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c96b95b55bdf988f06010e0042ba2e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. companies paid record Dividend amid downturn</b></p><p>S&P 500 companies have spent records on Dividend this year, and despite the slowdown, the trend is expected to continue in 2023 as more companies that suspended or cut their Dividend early in the pandemic resume payouts.</p><p>Dividend allocated by companies in the S&P 500 Index was estimated to be $561 billion in 2022, up from $511.2 billion in 2021 and the highest amount on record, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, owned by S&P Global Inc.</p><p>Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said dividend payouts are on track for another record high in 2023 as investors demand companies continue to improve returns. \"There's still a lot of cash on the company's balance sheet,\" Silverblatt said. \"You have to pull back significantly to get to record levels (in 2023).\"</p><p>While businesses say they are less optimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy as interest rates keep rising and inflation is still rising, cutting or removing Dividend is often a last resort because doing so worries investors. Many companies say they are confident they have enough cash flow to cover payroll, capital investments and other expenses, and at least in the near future, they can reward shareholders with dividends.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbbe22aca21bf37de8f8424602ede0d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b></p><p>The Securities Commission of the Bahamas said on Thursday that it seized all digital assets controlled by FTX's Bahamian subsidiary FTX digital Markets Ltd, amounting to more than $3.5 billion, following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange.</p><p>The funds were transferred to digital wallets under FTX's exclusive control on Nov. 12, the day after FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, after assets under FTXDM's control \"presented a significant risk of imminent dissipation,\" according to information provided by founder Sam Bankman Fried about a cyberattack on the system, the regulator said in a press release.</p><p>The SCB said the funds were held \"on an interim basis\" while awaiting directions from the Bahamas Supreme Court as to whether the assets should be \"delivered to the customers and creditors who own them\" or to the Joint Provisional Liquidators (JPL) appointed by the court to set aside the FTXDM.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-02/doc-imxytshr2257354.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-02/doc-imxytshr2257354.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2300110067","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、标普能源行业创纪录的业绩建立在其他行业的衰落之上2、美国房市正经历二战后第二大房价波动期3、美国中小企业面临的“用工难题”有所缓解4、53%的美国消费者表示2023年将更加“紧缩银根”5、经济低迷背景下美国公司支付了创纪录的股息6、巴哈马证券委员会扣押35亿美元的FTX资产标普能源行业创纪录的业绩建立在其他行业的衰落之上能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业，今年迄今涨幅达58%；这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。道琼斯市场数据显示，标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年，超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。OANDA驻纽约的高级市场分析师克雷格·厄拉姆（Craig Erlam）在接受采访时表示，随着经济从大流行中复苏的速度远快于石油生产商的预期，能源价格飙升在一定程度上助长了通货膨胀和生活成本。因此，“可以理解，石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司，但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的，”他继续说道。“能源公司在标准普尔的表现与石油和天然气价格有着内在的联系，尽管他们享受了创纪录的一年，但其他大多数公司的经历却截然不同。”总体而言，标准普尔500指数同比下跌约20%，并创下2008年以来的最差收市，而同期工业、医疗、金融和材料等基准行业均低于红线。美国房市正经历二战后第二大房价波动期美国住房市场正在经历二战后第二大房价波动期。美房产专家Roschelle将这一大幅调整归因于美国人对市场的不确定性以及他们对经济的“不安”。并表示，如果美国开始出现失业率上升，这可能会导致房地产市场“腰斩”。Roschelle解释道：“有两件事会导致房价向相反的方向发展，这意味着房价正在上涨。一件事是肯定的。当你不知道利率是否会上涨时。我认为这正是促使很多人放弃购买的原因，因为他们不知道两个月后利率是否会更便宜，他们只会等待。”“另一件事是对经济的不安。我认为，如果我们开始看到裁员，失业率开始上升，就会出现这种情况。我认为这可能会导致房地产市场大幅下滑。”美国中小企业面临的“用工难题”有所缓解美国中小企业主表示，雇佣工人并留住他们变得越来越容易，他们希望这是一个迹象，表明他们最严重的劳动问题已经过去。美国就业市场一直处于紧张状态。然而，12月是自7月以来的第一次，更多的小企业主在一项调查中表示，他们发现找工人更容易了。一些企业家表示，提高工资、增加学徒计划和改写招聘广告等措施开始见效。另一些人则表示，随着竞争对手停止招聘或开始裁员，申请者人数有所增加。UnaliWear股份有限公司（UnaliWearInc．）是一家生产医用手表的公司，今年夏天，该公司努力留住新员工。拥有17名员工的首席执行官让·安妮·布斯（Jean-Anne Booth）表示：“他们会让我们陷入困境。”。“他们会接受这份工作，一周后再也不会出现。”53%的美国消费者表示2023年将更加“紧缩银根”最近的一项调查显示，许多计划为新的一年设定目标的美国人打算制定更为谨慎的财务目标。周三发布的这项调查发现，50%的消费者表示他们打算为来年制定计划，在计划这样做的人中，53%的人表示他们的重点将放在财务上，同比增长6%。对于那些设定财务目标的人来说，总的来说，储蓄更多的钱是最常被引用的57%。调查发现，紧随其后的是48%的人表示他们希望更加努力地跟踪自己的支出，43%的人希望总体上控制自己的支出。其他受欢迎的财务目标包括：减少非必需品支出：42%，偿还贷款：40%。调查发现，通货膨胀促使超过一半的受访者设定了以货币为中心的目标。经济陷入衰退的可能性也促使消费者优先考虑财务问题，48%的人表示担忧。尽管11月消费者价格指数（Consumer Price Index）衡量的通胀有所下降，但通胀仍徘徊在令人痛苦的高位。11月，该指数较上月上涨0.1%，同比上涨7.1%。美国人还担心美联储加息可能引发经济衰退。2022年，央行连续四次加息75个基点，最近一次加息50个基点。经济低迷背景下美国公司支付了创纪录的股息标准普尔500指数（S&P 500）公司今年在股息上的支出创纪录，尽管经济放缓，但预计这一趋势将在2023年继续，因为更多在疫情早期暂停或削减股息的公司将恢复派息。根据标准普尔全球股份有限公司旗下的标准普尔道琼斯指数（S&P Dow Jones Indices）的数据，标准普尔500指数成份股公司2022年分配的股息估计为5610亿美元，高于2021的5112亿美元，是有记录以来的最高金额。标普道琼斯指数（S&P Dow Jones Indices）高级指数分析师霍华德·西尔弗布拉特（Howard Silverblatt）表示，随着投资者要求公司继续提高回报率，2023年股息支出有望再创新高。西尔弗布拉特表示：“公司资产负债表上仍有大量现金。”。“你必须大幅回调，才能（在2023年）达到创纪录的水平。”尽管企业表示，随着利率不断上升，通货膨胀仍在上升，他们对美国经济前景不太乐观，但削减或取消股息通常是最后的手段，因为这样做会让投资者感到担忧。许多公司表示，他们有信心有足够的现金流来支付工资、资本投资和其他支出，至少在不久的将来，他们可以通过派息来回报股东。巴哈马证券委员会扣押35亿美元的FTX资产巴哈马证券委员会（Securities Commission of Bahamas）周四表示，该机构在加密货币交易所（cryptocurrency exchange）倒闭后，查封了FTX旗下巴哈马子公司FTX digital Markets有限公司控制的所有数字资产，金额超过35亿美元。监管机构在一份新闻稿中表示，11月12日，即FTX申请第11章破产的第二天，这些资金被转移到其独家控制的数字钱包中，此前，根据创始人萨姆·班克曼·弗里德（Sam Bankman Fried）提供的有关系统网络攻击的信息，FTXDM控制下的资产“存在即将消散的重大风险”。SCB表示，这些资金是“临时”持有的，同时等待巴哈马最高法院的指示，决定是否应将这些资产“交付给拥有这些资产的客户和债权人”，或交付给法院指定的负责撤销FTXDM的联合临时清算人（JPL）。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621274608,"gmtCreate":1672365476106,"gmtModify":1676538679382,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621274608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621278482,"gmtCreate":1672363941847,"gmtModify":1676538678962,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621278482","repostId":"1144664449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621886063,"gmtCreate":1672185650853,"gmtModify":1676538648797,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621886063","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":621278482,"gmtCreate":1672363941847,"gmtModify":1676538678962,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621278482","repostId":"1144664449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621886063,"gmtCreate":1672185650853,"gmtModify":1676538648797,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621886063","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407736,"gmtCreate":1673398330127,"gmtModify":1676538830131,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407736","repostId":"1185461473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185461473","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点，观察市场，提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673358951,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185461473?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-10 21:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tiger Review | US December CPI estimate, how much will the increase fall?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185461473","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"周四的数字不会难看。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>December CPI Estimate</b></p><p>Since Friday, the market has been trading with clear macro signs. What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI Data> Powell's Speech on a Certain Occasion> Other Fed Member's Speech on a Certain Occasion> FOMC Meeting</b>”。 The most uninteresting thing is the FOMC meeting, and of course I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Federal Reserve will release thunder.</p><p>The U.S. CPI data for December hasn't come out yet, but the EU CPI data is out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from a high level. The chart below shows the CPI of the US (blue line) and the EU (white line), which are very closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to fall later than that of the United States, and the core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the U.S. CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference and common sense also align with each other. The United States is more energy independent and the EU is more energy dependent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the specific CPI of the United States 12? I'll make an estimate today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, that is to say, the price of gasoline in December 2022 is cheaper than that in December 2021, and the year-on-year growth is about-1%. Considering that there are some services in the energy segment, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the chart below is the index of food), which is the stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation is beginning to slow down from the previous month. Here, mathematically, using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of food in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of food in November of 10.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For the third part (commodities) and the fourth part (services), the treatment method is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of commodities will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; Year-over-year growth in services will be 7%, slightly up from 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the contribution of rent is the biggest. From the actual feeling now, the rent has indeed not dropped.</p><p><b>Finally, put the four parts of the estimate on their respective weight coefficients, then the inflation estimate in December is 6.0%. The current average estimate of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% below their estimates.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has been smaller and smaller in the past four months, while I used the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The following chart shows the index of these three parts in the past four months and the month-on-month growth, and the trend of month-on-month weakening is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: Non-research report, for informational purposes only, does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Review | US December CPI estimate, how much will the increase fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Review | US December CPI estimate, how much will the increase fall?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 21:55</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>December CPI Estimate</b></p><p>Since Friday, the market has been trading with clear macro signs. What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI Data> Powell's Speech on a Certain Occasion> Other Fed Member's Speech on a Certain Occasion> FOMC Meeting</b>”。 The most uninteresting thing is the FOMC meeting, and of course I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Federal Reserve will release thunder.</p><p>The U.S. CPI data for December hasn't come out yet, but the EU CPI data is out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from a high level. The chart below shows the CPI of the US (blue line) and the EU (white line), which are very closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to fall later than that of the United States, and the core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the U.S. CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference and common sense also align with each other. The United States is more energy independent and the EU is more energy dependent.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the specific CPI of the United States 12? I'll make an estimate today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, that is to say, the price of gasoline in December 2022 is cheaper than that in December 2021, and the year-on-year growth is about-1%. Considering that there are some services in the energy segment, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the chart below is the index of food), which is the stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation is beginning to slow down from the previous month. Here, mathematically, using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of food in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of food in November of 10.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For the third part (commodities) and the fourth part (services), the treatment method is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of commodities will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; Year-over-year growth in services will be 7%, slightly up from 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the contribution of rent is the biggest. From the actual feeling now, the rent has indeed not dropped.</p><p><b>Finally, put the four parts of the estimate on their respective weight coefficients, then the inflation estimate in December is 6.0%. The current average estimate of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% below their estimates.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has been smaller and smaller in the past four months, while I used the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The following chart shows the index of these three parts in the past four months and the month-on-month growth, and the trend of month-on-month weakening is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: Non-research report, for informational purposes only, does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df74a3173019df9d7cecb61fc0d78eea","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185461473","content_text":"12月CPI预估从上周五开始，市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象，就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言，但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强，而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候，恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。按照重要性排序，现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“CPI数据 >鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 >其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 > FOMC会议”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议，当然也不得不看，因为害怕美联储会放雷。12月美国的CPI数据还没出来，但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据，欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国（蓝线）和欧盟（白线）的CPI，两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚，这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率，是去年6月见顶。但是欧盟CPI的能源部分，是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合，美国的能源独立性更强，欧盟的能源依赖性更强。欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落，那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢？我今天来估算一下。第一个部分是能源，11月的同比增长还是13%，但是根据汽油的平均价格来看，12月的同比增长会是负数，也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜，大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分，价格具有一定的粘滞性，能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格，红框是12月。第二部分是食物（下图是食物的指数），是属于通胀比较顽固的部分，目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下，沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数，那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%，这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。对于第三部分（商品）和第四部分（服务），均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%，低于11月的3.7%；服务的同比增长将会是7%，略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹，所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性，这里面房租的贡献最大，从现在的实际感受来看，房租确实没有回落。最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数，那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%，我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。注意，我的预估其实都是偏保守，因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小，而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数，很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长，环比变弱的趋势明显。周四的数字不会难看。免责声明：非研究报告，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407484,"gmtCreate":1673398311350,"gmtModify":1676538830121,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407484","repostId":"1118702062","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407579,"gmtCreate":1673398293592,"gmtModify":1676538830115,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407579","repostId":"1129242286","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129242286","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673360880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129242286?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-10 22:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | Alibaba opens higher, Tesla rises more than 2%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129242286","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月10日周二，美股小幅低开，但随后拉升，截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示，美联储的政策是有效的，我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开，涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团，杭州市人民","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10th, U.S. stocks open low slightly, but then rose. As of press time, all three major indexes turned up.<b>The Fed's policies are working and there is nothing wrong with our mission, Fed Powell said in his remarks tonight.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55213d1c864fbf260a9c22a95bbb2b0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Opened higher, up about 2%. Investigation of Secretary of Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">Ant Group</a>Hangzhou Municipal People's Government and Alibaba signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35609e447b1917b2057ddcbb64dada4d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The new car-making forces collectively rose at the beginning of the session,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>rose by more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It rose more than 2% at the beginning of the session, and it was reported that Tesla China won 30,000 vehicle orders in three days after announcing the price cut. But Tesla officials did not comment. It is also reported that Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, will begin to expand in size in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3eeff30d0063f48d0f9768dd5ebdb72\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Faraday Future fell more than 5% after receiving a notice from the Nasdaq exchange informing the company that it did not meet certain continued listing requirements.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit</a>With a 20% drop, Virgin Orbit admitted on social media that its first satellite launch from Britain failed.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Up 7.1%, although the company posted a quarterly loss of about $393 million during the holiday season, it did not indicate it would file for bankruptcy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>down 1.56%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Downgraded Boeing to hold from overweight, saying there was a lack of potential upside from current levels.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>Slightly down 1%, with reports<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Plans to abandon by 2025<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Chip, switch to internal design.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>It fell more than 11% after the company lowered its 2023 guidance and missed market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | Alibaba opens higher, Tesla rises more than 2%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | Alibaba opens higher, Tesla rises more than 2%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 22:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10th, U.S. stocks open low slightly, but then rose. As of press time, all three major indexes turned up.<b>The Fed's policies are working and there is nothing wrong with our mission, Fed Powell said in his remarks tonight.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55213d1c864fbf260a9c22a95bbb2b0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Opened higher, up about 2%. Investigation of Secretary of Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">Ant Group</a>Hangzhou Municipal People's Government and Alibaba signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35609e447b1917b2057ddcbb64dada4d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The new car-making forces collectively rose at the beginning of the session,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>rose by more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It rose more than 2% at the beginning of the session, and it was reported that Tesla China won 30,000 vehicle orders in three days after announcing the price cut. But Tesla officials did not comment. It is also reported that Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, will begin to expand in size in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3eeff30d0063f48d0f9768dd5ebdb72\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Faraday Future fell more than 5% after receiving a notice from the Nasdaq exchange informing the company that it did not meet certain continued listing requirements.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit</a>With a 20% drop, Virgin Orbit admitted on social media that its first satellite launch from Britain failed.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Up 7.1%, although the company posted a quarterly loss of about $393 million during the holiday season, it did not indicate it would file for bankruptcy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>down 1.56%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Downgraded Boeing to hold from overweight, saying there was a lack of potential upside from current levels.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>Slightly down 1%, with reports<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Plans to abandon by 2025<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Chip, switch to internal design.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>It fell more than 11% after the company lowered its 2023 guidance and missed market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129242286","content_text":"1月10日周二，美股小幅低开，但随后拉升，截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示，美联储的政策是有效的，我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开，涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团，杭州市人民政府和阿里巴巴签订全面深化战略合作协议。造车新势力盘初集体走高，小鹏汽车涨超3%，理想汽车、蔚来涨2%。特斯拉盘初涨超2%，消息称在宣布降价后，特斯拉中国三天内获3万辆汽车订单。但特斯拉官方未予置评。另据报道，未来几周，特斯拉位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀的电动汽车工厂的规模将开始扩大。法拉第未来跌超5%，此前收到纳斯达克交易所的通知，告知公司不符合某些继续上市要求。维珍轨道大跌20%，维珍轨道在社交媒体承认，首次从英国发射卫星宣告失败。3B家居涨7.1%，尽管公司假日季出现了约3.93亿美元的季度亏损，但没有表示会申请破产。波音跌1.56%，摩根士丹利将波音的评级从增持下调至持有，称从当前水平看缺乏潜在的上升空间。博通微跌1%，有报道称苹果计划到2025年放弃博通芯片，改用内部设计。Illumina跌超11%，此前该公司下调2023年的业绩指引，且低于市场预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407208,"gmtCreate":1673398270405,"gmtModify":1676538830104,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407208","repostId":"2302209798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2302209798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673391598,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2302209798?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-11 06:59","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302209798","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测，并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。　　世行周二表示，全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%，约为6月预测增速的一半。　　该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期，称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。　　美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示，美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做，应该进一步加息，然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The World Bank slashes its 2023 economic forecast, warning of a global recession</b><b>2. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The head says the probability of a Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b><b>4. US small business optimism drops to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b><b>5. The U.S. public pension gap exceeds $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b><b>6. JPMorgan Chase expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected. U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market prices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>World Bank slashes 2023 economic forecast, warns of global recession</b></p><p>The World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts for most countries and regions and warned that new negative shocks could plunge the global economy into recession.</p><p>The World Bank said on Tuesday that global GDP is likely to grow only 1.7% this year, about half the pace forecast for June. If the predictions are true, it will be the third-lowest in the last three decades, behind only 2009 and 2020.</p><p>The bank also lowered its economic growth forecast for 2024, citing persistent inflation and rising interest rates as key reasons. The report also mentioned the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the decline in investment.</p><p>World Bank President Malpass wrote in the foreword to the bank's semi-annual Global Economic Prospect report that \"the crisis facing development is intensifying\" and the global economic boom may continue to suffer. By the end of next year, GDP in emerging markets and developing economies will be roughly 6% below pre-pandemic expectations.</p><p>Other headwinds facing poorer countries are exacerbated by spillovers from weaker U.S. and European Union economies, according to Bank of America. While inflation is slowing, there are signs that price pressures are becoming more persistent and central banks are having to rate hike faster than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201f31a4a7b549e763bf9d08ae766df9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Fed Gov. Bowman: Further rate hike Needed to Curb High Inflation</b></p><p>Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the Fed has more work to do to curb inflation and should further rate hike and then keep interest rates in restrictive territory for some time.</p><p>In written remarks prepared for the Florida Bankers Association on Tuesday, Bowman said, \"In recent months, we've seen some measures of inflation come down, but there's still a lot of work to be done, and I expect the Fed to continue raising interest rates to tighten monetary policy, as we said after the December meeting.\"</p><p>Fed officials are signaling to markets that tightening is not over. The Federal Open Market Committee in December was all in favor of rate hike 50 basis points, raising the benchmark interest rate to 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>Bowman said the magnitude of future interest rate adjustments and the timing of stopping the rate hike would depend on inflation, and she would like to see \"compelling signs that inflation has peaked\" and is looking for \"consistent\" evidence that inflation is on a downward path.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ea0dce3d3abfe235755f4d695d1f9d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan head says probability of Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b></p><p>JPMorgan CEO Dimon believes the Fed may need rate hike to levels beyond current expectations, but he advocates a pause to see the full impact of last year's rate hike.</p><p>Dimon said in an interview on Tuesday that the Fed's forecast to raise its benchmark interest rate to around 5% has a 50% probability of being correct, and the other half is likely that the central bank will have to increase it to 6%.</p><p>\"I also think it's probably not enough,\" Dimon said. \"Our pace was a little slow before. It was catching up. I don't see any harm in waiting three or six months.\"</p><p>Two Fed officials said Monday that the Fed may need to rate hike above 5% and then maintain that level for some time.</p><p>although<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Wall Street peers are laying off jobs, but Dimon said JPMorgan is \"still in hiring mode.\" He said wage pressures have eased slightly as consumption levels have declined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c311eac63f1f78fe74606b571a8871df\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. small business optimism falls to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b></p><p>Optimism among U.S. small business owners dropped in December to its second-to-last level in nearly a decade as the economy and earnings expectations deteriorated.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) noted in a report Tuesday that the overall optimism index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month. Eight of the index's 10 component indicators fell, and readings were lower than all economists surveyed had expected.</p><p>Inflation remains the most important single factor affecting small businesses, with rising labor and material costs seen as the top reason for shocking earnings. The net share of companies that said profits had fallen in the past three months was 30% in December, up from 22% in November.</p><p>However, there are signs that price pressures are easing. The proportion of business owners raising prices compared to three months ago was about 43%, the lowest proportion since May 2021. The net proportion of planned near-term markup is 24%, the lowest level in two years.</p><p>Perception of the economy is deteriorating, though, with 51% of business owners expecting even bleaker conditions for doing business in the first half of the year. Ten percent of business owners expect sales to fall in the first quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed2c05ab5def11bb4837f5853154413c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. public pension gap crosses $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b></p><p>The Equable Institute, a New York-based nonprofit, estimates that the U.S. state and local pension funding gap rose to $1.45 trillion last year.</p><p>In its report released Tuesday, Equable said the shortfall for 2021 was $986.6 billion. Last year, poor investment returns dragged down the average funded ratio of large state and local pensions to 77.3% from 83.9% in 2021, the report said. The gap between pension assets and liabilities to retirees widened by nearly $500 billion.</p><p>Public pensions are invested in stocks, bonds and other financial instruments, earning profits to pay for promised employee benefits. Surging inflation, rising interest rates and rising fears of a recession have hit stocks and bond markets last year.</p><p>Equable estimates that state and local pensions averaged a negative 6.14% initial return on investment in 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c708afd8a49964cadf48b9f365d32\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market</b></p><p>JPMorgan Chase's sales and trading department believes that the U.S. inflation data released on Thursday may be lower than expected, which will help push U.S. stocks to rebound from the bear market.</p><p>Economists generally predict that the year-over-year CPI rise will fall to 6.5% in December, while JPMorgan analysts such as Andrew Tyler expect a two-thirds chance that the actual data will be within 10 basis points of expectations. Given that investors maintained largely defensive position deployments, any sign of progress in the Fed's anti-inflation action would spur markets to trim bearish positions, with the S&P 500 on track to gain 1.5%-2% on the day.</p><p>Tyler wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday that \"cooling inflation should help the bear market rally, but we will remain cautious as long as the Fed remains in an aggressive tightening cycle, with our scenario analysis skewed toward bullish stocks as existing position deployments could cause the market to overreact to short covering.\"</p><p>If inflation falls below 6.4%, which the team puts at a 20% probability, the benchmark stock index will rise between 3% and 3.5%. For the U.S. bond market only, unless the actual data is significantly lower than expected, such as falling to 6% or below, the bond market should react calmly. Only if the CPI rise falls below 4.5%-5% will investors re-evaluate expectations about a pause in interest rate hikes at the March meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-11 06:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The World Bank slashes its 2023 economic forecast, warning of a global recession</b><b>2. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The head says the probability of a Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b><b>4. US small business optimism drops to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b><b>5. The U.S. public pension gap exceeds $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b><b>6. JPMorgan Chase expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected. U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market prices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>World Bank slashes 2023 economic forecast, warns of global recession</b></p><p>The World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts for most countries and regions and warned that new negative shocks could plunge the global economy into recession.</p><p>The World Bank said on Tuesday that global GDP is likely to grow only 1.7% this year, about half the pace forecast for June. If the predictions are true, it will be the third-lowest in the last three decades, behind only 2009 and 2020.</p><p>The bank also lowered its economic growth forecast for 2024, citing persistent inflation and rising interest rates as key reasons. The report also mentioned the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the decline in investment.</p><p>World Bank President Malpass wrote in the foreword to the bank's semi-annual Global Economic Prospect report that \"the crisis facing development is intensifying\" and the global economic boom may continue to suffer. By the end of next year, GDP in emerging markets and developing economies will be roughly 6% below pre-pandemic expectations.</p><p>Other headwinds facing poorer countries are exacerbated by spillovers from weaker U.S. and European Union economies, according to Bank of America. While inflation is slowing, there are signs that price pressures are becoming more persistent and central banks are having to rate hike faster than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201f31a4a7b549e763bf9d08ae766df9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Fed Gov. Bowman: Further rate hike Needed to Curb High Inflation</b></p><p>Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the Fed has more work to do to curb inflation and should further rate hike and then keep interest rates in restrictive territory for some time.</p><p>In written remarks prepared for the Florida Bankers Association on Tuesday, Bowman said, \"In recent months, we've seen some measures of inflation come down, but there's still a lot of work to be done, and I expect the Fed to continue raising interest rates to tighten monetary policy, as we said after the December meeting.\"</p><p>Fed officials are signaling to markets that tightening is not over. The Federal Open Market Committee in December was all in favor of rate hike 50 basis points, raising the benchmark interest rate to 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>Bowman said the magnitude of future interest rate adjustments and the timing of stopping the rate hike would depend on inflation, and she would like to see \"compelling signs that inflation has peaked\" and is looking for \"consistent\" evidence that inflation is on a downward path.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ea0dce3d3abfe235755f4d695d1f9d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan head says probability of Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b></p><p>JPMorgan CEO Dimon believes the Fed may need rate hike to levels beyond current expectations, but he advocates a pause to see the full impact of last year's rate hike.</p><p>Dimon said in an interview on Tuesday that the Fed's forecast to raise its benchmark interest rate to around 5% has a 50% probability of being correct, and the other half is likely that the central bank will have to increase it to 6%.</p><p>\"I also think it's probably not enough,\" Dimon said. \"Our pace was a little slow before. It was catching up. I don't see any harm in waiting three or six months.\"</p><p>Two Fed officials said Monday that the Fed may need to rate hike above 5% and then maintain that level for some time.</p><p>although<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Wall Street peers are laying off jobs, but Dimon said JPMorgan is \"still in hiring mode.\" He said wage pressures have eased slightly as consumption levels have declined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c311eac63f1f78fe74606b571a8871df\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. small business optimism falls to second-to-last in nearly a decade</b></p><p>Optimism among U.S. small business owners dropped in December to its second-to-last level in nearly a decade as the economy and earnings expectations deteriorated.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) noted in a report Tuesday that the overall optimism index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month. Eight of the index's 10 component indicators fell, and readings were lower than all economists surveyed had expected.</p><p>Inflation remains the most important single factor affecting small businesses, with rising labor and material costs seen as the top reason for shocking earnings. The net share of companies that said profits had fallen in the past three months was 30% in December, up from 22% in November.</p><p>However, there are signs that price pressures are easing. The proportion of business owners raising prices compared to three months ago was about 43%, the lowest proportion since May 2021. The net proportion of planned near-term markup is 24%, the lowest level in two years.</p><p>Perception of the economy is deteriorating, though, with 51% of business owners expecting even bleaker conditions for doing business in the first half of the year. Ten percent of business owners expect sales to fall in the first quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed2c05ab5def11bb4837f5853154413c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. public pension gap crosses $1 trillion in 2022, with negative average returns</b></p><p>The Equable Institute, a New York-based nonprofit, estimates that the U.S. state and local pension funding gap rose to $1.45 trillion last year.</p><p>In its report released Tuesday, Equable said the shortfall for 2021 was $986.6 billion. Last year, poor investment returns dragged down the average funded ratio of large state and local pensions to 77.3% from 83.9% in 2021, the report said. The gap between pension assets and liabilities to retirees widened by nearly $500 billion.</p><p>Public pensions are invested in stocks, bonds and other financial instruments, earning profits to pay for promised employee benefits. Surging inflation, rising interest rates and rising fears of a recession have hit stocks and bond markets last year.</p><p>Equable estimates that state and local pensions averaged a negative 6.14% initial return on investment in 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c708afd8a49964cadf48b9f365d32\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on a wave of market</b></p><p>JPMorgan Chase's sales and trading department believes that the U.S. inflation data released on Thursday may be lower than expected, which will help push U.S. stocks to rebound from the bear market.</p><p>Economists generally predict that the year-over-year CPI rise will fall to 6.5% in December, while JPMorgan analysts such as Andrew Tyler expect a two-thirds chance that the actual data will be within 10 basis points of expectations. Given that investors maintained largely defensive position deployments, any sign of progress in the Fed's anti-inflation action would spur markets to trim bearish positions, with the S&P 500 on track to gain 1.5%-2% on the day.</p><p>Tyler wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday that \"cooling inflation should help the bear market rally, but we will remain cautious as long as the Fed remains in an aggressive tightening cycle, with our scenario analysis skewed toward bullish stocks as existing position deployments could cause the market to overreact to short covering.\"</p><p>If inflation falls below 6.4%, which the team puts at a 20% probability, the benchmark stock index will rise between 3% and 3.5%. For the U.S. bond market only, unless the actual data is significantly lower than expected, such as falling to 6% or below, the bond market should react calmly. Only if the CPI rise falls below 4.5%-5% will investors re-evaluate expectations about a pause in interest rate hikes at the March meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-11/doc-imxztvzv0699895.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-11/doc-imxztvzv0699895.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2302209798","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、世界银行大砍2023年经济预测 警告全球经济将衰退2、美联储理事Bowman：需要进一步加息以遏制高通胀3、摩根大通掌门人称美联储加息至6%的概率高达一半4、美国小企业乐观度降至近十年来倒数第二5、美国公共养老金缺口2022年突破1万亿美元 平均回报率为负6、摩根大通料美国CPI将低于预期 美股投资者可借机炒一波行情世界银行大砍2023年经济预测 警告全球经济将衰退世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测，并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。世行周二表示，全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%，约为6月预测增速的一半。如果预测属实，这将是过去三十年来倒数第三低，仅次于2009年和2020年。该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期，称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。报告还提到了俄乌冲突的影响以及投资下降。世界银行行长马尔帕斯在该行半年度全球经济展望报告的前言中写道，“发展面临的危机正在加剧”，全球经济荣景可能继续受挫。到明年年底，新兴市场和发展中经济体的GDP将比疫情爆发前的预期水平低大约6%。美银行表示，美国和欧盟经济疲软的溢出效应加剧了较贫穷国家面临的其他不利因素。虽然通胀正在放缓，但有迹象表明，物价压力变得更加持久，央行不得不以快于预期的速度加息。美联储理事Bowman：需要进一步加息以遏制高通胀美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示，美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做，应该进一步加息，然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。Bowman周二在为佛罗里达州银行家协会准备的书面讲话中表示，“近几个月来，我们看到一些通胀指标下降，但还有很多工作需要做，我预计美联储将继续提高利率以收紧货币政策，正如我们在12月会议后所说的那样”。美联储官员们正在向市场传达紧缩政策还没结束的信号。联邦公开市场委员会12月全体赞成加息50个基点，将基准利率上调至4.25%-4.5%。Bowman表示，未来利率调整的幅度和停止加息的时点将取决于通胀情况，她希望看到“令人信服的迹象表明通胀已经见顶”，并正在寻找表明通胀处于下行路径的“前后一致”的证据。摩根大通掌门人称美联储加息至6%的概率高达一半摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙认为，美联储可能需要加息至超出当前预期的水平，但他主张先停一停来观察去年加息的全部影响。戴蒙周二接受采访时表示，美联储提高基准利率至5%左右的预测有50%的正确概率，另一半的可能是央行不得不加到6%。“我也认为这可能还不够，” 戴蒙说，“我们之前的步伐有点慢。它迎头赶上。我不觉得等三或六个月有什么坏处。”两位美联储官员周一表示，美联储可能需要加息到5%以上，然后维持这个水平一段时间。虽然高盛和摩根士丹利等华尔街同行正在裁员，但戴蒙表示摩根大通“仍处在招聘模式”。他说，随着消耗水平下降，薪资压力已略有减弱。美国小企业乐观度降至近十年来倒数第二随着经济和盈利预期恶化，美国小企业主的乐观度在12月下降到了近十年来倒数第二的水平。全美独立企业联合会（NFIB）周二在一份报告中指出，上月整体乐观指数下降2.1点至89.8。该指数10项成分指标中有8项下跌，且读数低于接受调查的所有经济学家的预期。通胀仍然是影响小企业的最重要单一因素，其中劳动力和材料成本的上升被视为冲击盈利的首要原因。12月称过去三个月利润下降的企业净比重为30%，过于11月的22%。然而，有迹象表明价格压力正在缓解。当月和三个月前相比提高价格的企业主比重为约43%，比例为2021年5月以来的最低。计划近期加价的净比重为24%，创下两年来最低水平。不过，对经济的看法正在恶化，51%的企业主预计今年上半年营商条件更惨淡。有10%的企业主预计第一季销售下降。美国公共养老金缺口2022年突破1万亿美元 平均回报率为负总部位于纽约的非营利机构Equable Institute估计，美国州和地方养老金资金缺口去年升至1.45万亿美元。Equable在周二发布的报告中称，2021年的缺口为9，866亿美元。报告称，去年，投资回报不佳拖累大型州和地方养老金平均资金比率（funded ratio）从2021年的83.9%降至77.3%。养老金资产和对退休人员的负债之间的缺口扩大了近5，000亿美元。公共养老金投资于股票、债券和其他金融工具，盈利用于支付所承诺的员工福利。去年，通胀飙升、利率上升以及对经济衰退的担忧加剧，冲击了股市和债市。据Equable估计，州和地方养老金2022年初步投资回报率平均为负6.14%。摩根大通料美国CPI将低于预期 美股投资者可借机炒一波行情摩根大通销售和交易部门认为，周四公布的美国通胀数据可能低于预期，将有助于推动美股从熊市反弹。经济学家普遍预测12月CPI同比升幅降至6.5%，而Andrew Tyler等摩根大通分析师预计，实际数据有三分之二的可能性会比预期值低10基点以内。鉴于投资者基本保持防御型的仓位部署，任何显示美联储抗通胀行动取得进展的迹象都会刺激市场削减看跌头寸，标普500指数当天有望上涨1.5%-2%。Tyler周二在给客户的报告中写道，“通胀降温应该有助于熊市反弹，但只要美联储仍处于积极的紧缩周期，我们就会保持谨慎，我们的情境分析偏向看涨股市，因为现有的仓位部署可能导致市场对空头回补反应过度”。如果通胀跌破6.4%（该团队认为概率为20%），基准股指将上涨3%至3.5%。对于美债市场而已，除非实际数据明显低于预期，比如降至6%或以下，否则债市应该反应平静。只有在CPI升幅跌破4.5%-5%的情况下，投资者才会重新评估有关3月份会议上暂停升息的预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407631,"gmtCreate":1673398252125,"gmtModify":1676538830100,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407631","repostId":"1122928788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122928788","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673395332,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122928788?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-11 08:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning | Nasdaq rose three times in a row, and Chinese stocks outperformed the market again! Biden revealed to have confidential documents in private","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122928788","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①隔夜纳指涨超1%录3连涨，热门中概再度领跑，阿里巴巴涨近4%；②世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期下调至1.7%，并警告存在衰退风险；③美媒：拜登私人办公室内发现10份机密文件。海外行情1","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① Overnight, the Nasdaq rose by more than 1%, recording three consecutive gains, and the popular Chinese concept led again.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up nearly 4%; ② The World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast in 2023 to 1.7% and warned of the risk of recession; ③ US media: 10 confidential documents were found in Biden's private office. Overseas Quotes</p><p>1. The market pays attention to the Federal Reserve's policy, US stocks close higher, and the Nasdaq rose more than 1%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday. Investors were relieved that Fed Chairman Powell did not comment on interest rate policy in his speech, did not talk about the US economic situation, and did not continue to beat the market as before. This week, the market is paying attention to Thursday's CPI data and Friday's earnings reports of large banks, thinking that this may be an important market driver. The World Bank cuts global and U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2023. By the close, the Nasdaq was up 1.01%, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% and the Dow Jones was up 0.56%.</p><p>Star Tech Stocks Only<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Down. \"Metaverse\" Meta rose nearly 3%, the highest since October 25th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>up nearly 3% to a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>After falling more than 1%, it turned up 0.5%, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Both rose for three consecutive days, and Netflix rose nearly 4% to the highest since April 19th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Google A</a>Class stocks fell 2.5% and then rose 0.5%. Tesla fell 2.5% at the deepest, stopping two consecutive positives and falling back from its highest level during the year.</p><p>Chip stocks were also shaky, with late gains widening. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 0.7% at the beginning of the session, then fell by 0.9%, and finally closed up by more than 1% and rose above 2,700 integer points, setting a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>After falling by more than 1%, it rose by 0.4%, setting a five-week high. After falling by 1%, AMD rose by more than 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>It rose nearly 2%, both hitting another three-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>It closed down 0.3% after falling 4.7%.</p><p>On the news, Microsoft is negotiating a $10 billion stake in OpenAI, the development company behind ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence \"small composition\" tool. Tesla China was rumored to have received orders for 30,000 vehicles in three days after the price cut, and the company said it would not comment.</p><p>2. The popular Chinese concept leads Ali again, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year</p><p>Popular Chinese stocks outperformed the broader market, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (HXC) rising nearly 2%. Among the four constituent stocks of the Nasdaq 100,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Up nearly 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>Up nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>down 1.5%. Among other stocks, Alibaba rose nearly 4%, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year, Station B rose nearly 2%, and the \"three fools of building cars\" rose together and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 4%. On the news, Hangzhou signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement with Alibaba, and specific measures to support the platform economy are already being formulated.</p><p>3. The main indexes of European stocks fell, and Germany's DAX30 index fell by 0.12%</p><p>Major European stock indexes closed down on Tuesday, with Germany's DAX30 index falling 0.12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>The index fell 0.39%, France's CAC40 index fell 0.55%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell 0.27%.</p><p>4. Oil prices rose for three consecutive days to a week high, and oil returned to $80. European and American natural gas fell by more than 6%</p><p>WTI February crude oil futures closed up $0.49, or 0.65%, at $75.12/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.29 or 1.7%, once forcing $76. Brent March crude oil futures closed up $0.45, or 0.56%, at $80.10/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.72 or 2.2%, and once rose above $81.</p><p>The warm winter weather weakened the heating demand, and the European benchmark TTF Dutch natural gas futures fell by more than 7%, falling below the integer digit of 70 euros/MWh. ICE UK natural gas fell more than 6% in late trading, and once fell 8.6% and fell below 170p/kcal. NYMEX February U.S. natural gas futures closed down 6.93% at $3.6390/million British thermal units, once falling more than 9% during the session, approaching the low since June 2021.</p><p>5. New York gold futures closed down 0.1% on Tuesday, holding steady near an eight-month high</p><p>Gold futures for February delivery fell $1.30, or nearly 0.1%, to close at $1,876.50 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday. It stopped a two-day losing streak, but it was not far from an eight-month high. Spot gold maintained its rally throughout the day, rising as much as 0.5% and above the $1,880 integer, also hovering at an eight-month high.</p><p>Macro News</p><p>1. Powell emphasizes the need for political independence in the Fed's response to inflation</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell attended the \"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>Independence \"International Symposium and give a short presentation.</p><p>Powell emphasized the importance of political independence as a national central bank. In his speech, he said that stabilizing prices requires difficult decisions, which may be politically unpopular, and said that the Fed is not a \"climate policymaker\" and should not be used as a direct tool to tackle the climate crisis when talking about some U.S. lawmakers calling on the Fed to use its supervisory and regulatory powers to tackle climate change.</p><p>Powell believes that price stability is the cornerstone of a healthy economy, but in order to reduce inflation and ensure price stability, the Federal Reserve may take unpopular measures in the short term, such as raising interest rates.</p><p>2. World Bank cuts global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% and warns of recession risk</p><p>The World Bank on Tuesday released its latest Global Economic Prospect report, which slashed its 2023 global GDP growth forecast to 1.7% and warned of a recession risk amid surging inflation, central bank rate hike, reduced investment and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Specifically, the World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% growth from 3.0% growth in June last year, which would be the third-slowest global growth in nearly 30 years, following the recessions of 2009 and 2020.</p><p>3. US media: 10 classified documents found in Biden's private office</p><p>According to a CNN report on January 10th local time, a total of 10 classified documents were found in the private office of U.S. President Joe Biden. It is reported that the 10 classified documents came from the Obama administration and Biden as vice president. The documents include U.S. intelligence memos and briefing materials, and cover topics including Ukraine, Iran and Britain. Sources said the documents were dated between 2013 and 2016.</p><p>4. Results of the North American Leaders' Summit: The semiconductor industry has attracted much attention and sought to open up the integration of the industrial chain</p><p>On Tuesday, local time, the official website of the White House released a summary of the results of the North American Leaders' Summit. The document showed that the semiconductor industry has become the economic issue that the leaders of the United States, Mexico and Canada are most concerned about.</p><p>The three countries said they would organize their first tripartite semiconductor forum in early 2023 to adjust government policies and increase investment in North American semiconductor supply chains. The parties will send industry executives and cabinet-level officials to the meeting. In addition, the three countries will collaborate on the mapping of their respective industries in the semiconductor supply chain. This cooperation will also enhance mutual understanding and identify complementary investment opportunities.</p><p>5. The U.S. Department of Energy expects U.S. oil production to hit a record high in 2023, and the expected price of Brent oil in 2023 will be significantly lowered by 10%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">U.S. Energy</a>The Ministry report slightly raised its forecast for U.S. crude oil production in 2023 to a record 12.34 million barrels per day, with production expected to rise 3.2% from 2023 to a new high in 2024; Global oil inventories are expected to grow over the next two years as production exceeds consumption; It also cut the expected 2023 U.S. natural gas spot price by nearly 10%, the retail price of gasoline by more than 5%, and LNG export volume by nearly 1.6%.</p><p>In the latest official forecast report published, the U.S. Department of Energy expects the domestic economy to grow slightly in 2023, and oil production will increase further, and significantly lowered the expected price of Brent crude oil, the annual international crude oil benchmark.</p><p>Situation between Russia and Ukraine</p><p>1. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Says Germany Will Provide Leopard Tanks</p><p>According to Ukrainian Free TV, German Foreign Minister Berberk said during his visit to Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine on the 10th local time that Germany has provided Ukraine with IRIS-T air defense system, Cheetah air defense tank and Weasel infantry fighting vehicle, and will continue to provide military and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba, who accompanied his German foreign minister on his visit, said that Ukraine will receive \"Leopard\" tanks provided by Germany.</p><p>2. Vice-Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation: New penalties will be imposed on breaching the execution of defense order contracts if necessary</p><p>Medvedev, vice chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, said when inspecting the \"61st Armor Repair Workshop\" in St. Petersburg on January 10th, local time, that the Russian Military Industry Committee will set up a subordinate working group to manage the production of weapons needed by the Russian army. He stressed that if necessary, the Russian government would be forced to impose new penalties, including criminal responsibility, for acts that undermine the execution of defense order contracts.</p><p>3. U.S. Department of Defense: Ukrainian soldiers will go to the United States next week to receive \"Patriot\" system training</p><p>The U.S. Department of Defense announced on the 10th local time that about 100 Ukrainian soldiers will receive operation training of the Patriot anti-missile system in the United States from next week. The training will take place at the U.S. Fort Sill Artillery Academy and will last for months. In December last year, the United States announced for the first time that it would provide Ukraine with the Patriot anti-missile system. According to a spokesman for the U.S. Defense Department, the Patriot anti-missile system can shoot down more cruise missiles, short-range ballistic missiles and aircraft than the air defense systems previously provided to Ukraine.</p><p>Company News</p><p>1. Tesla plans to invest more than $700 million to expand its Texas factory</p><p>Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, is reportedly set to start expanding in size in the coming weeks. On January 9th, local time, Tesla said in a document submitted to the Texas Department of Licensing and Supervision (TDLR) that it plans to invest $717 million to build four new buildings at the Austin factory from the end of this month at the earliest, with a total construction area of 1.4 million square feet.</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Burst out huge losses and bankruptcy is imminent</p><p>US home retail giant Bed Bath & Beyond posted a massive loss of $393 million on Tuesday as the business's chief executive admitted that its turnaround plans failed to materialize. The company could file for bankruptcy at any time due to holiday promotions that fell short of expectations. The home furnishings seller has been grappling with dwindling cash reserves as suppliers demand faster payments. Additionally, sales in the homeware and decor industries have also taken a hit as the economy slows. The company is in the early stages of its planned Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, which could be completed within weeks, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>3. In-depth layout of virtual power plant industry: top American car companies join hands across borders<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Cooperate</p><p>On Tuesday, local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Google, Google and others said they would work together to develop standards to expand the market for virtual power plants (VPPs). In addition to GM, Ford and Google, there are<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">Solar energy</a>Producer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPWR\">SunPower</a>, Sunrun and others have also joined the initiative, called the Virtual Power Plant Partnership (VP3), which will be hosted by the energy transition nonprofit RMI, with the goal of setting rules for the use of VPP systems.</p><p>4. Amazon expands Buy with Prime service: from self-operated to covering all sellers</p><p>According to reports, Amazon announced on January 10 that it will expand its \"Buy with Prime\" service to cover all sellers in the United States by the end of the month. Amazon first launched its \"Buy with Prime\" service last April, allowing merchants to add Prime badges to products on their own websites.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning | Nasdaq rose three times in a row, and Chinese stocks outperformed the market again! Biden revealed to have confidential documents in private</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning | Nasdaq rose three times in a row, and Chinese stocks outperformed the market again! Biden revealed to have confidential documents in private\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-11 08:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① Overnight, the Nasdaq rose by more than 1%, recording three consecutive gains, and the popular Chinese concept led again.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up nearly 4%; ② The World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast in 2023 to 1.7% and warned of the risk of recession; ③ US media: 10 confidential documents were found in Biden's private office. Overseas Quotes</p><p>1. The market pays attention to the Federal Reserve's policy, US stocks close higher, and the Nasdaq rose more than 1%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday. Investors were relieved that Fed Chairman Powell did not comment on interest rate policy in his speech, did not talk about the US economic situation, and did not continue to beat the market as before. This week, the market is paying attention to Thursday's CPI data and Friday's earnings reports of large banks, thinking that this may be an important market driver. The World Bank cuts global and U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2023. By the close, the Nasdaq was up 1.01%, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% and the Dow Jones was up 0.56%.</p><p>Star Tech Stocks Only<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Down. \"Metaverse\" Meta rose nearly 3%, the highest since October 25th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>up nearly 3% to a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>After falling more than 1%, it turned up 0.5%, and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Both rose for three consecutive days, and Netflix rose nearly 4% to the highest since April 19th last year.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Google A</a>Class stocks fell 2.5% and then rose 0.5%. Tesla fell 2.5% at the deepest, stopping two consecutive positives and falling back from its highest level during the year.</p><p>Chip stocks were also shaky, with late gains widening. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 0.7% at the beginning of the session, then fell by 0.9%, and finally closed up by more than 1% and rose above 2,700 integer points, setting a four-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>After falling by more than 1%, it rose by 0.4%, setting a five-week high. After falling by 1%, AMD rose by more than 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>It rose nearly 2%, both hitting another three-week high.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>It closed down 0.3% after falling 4.7%.</p><p>On the news, Microsoft is negotiating a $10 billion stake in OpenAI, the development company behind ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence \"small composition\" tool. Tesla China was rumored to have received orders for 30,000 vehicles in three days after the price cut, and the company said it would not comment.</p><p>2. The popular Chinese concept leads Ali again, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year</p><p>Popular Chinese stocks outperformed the broader market, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (HXC) rising nearly 2%. Among the four constituent stocks of the Nasdaq 100,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Up nearly 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>Up nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>Up 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>down 1.5%. Among other stocks, Alibaba rose nearly 4%, rising for six consecutive days to the highest in half a year, Station B rose nearly 2%, and the \"three fools of building cars\" rose together and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Cars rose more than 4%. On the news, Hangzhou signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement with Alibaba, and specific measures to support the platform economy are already being formulated.</p><p>3. The main indexes of European stocks fell, and Germany's DAX30 index fell by 0.12%</p><p>Major European stock indexes closed down on Tuesday, with Germany's DAX30 index falling 0.12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>The index fell 0.39%, France's CAC40 index fell 0.55%, and the European Stoxx 50 index fell 0.27%.</p><p>4. Oil prices rose for three consecutive days to a week high, and oil returned to $80. European and American natural gas fell by more than 6%</p><p>WTI February crude oil futures closed up $0.49, or 0.65%, at $75.12/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.29 or 1.7%, once forcing $76. Brent March crude oil futures closed up $0.45, or 0.56%, at $80.10/barrel, with the highest intraday increase of $1.72 or 2.2%, and once rose above $81.</p><p>The warm winter weather weakened the heating demand, and the European benchmark TTF Dutch natural gas futures fell by more than 7%, falling below the integer digit of 70 euros/MWh. ICE UK natural gas fell more than 6% in late trading, and once fell 8.6% and fell below 170p/kcal. NYMEX February U.S. natural gas futures closed down 6.93% at $3.6390/million British thermal units, once falling more than 9% during the session, approaching the low since June 2021.</p><p>5. New York gold futures closed down 0.1% on Tuesday, holding steady near an eight-month high</p><p>Gold futures for February delivery fell $1.30, or nearly 0.1%, to close at $1,876.50 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday. It stopped a two-day losing streak, but it was not far from an eight-month high. Spot gold maintained its rally throughout the day, rising as much as 0.5% and above the $1,880 integer, also hovering at an eight-month high.</p><p>Macro News</p><p>1. Powell emphasizes the need for political independence in the Fed's response to inflation</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell attended the \"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>Independence \"International Symposium and give a short presentation.</p><p>Powell emphasized the importance of political independence as a national central bank. In his speech, he said that stabilizing prices requires difficult decisions, which may be politically unpopular, and said that the Fed is not a \"climate policymaker\" and should not be used as a direct tool to tackle the climate crisis when talking about some U.S. lawmakers calling on the Fed to use its supervisory and regulatory powers to tackle climate change.</p><p>Powell believes that price stability is the cornerstone of a healthy economy, but in order to reduce inflation and ensure price stability, the Federal Reserve may take unpopular measures in the short term, such as raising interest rates.</p><p>2. World Bank cuts global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% and warns of recession risk</p><p>The World Bank on Tuesday released its latest Global Economic Prospect report, which slashed its 2023 global GDP growth forecast to 1.7% and warned of a recession risk amid surging inflation, central bank rate hike, reduced investment and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>Specifically, the World Bank lowered its global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 1.7% growth from 3.0% growth in June last year, which would be the third-slowest global growth in nearly 30 years, following the recessions of 2009 and 2020.</p><p>3. US media: 10 classified documents found in Biden's private office</p><p>According to a CNN report on January 10th local time, a total of 10 classified documents were found in the private office of U.S. President Joe Biden. It is reported that the 10 classified documents came from the Obama administration and Biden as vice president. The documents include U.S. intelligence memos and briefing materials, and cover topics including Ukraine, Iran and Britain. Sources said the documents were dated between 2013 and 2016.</p><p>4. Results of the North American Leaders' Summit: The semiconductor industry has attracted much attention and sought to open up the integration of the industrial chain</p><p>On Tuesday, local time, the official website of the White House released a summary of the results of the North American Leaders' Summit. The document showed that the semiconductor industry has become the economic issue that the leaders of the United States, Mexico and Canada are most concerned about.</p><p>The three countries said they would organize their first tripartite semiconductor forum in early 2023 to adjust government policies and increase investment in North American semiconductor supply chains. The parties will send industry executives and cabinet-level officials to the meeting. In addition, the three countries will collaborate on the mapping of their respective industries in the semiconductor supply chain. This cooperation will also enhance mutual understanding and identify complementary investment opportunities.</p><p>5. The U.S. Department of Energy expects U.S. oil production to hit a record high in 2023, and the expected price of Brent oil in 2023 will be significantly lowered by 10%</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">U.S. Energy</a>The Ministry report slightly raised its forecast for U.S. crude oil production in 2023 to a record 12.34 million barrels per day, with production expected to rise 3.2% from 2023 to a new high in 2024; Global oil inventories are expected to grow over the next two years as production exceeds consumption; It also cut the expected 2023 U.S. natural gas spot price by nearly 10%, the retail price of gasoline by more than 5%, and LNG export volume by nearly 1.6%.</p><p>In the latest official forecast report published, the U.S. Department of Energy expects the domestic economy to grow slightly in 2023, and oil production will increase further, and significantly lowered the expected price of Brent crude oil, the annual international crude oil benchmark.</p><p>Situation between Russia and Ukraine</p><p>1. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Says Germany Will Provide Leopard Tanks</p><p>According to Ukrainian Free TV, German Foreign Minister Berberk said during his visit to Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine on the 10th local time that Germany has provided Ukraine with IRIS-T air defense system, Cheetah air defense tank and Weasel infantry fighting vehicle, and will continue to provide military and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba, who accompanied his German foreign minister on his visit, said that Ukraine will receive \"Leopard\" tanks provided by Germany.</p><p>2. Vice-Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation: New penalties will be imposed on breaching the execution of defense order contracts if necessary</p><p>Medvedev, vice chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, said when inspecting the \"61st Armor Repair Workshop\" in St. Petersburg on January 10th, local time, that the Russian Military Industry Committee will set up a subordinate working group to manage the production of weapons needed by the Russian army. He stressed that if necessary, the Russian government would be forced to impose new penalties, including criminal responsibility, for acts that undermine the execution of defense order contracts.</p><p>3. U.S. Department of Defense: Ukrainian soldiers will go to the United States next week to receive \"Patriot\" system training</p><p>The U.S. Department of Defense announced on the 10th local time that about 100 Ukrainian soldiers will receive operation training of the Patriot anti-missile system in the United States from next week. The training will take place at the U.S. Fort Sill Artillery Academy and will last for months. In December last year, the United States announced for the first time that it would provide Ukraine with the Patriot anti-missile system. According to a spokesman for the U.S. Defense Department, the Patriot anti-missile system can shoot down more cruise missiles, short-range ballistic missiles and aircraft than the air defense systems previously provided to Ukraine.</p><p>Company News</p><p>1. Tesla plans to invest more than $700 million to expand its Texas factory</p><p>Tesla's EV factory in Austin, Texas, is reportedly set to start expanding in size in the coming weeks. On January 9th, local time, Tesla said in a document submitted to the Texas Department of Licensing and Supervision (TDLR) that it plans to invest $717 million to build four new buildings at the Austin factory from the end of this month at the earliest, with a total construction area of 1.4 million square feet.</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>Burst out huge losses and bankruptcy is imminent</p><p>US home retail giant Bed Bath & Beyond posted a massive loss of $393 million on Tuesday as the business's chief executive admitted that its turnaround plans failed to materialize. The company could file for bankruptcy at any time due to holiday promotions that fell short of expectations. The home furnishings seller has been grappling with dwindling cash reserves as suppliers demand faster payments. Additionally, sales in the homeware and decor industries have also taken a hit as the economy slows. The company is in the early stages of its planned Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, which could be completed within weeks, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>3. In-depth layout of virtual power plant industry: top American car companies join hands across borders<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Cooperate</p><p>On Tuesday, local time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Google, Google and others said they would work together to develop standards to expand the market for virtual power plants (VPPs). In addition to GM, Ford and Google, there are<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">Solar energy</a>Producer<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPWR\">SunPower</a>, Sunrun and others have also joined the initiative, called the Virtual Power Plant Partnership (VP3), which will be hosted by the energy transition nonprofit RMI, with the goal of setting rules for the use of VPP systems.</p><p>4. Amazon expands Buy with Prime service: from self-operated to covering all sellers</p><p>According to reports, Amazon announced on January 10 that it will expand its \"Buy with Prime\" service to cover all sellers in the United States by the end of the month. Amazon first launched its \"Buy with Prime\" service last April, allowing merchants to add Prime badges to products on their own websites.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122928788","content_text":"摘要：①隔夜纳指涨超1%录3连涨，热门中概再度领跑，阿里巴巴涨近4%；②世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期下调至1.7%，并警告存在衰退风险；③美媒：拜登私人办公室内发现10份机密文件。海外行情1、市场关注联储政策美股收涨纳指涨超1%美股周二收高。美联储主席鲍威尔在讲话中没有就利率政策发表评论，也没有谈及美国经济形势，并未像此前一样继续敲打市场，这令投资者松了一口气。本周市场关注周四的CPI数据与周五的大型银行财报，认为这可能是重要的市场驱动因素。世界银行下调2023年全球与美国经济增长预期。截至收盘，纳斯达克指数涨1.01%，标普500指数涨0.7%，道琼斯指数涨0.56%。明星科技股仅特斯拉跌。“元宇宙”Meta转涨近3%，至去年10月25日来最高。亚马逊涨近3%至四周高位。苹果跌超1%后转涨0.5%，与微软均连涨三日，奈飞涨近4%至去年4月19日来最高，谷歌A类股跌2.5%后转涨0.5%。特斯拉最深跌2.5%，止步两连阳并从年内高位回落。芯片股也震荡不安，尾盘涨幅扩大。费城半导体指数盘初涨0.7%后转跌0.9%，最终收涨超1%并升破2700点整数位，刷新四周高位。英特尔跌超1%后转涨0.4%，刷新五周高位，AMD跌1%后转涨超1%，英伟达涨近2%，均再创三周高位。博通跌4.7%后收跌0.3%。消息面上，微软洽谈100亿美元入股人工智能“小作文”工具ChatGPT背后的开发公司OpenAI。传闻降价后特斯拉中国三天内获3万辆汽车订单，公司称不予置评。2、热门中概再领跑阿里连涨六日至半年最高热门中概股跑赢大盘，纳斯达克金龙中国指数（HXC）涨近2%。纳斯达克100四只成份股中，京东涨近1%，网易涨近4%，百度涨1%，拼多多跌1.5%。其他个股中，阿里巴巴涨近4%，连涨六日至半年最高，B站涨近2%，“造车三傻”齐涨且蔚来汽车涨超4%。消息面上，杭州市与阿里巴巴签订全面深化战略合作协议，支持平台经济具体措施已在制定中。3、欧股主要指数下跌德国DAX30指数跌0.12%欧洲主要股指周二收盘普跌，德国DAX30指数跌0.12%，英国富时100指数跌0.39%，法国CAC40指数跌0.55%，欧洲斯托克50指数跌0.27%。4、油价连涨三日至一周高位 布油重返80美元 欧美天然气跌超6%WTI 2月原油期货收涨0.49美元，涨幅0.65%，报75.12美元/桶，盘中最高涨1.29美元或涨1.7%，一度上逼76美元。布伦特3月原油期货收涨0.45美元，涨幅0.56%，报80.10美元/桶，盘中最高涨1.72美元或涨2.2%，一度升破81美元。暖冬天气削弱取暖需求，欧洲基准的TTF荷兰天然气期货跌超7%，失守70欧元/兆瓦时整数位。ICE英国天然气尾盘跌超6%，盘中一度跌8.6%并跌穿170便士/千卡。NYMEX 2月美国天然气期货收跌6.93%，报3.6390美元/百万英热单位，盘中一度跌超9%，逼近2021年6月来低位。5、周二纽约黄金期货价格收跌0.1% 持稳八个月高位附近周二，纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌1.30美元，跌幅近0.1%，收于每盎司1876.50美元。止步两日连跌，但离八个月高位不远。现货黄金全天保持涨势，最高涨0.5%并升破1880美元整数位，也徘徊八个月高位。宏观新闻1、鲍威尔强调美联储应对通胀时需要政治独立美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔当地时间1月10日参加在瑞典斯德哥尔摩举行的有关“中央银行独立性”国际研讨会并进行简短发言。鲍威尔强调作为国家中央银行政治独立的重要性。他在讲话中称，稳定物价需要做出艰难的决定，这些决定可能在政治上不受欢迎，并在谈到部分美国议员呼吁美联储利用其监督管理权力应对气候变化问题时表示，美联储不是“气候政策制定者”，不应作为应对气候危机的直接工具。鲍威尔认为，物价稳定是健康经济的基石，但是为了降低通胀、保证物价稳定，美联储可能会采取短期内不受欢迎的措施，比如提高利率。2、世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期下调至1.7% 并警告存在衰退风险世界银行周二发布了最新的《全球经济展望》报告，在通胀飙升、央行加息、投资减少以及俄乌冲突的背景下，世界银行将2023年全球GDP增速预期大幅下调至1.7%，并警告存在衰退风险。具体来看，世界银行将2023年全球GDP增长预期从去年6月份的增长3.0%下调至增长1.7%，这将是继2009年和2020年的经济衰退后，近30年来全球增长速度第三低的一年。3、美媒：拜登私人办公室内发现10份机密文件据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）当地时间1月10日报道，美国总统拜登私人办公室内发现的机密文件共有10份。据悉，这10份机密文件来源于奥巴马执政、拜登担任副总统时期，文件包括美国情报备忘录和简报材料，涉及的话题包括乌克兰、伊朗和英国。消息人士称，文件的日期是2013年至2016年之间。4、北美领导人峰会成果：半导体行业颇受关注 谋求打通产业链一体化当地时间周二，美国白宫官网发布了北美领导人峰会的成果摘要，文件显示半导体行业俨然成为美、墨、加领导人最为关心的经济议题。三国表示，将在2023年初组织首次三方半导体论坛，以调整政府政策并增加对北美半导体供应链的投资。各方将派出行业高管和内阁级别的官员参会。此外三个国家将协同各自产业在半导体供应链的映射工作，这项合作也将增进彼此的理解，并确定具有互补性的投资机会。5、美能源部预计2023年美国产油创历史新高 2023年布油预期价大幅下调10%美国能源部报告将预期2023年美国原油产量小幅上调至创纪录的1234万桶/日，预计2024年产量较2023年增长3.2%至新高；预计未来两年全球石油库存因产量超过消耗而增长；还将预期的2023年美国天然气现货价下调近10%、汽油零售价下调逾5%、LNG出口量下调近1.6%。在最新公布的官方预测报告中，美国能源部预计2023年国内经济小幅增长，产油量将进一步增长，并大幅下调了对年度国际原油基准布伦特原油的预期价。俄乌局势1、乌克兰外长称德国将提供“豹”式坦克据乌克兰自由电视台报道，德国外长贝尔伯克当地时间10日在访问乌克兰东部城市哈尔科夫期间表示，德国已经向乌克兰提供了IRIS-T防空系统、猎豹式防空坦克、黄鼠狼步兵战车，并且还将继续向乌方提供军事和人道主义援助。陪同德国外长访问的乌克兰外长库列巴则表示，乌克兰将会收到德国提供的“豹”式坦克。2、俄联邦安全会议副主席：必要时将对破坏国防订单合同执行行为施加新处罚俄罗斯联邦安全会议副主席梅德韦杰夫当地时间1月10日在视察圣彼得堡“第61装甲修理厂”时表示，俄罗斯军工委员会将成立一个下属的工作小组以管理俄军所需武器的生产。他强调必要情况下，俄罗斯政府将被迫对破坏国防订单合同执行的行为施加新的处罚，其中包括追究刑事责任。3、美国防部：乌军士兵下周赴美接受“爱国者”系统训练美国国防部当地时间10日宣布，将有约100名乌克兰士兵于下周起在美国接受“爱国者”反导系统的操作训练。训练将在美国锡尔堡炮兵学院进行，并将持续数月。去年12月，美国首次宣布将向乌克兰提供“爱国者”反导系统。美国国防部发言人称，与此前提供给乌克兰的防空系统相比，“爱国者”反导系统可以击落更多巡航导弹、短程弹道导弹和飞机。公司新闻1、特斯拉计划投资逾7亿美元扩建得州工厂据报道，未来几周，特斯拉位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀的电动汽车工厂的规模将开始扩大。当地时间1月9日，特斯拉在提交给得克萨斯州许可和监督管理部（TDLR）的文件中称，计划投资7.17亿美元，最早从本月底开始，在奥斯汀工厂再建造四座新大楼，总建筑面积达到140万平方英尺。2、3B家居爆出巨额亏损破产在即美国家居零售巨头3B家居(Bed Bath & Beyond)于周二公布了3.93亿美元的巨额亏损，这家企业的首席执行官承认，其扭亏为盈计划未能实现。因假日促销未达预期，导致该公司可能随时申请破产。由于供应商要求更快地付款，这家家居用品销售商一直在努力应对现金储备不断减少的问题。此外，随着经济放缓，家居用品和装饰行业的销售也受到了冲击。据知情人士透露，该公司正处于计划申请第11章破产保护的早期阶段，申请破产保护可能会在几周内完成。3、深入布局虚拟电厂行业：美国顶级车企跨界牵手谷歌展开合作当地时间周二，通用汽车、福特汽车、谷歌等公司表示，他们将共同努力制定标准，以拓展虚拟电厂 (VPP) 的市场。除了通用、福特和谷歌，还有太阳能生产商SunPower、Sunrun等也加入了这项名为“虚拟电厂合作伙伴关系”（VP3）的倡议，该倡议将由能源转型非营利组织RMI主持，目标是制定VPP系统使用的规则。4、亚马逊拓展Buy with Prime服务：从自营到覆盖所有卖家据报道，亚马逊1月10日宣布，将拓展其“Buy with Prime”服务，在月底之前涵盖到美国所有卖家。亚马逊去年4月首次推出了“Buy with Prime”服务，允许商家在他们自家网站上的产品上添加Prime徽章。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621799053,"gmtCreate":1672618743774,"gmtModify":1676538711041,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621799053","repostId":"2300110067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2300110067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672603620,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2300110067?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-02 04:07","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | S&P's record performance in energy industry builds on the decline of other industries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2300110067","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业，今年迄今涨幅达58%；这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。　　道琼斯市场数据显示，标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年，超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。　　因此，“可以理解，石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司，但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的，”他继续说道。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. S&P's record performance in the energy industry builds on the decline of other industries</b><b>2. The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of housing price volatility after World War II</b><b>3. The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has been alleviated</b><b>4. 53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b><b>5. U.S. companies paid record Dividend against the backdrop of economic downturn</b><b>6. Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13860f7c9bbf62366a6b409bbdaded80\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>S&P's energy sector record results build on decline in other sectors</b></p><p>Not only was the energy sector the S&P 500's best performer in 2022, with a year-to-date gain of 58%; It is also the only division of the benchmark company that did not lose money at the same time.</p><p>The S&P 500 Energy Index is having its best year on record, surpassing its previous high of 47.74%, according to Dow Jones market data. The record gains also mark the first time this year that just one sector has risen in the S&P 500.</p><p>Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York, said in an interview that surging energy prices have helped fuel inflation and the cost of living in part as the economy recovers from the pandemic much faster than oil producers expected.</p><p>As a result, \"oil and gas companies are understandably the outperformers in 2022, but their success is built on the decline of other industries,\" he continued. \"The performance of energy companies at S&P is intrinsically tied to oil and gas prices, and while they enjoyed a record year, most other companies experienced a very different experience.\"</p><p>Overall, the S&P 500 fell about 20% year over year and closed its worst since 2008, while benchmark sectors such as industrials, healthcare, finance and materials were all below the red line over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility after World War II</b></p><p>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility since World War II.</p><p>Roschelle, a US real estate expert, attributed the sharp correction to Americans' uncertainty about the market and their \"unease\" about the economy. And said that if the U.S. starts to see a rise in unemployment, it could lead to a \"halving\" of the housing market.</p><p>Roschelle explained: \"There are two things that can cause home prices to go in the opposite direction, which means they are going up. One thing is for sure. When you don't know if interest rates are going to go up. I think that's exactly what drives a lot of people to give up on buying because they don't know if interest rates are going to be cheaper in two months and they just wait.\"</p><p>\"The other thing is the unease about the economy. I think that's going to happen if we start to see layoffs and the unemployment rate starts to rise. I think that could lead to a big decline in the housing market.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbef45b9bd5beb3acce42a26c537456d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has eased</b></p><p>U.S. SMB owners say it's getting easier to hire workers and keep them, and they hope it's a sign that their worst labor problems are behind them.</p><p>The U.S. job market has been on edge. However, December was the first time since July that more small business owners said in a survey that they found it easier to find workers.</p><p>Some entrepreneurs say measures such as raising wages, increasing apprenticeship schemes and rewriting job ads are starting to pay off. Others said the number of applicants increased as competitors stopped hiring or began cutting jobs.</p><p>UnaliWear Inc., a company that makes medical watches, struggled to retain new employees this summer. Jean-Anne Booth, chief executive of 17 employees, said: \"They're going to put us in a bind.\" \"They'll take the job and never show up again in a week.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80478a79b8e393ada3de3b16c6addb3a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b></p><p>Many Americans who plan to set goals for the new year intend to set more cautious financial goals, according to a recent survey.</p><p>The survey, released Wednesday, found that 50% of consumers said they intend to make plans for the coming year, and of those who plan to do so, 53% said their focus will be on finances, up 6% year-over-year.</p><p>For those who set financial goals, overall, saving more money was the most commonly cited 57%. They were followed by 48% who said they wanted to track their spending harder and 43% who wanted to keep their spending under control overall, the survey found. Other popular financial goals include: reducing spending on discretionary items: 42%, and repaying loans: 40%.</p><p>Inflation has prompted more than half of respondents to set money-centric targets, the survey found. The possibility of the economy slipping into a recession has also prompted consumers to prioritize their finances, with 48% expressing concern.</p><p>Although inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in November, inflation remained hovering at painfully high levels. In November, the index rose 0.1% from the previous month and 7.1% year-over-year.</p><p>Americans are also concerned that a Fed rate hike could trigger a recession. In 2022, the central bank recorded four consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points and the most recent rate hike of 50 basis points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c96b95b55bdf988f06010e0042ba2e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. companies paid record Dividend amid downturn</b></p><p>S&P 500 companies have spent records on Dividend this year, and despite the slowdown, the trend is expected to continue in 2023 as more companies that suspended or cut their Dividend early in the pandemic resume payouts.</p><p>Dividend allocated by companies in the S&P 500 Index was estimated to be $561 billion in 2022, up from $511.2 billion in 2021 and the highest amount on record, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, owned by S&P Global Inc.</p><p>Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said dividend payouts are on track for another record high in 2023 as investors demand companies continue to improve returns. \"There's still a lot of cash on the company's balance sheet,\" Silverblatt said. \"You have to pull back significantly to get to record levels (in 2023).\"</p><p>While businesses say they are less optimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy as interest rates keep rising and inflation is still rising, cutting or removing Dividend is often a last resort because doing so worries investors. Many companies say they are confident they have enough cash flow to cover payroll, capital investments and other expenses, and at least in the near future, they can reward shareholders with dividends.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbbe22aca21bf37de8f8424602ede0d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b></p><p>The Securities Commission of the Bahamas said on Thursday that it seized all digital assets controlled by FTX's Bahamian subsidiary FTX digital Markets Ltd, amounting to more than $3.5 billion, following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange.</p><p>The funds were transferred to digital wallets under FTX's exclusive control on Nov. 12, the day after FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, after assets under FTXDM's control \"presented a significant risk of imminent dissipation,\" according to information provided by founder Sam Bankman Fried about a cyberattack on the system, the regulator said in a press release.</p><p>The SCB said the funds were held \"on an interim basis\" while awaiting directions from the Bahamas Supreme Court as to whether the assets should be \"delivered to the customers and creditors who own them\" or to the Joint Provisional Liquidators (JPL) appointed by the court to set aside the FTXDM.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | S&P's record performance in energy industry builds on the decline of other industries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | S&P's record performance in energy industry builds on the decline of other industries\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-02 04:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. S&P's record performance in the energy industry builds on the decline of other industries</b><b>2. The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of housing price volatility after World War II</b><b>3. The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has been alleviated</b><b>4. 53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b><b>5. U.S. companies paid record Dividend against the backdrop of economic downturn</b><b>6. Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13860f7c9bbf62366a6b409bbdaded80\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>S&P's energy sector record results build on decline in other sectors</b></p><p>Not only was the energy sector the S&P 500's best performer in 2022, with a year-to-date gain of 58%; It is also the only division of the benchmark company that did not lose money at the same time.</p><p>The S&P 500 Energy Index is having its best year on record, surpassing its previous high of 47.74%, according to Dow Jones market data. The record gains also mark the first time this year that just one sector has risen in the S&P 500.</p><p>Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York, said in an interview that surging energy prices have helped fuel inflation and the cost of living in part as the economy recovers from the pandemic much faster than oil producers expected.</p><p>As a result, \"oil and gas companies are understandably the outperformers in 2022, but their success is built on the decline of other industries,\" he continued. \"The performance of energy companies at S&P is intrinsically tied to oil and gas prices, and while they enjoyed a record year, most other companies experienced a very different experience.\"</p><p>Overall, the S&P 500 fell about 20% year over year and closed its worst since 2008, while benchmark sectors such as industrials, healthcare, finance and materials were all below the red line over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility after World War II</b></p><p>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second biggest period of home price volatility since World War II.</p><p>Roschelle, a US real estate expert, attributed the sharp correction to Americans' uncertainty about the market and their \"unease\" about the economy. And said that if the U.S. starts to see a rise in unemployment, it could lead to a \"halving\" of the housing market.</p><p>Roschelle explained: \"There are two things that can cause home prices to go in the opposite direction, which means they are going up. One thing is for sure. When you don't know if interest rates are going to go up. I think that's exactly what drives a lot of people to give up on buying because they don't know if interest rates are going to be cheaper in two months and they just wait.\"</p><p>\"The other thing is the unease about the economy. I think that's going to happen if we start to see layoffs and the unemployment rate starts to rise. I think that could lead to a big decline in the housing market.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbef45b9bd5beb3acce42a26c537456d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has eased</b></p><p>U.S. SMB owners say it's getting easier to hire workers and keep them, and they hope it's a sign that their worst labor problems are behind them.</p><p>The U.S. job market has been on edge. However, December was the first time since July that more small business owners said in a survey that they found it easier to find workers.</p><p>Some entrepreneurs say measures such as raising wages, increasing apprenticeship schemes and rewriting job ads are starting to pay off. Others said the number of applicants increased as competitors stopped hiring or began cutting jobs.</p><p>UnaliWear Inc., a company that makes medical watches, struggled to retain new employees this summer. Jean-Anne Booth, chief executive of 17 employees, said: \"They're going to put us in a bind.\" \"They'll take the job and never show up again in a week.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80478a79b8e393ada3de3b16c6addb3a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more 'tight'</b></p><p>Many Americans who plan to set goals for the new year intend to set more cautious financial goals, according to a recent survey.</p><p>The survey, released Wednesday, found that 50% of consumers said they intend to make plans for the coming year, and of those who plan to do so, 53% said their focus will be on finances, up 6% year-over-year.</p><p>For those who set financial goals, overall, saving more money was the most commonly cited 57%. They were followed by 48% who said they wanted to track their spending harder and 43% who wanted to keep their spending under control overall, the survey found. Other popular financial goals include: reducing spending on discretionary items: 42%, and repaying loans: 40%.</p><p>Inflation has prompted more than half of respondents to set money-centric targets, the survey found. The possibility of the economy slipping into a recession has also prompted consumers to prioritize their finances, with 48% expressing concern.</p><p>Although inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in November, inflation remained hovering at painfully high levels. In November, the index rose 0.1% from the previous month and 7.1% year-over-year.</p><p>Americans are also concerned that a Fed rate hike could trigger a recession. In 2022, the central bank recorded four consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points and the most recent rate hike of 50 basis points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c96b95b55bdf988f06010e0042ba2e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. companies paid record Dividend amid downturn</b></p><p>S&P 500 companies have spent records on Dividend this year, and despite the slowdown, the trend is expected to continue in 2023 as more companies that suspended or cut their Dividend early in the pandemic resume payouts.</p><p>Dividend allocated by companies in the S&P 500 Index was estimated to be $561 billion in 2022, up from $511.2 billion in 2021 and the highest amount on record, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, owned by S&P Global Inc.</p><p>Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said dividend payouts are on track for another record high in 2023 as investors demand companies continue to improve returns. \"There's still a lot of cash on the company's balance sheet,\" Silverblatt said. \"You have to pull back significantly to get to record levels (in 2023).\"</p><p>While businesses say they are less optimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy as interest rates keep rising and inflation is still rising, cutting or removing Dividend is often a last resort because doing so worries investors. Many companies say they are confident they have enough cash flow to cover payroll, capital investments and other expenses, and at least in the near future, they can reward shareholders with dividends.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbbe22aca21bf37de8f8424602ede0d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b></p><p>The Securities Commission of the Bahamas said on Thursday that it seized all digital assets controlled by FTX's Bahamian subsidiary FTX digital Markets Ltd, amounting to more than $3.5 billion, following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange.</p><p>The funds were transferred to digital wallets under FTX's exclusive control on Nov. 12, the day after FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, after assets under FTXDM's control \"presented a significant risk of imminent dissipation,\" according to information provided by founder Sam Bankman Fried about a cyberattack on the system, the regulator said in a press release.</p><p>The SCB said the funds were held \"on an interim basis\" while awaiting directions from the Bahamas Supreme Court as to whether the assets should be \"delivered to the customers and creditors who own them\" or to the Joint Provisional Liquidators (JPL) appointed by the court to set aside the FTXDM.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-02/doc-imxytshr2257354.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-02/doc-imxytshr2257354.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2300110067","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、标普能源行业创纪录的业绩建立在其他行业的衰落之上2、美国房市正经历二战后第二大房价波动期3、美国中小企业面临的“用工难题”有所缓解4、53%的美国消费者表示2023年将更加“紧缩银根”5、经济低迷背景下美国公司支付了创纪录的股息6、巴哈马证券委员会扣押35亿美元的FTX资产标普能源行业创纪录的业绩建立在其他行业的衰落之上能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业，今年迄今涨幅达58%；这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。道琼斯市场数据显示，标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年，超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。OANDA驻纽约的高级市场分析师克雷格·厄拉姆（Craig Erlam）在接受采访时表示，随着经济从大流行中复苏的速度远快于石油生产商的预期，能源价格飙升在一定程度上助长了通货膨胀和生活成本。因此，“可以理解，石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司，但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的，”他继续说道。“能源公司在标准普尔的表现与石油和天然气价格有着内在的联系，尽管他们享受了创纪录的一年，但其他大多数公司的经历却截然不同。”总体而言，标准普尔500指数同比下跌约20%，并创下2008年以来的最差收市，而同期工业、医疗、金融和材料等基准行业均低于红线。美国房市正经历二战后第二大房价波动期美国住房市场正在经历二战后第二大房价波动期。美房产专家Roschelle将这一大幅调整归因于美国人对市场的不确定性以及他们对经济的“不安”。并表示，如果美国开始出现失业率上升，这可能会导致房地产市场“腰斩”。Roschelle解释道：“有两件事会导致房价向相反的方向发展，这意味着房价正在上涨。一件事是肯定的。当你不知道利率是否会上涨时。我认为这正是促使很多人放弃购买的原因，因为他们不知道两个月后利率是否会更便宜，他们只会等待。”“另一件事是对经济的不安。我认为，如果我们开始看到裁员，失业率开始上升，就会出现这种情况。我认为这可能会导致房地产市场大幅下滑。”美国中小企业面临的“用工难题”有所缓解美国中小企业主表示，雇佣工人并留住他们变得越来越容易，他们希望这是一个迹象，表明他们最严重的劳动问题已经过去。美国就业市场一直处于紧张状态。然而，12月是自7月以来的第一次，更多的小企业主在一项调查中表示，他们发现找工人更容易了。一些企业家表示，提高工资、增加学徒计划和改写招聘广告等措施开始见效。另一些人则表示，随着竞争对手停止招聘或开始裁员，申请者人数有所增加。UnaliWear股份有限公司（UnaliWearInc．）是一家生产医用手表的公司，今年夏天，该公司努力留住新员工。拥有17名员工的首席执行官让·安妮·布斯（Jean-Anne Booth）表示：“他们会让我们陷入困境。”。“他们会接受这份工作，一周后再也不会出现。”53%的美国消费者表示2023年将更加“紧缩银根”最近的一项调查显示，许多计划为新的一年设定目标的美国人打算制定更为谨慎的财务目标。周三发布的这项调查发现，50%的消费者表示他们打算为来年制定计划，在计划这样做的人中，53%的人表示他们的重点将放在财务上，同比增长6%。对于那些设定财务目标的人来说，总的来说，储蓄更多的钱是最常被引用的57%。调查发现，紧随其后的是48%的人表示他们希望更加努力地跟踪自己的支出，43%的人希望总体上控制自己的支出。其他受欢迎的财务目标包括：减少非必需品支出：42%，偿还贷款：40%。调查发现，通货膨胀促使超过一半的受访者设定了以货币为中心的目标。经济陷入衰退的可能性也促使消费者优先考虑财务问题，48%的人表示担忧。尽管11月消费者价格指数（Consumer Price Index）衡量的通胀有所下降，但通胀仍徘徊在令人痛苦的高位。11月，该指数较上月上涨0.1%，同比上涨7.1%。美国人还担心美联储加息可能引发经济衰退。2022年，央行连续四次加息75个基点，最近一次加息50个基点。经济低迷背景下美国公司支付了创纪录的股息标准普尔500指数（S&P 500）公司今年在股息上的支出创纪录，尽管经济放缓，但预计这一趋势将在2023年继续，因为更多在疫情早期暂停或削减股息的公司将恢复派息。根据标准普尔全球股份有限公司旗下的标准普尔道琼斯指数（S&P Dow Jones Indices）的数据，标准普尔500指数成份股公司2022年分配的股息估计为5610亿美元，高于2021的5112亿美元，是有记录以来的最高金额。标普道琼斯指数（S&P Dow Jones Indices）高级指数分析师霍华德·西尔弗布拉特（Howard Silverblatt）表示，随着投资者要求公司继续提高回报率，2023年股息支出有望再创新高。西尔弗布拉特表示：“公司资产负债表上仍有大量现金。”。“你必须大幅回调，才能（在2023年）达到创纪录的水平。”尽管企业表示，随着利率不断上升，通货膨胀仍在上升，他们对美国经济前景不太乐观，但削减或取消股息通常是最后的手段，因为这样做会让投资者感到担忧。许多公司表示，他们有信心有足够的现金流来支付工资、资本投资和其他支出，至少在不久的将来，他们可以通过派息来回报股东。巴哈马证券委员会扣押35亿美元的FTX资产巴哈马证券委员会（Securities Commission of Bahamas）周四表示，该机构在加密货币交易所（cryptocurrency exchange）倒闭后，查封了FTX旗下巴哈马子公司FTX digital Markets有限公司控制的所有数字资产，金额超过35亿美元。监管机构在一份新闻稿中表示，11月12日，即FTX申请第11章破产的第二天，这些资金被转移到其独家控制的数字钱包中，此前，根据创始人萨姆·班克曼·弗里德（Sam Bankman Fried）提供的有关系统网络攻击的信息，FTXDM控制下的资产“存在即将消散的重大风险”。SCB表示，这些资金是“临时”持有的，同时等待巴哈马最高法院的指示，决定是否应将这些资产“交付给拥有这些资产的客户和债权人”，或交付给法院指定的负责撤销FTXDM的联合临时清算人（JPL）。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621274608,"gmtCreate":1672365476106,"gmtModify":1676538679382,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4125376693652892","idStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621274608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}