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Deutsche Bank, the most pessimistic bank on Wall Street, issued another pessimistic forecast: In order to fight inflation, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to 4.9% by the first quarter of next year.</p><p>Luzzetti, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank, said that in all past tightening cycles, regardless of inflation levels, the Fed has always put its Federal Funds rate target above inflation<b>。 For policy to be restrictive (capable of controlling inflation), U.S. real or inflation-adjusted interest rates need to remain positive</b>； The inability to revise down inflation expectations complicates the whole problem. Considering the current situation of inflation and the stickiness of inflation, the Fed will have to continue to raise interest rates:</p><p>For markets to have confidence, the Fed needs to keep Federal Funds rate above inflation, at least early next year. The whole duration won't be extremely long. As one of the most pessimistic investment banks on Wall Street, Deutsche Bank first shouted in April this year that the US economy would fall into recession. The bank then warned that not only was a recession inevitable, but that inflation expectations could rise sharply, ultimately leading to more aggressive tightening and a deeper recession, along with a larger rise in unemployment, which in turn would evolve into the Fed's efforts to avoid. The result-a \"hard landing\".</p><p>As the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting approaches this week, investors are buzzing about how high the Fed needs to raise interest rates to control its worst inflation in four decades. At present, the mainstream view in the market is that the Federal Reserve may raise its Federal Funds rate to 4% by the end of this year.<b>Deutsche Bank's interest rate forecast of close to 5% is almost double the current actual situation</b>（2.25%—2.50%）</p><p>If Deutsche Bank's prediction comes true, U.S. stocks will inevitably usher in a new round of turmoil. Dalio, founder of Bridgewater hedge fund, warned last week that as long as interest rates were raised to around 4.5%, the U.S. stock market would plummet by nearly 20%.</p><p>Dalio said investors may still take long-term inflation too lightly. At present, the market expects the average annual inflation rate in the next ten years to be 2.6%, which is far lower than Dalio's forecast of 4.5%-5%. However, it warned that inflation figures could \"rise sharply\" if hit by the economy.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street's \"most pessimistic\" bank: To curb inflation, the Fed or rate hike are expected to reach nearly 5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street's \"most pessimistic\" bank: To curb inflation, the Fed or rate hike are expected to reach nearly 5%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-19 17:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>This is almost twice the current federal benchmark interest rate, and U.S. stocks may plummet by 20%. Deutsche Bank, the most pessimistic bank on Wall Street, issued another pessimistic forecast: In order to fight inflation, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to 4.9% by the first quarter of next year.</p><p>Luzzetti, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank, said that in all past tightening cycles, regardless of inflation levels, the Fed has always put its Federal Funds rate target above inflation<b>。 For policy to be restrictive (capable of controlling inflation), U.S. real or inflation-adjusted interest rates need to remain positive</b>； The inability to revise down inflation expectations complicates the whole problem. Considering the current situation of inflation and the stickiness of inflation, the Fed will have to continue to raise interest rates:</p><p>For markets to have confidence, the Fed needs to keep Federal Funds rate above inflation, at least early next year. The whole duration won't be extremely long. As one of the most pessimistic investment banks on Wall Street, Deutsche Bank first shouted in April this year that the US economy would fall into recession. The bank then warned that not only was a recession inevitable, but that inflation expectations could rise sharply, ultimately leading to more aggressive tightening and a deeper recession, along with a larger rise in unemployment, which in turn would evolve into the Fed's efforts to avoid. The result-a \"hard landing\".</p><p>As the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting approaches this week, investors are buzzing about how high the Fed needs to raise interest rates to control its worst inflation in four decades. At present, the mainstream view in the market is that the Federal Reserve may raise its Federal Funds rate to 4% by the end of this year.<b>Deutsche Bank's interest rate forecast of close to 5% is almost double the current actual situation</b>（2.25%—2.50%）</p><p>If Deutsche Bank's prediction comes true, U.S. stocks will inevitably usher in a new round of turmoil. Dalio, founder of Bridgewater hedge fund, warned last week that as long as interest rates were raised to around 4.5%, the U.S. stock market would plummet by nearly 20%.</p><p>Dalio said investors may still take long-term inflation too lightly. At present, the market expects the average annual inflation rate in the next ten years to be 2.6%, which is far lower than Dalio's forecast of 4.5%-5%. However, it warned that inflation figures could \"rise sharply\" if hit by the economy.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5398fed733ffbbc94ab1b9a49946a8","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135509200","content_text":"这几乎是目前联邦基准利率的2倍，美股或暴跌20%。华尔街最悲观的银行德意志银行再发悲观预测：为抗击通胀，美联储到明年1季度或将利率提升至4.9%。德银美国首席经济学家Luzzetti表示，在过去的所有紧缩周期中，无论通胀水平如何，美联储总是将联邦基金利率目标置于通胀之上。要使政策具有限制性（能够控通胀），美国实际利率或通胀调整后的利率需要维持正数；而通胀预期无法下修则使整个问题复杂化。考虑到目前的通胀的状况以及通胀的粘性，美联储将不得不继续升息：为了使市场有信心，美联储需要让联邦基金利率高于通货膨胀率，至少在明年初。整个持续时间不会非常长。作为华尔街最为悲观的投行之一，德银在今年4月首先喊出美国经济将陷入衰退。该行随后警告，不仅衰退是必然的，而且通胀预期可能会大幅上升，最终导致更激进的紧缩政策和更深层次的衰退，同时失业率上升幅度更大，这反过来又会演变成美联储极力避免的结果——“硬着陆”（hard landing）。随着本周美联储FOMC会议临近，投资者热烈讨论美联储需要将利率提高到多高的水平才能控制四十年来最严重的通货膨胀。目前市场主流观点认为美联储可能在今年年底将联邦基金利率提高到4%。德银接近5%的利率预测几乎是目前实际状况的2倍（2.25%—2.50%）如果德银预测成真，美股将免不了迎来新一轮的动荡。桥水对冲基金创始人达利欧上周警告称，只要利率提高到4.5％左右，美国股市就会暴跌近20％。达利欧表示，投资者可能仍对长期通胀过于掉以轻心。目前市场预期未来十年的平均年通胀率为2.6％，远低于达利欧预测的4.5％—5％。但其警告，如果受到经济冲击，通胀数字还有可能“大幅上升”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910166793,"gmtCreate":1663578829013,"gmtModify":1676537294493,"author":{"id":"3586900171924258","authorId":"3586900171924258","name":"grader","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586900171924258","idStr":"3586900171924258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910166793","repostId":"1194761598","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194761598","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663575168,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194761598?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 16:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Change | Bitcoin fell below 19,000! Concept stocks tumbled before the market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194761598","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"9月19日，美股指期货集体走低，道指期货跌0.56%，纳指期货跌0.72%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%。比特币今日一度跌破19000美元/枚，美股区块链概念股盘前普跌，Marathon Digita","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On September 19, U.S. stock index futures fell collectively, with Dow futures falling 0.56%, Nasdaq futures falling 0.72%, and S&P 500 futures falling 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272b93dd9a2ae1a407cfae9ba97a9fa5\" tg-width=\"386\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bitcoin once fell below $19,000 per coin today, and U.S. blockchain concept stocks generally fell before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Fell more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a>Fell more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital</a>Fell nearly 2%;</p><p>Popular Chinese concept stocks fell before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36 Krypton</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Fell more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>Down 1.6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Down 1.43%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VALN\">Valneva</a>It fell nearly 10% before the market, terminating the delivery of IDT Biologika to COVID-19 vaccine;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea</a>It fell 2.5% before the market, and the company will lay off 3% of Shopee employees in Indonesia;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a>It fell more than 5% before the market. Previously, a large number of scene videos of \"Grand Theft Auto 6\" that had not been officially announced were leaked, and hackers sought to negotiate a deal;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">Phunware</a>It fell more than 3% before the market, and the company's directors sold a net 20,000 shares of the company.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Change | Bitcoin fell below 19,000! Concept stocks tumbled before the market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChange | Bitcoin fell below 19,000! Concept stocks tumbled before the market\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-19 16:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On September 19, U.S. stock index futures fell collectively, with Dow futures falling 0.56%, Nasdaq futures falling 0.72%, and S&P 500 futures falling 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272b93dd9a2ae1a407cfae9ba97a9fa5\" tg-width=\"386\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bitcoin once fell below $19,000 per coin today, and U.S. blockchain concept stocks generally fell before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Fell more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a>Fell more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital</a>Fell nearly 2%;</p><p>Popular Chinese concept stocks fell before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36 Krypton</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Fell more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>Down 1.6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Down 1.43%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VALN\">Valneva</a>It fell nearly 10% before the market, terminating the delivery of IDT Biologika to COVID-19 vaccine;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea</a>It fell 2.5% before the market, and the company will lay off 3% of Shopee employees in Indonesia;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a>It fell more than 5% before the market. Previously, a large number of scene videos of \"Grand Theft Auto 6\" that had not been officially announced were leaked, and hackers sought to negotiate a deal;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">Phunware</a>It fell more than 3% before the market, and the company's directors sold a net 20,000 shares of the company.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","BABA":"阿里巴巴","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","BK4524":"宅经济概念","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","BK4527":"明星科技股","MSTR":"Strategy","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BK4526":"热门中概股","EDU":"新东方","BK4575":"芯片概念","MSTR.AU":"MORNINGSTAR INTL SHARES ACT","EDU.AU":"EDU HOLDINGS LTD","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","NIO":"蔚来","BK4538":"云计算","KRKR":"36氪","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194761598","content_text":"9月19日，美股指期货集体走低，道指期货跌0.56%，纳指期货跌0.72%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%。比特币今日一度跌破19000美元/枚，美股区块链概念股盘前普跌，Marathon Digital跌超6%，Coinbase、Riot Blockchain跌超5%，MicroStrategy跌超3%，Bit Digital跌近2%；热门中概股盘前走低，36氪跌超6%，哔哩哔哩跌超2%，蔚来跌1.74%，新东方跌1.6%，阿里巴巴跌1.43%；Valneva盘前跌近10%，终止对IDT Biologika交付新冠疫苗；Sea盘前跌2.5%，公司将在印尼解雇3%的Shopee员工；Take-Two盘前跌超5%，此前其尚未正式公布的《侠盗猎车手6》大量场景视频泄露，黑客寻求谈判交易；Phunware盘前跌超3%，公司董事净卖出2万股公司股份。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BILI":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"MSTR":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"MSTR.AU":0.9,"KRKR":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"EDU.AU":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"EDU":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910166009,"gmtCreate":1663578727301,"gmtModify":1676537294451,"author":{"id":"3586900171924258","authorId":"3586900171924258","name":"grader","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586900171924258","idStr":"3586900171924258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><v-v 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17:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Wall Street's \"most pessimistic\" bank: To curb inflation, the Fed or rate hike are expected to reach nearly 5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135509200","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"这几乎是目前联邦基准利率的2倍，美股或暴跌20%。华尔街最悲观的银行德意志银行再发悲观预测：为抗击通胀，美联储到明年1季度或将利率提升至4.9%。德银美国首席经济学家Luzzetti表示，在过去的所有","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>This is almost twice the current federal benchmark interest rate, and U.S. stocks may plummet by 20%. Deutsche Bank, the most pessimistic bank on Wall Street, issued another pessimistic forecast: In order to fight inflation, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to 4.9% by the first quarter of next year.</p><p>Luzzetti, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank, said that in all past tightening cycles, regardless of inflation levels, the Fed has always put its Federal Funds rate target above inflation<b>。 For policy to be restrictive (capable of controlling inflation), U.S. real or inflation-adjusted interest rates need to remain positive</b>； The inability to revise down inflation expectations complicates the whole problem. Considering the current situation of inflation and the stickiness of inflation, the Fed will have to continue to raise interest rates:</p><p>For markets to have confidence, the Fed needs to keep Federal Funds rate above inflation, at least early next year. The whole duration won't be extremely long. As one of the most pessimistic investment banks on Wall Street, Deutsche Bank first shouted in April this year that the US economy would fall into recession. The bank then warned that not only was a recession inevitable, but that inflation expectations could rise sharply, ultimately leading to more aggressive tightening and a deeper recession, along with a larger rise in unemployment, which in turn would evolve into the Fed's efforts to avoid. The result-a \"hard landing\".</p><p>As the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting approaches this week, investors are buzzing about how high the Fed needs to raise interest rates to control its worst inflation in four decades. At present, the mainstream view in the market is that the Federal Reserve may raise its Federal Funds rate to 4% by the end of this year.<b>Deutsche Bank's interest rate forecast of close to 5% is almost double the current actual situation</b>（2.25%—2.50%）</p><p>If Deutsche Bank's prediction comes true, U.S. stocks will inevitably usher in a new round of turmoil. Dalio, founder of Bridgewater hedge fund, warned last week that as long as interest rates were raised to around 4.5%, the U.S. stock market would plummet by nearly 20%.</p><p>Dalio said investors may still take long-term inflation too lightly. At present, the market expects the average annual inflation rate in the next ten years to be 2.6%, which is far lower than Dalio's forecast of 4.5%-5%. However, it warned that inflation figures could \"rise sharply\" if hit by the economy.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street's \"most pessimistic\" bank: To curb inflation, the Fed or rate hike are expected to reach nearly 5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street's \"most pessimistic\" bank: To curb inflation, the Fed or rate hike are expected to reach nearly 5%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-19 17:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>This is almost twice the current federal benchmark interest rate, and U.S. stocks may plummet by 20%. Deutsche Bank, the most pessimistic bank on Wall Street, issued another pessimistic forecast: In order to fight inflation, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to 4.9% by the first quarter of next year.</p><p>Luzzetti, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank, said that in all past tightening cycles, regardless of inflation levels, the Fed has always put its Federal Funds rate target above inflation<b>。 For policy to be restrictive (capable of controlling inflation), U.S. real or inflation-adjusted interest rates need to remain positive</b>； The inability to revise down inflation expectations complicates the whole problem. Considering the current situation of inflation and the stickiness of inflation, the Fed will have to continue to raise interest rates:</p><p>For markets to have confidence, the Fed needs to keep Federal Funds rate above inflation, at least early next year. The whole duration won't be extremely long. As one of the most pessimistic investment banks on Wall Street, Deutsche Bank first shouted in April this year that the US economy would fall into recession. The bank then warned that not only was a recession inevitable, but that inflation expectations could rise sharply, ultimately leading to more aggressive tightening and a deeper recession, along with a larger rise in unemployment, which in turn would evolve into the Fed's efforts to avoid. The result-a \"hard landing\".</p><p>As the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting approaches this week, investors are buzzing about how high the Fed needs to raise interest rates to control its worst inflation in four decades. At present, the mainstream view in the market is that the Federal Reserve may raise its Federal Funds rate to 4% by the end of this year.<b>Deutsche Bank's interest rate forecast of close to 5% is almost double the current actual situation</b>（2.25%—2.50%）</p><p>If Deutsche Bank's prediction comes true, U.S. stocks will inevitably usher in a new round of turmoil. Dalio, founder of Bridgewater hedge fund, warned last week that as long as interest rates were raised to around 4.5%, the U.S. stock market would plummet by nearly 20%.</p><p>Dalio said investors may still take long-term inflation too lightly. At present, the market expects the average annual inflation rate in the next ten years to be 2.6%, which is far lower than Dalio's forecast of 4.5%-5%. However, it warned that inflation figures could \"rise sharply\" if hit by the economy.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5398fed733ffbbc94ab1b9a49946a8","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135509200","content_text":"这几乎是目前联邦基准利率的2倍，美股或暴跌20%。华尔街最悲观的银行德意志银行再发悲观预测：为抗击通胀，美联储到明年1季度或将利率提升至4.9%。德银美国首席经济学家Luzzetti表示，在过去的所有紧缩周期中，无论通胀水平如何，美联储总是将联邦基金利率目标置于通胀之上。要使政策具有限制性（能够控通胀），美国实际利率或通胀调整后的利率需要维持正数；而通胀预期无法下修则使整个问题复杂化。考虑到目前的通胀的状况以及通胀的粘性，美联储将不得不继续升息：为了使市场有信心，美联储需要让联邦基金利率高于通货膨胀率，至少在明年初。整个持续时间不会非常长。作为华尔街最为悲观的投行之一，德银在今年4月首先喊出美国经济将陷入衰退。该行随后警告，不仅衰退是必然的，而且通胀预期可能会大幅上升，最终导致更激进的紧缩政策和更深层次的衰退，同时失业率上升幅度更大，这反过来又会演变成美联储极力避免的结果——“硬着陆”（hard landing）。随着本周美联储FOMC会议临近，投资者热烈讨论美联储需要将利率提高到多高的水平才能控制四十年来最严重的通货膨胀。目前市场主流观点认为美联储可能在今年年底将联邦基金利率提高到4%。德银接近5%的利率预测几乎是目前实际状况的2倍（2.25%—2.50%）如果德银预测成真，美股将免不了迎来新一轮的动荡。桥水对冲基金创始人达利欧上周警告称，只要利率提高到4.5％左右，美国股市就会暴跌近20％。达利欧表示，投资者可能仍对长期通胀过于掉以轻心。目前市场预期未来十年的平均年通胀率为2.6％，远低于达利欧预测的4.5％—5％。但其警告，如果受到经济冲击，通胀数字还有可能“大幅上升”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910166793,"gmtCreate":1663578829013,"gmtModify":1676537294493,"author":{"id":"3586900171924258","authorId":"3586900171924258","name":"grader","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586900171924258","idStr":"3586900171924258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910166793","repostId":"1194761598","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194761598","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663575168,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194761598?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 16:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Change | Bitcoin fell below 19,000! Concept stocks tumbled before the market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194761598","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"9月19日，美股指期货集体走低，道指期货跌0.56%，纳指期货跌0.72%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%。比特币今日一度跌破19000美元/枚，美股区块链概念股盘前普跌，Marathon Digita","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On September 19, U.S. stock index futures fell collectively, with Dow futures falling 0.56%, Nasdaq futures falling 0.72%, and S&P 500 futures falling 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272b93dd9a2ae1a407cfae9ba97a9fa5\" tg-width=\"386\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bitcoin once fell below $19,000 per coin today, and U.S. blockchain concept stocks generally fell before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Fell more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a>Fell more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital</a>Fell nearly 2%;</p><p>Popular Chinese concept stocks fell before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36 Krypton</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Fell more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>Down 1.6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Down 1.43%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VALN\">Valneva</a>It fell nearly 10% before the market, terminating the delivery of IDT Biologika to COVID-19 vaccine;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea</a>It fell 2.5% before the market, and the company will lay off 3% of Shopee employees in Indonesia;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a>It fell more than 5% before the market. Previously, a large number of scene videos of \"Grand Theft Auto 6\" that had not been officially announced were leaked, and hackers sought to negotiate a deal;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">Phunware</a>It fell more than 3% before the market, and the company's directors sold a net 20,000 shares of the company.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Change | Bitcoin fell below 19,000! Concept stocks tumbled before the market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChange | Bitcoin fell below 19,000! Concept stocks tumbled before the market\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-19 16:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On September 19, U.S. stock index futures fell collectively, with Dow futures falling 0.56%, Nasdaq futures falling 0.72%, and S&P 500 futures falling 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272b93dd9a2ae1a407cfae9ba97a9fa5\" tg-width=\"386\" tg-height=\"188\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bitcoin once fell below $19,000 per coin today, and U.S. blockchain concept stocks generally fell before the market.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>Fell more than 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a>Fell more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital</a>Fell nearly 2%;</p><p>Popular Chinese concept stocks fell before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36 Krypton</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Fell more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Down 1.74%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>Down 1.6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Down 1.43%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VALN\">Valneva</a>It fell nearly 10% before the market, terminating the delivery of IDT Biologika to COVID-19 vaccine;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea</a>It fell 2.5% before the market, and the company will lay off 3% of Shopee employees in Indonesia;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two</a>It fell more than 5% before the market. Previously, a large number of scene videos of \"Grand Theft Auto 6\" that had not been officially announced were leaked, and hackers sought to negotiate a deal;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">Phunware</a>It fell more than 3% before the market, and the company's directors sold a net 20,000 shares of the company.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","BABA":"阿里巴巴","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","BK4524":"宅经济概念","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","BK4527":"明星科技股","MSTR":"Strategy","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BK4526":"热门中概股","EDU":"新东方","BK4575":"芯片概念","MSTR.AU":"MORNINGSTAR INTL SHARES ACT","EDU.AU":"EDU HOLDINGS LTD","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","NIO":"蔚来","BK4538":"云计算","KRKR":"36氪","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194761598","content_text":"9月19日，美股指期货集体走低，道指期货跌0.56%，纳指期货跌0.72%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%。比特币今日一度跌破19000美元/枚，美股区块链概念股盘前普跌，Marathon Digital跌超6%，Coinbase、Riot Blockchain跌超5%，MicroStrategy跌超3%，Bit Digital跌近2%；热门中概股盘前走低，36氪跌超6%，哔哩哔哩跌超2%，蔚来跌1.74%，新东方跌1.6%，阿里巴巴跌1.43%；Valneva盘前跌近10%，终止对IDT Biologika交付新冠疫苗；Sea盘前跌2.5%，公司将在印尼解雇3%的Shopee员工；Take-Two盘前跌超5%，此前其尚未正式公布的《侠盗猎车手6》大量场景视频泄露，黑客寻求谈判交易；Phunware盘前跌超3%，公司董事净卖出2万股公司股份。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BILI":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"MSTR":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"MSTR.AU":0.9,"KRKR":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"EDU.AU":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"EDU":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910166009,"gmtCreate":1663578727301,"gmtModify":1676537294451,"author":{"id":"3586900171924258","authorId":"3586900171924258","name":"grader","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586900171924258","idStr":"3586900171924258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><v-v 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