LuckyB personal page - To The Moon

LuckyB

LuckyB

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2022-01-29

Wow

Apple's Stock Racks up Biggest One-day Gain since July 2020

2023-01-15

Okokokokokokokokokok

2022-10-28

😀

Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services

2022-06-28

[smile]

Better Stock-Split Buy: Alphabet Or Tesla?

2022-06-14

[smile]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-04-18

[smile]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-06-29

[smile]

Tesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell

2022-06-26

[smile]

7 Stocks to Buy Right Now

2022-03-29

Four screenshot with 3same charm @LuckyLee

@TigerEvents:Tiger Friday: What Are Your Lucky Charms in Investing?

2023-01-10

Ok

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. 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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259829284352248,"gmtCreate":1704445399505,"gmtModify":1704445403533,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101188939263620","authorIdStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259829284352248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259387000131816,"gmtCreate":1704339379801,"gmtModify":1704339383509,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101188939263620","authorIdStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","listText":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259387000131816","repostId":"248312805347464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":248312805347464,"gmtCreate":1701660745864,"gmtModify":1703059991513,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct &amp; Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259386951811312,"gmtCreate":1704339369161,"gmtModify":1704339372477,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101188939263620","authorIdStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Miser] [Miser] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259386951811312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9099477440,"gmtCreate":1643419827893,"gmtModify":1676533818670,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099477440","repostId":"1107503892","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107503892","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1643415875,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107503892?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-29 08:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple's Stock Racks up Biggest One-day Gain since July 2020","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107503892","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Apple Inc'sshares rallied nearly 7% on Friday in its biggest one-day percentage jump in ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple Inc&#39;s</a>shares rallied nearly 7% on Friday in its biggest one-day percentage jump in a year and a half after the iPhone maker reported blockbuster results and teased its metaverse ambitions.</p><p>The Cupertino, California company&#39;s gain reduced some of the losses it has suffered in recent weeks during a broad selloff in growth and technology stocks.</p><p>The world&#39;s largest company by market value raked in sales of nearly $124 billion and profit of $34 billion, showcasing its ability to navigate a global supply crunch during the crucial holiday quarter.read more</p><p>&#34;Apple is known for its supply-chain prowess and many wonder about the actions Apple has taken and will take to better position itself for this calendar year,&#34; Third Bridge analyst Scott Kessler said.</p><p>Apple also teased its metaverse ambitions as Chief Executive Tim Cook talked of the companyinvesting in the expansionof its library of 14,000 augmented reality apps, prompting strong investor response.</p><p>At least 11 brokerages raised their price targets for the stock, bringing the median price target to $188.5, according to Refinitiv data. The stock ended Friday at $170.33.</p><p>With the Federal Reserve preparing to raise U.S. interest rates, Apple&#39;s stock has been under pressure this year from a tech sector selloff, which also hit giants like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet Inc</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corp</a>.</p><p>Following its quarterly report, Apple on Friday was the top contributor to a rally in the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)and Nasdaq(.IXIC).</p><p>Apple&#39;s stock remains down 4% so far in 2022.</p><p>&#34;Still a lot of uncertainty about the tech sector, which remains very expensive and with the Fed overhang of possible further hawkish surprises,&#34; said Andrea Cicione, head of strategy at TS Lombard.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple's Stock Racks up Biggest One-day Gain since July 2020</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple's Stock Racks up Biggest One-day Gain since July 2020\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-29 08:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/apple-shares-hold-up-tech-rout-strong-results-metaverse-tease-2022-01-28/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - Apple Inc'sshares rallied nearly 7% on Friday in its biggest one-day percentage jump in a year and a half after the iPhone maker reported blockbuster results and teased its metaverse ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/apple-shares-hold-up-tech-rout-strong-results-metaverse-tease-2022-01-28/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/apple-shares-hold-up-tech-rout-strong-results-metaverse-tease-2022-01-28/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107503892","content_text":"(Reuters) - Apple Inc'sshares rallied nearly 7% on Friday in its biggest one-day percentage jump in a year and a half after the iPhone maker reported blockbuster results and teased its metaverse ambitions.The Cupertino, California company's gain reduced some of the losses it has suffered in recent weeks during a broad selloff in growth and technology stocks.The world's largest company by market value raked in sales of nearly $124 billion and profit of $34 billion, showcasing its ability to navigate a global supply crunch during the crucial holiday quarter.read more\"Apple is known for its supply-chain prowess and many wonder about the actions Apple has taken and will take to better position itself for this calendar year,\" Third Bridge analyst Scott Kessler said.Apple also teased its metaverse ambitions as Chief Executive Tim Cook talked of the companyinvesting in the expansionof its library of 14,000 augmented reality apps, prompting strong investor response.At least 11 brokerages raised their price targets for the stock, bringing the median price target to $188.5, according to Refinitiv data. The stock ended Friday at $170.33.With the Federal Reserve preparing to raise U.S. interest rates, Apple's stock has been under pressure this year from a tech sector selloff, which also hit giants like Alphabet Inc and Microsoft Corp.Following its quarterly report, Apple on Friday was the top contributor to a rally in the S&P 500(.SPX)and Nasdaq(.IXIC).Apple's stock remains down 4% so far in 2022.\"Still a lot of uncertainty about the tech sector, which remains very expensive and with the Fed overhang of possible further hawkish surprises,\" said Andrea Cicione, head of strategy at TS Lombard.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958578208,"gmtCreate":1673790344405,"gmtModify":1676538885675,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okokokokokokokokokok","listText":"Okokokokokokokokokok","text":"Okokokokokokokokokok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958578208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986607139,"gmtCreate":1666934070921,"gmtModify":1676537834515,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😀","listText":"😀","text":"😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986607139","repostId":"1100216928","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100216928","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666929303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100216928?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-28 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100216928","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what&#39;s to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.</li><li>The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.</li><li>Yet, the company&#39;s earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.</li><li>While Apple stock&#39;s outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.</li></ul><p>Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business&#39;s strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.</p><p>Apple&#39;s September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family&#39;s base model equivalents.</p><p>We believe Apple&#39;s resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple&#39;s prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.</p><p>Meanwhile, management&#39;s allusion to &#34;strength of [Apple&#39;s] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high&#34; kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors&#39; concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.</p><p>But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple&#39;s sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services&#39; margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.</p><p>While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year&#39;s selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more &#34;vulnerable&#34; to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business&#39; robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple&#39;s valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock&#39;s$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple&#39;s upbeat F4Q22 results and management&#39;s positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.</p><p><b>Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For It</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple&#39;s Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company&#39;s long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.</p><p>This is also music to investors&#39; ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.</p><blockquote>In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple&#39;s services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.</blockquote><blockquote>Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple&#39;s sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p>We see Services&#39; critical role in safeguarding Apple&#39;s bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company&#39;s recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment&#39;s momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.</p><p><b>Apple TV+</b></p><p>Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a &#34;cheaper&#34; alternative.</p><p>We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+&#39;s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was &#34;introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.&#34; But now, it has grown into an extensive library of &#34;award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,&#34; which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.</p><p>Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as &#34;Friday Night Baseball&#34; - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+&#39;s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max&#39;s ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+&#39;s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.</p><p><b>Apple Music</b></p><p>The monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify&#39;s (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.</p><p>The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service&#39;s already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify&#39;s (&gt;30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.</p><p>Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment&#39;s bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.</p><p><b>Apple One Bundle</b></p><p>The Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.</p><p>The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple&#39;s service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.</p><p>The pricing advantage in Apple&#39;s Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment&#39;s profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple&#39;s free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.</p><p><b>Near-Term Investment Risks to Consider</b></p><p><b>China Risks:</b> This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple&#39;s most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company&#39;s consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.</p><p>In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.</p><p>Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple&#39;s importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple&#39;s power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant&#39;s &#34;size and importance to suppliers&#34; was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.</p><p><b>Macro Risks:</b> FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company&#39;s massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple&#39;s upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.</p><p>In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.</p><p>Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple&#39;s pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple&#39;s rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.</p><p><b>Lengthening Product Cycle Risks:</b> Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment&#39;s growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple&#39;s transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company&#39;s potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.</p><blockquote>Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple&#39;s services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple&#39;s iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: &#34;Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission&#34;</blockquote><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Market sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for &#34;nearly a fifth&#34; of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).</p><p>While Apple&#39;s valuation remains lofty at &#34;23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,&#34; which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company&#39;s fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple A Buy After FQ4 2022 Earnings? Keep Your Eyes On Services\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-28 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4550088-is-apple-a-buy-after-f4q22-earnings-keep-your-eyes-on-services","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100216928","content_text":"SummaryApple has been a closely watched stock this earnings season as investors look to the consumer bellwether for hints of what's to come amid mounting macro uncertainties.The company posted upbeat third quarter results, mixed with tempered growth in core iPhone and Services sales.Yet, the company's earnings beat and sustained 70%+ margins in Services despite lighter-than-expected growth continue to underscore the critical role of the segment for Apple.While Apple stock's outperformance this year compared to the broader market and peers potentially increases its vulnerability to further volatility, its robust fundamentals continue to support the $3 trillion thesis.Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has long been watched as the bellwether for consumer strength amid rising recession risks in recent months, and its latest resilience demonstrated in the September quarter with a double beat, paired with positive commentary on the business's strengths, sets a positive tone for fiscal 2023 despite looming macro uncertainties.Apple's September-quarter results suggest that affluent spend on premium products remains resilient, despite risks of overall consumer confidence deterioration in the near term with buckling budgets amid rising interest rates and inflation. This is further corroborated by stronger iPhone 14 Pro model sales compared with relatively lackluster take-rates on the new smartphone family's base model equivalents.We believe Apple's resilience demonstrated in the September quarter is also a result of prudent business management imposed at the decision-making level. This includes pulling forward the iPhone 14 launch to improve fiscal 2022 performance while allowing Apple to take advantage of earlier-than-expected holiday-season shopping trends this year as consumers spread out spending habits as budgets tighten amid an inflationary environment. Time and again, the value of Apple's prudent management at the decision-making level has shone through, playing a critical role in mitigating some of the impact from worsening consumer weakness observed in recent months that could have led to softer fundamentals.Meanwhile, management's allusion to \"strength of [Apple's] ecosystem, unmatched customer loyalty, and [an] active installed base of devices [reaching] a new all-time high\" kicks off fiscal 2023 with a strong positive note, underscoring the value of its pervasive ecosystem of high-demand hardware and complementary services that have become increasingly entwined with many aspects of daily personal settings, big and small. It is also consistent with rising investors' concerns about the impact of China - a critical market for Apple that showed signs of cracking after the company unleashed a rare round of discounts to attract demand over the summer.But sustained growth in the higher-margin Services segment continues to demonstrate the value of Apple's sprawling influence over the consumer end-market. This is further corroborated by Apple's earnings beat, underscoring the strength of Services' margins despite the tough consumer backdrop during the September quarter.While the stock has not lost as much of its value compared to its tech peers and the broader market amid this year's selloff, which raises concerns that it may become more \"vulnerable\" to further multiple contraction in the near-term given increasingly fragile market sentiment, we believe it will continue to fare better than most given the underlying business' robust fundamentals. Specifically, the robust momentum in Services maintained throughout the rising competition and deteriorating consumer sentiment in the third quarter continues to support its potential in ultimately accounting for half of Apple's valuation over the longer term, which reinforces the stock's$3 trillion thesis. Paired with Apple's upbeat F4Q22 results and management's positive tone on the forward prospects despite looming macro challenges, any near-term market volatility would likely continue to create compelling entry points for capitalizing on longer-term upsides.Profitable Growth is Key - And Services is Here For ItApple's Services segment demonstrated slower-than-expected but sustained growth in the September quarter, with sales increasing 5% y/y (inclusive of FX headwinds) and margins maintaining in the 70%-range despite inflationary pressures and consumer weakness. As discussed in our previous coverage on the stock, Apple's Services segment is becoming increasingly core to the company's long-term growth and profitability trajectory, especially with improved technological advancements in recent years and overall consumer weakness in the near-term lengthening upgrade cycles on devices.This is also music to investors' ears, as preference migrates from growth to profitability amid a souring macroeconomic outlook.In 2017, Apple - under the leadership of Tim Cook - vowed todoubleits services revenue by 2020. Since then, the segment has delivered with a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of more than 20%, boasting close to $68.5 billion in annual revenues during fiscal 2021, and approaching $80 billion in the current fiscal year ending this week. Earlier this year, Wall Street predicted that Apple's services segment amounts to a$1.5 trillionvalue on its own, similar to our own predictions which will be discussed in further detail below.Although services sales growth has decelerated from its heights last year due to the moderation in demand from pulled-forward subscriptions during the pandemic era alongside broad-based macro weakness, the segment continues to boast robust double-digit expansion, reinforcing the bullish thesis surrounding Apple's sustained long-term growth and profitability trajectory.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"We see Services' critical role in safeguarding Apple's bottom line continuing into the upcoming holiday season, despite light growth and a slight miss as expected during the fiscal fourth quarter. We see our previously discussed base case where Services will continue to lead growth alongside hardware sales as a highly likely scenario as Apple navigates through macro challenges in the near term. And the company's recent decision to raise prices on some of its core Services offerings - including Apple TV+, Apple Music and the Apple One bundle - will likely give the segment's momentum another leg up heading into fiscal 2023, as opposed to weighing further on weakening consumer sentiment since Apple has a strong value proposition to do so.Apple TV+Apple raised the monthly Apple TV+ subscription rate from $4.99 to $6.99, and annual subscription rate from $49 to $69, which went into effect earlier this week. While the price hike for Apple TV+ is not small - a whopping 40%+ - it remains competitive relative to rival streaming platforms spanning Netflix(NFLX), Disney+(DIS), and HBO Max(WBD), to name a few, including their respective ad-supported tiers that are / will be marketed as a \"cheaper\" alternative.We also believe Apple has the right value proposition for jacking up Apple TV+'s pricing, which will effectively help reduce potential churn in the aftermath. Specifically, Apple TV+ was \"introduced at a very low price because it started with just a few shows and movies.\" But now, it has grown into an extensive library of \"award-winning and broadly acclaimed series, feature films, documentaries, and kids and family entertainment,\" which is further corroborated by its rapidly rising global market share of more than 6%, putting rival platforms on notice.Yet, at the new price tag of $6.99 per month, Apple TV+ - which is currently ad-free and offers unlimited access to its entire catalogue of scripted and non-scripted content, alongside live sporting events such as \"Friday Night Baseball\" - the streaming platform still beats equivalents in the pricing segment. This includes Netflix and Disney+'s upcoming ad-supported tier priced at $6.99 and $7.99 per month, respectively, and HBO Max's ad-supported tier priced at $10 per month, with some not even offering access to live sporting events, which is a key demand driver in streaming that Apple TV+ is benefiting from. This continues to underscore Apple TV+'s pricing advantage amid weakening consumer sentiment, with its latest price hike still more competitive than similarly-priced offerings by peers, while contributing meaningfully to the Services segment profit margins over the longer term.Apple MusicThe monthly subscription rate for Apple Music will increase from $9.99 to $10.99 for individuals, and the annual subscription rate from $99 to $109. This would effectively make the service more expensive than key rival Spotify's (SPOT) equivalent which is currently priced at $9.99 per month still.The price hike was implemented to compensate for increasing content licensing costs for creators. Although the price increase for Apple Music subscriptions may seem like it will be another blow to the service's already laggard market share(~15%) compared to Spotify's (>30%), we believe it will give Apple a leg up from a business and valuation perspective.Specifically, Spotify currently reels from narrowing profit margins due to the same cost increases identified by Apple, underscoring that similar price hikes will likely be coming soon anyway. As such, we view the increase to Apple Music prices as a strategic move that will not only contribute positively to the Services segment's bottom line but also without the risks of material churn despite consumer weakness.Apple One BundleThe Apple One bundle - which allows up to six service subscriptions at a discounted price - has also implemented price increases across all of its variants offered. The standard bundle (individual subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with 50GB storage) will have its monthly subscription rate increase from $14.95 to $16.95; family bundle (five-people subscription for Apple Music, TV+, Arcade, and iCloud+ with total 200GB storage) from $19.95 to $22.95; and Premier bundle (same as family bundle, plus News+ and Fitness+) from $29.95 to $32.95.The Apple One bundle has been a key contributor to overall growth observed in Apple's service subscription volumes and overall traction since its introduction in fiscal 2021, attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have subscribed to without the bundle discount. The bundle discount - even after the recent price increase - adds another positive touch to the service-specific value propositions for subscribers as discussed in the earlier section, which we view as a critical factor to mitigating risks of churn, while further bolstering Services growth.The pricing advantage in Apple's Services segment is expected to contribute positively towards its longer-term valuation of about $1.5 trillion alone. Not only would it further improve the segment's profit margins - an increasingly prominent driver of Apple's free cash flows - but also help bolster the funding needed to support further expansion into additional services and upgrades that will aid penetration into a broader subscriber base over the longer term.Near-Term Investment Risks to ConsiderChina Risks: This has accordingly introduced demand risks to one of Apple's most core operating regions - China currently accounts of about a fifth of the company's consolidated sales and a quarter of the consolidated income. Concerns of said demand risks are further corroborated by the rare sighting of a direct pricing discount on certain devices introduced over the summer in China. Even during seasonality promotions - like back-to-school, Black Friday, and/or holiday-season sales - Apple has hardly ever offered direct pricing discounts, opting for gift card rebates on bundle purchases and/or gift-with-purchases instead.In addition to demand risks, Apple also faces supply risks and geopolitical risks in the region.Yet, we believe Apple has a few levers to pull still that can compensate for the said risks. On the supply front, Apple's importance to suppliers worldwide gives it leverage needed to compensate for supply-risk-driven cost efficiencies. This is consistent with Apple's power in price negotiations with key suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), as well as previous observations that the tech giant's \"size and importance to suppliers\" was able to help it secure key components better than peers during the peak of supply shortages. Meanwhile, on the demand front, increasing momentum in Services as discussed in the foregoing analysis is expected to partially shield Apple from hardware demand risks in China within the foreseeable future, especially with robust market share gains observed across core operating regions like the U.S. and Europe.Macro Risks: FX and consumer slowdown are the biggest macro risks facing Apple today. FX risks are inevitable given the company's massive overseas operations amid a surging dollar environment as the Fed remains fixed on an aggressive rate hike trajectory to counter runaway inflation. And on the consumer slowdown front, Apple's upbeat showing for the September quarter also supports continued resilience relative to peers spanning PC/smartphone makers and service providers that have been losing market share.In our view, we believe Mac and iPad sales are most susceptible to the near-term consumer slowdown, despite better-than-expected performance in the fiscal fourth quarter. First, the segments have already benefited from pulled-forward demand in the pandemic era, meaning forward momentum will likely remain moderate, especially with the looming economic downturn. Second, lost sales driven by supply chain constraints (most prominent in iPad segment) will likely see some of it becoming permanent instead of delayed due to consumers dialing back on discretionary spending amid deteriorating economic conditions. Lastly, previous expectations for stronger commercial IT spending that have benefited enterprise demand for Apple devices will likely moderate as well as budgets pullback to brace for near-term macroeconomic uncertainties. Worsening market trends are also contributing to anticipated challenges on Mac and iPad demand within the foreseeable future - the latest tally of global PC shipments in the calendar third quarter showed an accelerated decline this year, falling 6.8% y/y in 1Q22, 15% y/y in 2Q22, and 20% y/y in 3Q22, with 4Q22 numbers expected to worsen as consumers shun big-ticket items due to weakening spending power.Yet, momentum in Services paired with Apple's pricing advantage as discussed in the foregoing analysis remains a key business strength that is expected to partially cushion some of the near-term impact on the macro-driven slowdown in product demand. Product upgrades, such as the latest introduction of a new Mac and iPad line-up retrofitted with next-generation Apple silicon, will likely help salvage product demand as well. This is further corroborated by Apple's rapid climb to the top, dethroning legacy PC makers like Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY), HP (HPE), and Dell (DELL) to become theindustry leader in the first half of the year.Lengthening Product Cycle Risks: Improving technology at Apple is also lengthening the upgrade cycle on its line-up of devices, which will potentially stagger the Products segment's growth outlook over the longer term. But Apple still has many levers to pull from a pricing and technology point-of-view to counter risks of growth slowdown due to lengthening product cycles in our opinion. For instance, Apple's transition to in-house designed silicon is a key advantage that will help attract demand stemming from both upgrades and switches and partially offset the growth slowdown in Products given their lengthened lifecycles. The company's potential introduction of a device subscription service would also drive improved economics for its Products segment over the longer term.Nonetheless, hardware sales are expected to imminently grow slower than Apple's services sales, given product revenue cycles are comparatively lengthier. For services, recurring revenues stemming from subscriptions come on a monthly or annual basis. But for products like iPhones and Macs, their lifecycles have grown from two years in the past to now aboutthreetofouryears and more than five years, respectively, thanks to continuous technological improvements. To put into perspective, the standard iPhone 14 starts at $799, which translates to about $266 in revenue per share if broken down based on a three-year lifespan. Comparatively, an annual subscription for the Apple One Bundle starts at [$203.40 per year (or $16.95 per month)], which is not too far off from the average annual revenue per iPhone, while boasting significantly more profitable margins. And while Apple's iPhone sales may be benefiting from broader industry tailwinds stemming from 5G transition, its large installed base is bound slow in growth based on the law of large numbers, signalling the double-digit multi-year CAGRs it once enjoyed are no more. It is no wonder that the company has been reportedly working on the launch of aproduct subscription modelto safeguard better economics over the longer term.Source: \"Apple Services Is On A Critical Mission\"Final ThoughtsMarket sentiment is becoming increasingly fragile, with many investors looking to the performance of large and mega caps - especially Apple - for hints on what forward consumer sentiment might look like and what they mean for the broader tech sector and the economy overall ahead of rising recession risks. This is especially true given Apple, along with its mega-cap peers spanning Alphabet(GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft(MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), account for \"nearly a fifth\" of the S&P 500's value today, or more than 30%of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (Apple alone is the largest influence, accounting for 15% of the weight of the Nasdaq 100).While Apple's valuation remains lofty at \"23x forward earnings, above both its long-term average and the market overall,\" which potentially exposes it to further volatility as market sentiment remains fragile over coming months in anticipation of a cascading economy, we believe its strong F4Q22 performance and positive tone heading into fiscal 2023 reinforces the company's fundamental strength. This means any market-driven volatility in the Apple stock over the near term will continue to create a compelling risk-reward opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046745515,"gmtCreate":1656392237238,"gmtModify":1676535820746,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9046745515","repostId":"2246723138","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246723138","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656389023,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246723138?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-28 12:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Stock-Split Buy: Alphabet Or Tesla?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246723138","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These titans will be splitting their stocks shortly. But which one will outperform in the long run?","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSStock splits are fun, but company performances will drive investor profits.The economy is top of mind as inflation is running at a 40-year high.Concerns and opportunities abound for these ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/27/better-stock-split-buy-alphabet-or-tesla/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Stock-Split Buy: Alphabet Or Tesla?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Stock-Split Buy: Alphabet Or Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-28 12:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/27/better-stock-split-buy-alphabet-or-tesla/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSStock splits are fun, but company performances will drive investor profits.The economy is top of mind as inflation is running at a 40-year high.Concerns and opportunities abound for these ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/27/better-stock-split-buy-alphabet-or-tesla/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","TSLA":"特斯拉","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/27/better-stock-split-buy-alphabet-or-tesla/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246723138","content_text":"KEY POINTSStock splits are fun, but company performances will drive investor profits.The economy is top of mind as inflation is running at a 40-year high.Concerns and opportunities abound for these two industry leaders.Stock splits generate a ton of excitement among investors. A stock split does not directly affect the value of an investor's holdings but opens up other opportunities. There is often a lot of stock-price movement around the announcement and split dates. But what about afterward? Once the excitement dies down, the stock will start trading on economics again. With this in mind, which of these juggernauts is the better long-term play?Alphabet, the parent company of Google, and Tesla are on the clock, with Alphabet's 20-for-1 split coming up on July 1 and Tesla's date still to be determined. Tesla will hold its shareholder meeting on August 4th when it is expected a 3-for-1 split will be approved. The execution of the split will likely follow shortly after. Based on recent prices, Alphabet will trade in the range of $115 per share and Tesla around $240 per share post-split. This could change drastically in today's topsy turvy market, of course.What is the outlook for Alphabet?Alphabet had a tremendous 2021 by nearly any measure. As shown below, sales and cash from operations rose 41% to $257.6 billion and $91.7 billion, respectively. And the company's diluted earnings per share (EPS) reached $112.20 on over 90% growth.DATA SOURCE: ALPHABET. CHART BY AUTHOR.The company followed up this performance with a strong first-quarter 2022 in which sales, cash from operations, and EPS increased year over year. But what about the future? With a potential recession around the corner, investors are rightly concerned that ad budgets will be cut, which could hurt Alphabet's results.Alphabet has a few aces up its sleeve to weather an economic slowdown. First, Google Search currently holds a market share of over 85%,according to Statista. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) believes it is a monopoly, but unless Congress passes comprehensive legislation, Alphabet will continue to dominate. This gives the company tremendous pricing power, which is critical to maintaining profitability.Alphabet also has two other fast-growing revenue streams in YouTube and the Google Cloud. YouTube revenues spiked 46% in 2021 partly due to people staying in more due to COVID-19. The growth slowed to 14% year over year in Q1 2022 as the pandemic waned, but the upward trend remains.Google Cloud may be the most important segment to watch moving forward. This segment competes with Amazon's Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft's Azure. Cloud computing is expected to continue its explosive growth in the foreseeable future. Sales for Google Cloud grew 47% in 2021 to $19.2 billion. The rub is that this segment isn't profitable, while AWS produces enormous operating profits for Amazon. If Alphabet can scale to profitability, it will be a giant boon for profits and shareholders.On the valuation front, Alphabet trades for its lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio since the beginning of 2019, as shown below.GOOG PE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.Even if the company experiences short-term headwinds, this price looks enticing for long-term investors.What is the outlook for Tesla?Let's face it, whatever we think of Tesla's valuation (it's high!) or outspoken CEO Elon Musk (he's polarizing!), the company's rise has been absolutely phenomenal. And shareholders have been richly rewarded. An investment of $10,000 in Tesla stock 10 years ago would be worth over $1 million today, while the same investment five years ago would be worth more than $95,000.There are positive and negative factors on the horizon for Tesla. Gas prices are shocking Americans at the pump. This could lead many to consider an electric vehicle maybe for the first time. Tesla is experiencing massive demand already, with many cars sold out until 2023.The big question is whether this demand can continue in a potential recession.Consumer sentiment is generally a leading indicator of upcoming consumer spending. As shown below, sentiment is not only lower than in March 2020, but it is far lower than even during the Great Recession. This is disturbing for any company that relies upon consumer spending.US INDEX OF CONSUMER SENTIMENT DATA BY YCHARTS.Competition is heating up. For years, Tesla has enjoyed an incredible first-mover advantage. Tesla was laser-focused on electric vehicles while other automakers scuffled along. That's changing quickly as traditional automakers invest billions in electrifying large parts of their fleets in the coming years.The final concern is the valuation. Tesla has a larger market cap than the following seven largest automakers combined. Tesla crushes most of these on growth and profitability, and investors have been willing to pay a premium on the stock for years. Still, caution is warranted with an economic storm on the horizon. Companies with high valuations may fare worse than others.Which has the stronger bull case?Alphabet has a few advantages over Tesla in an inflationary environment and with an economic slowdown likely. Alphabet relies on business spending while Tesla relies on consumers. Business spending may prove more durable because advertisers must continue to invest to grab limited consumer dollars. Due to inflation, Tesla also has to contend with rising costs for raw materials. One of Tesla's draws is its profitability, and its margins could be crimped. A manufacturing company will be more affected by this than a tech company.This all adds up to Alphabet stock being the better bet currently. That said, Tesla likely has a higher long-term ceiling but much more risk. Long-term investors could consider both stocks and weigh them according to their risk tolerance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9052534985,"gmtCreate":1655194074648,"gmtModify":1676535578820,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052534985","repostId":"1118010961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081491691,"gmtCreate":1650261264801,"gmtModify":1676534681618,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081491691","repostId":"2228379987","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042679832,"gmtCreate":1656473305226,"gmtModify":1676535836766,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042679832","repostId":"1165982577","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165982577","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656467732,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165982577?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-29 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165982577","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe view TSLA's product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimisti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We view TSLA&#39;s product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimistic lens. We think they are the top dog in all three categories relative to traditional auto OEMs.</li><li>We look at extended wait times on TSLA vehicles as a sign of high, continued demand for product, demand that could stretch into early next year.</li><li>Our pessimism comes from the idea of a growth cliff. Supply constraints and high demand have caused a massive uplift in wait times. A consumer downturn would reign in growth materially.</li><li>Massive ASP hikes will likely be enough to keep unit margins juiced for now, but underlying cost improvements need to accelerate when inflation returns to normal to keep margins steady. Until then, you could see TSLA&#39;s gross margins be materially higher than what would be considered steady-state.</li><li>Reiterating Sell rating. PT reduced from $875 to $545. Bear Case PT of $279. Bull Case PT of $1,085. R/r skews downward, hence our continued Sell rating.</li></ul><p>Our Tesla Pitch - Tesla Needs A &#39;Soft Landing&#39; (To Use Fed Speak) In Order to Sustain Growth Rates; If They Can&#39;t, The Stock Has Room to Negatively Re-rate</p><p>We&#39;ve been in the bull camp or at least neutral on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) since Q4 of 2018. That changed in January, as we called out market risk driving negative real returns in the stock.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12137b01489bb9223b3aec14de942d03\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>That was our call then. At the time the Fed was set to taper bond purchases at an accelerated rate, and rate hikes were likely on the horizon as inflation accelerated. We made the call in spite of our fundamental business optimism.</p><p>The call now is different. We still love the business, it&#39;s hard not to. The problem is we think growth is going to run into a wall, at least over the medium-term. If our call in January was a macro-market call, this call is more of a macro-economic call.</p><p>Consensus sell-side expectations are calling for EPS growth of ~79% and ~30% in &#39;22 and &#39;23. Expectations are calling for top-line growth of ~59% and ~33% in &#39;22 and &#39;23 from $85.64B to $114.39B.</p><p>These are high expectations against a high base. Now, if Tesla can navigate the long lead times on product mix before the macro environment overly-devolves, maybe they can navigate a soft-landing and the stock can stay stable. This is the pervasive &#39;Musk&#39; factor that has enabled Tesla to pull a rabbit out of the hat many-a-time.</p><p>This factor is our reason for caution and pessimism, but not outright taking a short position, at least not right now.</p><p><b>Core Thesis - As The Economy Slows, And Tesla Raises ASPs to Boost Margins &amp; Offset Inflation, New Order-flow Could Decelerate</b></p><p>The heading of our thesis seems pretty self-explanatory, but it&#39;s worth delving into each component of this a little deeper. At this point in time, our base case is that the US economy is already in a recession or will enter one this year. Economic productivity and growth are likely to slow from here, not speed up. Growth in labor and input costs is net-constrictive on the economy. We think Tesla is recognizing both of these factors, leading to massive price hikes to cushion margins.</p><p>They can do this for two reasons: (a.) a massive order backlog, and (b.) an incredibly strong brand. On the first note, Model Y LR lead times are six to nine months out. That is incredibly long and highlights one of two things: either (a.) Tesla is facing a massive surplus of demand, or (b.) supply is constrained. We think the real answer is both.</p><p>The secular theme of BEV adoption is in full-swing, and Tesla has the technology, the design-appeal, and the brand to capitalize on the shift in demand trends. And while debatable, some see high maintenance and gasoline prices have likely accelerated the value prop transition towards EVs somewhat.</p><p>Additionally, autos have been one of the primary verticals negatively impacted by disrupted supply chains. Component shortages, overseas shipping, factory closures etc. have disrupted Tesla and many other auto OEMs in getting new builds off production lines. We think with time, and with the ramp-up in Shanghai, Berlin, and Texas, Tesla&#39;s overall supply will increase, and this dynamic will fade a bit.</p><p>Nonetheless, tight supply resulting from mostly existential factors is allowing Tesla to lift prices and thus bolster margins, a dynamic that we question the long-term validity of.</p><p>We think that as interest rates rise and consumer spending weakens (or at least shifts), demand for big ticket items (like housing and autos) will slow materially. While Tesla can lean into their current order backlog to sustain deliveries, we question the ability of Tesla to refill this backlog over time if consumer-end trends are weakening. Simply put, where is the deliveries growth in $50K+ cars going to be when the consumer is backed against the wall?</p><p>This begs a few questions, how long will weak consumer trends in medium to luxury autos last? Additionally, how long before Tesla depletes its order backlog? What is the rate that this backlog refills? Will Tesla resort to price cuts (hurting unit margins) to generate incremental demand? These are all questions, questions that are difficult to answer with any degree of certainty.</p><p>When going long a name, and backing up a Buy rating, we need a degree of valuation support to reflect uncertainty.</p><p>If the economy slows, we question Tesla&#39;s ability to hit the aforementioned consensus revenue and earnings growth estimates, and even against those estimates, we question the valuation support you have. Tesla&#39;s trading at ~6.5x cons. &#39;23E sales, and ~45x cons. &#39;23E earnings.</p><p>We like the business, but are these multiples reflective of safety in the current environment? No. Too much uncertainty with too little valuation support gets us to where we are now.</p><p><b>Musk Knows This, Hence The Layoffs</b></p><p>Additionally, we think that management is well aware of these problems. Musk&#39;s &#39;bad feeling&#39; about the economy? The layoffs? A potential cost-cutting measure to support cash generation through a tougher time. Tesla isn&#39;t unique in laying off employees. If you&#39;ve been tracking the news, Big Tech in general has been finding reasons to reduce headcount.</p><p>We think fundamentally, management is planning ahead of the growth cliff by reducing headcount now, a move that we think will save money and agony over the medium term.</p><p><b>Long-Term Story Intact, But We Question Terminal Margins</b></p><p>Over the long haul, the story is still pretty clear on Tesla. We continue to believe they have the best product, technology, infrastructure, and brand in the BEV market. A BEV market that is still very early in its adoption curve, and a market Tesla is very early in fully capturing across the use-case spectrum (trucks, semis, compacts, etc.)</p><p>We think that as new order flow cools, and Tesla works through its existing backlog, investors will have to digest a period of materially slower revenue and deliveries growth. This is to be expected when you sell $50,000+ electric vehicles into a slower demand environment.</p><p>Over the long-haul, we continue to applaud Tesla&#39;s technology lead (particularly in manufacturing and cell tech, as well as cell-to-pack integration), solid brand (default name in BEVs), infrastructure (massive supercharging grid), and product design.</p><p>On the margin front, as a thought exercise however, we are slightly concerned. Based on prior work we have done, and work we have seen float around the sell-side and third-party shops, teardown analyses of your average Model 3 indicate that cost of manufacturing is ~$35K-~$36K per unit (prior to input cost inflation). While Tesla is able to sell at a ripe markup right now because of (a.) tight supply, (b.) the built-in excuse (to the consumer) of inflation, and (c.) a massive order backlog, we question the long-term strategic direction. Assuming Tesla cannot materially reduce cost per unit of manufacturing, would they maintain margins and sacrifice volume and thus deliveries and revenue growth, or reduce margins to &#39;normalized&#39; levels to pick up growth volume. Our bet would be on the latter, considering how mission-driven Musk &amp; Co. are on accelerating broader market adoption at least over the long-term. Over the short-term, we think Musk&#39;s recent strategic direction would emphasize a more defensive strategy.</p><p>We think to fuel mass market EV adopt, long-term, Tesla needs to move down market. Additionally, we think gross margins might have to come in as inflation comes in and the supply-demand dynamic rebalances.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>In terms of valuation, we think the stock is difficult to price. In the environment we are in, where the macro picture is uncertain and rates are rising at all durations of the yield curve, multiples are compressing pretty materially. When we explore what a base case valuation for the stock is, you have to keep in mind the uncertainty profile on the business right now: we don&#39;t know what steady-state gross margins are, we don&#39;t know where optionality stands (autonomy+energy in particular), and there&#39;s a lot of value creation already priced in.</p><p>It&#39;s hard to give reasonable estimates for out-year numbers because there are a lot of moving parts to juggle. We&#39;ll use the year 2030 as a basic reference number. What does 2030 BEV adoption look like relative to the overall auto market? What use cases (semis, pickups, etc.) are yet to be covered. What is Tesla&#39;s market share within BEVs? Terminal CapEx requirements?</p><p>It&#39;s a lot, and hard to predict reasonably.</p><p>For our part, we think the environment is fundamentally too uncertain. We&#39;re going to use average consensus estimates and the high and low estimates on the street to give investors a general valuation framework for what we would consider the reasonable base case, bull case, and bear case.</p><p><b>Base Case:</b> Our base case look takes cons. &#39;22 earnings and puts a 45x multiple on them. Pretty simple, we think the multiple is relatively warranted assuming Tesla can continue to grow as viciously as they have been. If Tesla can hit a high 70s growth pace for full year, in-line with consensus, then you&#39;re looking at ~$545 on the share price assuming 45x.</p><p><b>Bear Case:</b> Our bear case look implies the bottom end of the sell-side earnings range for &#39;22, which implies closer to high 30s earnings growth for the full year. You put a multiple closer to 30x to reflect a higher medium-term risk profile, and you&#39;re looking at ~$279/share.</p><p><b>Bull Case:</b> Our bull case looks at the top end of &#39;22 sell-side earnings estimates, which implies earnings growth of ~113% y/y. We use a 75x multiple to reflect this more optimistic long-term view, and to reflect the optimism of a soft-landing scenario. That gets us to $1,085/share in the bull case.</p><p>These are some pretty loose scenarios, and these aren&#39;t driven by any proprietary model work. Right now, because of the supply chain dynamics and the backlog depletion dynamics, it seems nearly impossible to make accurate forecasts to fit the reality of the company right now. As a result, we are using our base, bear, and bull case multiples and price targets to reflect our <i>qualitative</i> sentiment on the state of the company and the risks it faces medium term.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>In conclusion, while we have generally liked the business model, the product, and the technology, we are very cautious on the stock. We see a growth cliff emerging on the horizon, and would wait to buy shares until after growth decelerates. That, according to some checks, could be as soon as the next couple weeks when Tesla reports 2Q deliveries. Maybe it&#39;s later on as the company works through its massive order backlog. Nevertheless, we are cautious. Reiterating Sell, all targets reduced.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-29 09:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520728-tesla-sniffing-growth-cliff-reiterating-sell?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A21><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe view TSLA's product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimistic lens. We think they are the top dog in all three categories relative to traditional auto OEMs.We ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520728-tesla-sniffing-growth-cliff-reiterating-sell?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A21\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520728-tesla-sniffing-growth-cliff-reiterating-sell?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A21","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165982577","content_text":"SummaryWe view TSLA's product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimistic lens. We think they are the top dog in all three categories relative to traditional auto OEMs.We look at extended wait times on TSLA vehicles as a sign of high, continued demand for product, demand that could stretch into early next year.Our pessimism comes from the idea of a growth cliff. Supply constraints and high demand have caused a massive uplift in wait times. A consumer downturn would reign in growth materially.Massive ASP hikes will likely be enough to keep unit margins juiced for now, but underlying cost improvements need to accelerate when inflation returns to normal to keep margins steady. Until then, you could see TSLA's gross margins be materially higher than what would be considered steady-state.Reiterating Sell rating. PT reduced from $875 to $545. Bear Case PT of $279. Bull Case PT of $1,085. R/r skews downward, hence our continued Sell rating.Our Tesla Pitch - Tesla Needs A 'Soft Landing' (To Use Fed Speak) In Order to Sustain Growth Rates; If They Can't, The Stock Has Room to Negatively Re-rateWe've been in the bull camp or at least neutral on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) since Q4 of 2018. That changed in January, as we called out market risk driving negative real returns in the stock.Data by YChartsThat was our call then. At the time the Fed was set to taper bond purchases at an accelerated rate, and rate hikes were likely on the horizon as inflation accelerated. We made the call in spite of our fundamental business optimism.The call now is different. We still love the business, it's hard not to. The problem is we think growth is going to run into a wall, at least over the medium-term. If our call in January was a macro-market call, this call is more of a macro-economic call.Consensus sell-side expectations are calling for EPS growth of ~79% and ~30% in '22 and '23. Expectations are calling for top-line growth of ~59% and ~33% in '22 and '23 from $85.64B to $114.39B.These are high expectations against a high base. Now, if Tesla can navigate the long lead times on product mix before the macro environment overly-devolves, maybe they can navigate a soft-landing and the stock can stay stable. This is the pervasive 'Musk' factor that has enabled Tesla to pull a rabbit out of the hat many-a-time.This factor is our reason for caution and pessimism, but not outright taking a short position, at least not right now.Core Thesis - As The Economy Slows, And Tesla Raises ASPs to Boost Margins & Offset Inflation, New Order-flow Could DecelerateThe heading of our thesis seems pretty self-explanatory, but it's worth delving into each component of this a little deeper. At this point in time, our base case is that the US economy is already in a recession or will enter one this year. Economic productivity and growth are likely to slow from here, not speed up. Growth in labor and input costs is net-constrictive on the economy. We think Tesla is recognizing both of these factors, leading to massive price hikes to cushion margins.They can do this for two reasons: (a.) a massive order backlog, and (b.) an incredibly strong brand. On the first note, Model Y LR lead times are six to nine months out. That is incredibly long and highlights one of two things: either (a.) Tesla is facing a massive surplus of demand, or (b.) supply is constrained. We think the real answer is both.The secular theme of BEV adoption is in full-swing, and Tesla has the technology, the design-appeal, and the brand to capitalize on the shift in demand trends. And while debatable, some see high maintenance and gasoline prices have likely accelerated the value prop transition towards EVs somewhat.Additionally, autos have been one of the primary verticals negatively impacted by disrupted supply chains. Component shortages, overseas shipping, factory closures etc. have disrupted Tesla and many other auto OEMs in getting new builds off production lines. We think with time, and with the ramp-up in Shanghai, Berlin, and Texas, Tesla's overall supply will increase, and this dynamic will fade a bit.Nonetheless, tight supply resulting from mostly existential factors is allowing Tesla to lift prices and thus bolster margins, a dynamic that we question the long-term validity of.We think that as interest rates rise and consumer spending weakens (or at least shifts), demand for big ticket items (like housing and autos) will slow materially. While Tesla can lean into their current order backlog to sustain deliveries, we question the ability of Tesla to refill this backlog over time if consumer-end trends are weakening. Simply put, where is the deliveries growth in $50K+ cars going to be when the consumer is backed against the wall?This begs a few questions, how long will weak consumer trends in medium to luxury autos last? Additionally, how long before Tesla depletes its order backlog? What is the rate that this backlog refills? Will Tesla resort to price cuts (hurting unit margins) to generate incremental demand? These are all questions, questions that are difficult to answer with any degree of certainty.When going long a name, and backing up a Buy rating, we need a degree of valuation support to reflect uncertainty.If the economy slows, we question Tesla's ability to hit the aforementioned consensus revenue and earnings growth estimates, and even against those estimates, we question the valuation support you have. Tesla's trading at ~6.5x cons. '23E sales, and ~45x cons. '23E earnings.We like the business, but are these multiples reflective of safety in the current environment? No. Too much uncertainty with too little valuation support gets us to where we are now.Musk Knows This, Hence The LayoffsAdditionally, we think that management is well aware of these problems. Musk's 'bad feeling' about the economy? The layoffs? A potential cost-cutting measure to support cash generation through a tougher time. Tesla isn't unique in laying off employees. If you've been tracking the news, Big Tech in general has been finding reasons to reduce headcount.We think fundamentally, management is planning ahead of the growth cliff by reducing headcount now, a move that we think will save money and agony over the medium term.Long-Term Story Intact, But We Question Terminal MarginsOver the long haul, the story is still pretty clear on Tesla. We continue to believe they have the best product, technology, infrastructure, and brand in the BEV market. A BEV market that is still very early in its adoption curve, and a market Tesla is very early in fully capturing across the use-case spectrum (trucks, semis, compacts, etc.)We think that as new order flow cools, and Tesla works through its existing backlog, investors will have to digest a period of materially slower revenue and deliveries growth. This is to be expected when you sell $50,000+ electric vehicles into a slower demand environment.Over the long-haul, we continue to applaud Tesla's technology lead (particularly in manufacturing and cell tech, as well as cell-to-pack integration), solid brand (default name in BEVs), infrastructure (massive supercharging grid), and product design.On the margin front, as a thought exercise however, we are slightly concerned. Based on prior work we have done, and work we have seen float around the sell-side and third-party shops, teardown analyses of your average Model 3 indicate that cost of manufacturing is ~$35K-~$36K per unit (prior to input cost inflation). While Tesla is able to sell at a ripe markup right now because of (a.) tight supply, (b.) the built-in excuse (to the consumer) of inflation, and (c.) a massive order backlog, we question the long-term strategic direction. Assuming Tesla cannot materially reduce cost per unit of manufacturing, would they maintain margins and sacrifice volume and thus deliveries and revenue growth, or reduce margins to 'normalized' levels to pick up growth volume. Our bet would be on the latter, considering how mission-driven Musk & Co. are on accelerating broader market adoption at least over the long-term. Over the short-term, we think Musk's recent strategic direction would emphasize a more defensive strategy.We think to fuel mass market EV adopt, long-term, Tesla needs to move down market. Additionally, we think gross margins might have to come in as inflation comes in and the supply-demand dynamic rebalances.ValuationIn terms of valuation, we think the stock is difficult to price. In the environment we are in, where the macro picture is uncertain and rates are rising at all durations of the yield curve, multiples are compressing pretty materially. When we explore what a base case valuation for the stock is, you have to keep in mind the uncertainty profile on the business right now: we don't know what steady-state gross margins are, we don't know where optionality stands (autonomy+energy in particular), and there's a lot of value creation already priced in.It's hard to give reasonable estimates for out-year numbers because there are a lot of moving parts to juggle. We'll use the year 2030 as a basic reference number. What does 2030 BEV adoption look like relative to the overall auto market? What use cases (semis, pickups, etc.) are yet to be covered. What is Tesla's market share within BEVs? Terminal CapEx requirements?It's a lot, and hard to predict reasonably.For our part, we think the environment is fundamentally too uncertain. We're going to use average consensus estimates and the high and low estimates on the street to give investors a general valuation framework for what we would consider the reasonable base case, bull case, and bear case.Base Case: Our base case look takes cons. '22 earnings and puts a 45x multiple on them. Pretty simple, we think the multiple is relatively warranted assuming Tesla can continue to grow as viciously as they have been. If Tesla can hit a high 70s growth pace for full year, in-line with consensus, then you're looking at ~$545 on the share price assuming 45x.Bear Case: Our bear case look implies the bottom end of the sell-side earnings range for '22, which implies closer to high 30s earnings growth for the full year. You put a multiple closer to 30x to reflect a higher medium-term risk profile, and you're looking at ~$279/share.Bull Case: Our bull case looks at the top end of '22 sell-side earnings estimates, which implies earnings growth of ~113% y/y. We use a 75x multiple to reflect this more optimistic long-term view, and to reflect the optimism of a soft-landing scenario. That gets us to $1,085/share in the bull case.These are some pretty loose scenarios, and these aren't driven by any proprietary model work. Right now, because of the supply chain dynamics and the backlog depletion dynamics, it seems nearly impossible to make accurate forecasts to fit the reality of the company right now. As a result, we are using our base, bear, and bull case multiples and price targets to reflect our qualitative sentiment on the state of the company and the risks it faces medium term.ConclusionIn conclusion, while we have generally liked the business model, the product, and the technology, we are very cautious on the stock. We see a growth cliff emerging on the horizon, and would wait to buy shares until after growth decelerates. That, according to some checks, could be as soon as the next couple weeks when Tesla reports 2Q deliveries. Maybe it's later on as the company works through its massive order backlog. Nevertheless, we are cautious. Reiterating Sell, all targets reduced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048408985,"gmtCreate":1656233731147,"gmtModify":1676535790211,"author":{"id":"4101188939263620","authorId":"4101188939263620","name":"LuckyB","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54703757dccad7e627c99db4046710eb","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4101188939263620","idStr":"4101188939263620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[smile]&nbsp;","text":"[smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048408985","repostId":"1117405935","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117405935","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656204641,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117405935?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-26 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Stocks to Buy Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117405935","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Stocks of these companies are screaming buys at their current depressed prices.Apple: A leading and ","content":"<div>\n<p>Stocks of these companies are screaming buys at their current depressed prices.Apple: A leading and highly profitable tech company that continues to innovate.Ford: An automotive powerhouse whose ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/06/7-stocks-to-buy-right-now/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Stocks to Buy Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Stocks to Buy Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-26 08:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/06/7-stocks-to-buy-right-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks of these companies are screaming buys at their current depressed prices.Apple: A leading and highly profitable tech company that continues to innovate.Ford: An automotive powerhouse whose ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/06/7-stocks-to-buy-right-now/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/06/7-stocks-to-buy-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117405935","content_text":"Stocks of these companies are screaming buys at their current depressed prices.Apple: A leading and highly profitable tech company that continues to innovate.Ford: An automotive powerhouse whose transition to electric vehicles is proceeding full steam ahead.American Express: A top credit card issuer whose earnings should be positively impacted by higher interest rates.Amazon: The world's biggest e-commerce company just split its stock on a 20-for-1 basis, making them more affordable.Disney: The biggest entertainment company in the world is seeing big returns from its theatrically released films and theme parks.FedEx: The shipping and logistics giant just raised its quarterly dividend by 53% as it focuses on shareholder returns.Berkshire Hathaway: The company run by Warren Buffett continues to be a reliable bet in good times and bad.The current market selloff, while scary, presents an enormous berth of stocks to buy for investors. Ron Baron, founder of investment management firm Baron Capital, recently went on CNBC to say that the bear market we’re in presents a “once-in-a-generation buying opportunity” for investors to pick-up stocks of quality companies at distressed prices.Legendary investor Warren Buffett has bought more stocks this year than he has at any time over the last decade, spending $51 billion in the process and adhering to his own mantra that investors should: “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”With market volatility near all-time highs and both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes each down more than 20% and firmly in bear market territory, the conditions are right for investors to steady their nerves and add some great stocks to their portfolio while prices are at their lowest levels since before the pandemic hit in March 2020. Here are seven stocks to buy right now.AppleThe market downturn this year has washed out a lot of unprofitable high-growth technology stocks that were grossly overvalued coming out of the pandemic. However, the rout has also dragged down the share prices of the very best tech concerns, presenting a huge opportunity to investors.Case in point is consumer electronic giant Apple, whose stock is down nearly 24% this year at $136.13 a share. The drop in AAPL stock does not reflect thevaluation of the companyor its earnings, which have remained robust despite some headwinds in terms of manufacturing in China and global supply chain disruptions.At the end of April, Apple reported quarterly results that showed its revenue grew nearly 9% year-over-year during this year’s first quarter. The company also announced plans to buy back $90 billion of its own stock. Plus, the company has continued to announce a raft of product upgrades and new services in recent months, including a buy now, pay later feature that moves Apple further into the finance space.By almost every measure, Apple continues to fire on all cylinders. This helps explain why Warren Buffettadded to his position in AAPL stockduring this year’s first quarter as the price fell, buying an additional $600 million worth of shares.“Unfortunately the stock went back up, so I stopped. Otherwise who knows how much we would have bought?” Buffett said at his company Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting in early May.FordSpeaking of great American companies whose stock is available at fire sale prices, how about automotive powerhouse Ford? Year to date, F stock is down 45% to $11.45 a share. This is after the Detroit automaker’s stock ran up more than 100% in 2021 to hit a 52-week high of $25.87.The decline in recent months has been mostly due toglobal supply chain issuesthat are impacting all automakers, and concerns that a global economic recession could lead consumers to put off big ticket purchases such as a new vehicle. However, these issues are temporary and shouldn’t get in the way of Ford’s long-term transition to electric vehicles.Already, Ford is rolling out electric versions of its most popular vehicles, the F-150 pick-up truck, that hastopped the North American sales chartsevery year since 1976, and its iconic Mustang muscle car. The electric F-150 truck already has more than 200,000 preorders. And it is just one of the electric vehicles Ford is set to release as the company aggressively moves tochallenge rival Tesla as the world’s leading electric vehicle manufacturer.To that end, Ford recently announced plans to invest $3.7 billion in its development of electric vehicles, which is on top of the $11.4 billion it had already committed. The money is expected to create more than 6,000 unionized manufacturing jobs in states such as Michigan, Ohio and Missouri. Ford is also in the process of building new battery manufacturing facilities in Tennessee and Kentucky. The money spent on Ford’s electric future should benefit shareholders over the long-term.American ExpressCredit card giant American Express has proven to be a reliable investment through good times and bad. In the past five years, AXP stock has gained approximately 75%, and risen 1,075% since the low point of the 2008-09 financial crisis. Yet, at its current share price of $141.95, American Express stock is only slightly above its 52-week low, making it as creaming buy for investors who have a long time horizon.At the start of this year, American Express stock was near $200, and most analysts see itclimbing back to that levelonce the current market downturn reverses. The lowest estimate on the stock is currently $146 a share, or nearly two bucks higher than where it’s currently trading.Like all financial companies, American Express’ earnings should be positively impacted as interest rates rise, enabling it to charge higher rates on the credit cards and other loan vehicles it issues.Wells Fargo recently named AXP stock a top pick, noting that “The shares are trading at 14 times our 2023 earnings estimate. [That’s] well below the 18 times we believe is warranted for this high return on equity business.”Additionally, American Express enjoys more affluent card members than rival credit card issuers, which Wells Fargo says brings with it lucrative partners in the form of hotels, airlines and various retailers.AmazonAmazon recentlysplit its stock on a 20-for-1 basis, bringing the price down to $123 a share from more than $2,000 previously. But in the days immediately following the split, AMZN stock fell to a fresh 52-week low of $101.26 a share, pushing the stock to its most affordable level in more than a decade.Down over 34% this year, Amazon’s stock is now trading at $109.65, only slightly above its low point over the past 12 months. This gives investors an opportunity to own a piece of the world’s biggest e-commerce company on the cheap and benefit hugely when the stock inevitably recovers and rises again.Like virtually every company on this list, Amazon is struggling with issues that include wage inflation, supply chain snarls, and rising interest rates that are slowing consumer spending. But none of these problems is unique to Amazon and they will pass eventually. And coming out of the pandemic, Amazon is proving to be a stronger and more diversified company. Consider thate-commerce salesare forecast to exceed more than $1 trillion in the U.S. this year, and that Amazon controls 40% of the market.The company also continues to benefit from its Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud computing unit, which last year represented more than 70% of its operating income. Amazon currently holds a 33% share of the global cloud computing market, and growing.DisneyShares of the world’s biggest entertainment company are currently changing hands at $94.34 a share. The last time Disney stock was that low was immediately after theWorld Health Organization(WHO) declared Covid-19 a global pandemic and markets around the world crashed.Prior to that, you have to go back to early 2015 to find the last time shares of the Mouse House traded around $95. Disney stock is currentlydown 40% on the year, and 50% below its 52-week high of $187.58. The selloff has been partly due to broader market volatility and partly due to concerns that subscriber growth is slowing on the Disney+ streaming platform.However, the naysayers are neglecting to factor in the strong box office performances from several theatrically released Disney films in recent months. Pixar animated movieLightyearjust debuted in thenumber one spotat the global box office with a weekend haul of $85.6 million. That follows the$942.48 million total earnedby Marvel’sDoctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.Other highly anticipated movies are on their way to the big screen in coming months, includingThor: Love and ThunderandPinocchio. Plus, this summer marks the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic began that all Disney theme parks will be fully open with no capacity restrictions. Add in the company’s cruise ships and branded merchandise, and it’s easy to see that Disney is more than a streaming platform.FedExShares of shipping and logistics giant FedEx recently got a big boost after the company announced that it isboosting its quarterly dividend by 53%. That news immediately sent FDX stock up 14%, its biggest one-day gain since 1986. Yet despite the jump higher, Federal Express’ stock remains down 12% on the year at $227.43 a share.The company’s stock has been in investor jail since management warned that shipments are slowing coming out of the pandemic. But shareholders shouldn’t be overly concerned. Especially ones who can afford to be patient with the stock.The company is clearly making shareholders a priority. In addition to the massive dividend increase, which takes the quarterly payout to $1.15 a share, FedEx also announced that it is adding “total shareholder return” as a performance metric to its executive compensation program. This is on top of the$5 billion share repurchase programthe company announced last December.The renewed focus on shareholder returns comes as FedEx founder Fred Smithtransitions to the role of executive chairmanand is replaced as chief executive officer (CEO) by Raj Subramaniam. The leadership transition, coupled with the depressed price of FDX stock, presents a nice entry point for investors.Berkshire HathawayGiven the outsized influence Warren Buffett continues to exert on markets and investors, it is fitting to include his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, on this list. Berkshire Hathaway’s Class B stock is down 10% year to date at $268.55 per share. That’s better than the 23% decline in the benchmark S&P 500 index. However, BRK.B stock is now25% below its 52-week highof $362.10 and only slightly above its 52-week low of $265.68 a share. This presents a great entry point for investors and an opportunity to own shares of one of the most successful companies in U.S. history.A holding company, Berkshire Hathaway owns many companies outright, ranging from railroads and insurers to the Dairy Queen fast food restaurant chain and Fruit of the Loom underwear maker.Berkshire also owns avast portfolio of stocksthat includes many of the names on this list, such as Apple, American Express and Amazon. The company’s portfolio currently totals more than $300 billion and that is with this year’s market decline. However, Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio has consistently beaten the results of the S&P 500. Between 1999 and 2020, Berkshireoutperformed the benchmark S&P 500in 12 years.The company’s track record is even more impressive the further back one goes. 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Join our game &amp; win tons of Tiger coins! 👇👇 🎁[Prizes]&nbsp; For All the Tigers participating in this activity: All Tigers will be given 50 Tiger coins for posting each combination in the comment section! All Tigers will be given 200 Tiger coins for posting a screenshot with 3 Same Charms in the comment section! ( Up to 4 screenshots) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(1500&nbsp;coins for posting all the different combinations) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3.&nbsp;All Tigers will be given 10 Tiger coins for reposting and tagging your friends in the comment section! ( Up to 30&nbsp;friends) Special Gift for one Tiger: One Tiger will be","listText":"Take a screenshot of our special “Tiger” Machine (Slot Machine) to find your lucky charms in investing, and post it in the comment section. Join our game &amp; win tons of Tiger coins! 👇👇 🎁[Prizes]&nbsp; For All the Tigers participating in this activity: All Tigers will be given 50 Tiger coins for posting each combination in the comment section! All Tigers will be given 200 Tiger coins for posting a screenshot with 3 Same Charms in the comment section! ( Up to 4 screenshots) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(1500&nbsp;coins for posting all the different combinations) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3.&nbsp;All Tigers will be given 10 Tiger coins for reposting and tagging your friends in the comment section! ( Up to 30&nbsp;friends) Special Gift for one Tiger: One Tiger will be","text":"Take a screenshot of our special “Tiger” Machine (Slot Machine) to find your lucky charms in investing, and post it in the comment section. Join our game & win tons of Tiger coins! 👇👇 🎁[Prizes] For All the Tigers participating in this activity: All Tigers will be given 50 Tiger coins for posting each combination in the comment section! All Tigers will be given 200 Tiger coins for posting a screenshot with 3 Same Charms in the comment section! ( Up to 4 screenshots) (1500 coins for posting all the different combinations) 3. All Tigers will be given 10 Tiger coins for reposting and tagging your friends in the comment section! 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