Moonlight23
Moonlight23
Small time investor, putting food on a small table in a small flat while commuting in a big SBS bus
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avatarMoonlight23
2022-12-20
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ would be a good buy for a short term trade, especially if Musk's Twitter exit plays out, and he returns to govern TSLA and soothe investors worries. Might want to be cautious in view of 2023 headwinds though, especially with liquidity drying out.  Recommend to DCA slowly ivo recession fears and a tightening monetary policy. Tesla still has a wide moat in terms of the electric auto industry, so it is still a good buy. That being said, the Chinese carmakers are catching up in terms of technology, and might be able to mass produce for the wider market at a cheaper price, adding on to the competition for the electric automobile industry market share.
avatarMoonlight23
2022-11-07
Important concept here: the federal bank, being the central bank, has to act independently from the US government. It enacts Monetary policy (in America's case, this refers to the manipulation of interest rates), while the government enacts fiscal policies (which refers to governmental spending, taxation etc). Both these policies work to expand/contract the economy in line with predetermined targets.  With that said, the midterm election, in theory, should NOT have an impact on the feds decision of whether to raise, stagnate or drop interest rates. However, in practice, this might not be the case. Many policies that the government put in place can influence inflation, which is one of the indicator for the feds to set their target interest rates. A increase in budget spendings, fo
avatarMoonlight23
2024-04-12
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$  $ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF(BITO)$  $Bitwise Bitcoin ETF(BITB)$   Written on this before a couple of months ago, when Bitcoin was going at $45k USD, before the ETFs were approved. Here are some thoughts since then: On ETF approval: ETFs have enabled more people who once did not have access to Bitcoin instruments to accumulate Bitcoin. Although this might not constitute a large part of individual holdings, it has already seen a $12.5 billion inflow. As more people get used to the idea of Bitcoin being trade
avatarMoonlight23
2024-07-19
Get ready for the election pump
avatarMoonlight23
2022-11-05
$Apple(AAPL)$BullishBullishBullishBullishBullish All depends on the timeline of your investment. Fundamentally, it's a great company with a wide economic moat. If you have the capital to DCA, Apple is one of the safer companies with the lowest risk that I'd recommend to stay invested in the big tech industry. As for whether it's a good time to buy as a short term investment, generally I wouldn't recommend buying at such high interest rates, with no concrete signs or plans for a reversal in the rates. It might be prudent to wait till there are clearer signs of a slowdown in rate increases before purchasing a significant amount of this stock
avatarMoonlight23
2022-11-07
Rising interest rates means that borrowing cost would go up. Companies which are most negatively affected would this be those with high leverages/large amounts of debt. As interest rate rises, the cost of holding on to their debt would increase, thus reducing their profit margins.  Another thing to consider with rising interest rates would be that of reduced propensity (on the part of investors) to invest (due to the increased propensity to save with higher yields), as well as the reduced propensity to spend (again due to the higher interest rates that consumers are able to get with every dollar saved). Do however note that this is more prevalent in asian context than in western context.  In conclusion, markets generally will trend down with a uptrending in interest rates. Invest
avatarMoonlight23
2023-12-26
Entering into 2023, US Fed rates were standing at 4.5%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at 3800s, with major players predicting that we were all heading into recession and an economic slump. End 2023, US Fed rates are now at 5+%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ up about 20%, with recession not in sight and the market still performing at its highest levels. I myself is also guilty of such predictions, slowly selling down as interest rates rose, and losing out on about 10% gains that I could have had should I have held on to the stocks that I sold. Here's some lessons that I learned from this year: 1. Take predictions with a pinch of
avatarMoonlight23
2023-11-17
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Posted an article pre earnings, and will post another now.  SEA's recent plunge in stock prices has been attributed to the surprise losses that it has posted after 3 quarters of profits. Investors who were hoping to see a fourth quarter of profits, thereby securing a full year of profitability, were disappointed and thereby sold the stock.  However, one must not forget that $Sea Ltd(SE)$ is a tech stock. Although profits are good, for such companies, profitability often takes a back seat to prioritizing user acquisition, geographic expansion, and innovative product development. Therefore, assessing SEA's potential demands a forward-loo
avatarMoonlight23
2023-12-26
Been trading cryptocurrency for a while. Just like to weigh in on some matters regarding crypto trading: 1. More often than not, most cryptocurrencies do not have any intrinsic use case. Value assigned to tokens is just based on demand/supply, with no underlying worth to the currency.  2. Playing the cryptocurrency market is this akin to gambling. With no real value to most currencies, the ability to make money in the cryptocurrency sphere depends on being able to bring in more demand for the currency/reduction of supply.  3. As such, most of crypto trading requires the throwing of rationality out of the window. Understanding the market becomes an emotions game, and being able to trade properly requires one to be able to read the actions/emotions of others.  4. DD
avatarMoonlight23
2023-12-17
December is a month that has had more wins than losses over the past 70 odd years, with the percentage of winning months being about 75%. This translates to it being one of the best performing months historically.  As of whether Santa Claus is really the cause of this rally, one might want to seek the opinions of his transport workers: the reindeers (or modern day Tesla). $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has been outperforming here, smashing up about 25% since it's lows about 2 months ago. With Santa working in weird and mysterious ways (read: possible interest rate cuts!), one might attribute this red hot rally to the sea of investors rushing in in order to avoid the FOMO, trying to catch the last train out

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