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2021-09-07

Hello. First comment. Like please

China stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth

2021-08-10

Like please

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2021-06-23

$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$share buy back soon !

2021-06-18

Like pls ?

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2021-05-31

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$sstill go upside ?

2021-06-19

$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?

2021-06-14

Well

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2021-06-19

Pls like

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2021-06-19

Pls help to like ?

ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential

2021-06-15

Kindly like and comment pls

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Many growth tech stocks tend to reinvest in themselves and thus attract investors who hope to benefit from outsized returns....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/18/better-passive-income-tech-stock-ibm-vs-verizon/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What's the Better Passive Income Tech Stock: IBM or Verizon?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat's the Better Passive Income Tech Stock: IBM or Verizon?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-18 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/18/better-passive-income-tech-stock-ibm-vs-verizon/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors tend to ignore tech stocks when looking for passive income. Many growth tech stocks tend to reinvest in themselves and thus attract investors who hope to benefit from outsized returns....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/18/better-passive-income-tech-stock-ibm-vs-verizon/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VZ":"Verizon Comms","IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/18/better-passive-income-tech-stock-ibm-vs-verizon/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2252336762","content_text":"Investors tend to ignore tech stocks when looking for passive income. Many growth tech stocks tend to reinvest in themselves and thus attract investors who hope to benefit from outsized returns.However, many tech companies have existed for decades, adopting dividend policies as they mature. Two of these companies, International Business Machines (IBM) and Verizon, pay dividends well above the S&P 500 average of 1.7%, though well below the current 9% inflation rate. With these challenges, the question for investors is which passive income tech stock will likely serve them better?The case for IBMAfter years of sluggish growth, IBM reinvented itself again when it bought Red Hat for $34 billion. With this move, IBM has transformed itself into a cloud stock.It has built on that move by acquiring over 20 smaller companies since the former head of the cloud and cognitive software segment, Arvind Krishna, became CEO in April 2020. The spin-off of its managed infrastructure segment into Kyndryl also gave IBM more latitude to focus on the cloud.With that move into the cloud, it faces more competition from the likes of Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet. Still, the capabilities of Red Hat could help make it a leader in the hybrid cloud space. Mordor Intelligence forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% in the hybrid cloud market through 2027, giving IBM the potential to soar in 2022's second half and beyond.That growth may also appeal to income investors who want IBM to keep its Dividend Aristocrat status. Last April, IBM increased its annual dividend to $6.60 per share, the 27th consecutive year that IBM hiked its payout. At current prices, this amounts to a 4.8% cash return.Still, its annual dividend only increased by $0.04 per share, less than 1%. Moreover, in 2021, its capital expenditure (CapEx) was a comparatively modest $2.4 billion. Still, IBM dealt with the cost of spinning off Kyndryl. Consequently, its $6.5 billion in free cash flow in 2021 barely covered the $5.9 billion in dividend costs for that year. Additionally, buying Red Hat took its debt to elevated levels. While debt has fallen since 2019, it currently holds $54 billion in total debt compared to about $19 billion in stockholders' equity.However, the company believes it can generate $35 billion in free cash flow in the 2022 to 2024 time frame. With the company on track for around $6 billion in dividend costs this year, that should hold the payout in good stead. If trends continue, IBM will probably continue the payout hikes and may increase the dividend at a faster pace.Why income investors may choose VerizonDespite IBM's potential, Verizon seems to outperform it as an income stock on many levels. Verizon is one of only three nationwide 5G providers in the U.S. Also, it has won the most J.D. Power awards on network quality for 28 years in a row, giving it an advantage within its industry.Verizon also appears to operate in a faster-growing industry. Grand View Research forecasts a CAGR of 52% for the global 5G services market.Finally, it offers an annual payout of $2.56 per share, taking its cash return to 5.1%. While it is not a Dividend Aristocrat, Verizon has hiked the dividend annually since 2007. Also, in 2021, its $19.3 billion in free cash flow financed $10.4 billion in dividend costs and left significant amounts of cash applicable to other purposes.Unfortunately, it may need that cash more than IBM. Maintaining its top rating meant it spent $20.3 billion in CapEx, an amount consistent with spending in previous years and more than eight times IBM's CapEx spending. It also had to pay $53 billion in 2021 for licensed spectrum, a type of radio frequency-related \"real estate\" that aids in network operations.That outlay took Verizon to $151 billion in total debt, a crashing burden and potential threat to the dividend given Verizon's $83 billion in stockholders' equity. This is particularly concerning since its peer AT&T surrendered its Dividend Aristocrat status last year amid heavy debts. Such concerns could temper its tremendous potential in 5G services.IBM or Verizon?In the end, Verizon appears positioned to better serve passive income investors.Still, deciding between these dividend stocks is not an easy task. Both IBM and Verizon hold heavy debt burdens that potentially threaten their payouts. Also, both companies' minuscule payout hikes will not hearten investors in an inflationary environment. Additionally, IBM has significantly lighter CapEx costs, and the Aristocrat status is an added incentive to continue payout hikes.Nonetheless, unlike IBM, Verizon leads its peers in quality, and its industry holds the potential for more rapid growth. Verizon also holds less debt relative to its stockholders' equity. Such factors may ultimately give Verizon's dividend an added edge.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VZ":0.9,"IBM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072535378,"gmtCreate":1658060146894,"gmtModify":1676536099604,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like","listText":"Pls help to like","text":"Pls help to like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072535378","repostId":"2251841965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2251841965","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1658022733,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2251841965?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-17 09:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the New Netflix-Microsoft Partnership a Massive Mistake?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2251841965","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Microsoft will power Netflix's ads, but the competition will be stiff.","content":"<div>\n<p>Microsoft (MSFT 1.04%) has signed a deal with Netflix (NFLX 8.20%) to provide the technology and sales expertise that will underpin the streamer's upcoming ad-supported tier. For Netflix, working with...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/16/is-the-new-netflix-microsoft-partnership-a-mistake/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the New Netflix-Microsoft Partnership a Massive Mistake?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the New Netflix-Microsoft Partnership a Massive Mistake?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-17 09:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/16/is-the-new-netflix-microsoft-partnership-a-mistake/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Microsoft (MSFT 1.04%) has signed a deal with Netflix (NFLX 8.20%) to provide the technology and sales expertise that will underpin the streamer's upcoming ad-supported tier. For Netflix, working with...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/16/is-the-new-netflix-microsoft-partnership-a-mistake/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4504":"桥水持仓","NFLX":"奈飞","BK4538":"云计算","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","NGD":"New Gold","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4017":"黄金","MSFT":"微软","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/16/is-the-new-netflix-microsoft-partnership-a-mistake/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2251841965","content_text":"Microsoft (MSFT 1.04%) has signed a deal with Netflix (NFLX 8.20%) to provide the technology and sales expertise that will underpin the streamer's upcoming ad-supported tier. For Netflix, working with one of the biggest tech firms in the world on one of its most important projects in recent years is somewhat of a boon. And for Microsoft, overseeing the nascent ad product for the most popular streaming service on the planet only serves to boost its suite of marketing services.Still, for both companies, the risks of failure can't be overstated. Netflix has positioned a lower-cost ad-supported offering as a strategy to combat falling subscriber numbers. Meanwhile, Microsoft no longer operates a streaming platform upon which to sell video ads (R.I.P. Mixer). Fundamentally, this is an enormous opportunity for the two companies, but there's a chance they both might have bitten off more than they can chew.Image source: Getty Images.Why not Google or Meta?When talking about advertising in the internet age, Alphabet's Google and Meta are always part of the conversation. Google generated almost $210 billion from ads last year, while Meta pulled in close to $115 billion. By contrast, Microsoft drew just $10 billion in ad revenue in 2021.Of course, Microsoft has never presented itself as an advertising-driven operation -- it's always been a software and services business. Conversely, Google and Meta built their fortunes by creating successful ad platforms, and their successes have been borne out by the fact that marketers want to use their tools.Needless to say, as video has become a major part of the modern web experience, Google and Meta have been there to exploit the advertising opportunities: Google's YouTube serves 1 billion hours of content each day, while Meta's Instagram Reels can reach as many as 675.3 million users each month. With those achievements in mind, why didn't Netflix choose to partner with Google or Meta?The need for controlNeither Microsoft nor Netflix have provided specifics about the tie-up, so it's unwise to speculate whether there were any financial incentives or other favorable terms that helped seal the deal. However, in Netflix's press release discussing the arrangement, there may be a clue: Netflix wants control.\"Microsoft has the proven ability to support all our advertising needs as we work together to build a new ad-supported offering,\" Netflix stated. \"More importantly, Microsoft offered the flexibility to innovate over time on both the technology and sales side, as well as strong privacy protections for our members.\"Reading between the lines, Netflix seems to suggest it doesn't yet know how advertising will work on its platform -- if at all. By working with the seventh-most-popular global ad network, it will almost certainly have more say over the frequency and quality of the ads it offers. It's also possible Microsoft could give them more performance insight than they might get from bigger players. Plus, privacy protections are a bonus because Google and Meta both have muddy histories on that front.Are the trade-offs worth it?Despite all the reasons for Netflix opting to work with Microsoft, there are a host of reasons it could ultimately prove to be a misstep. Notably, it's not just the money Microsoft has (or has not) previously generated in the ad-network space that matters, it's also the relationships associated with that revenue. It's almost inevitable that the larger the ad network, the more connections it has with marketers.For Netflix -- a company that's literally creating a whole new pricing tier subsidized by advertisers -- access to the biggest available pool of marketers will be important. That need will be even greater when you consider the user experience -- subscribers will quickly become irritated if they're shown the same carousel of ads over and again while binging Stranger Things. Does Microsoft have a deep-enough pool of connections to really satisfy Netflix's needs?As things stand, many details of Netflix's ad-supported plan are still vague, so it's possible a lot of these concerns may be addressed in the company's upcoming Q2 earnings call. Investors should see what Netflix says about how its ad-based tier will operate, as well as any details about how long they're tied to Microsoft. After all, if the streamer wants \"flexibility,\" part of that idea might be eventually moving to an ad network that has more stature in the advertising industry.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NGD":1,"NFLX":1,"QNETCN":0.6,"MSFT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9076228437,"gmtCreate":1657853765629,"gmtModify":1676536073269,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9076228437","repostId":"688718764","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":688718764,"gmtCreate":1657848190000,"gmtModify":1676533340759,"author":{"id":"4103332230805300","authorId":"4103332230805300","name":"Smartkarma","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/39fffba2ff205c2730b5bf07e3de6647","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103332230805300","authorIdStr":"4103332230805300"},"themes":[],"title":"Bitcoin Bear Wedge Targets 15k and Will Lead Global Risk","htmlText":"Bitcoin displays a high conviction bear wedge that will break lower with momentum, and bleed into the global risk cycle given the recent tight correlation. Bitcoin displays a high conviction bear wedge that will break lower with momentum, and bleed into the global risk cycle given the recent tight correlation. Previous bear wedge breakdowns have been reliable and resulted in high momentum drops. Platform illiquidity/closures a system risk.&nbsp; MACD set for a bear turn from resistance that concurs with a decline toward the 15,600 target. Full analysis here:- https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bitcoin-bear-wedge-targets-15k-and-will-lead-global-risk?utm_source=tiger_community By Thomas Schroeder, Insight Provider on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/thomas-schroeder?utm_sou","listText":"Bitcoin displays a high conviction bear wedge that will break lower with momentum, and bleed into the global risk cycle given the recent tight correlation. Bitcoin displays a high conviction bear wedge that will break lower with momentum, and bleed into the global risk cycle given the recent tight correlation. Previous bear wedge breakdowns have been reliable and resulted in high momentum drops. Platform illiquidity/closures a system risk.&nbsp; MACD set for a bear turn from resistance that concurs with a decline toward the 15,600 target. Full analysis here:- https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bitcoin-bear-wedge-targets-15k-and-will-lead-global-risk?utm_source=tiger_community By Thomas Schroeder, Insight Provider on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/thomas-schroeder?utm_sou","text":"Bitcoin displays a high conviction bear wedge that will break lower with momentum, and bleed into the global risk cycle given the recent tight correlation. Bitcoin displays a high conviction bear wedge that will break lower with momentum, and bleed into the global risk cycle given the recent tight correlation. Previous bear wedge breakdowns have been reliable and resulted in high momentum drops. Platform illiquidity/closures a system risk. MACD set for a bear turn from resistance that concurs with a decline toward the 15,600 target. Full analysis here:- https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bitcoin-bear-wedge-targets-15k-and-will-lead-global-risk?utm_source=tiger_community By Thomas Schroeder, Insight Provider on Smartkarma:- https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/thomas-schroeder?utm_sou","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/688718764","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9076221218,"gmtCreate":1657853604534,"gmtModify":1676536073238,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9076221218","repostId":"1134929602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134929602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657853234,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134929602?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-15 10:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"An Outrageously Bold Bet On Revlon Has Traders Thinking","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134929602","media":"Barchart","summary":"Cosmetics and personal care giant Revlon has recently been the recipient of bullish call options tra","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Cosmetics and personal care giant Revlon has recently been the recipient of bullish call options trading.</li><li>After filing for bankruptcy, REV stock has swung higher as the meme-trade phenomenon kicked in.</li><li>Although it’s a very risky trade, it’s not without some supporting fundamentals.</li></ul><p>While many publicly traded companies enjoyed the speculative fervor that surprisingly bolstered several industries, one sector that felt little love is cosmetics and beauty care. With people sheltering in place and benefitting from telecommuting privileges, there was little reason to put excessive effort into looking good. As a result, cosmetics giant Revlon (REV) faded badly.</p><p>Prior to the pandemic, REV stock traded firmly in double-digit territory, even during its occasional corrections. Since the COVID-19 crisis got underway, however, it’s been a struggle for Revlon shares to stay above $10 territory. Further, on a year-to-date basis, REV has hemorrhaged nearly 52%, a sign of both industry struggles and desperately fierce competition.</p><p>Unfortunately, the cosmetics manufacturer couldn’t arrest the severe decline. Along with the challenges that the pandemic imposed, Revlon failed to keep pace with shifting preferences, a challenge stemming back to the 1990s. As well, it lost ground to both blue-chip rivals like Procter &amp; Gamble (PG) and new cosmetics lines from Kylie Jenner and other celebrities.</p><p>Finally, last month on June 16, the<i>Associated Press</i>reported that Revlon filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. It would have seemed to be the end of REV stock except for one small detail: the meme traders came in.</p><p>Over the trailing month since the close of the July 13 session, REV stock is up nearly 202%. Further, bullish developments in the derivatives market seemingly bodes well for Revlon.</p><p><b>REV Stock Is The Subject Of Unusual Options Activity</b></p><p>While not a surefire gauge, it’s always good practice to monitor unusual options activityto determine the magnitude of sentiment for particular securities. For REV stock, two entries stood out. First, traders bought up $4 call options with an expiration date of July 15, 2022, which obviously expires shortly. Second, the bulls dove into $2.50 calls with an expiration date of Aug. 19, 2022.</p><p>For the nearer-expiration call, the bid-ask spread as represented by the midpoint price ($1.70) is 11.8%. For the further-out expiration call, the spread against the midpoint price ($3.20) is nearly 6.3%. Primarily, the width of spreads aligns with the liquidity of the underlying trade. Narrower spreads are more liquid than wider spreads, indicative of greater interest among bulls and bears to participate.</p><p>As well, this metric also provides clues about the confidence that market makers have in facilitating certain transactions. While wider spreads provide more profitability for market makers, unnecessary width makes them uncompetitive. However, that extra width is necessary for financial protection if the underlying security is volatile and difficult to predictably place.</p><p>Interestingly, the further-out expiration call features a reasonably tight spread, indicating some measure of confidence. Therefore, it’s not completely irrational to wager on REV stock.</p><p><b>Return To Normal</b></p><p>Although the cosmetics sector is not really appropriate for risk-averse investors, some fundamental dynamics might shift favorably for REV stock; namely, the return to normal.</p><p>In the COVID-19 paradigm, the incentive to look presentable diminished considerably, with meetings now occurring via teleconferencing platforms. Further, one can always choose to participate through voice channels as opposed to audio<i>and</i>video. Again, such factors reduced the necessity for presentability.</p><p>Moreover, it’s not that much of a stretch to assume that people cared less about their personal appearance during the new normal. Primarily, the American Psychological Association reported that 42% of U.S. adults reported undesired weight gain since the start of the pandemic. Further, the average gain was 29 pounds. Under this context, it’s no surprise that REV stock plummeted.</p><p>However, the capacity to live on as digital hermits may be coming to an end soon. Specifically, management teams across the country may start axing work-from-home privileges. True, workers will invariably put up fierce resistance. But in an environment where recession fears are rising, the likelihood that employees – who invariably have fewer financial resources than well-off corporations – will capitulate first is high.</p><p>Therefore, more people will essentially be forced into the public sphere, which then benefits REV stock and the underlying cosmetics business.</p><p><b>Not The Easiest Bullish Narrative</b></p><p>Still, one note of caution is necessary. Even though the backdrop for the personal care sector may be on the verge of improving, that doesn’t necessarily mean that REV stock will automatically rise higher. Overall, Barchart.com reports that the average assessment about Revlon (using various analytical tools) is a “sell,” which isn’t surprising.</p><p>However, on a positive note, last month, the sentiment for REV stock was 100% negative. Gradually, this magnitude of negativity has dipped to 40%. Therefore, Revlon has a chance to swing higher in the near term. Just exercise extreme caution if you’re thinking about engaging this trade.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>An Outrageously Bold Bet On Revlon Has Traders Thinking</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAn Outrageously Bold Bet On Revlon Has Traders Thinking\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-15 10:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barchart.com/story/news/9151063/an-outrageously-bold-bet-on-revlon-rev-has-traders-thinking><strong>Barchart</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cosmetics and personal care giant Revlon has recently been the recipient of bullish call options trading.After filing for bankruptcy, REV stock has swung higher as the meme-trade phenomenon kicked in....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/9151063/an-outrageously-bold-bet-on-revlon-rev-has-traders-thinking\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/9151063/an-outrageously-bold-bet-on-revlon-rev-has-traders-thinking","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134929602","content_text":"Cosmetics and personal care giant Revlon has recently been the recipient of bullish call options trading.After filing for bankruptcy, REV stock has swung higher as the meme-trade phenomenon kicked in.Although it’s a very risky trade, it’s not without some supporting fundamentals.While many publicly traded companies enjoyed the speculative fervor that surprisingly bolstered several industries, one sector that felt little love is cosmetics and beauty care. With people sheltering in place and benefitting from telecommuting privileges, there was little reason to put excessive effort into looking good. As a result, cosmetics giant Revlon (REV) faded badly.Prior to the pandemic, REV stock traded firmly in double-digit territory, even during its occasional corrections. Since the COVID-19 crisis got underway, however, it’s been a struggle for Revlon shares to stay above $10 territory. Further, on a year-to-date basis, REV has hemorrhaged nearly 52%, a sign of both industry struggles and desperately fierce competition.Unfortunately, the cosmetics manufacturer couldn’t arrest the severe decline. Along with the challenges that the pandemic imposed, Revlon failed to keep pace with shifting preferences, a challenge stemming back to the 1990s. As well, it lost ground to both blue-chip rivals like Procter & Gamble (PG) and new cosmetics lines from Kylie Jenner and other celebrities.Finally, last month on June 16, theAssociated Pressreported that Revlon filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. It would have seemed to be the end of REV stock except for one small detail: the meme traders came in.Over the trailing month since the close of the July 13 session, REV stock is up nearly 202%. Further, bullish developments in the derivatives market seemingly bodes well for Revlon.REV Stock Is The Subject Of Unusual Options ActivityWhile not a surefire gauge, it’s always good practice to monitor unusual options activityto determine the magnitude of sentiment for particular securities. For REV stock, two entries stood out. First, traders bought up $4 call options with an expiration date of July 15, 2022, which obviously expires shortly. Second, the bulls dove into $2.50 calls with an expiration date of Aug. 19, 2022.For the nearer-expiration call, the bid-ask spread as represented by the midpoint price ($1.70) is 11.8%. For the further-out expiration call, the spread against the midpoint price ($3.20) is nearly 6.3%. Primarily, the width of spreads aligns with the liquidity of the underlying trade. Narrower spreads are more liquid than wider spreads, indicative of greater interest among bulls and bears to participate.As well, this metric also provides clues about the confidence that market makers have in facilitating certain transactions. While wider spreads provide more profitability for market makers, unnecessary width makes them uncompetitive. However, that extra width is necessary for financial protection if the underlying security is volatile and difficult to predictably place.Interestingly, the further-out expiration call features a reasonably tight spread, indicating some measure of confidence. Therefore, it’s not completely irrational to wager on REV stock.Return To NormalAlthough the cosmetics sector is not really appropriate for risk-averse investors, some fundamental dynamics might shift favorably for REV stock; namely, the return to normal.In the COVID-19 paradigm, the incentive to look presentable diminished considerably, with meetings now occurring via teleconferencing platforms. Further, one can always choose to participate through voice channels as opposed to audioandvideo. Again, such factors reduced the necessity for presentability.Moreover, it’s not that much of a stretch to assume that people cared less about their personal appearance during the new normal. Primarily, the American Psychological Association reported that 42% of U.S. adults reported undesired weight gain since the start of the pandemic. Further, the average gain was 29 pounds. Under this context, it’s no surprise that REV stock plummeted.However, the capacity to live on as digital hermits may be coming to an end soon. Specifically, management teams across the country may start axing work-from-home privileges. True, workers will invariably put up fierce resistance. But in an environment where recession fears are rising, the likelihood that employees – who invariably have fewer financial resources than well-off corporations – will capitulate first is high.Therefore, more people will essentially be forced into the public sphere, which then benefits REV stock and the underlying cosmetics business.Not The Easiest Bullish NarrativeStill, one note of caution is necessary. Even though the backdrop for the personal care sector may be on the verge of improving, that doesn’t necessarily mean that REV stock will automatically rise higher. Overall, Barchart.com reports that the average assessment about Revlon (using various analytical tools) is a “sell,” which isn’t surprising.However, on a positive note, last month, the sentiment for REV stock was 100% negative. Gradually, this magnitude of negativity has dipped to 40%. Therefore, Revlon has a chance to swing higher in the near term. Just exercise extreme caution if you’re thinking about engaging this trade.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"REV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9078108871,"gmtCreate":1657650654194,"gmtModify":1676536038767,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9078108871","repostId":"1183317786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183317786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657725663,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183317786?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-13 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183317786","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple seems sensitive to money supply changes.</li><li>The money supply has moved lower recently.</li><li>Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.</li><li>Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.</li></ul><p><b>An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock Changes</b></p><p>Apple&#39;s (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple&#39;s business is close to a decline as well. It&#39;s hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but <i>investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares</i>.</p><p><b>Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money Supply</b></p><p>Below, in orange, is a line that charts Apple&#39;s net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528936fdee032a8df5df1f1d9346f525\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Comparing Apple&#39;s total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn&#39;t a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2601df6c94bcf33cf9d8cb513831f02b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.</p><p>Below is a chart of Apple&#39;s revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85bcf86056d9f31c4696dcff5cb61ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f11921668cd853bfe3dc9a034bd4f0a1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.</p><p>Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple&#39;s gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3e8ea9499f7bf942e815b8629bc4b3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9de35bc7a244e8f28e9c7246ee334e17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a0dcb7a36a761a9ae06fd52c7f67f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.</p><p>The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple&#39;s net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.</p><p><b>Apple&#39;s Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High Watermark</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bedb4549bcfeabac38c78e2582fbe3\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Discussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.</p><p>Apple&#39;s total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b79a57b9e23952ddfd1caa062c3d8fe\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>According tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.</p><p>Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It&#39;s intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple&#39;s business. It doesn&#39;t cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.</p><p>My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple&#39;s gross profit margins are likely to move lower.</p><p><b>Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started Dropping</b></p><p>An article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,<i>“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”</i>From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&amp;P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8bb00b5e7614aa6767abf974c06357\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>The Money Supply Is Contracting</b></p><p>Since January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple&#39;s ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple&#39;s books sometime soon.</p><p><b>Peer Stocks Aren&#39;t Waiting For Apple</b></p><p>Comparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/086832380f269b21a2fd83d8cc9d4139\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Charted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94585746919c5467bda08f0283ff58c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Macro Considerations</b></p><p>Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple&#39;s profitability.</p><p><b>Modeling Growth</b></p><p>Consider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually <i>contracted</i> 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple&#39;s revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64c5fd4e8e04894d00c02d07c82a81d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>And if you look further back, at the <i>five</i> years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we&#39;re talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b118c3060735a60824a74f03f86a2568\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed&#39;s stated resolve to fight it, I just don&#39;t think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple&#39;s large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>If services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple&#39;s profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn&#39;t tax-advantaged, it&#39;s possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won&#39;t make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.</p><p>It&#39;s also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Companies can&#39;t grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Be Squeezed By Falling Money Supply\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522849-apple-could-be-squeezed-by-falling-money-supply?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A13","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183317786","content_text":"SummaryApple seems sensitive to money supply changes.The money supply has moved lower recently.Recent comments from the Federal Reserve suggest the money supply could continue to fall.Mega-cap stocks moved lower over the last eight months, while AAPL has resisted declining in line with its peers.An Ominous Sign Emerges From Recent Money Stock ChangesApple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) profitability seems to respond to changes in the Real M2 Money Stock. With that data series moving steadily lower over the last seven months, I find myself wondering if Apple's business is close to a decline as well. It's hard to recommend outright shorting Apple, given their track record, but investors might consider reducing their positions if they are currently holding AAPL shares.Apple Seems Sensitive To The Money SupplyBelow, in orange, is a line that charts Apple's net income from 2010 to the present time. The overlaid green line shows the change in Real M2 Money Stock over the same twelve-year timeframe.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 9, 2022.Comparing Apple's total return to the same Real M2 Money Stock change over the last twelve years shows a similar trend. That isn't a surprising thing to observe: Apple has used profits to aggressively buy back shares starting in 2013.Seeking Alpha, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 9, 2022.Below is a chart of Apple's revenue over the last five years, followed by the money stock over the same period.Seeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL, July 11, 2022.Before 2020, the last time the money stock jumped sharply higher was in the fall of 2008. Below is a graph that shows Apple's gross profit margin in 2008 and 2009 and one that shows net income in the same stretch, followed by the Real M2 Money Stock across the same timeframe.Seeking AlphaSeeking AlphaFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Real M2 Money Stock, July 11, 2022.The money stock jumped by about 10.5% from Q3 2008 to Q2 2009. Apple's net income grew about 21% per quarter in that span. In the two years leading up to Q3 2008, Apple grew net income by about 12% per quarter, while the money stock increased less than 5% over that stretch.Apple's Profit Margin Could Retreat From The Recent High WatermarkSeeking AlphaDiscussing recent high profit margins, an article posted to Forbes.com on February 3rd, 2021 suggested 1) that high revenues (at the time) helped Apple minimize the fixed costs that go into making an iPhone, 2) that Apple was more successful in convincing customers to buy the pro version of their devices, and 3) that growth in services revenue further absorbed fixed costs. I wanted to dig deeper into those suggestions.Apple's total revenue over the last twelve years, charted below, moves somewhat sympathetically to gross profit margin at times but, to my eye, that relationship is hard to see with confidence.Seeking AlphaAccording tobacklinko.com, the iPhone 12 outsold the second most popular model, however, if you combine iPhone Pro Max and iPhone Pro sales numbers, the high-end phones outsold the iPhone 12 by 50%. Information sourced from 9to5mac.com confirms that the dynamic of buying the more expensive model was a change compared to the iPhone 11 launch, where the baseline model outsold the pro models.Higher services hit a record in Q1 2021. It's intuitive to recognize that services revenue growth diminishes the fixed cost of designing the systems that support that arm of Apple's business. It doesn't cost Apple anything to sell an additional digital book, mp3, or app subscription. With a burst of new customers introduced to the Apple ecosystem during the pandemic, it logically follows that services would see a boost.My independent checks of the claims made in the Forbes article lead me to believe that higher margins in 2020 and early 2021 were mostly a function of 1) selling pro versions of the devices Apple released and 2) growing services revenue. According to macrumors.com, the iPhone 13 is currently outselling the pro models, similar to the sales dynamic of the iPhone 11 launch. Although services revenue growth may offset the hit to margins that could come from cheaper models regaining popularity, this dynamic suggests to me that Apple's gross profit margins are likely to move lower.Apple Stock Jumped When Interest Rates Started DroppingAn article by Hunkar Ozyasaron Zacks.com notes,“Stock prices tend to move higher when the money supply in an economy is high. Plenty of money circulating in the economy both makes more money available to invest in stocks and also makes alternative investment instruments, such as bonds, less attractive.”From my perspective, Apple has become especially sensitive to money supply changes. Below is a graph that compares the total return for Apple against that of the S&P 500. Apple struggled to keep pace for years, and then began jumping higher, just as interest rates started to be lowered in August 2019 and the money supply started to accelerate upward.Seeking AlphaThe Money Supply Is ContractingSince January, the money stock has declined by almost 3%. That might not seem like a lot, but in the last twelve years, outside the last seven months, the money stock has hardly ever decreased at all. You have to go all the way back to 1995, 27 years ago, to find a decrease of at least 3% in the Real M2 Money Stock. If some part of Apple's ability to grow net income is tied to money supply growth, I would expect a contraction in net income to start showing up on Apple's books sometime soon.Peer Stocks Aren't Waiting For AppleComparing total return over the last eight years for the four American companies that have a market cap north of a trillion dollars, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, reveals that all of these behemoths may respond, to some degree, to a change in the real money stock. Although some companies compared below might outperform others over time, they tend to move in roughly the same direction.Seeking AlphaCharted below is a comparison of the total return, as a percent change, for those big four companies, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN, over the last eight months. While three of the four companies have closely tracked lower, Apple seems determined to go its own way. Are investors wrong about three companies and right about one, or wrong about one company and right about the other three? Or is Apple actually in the process of differentiating itself from its peers?Seeking AlphaMacro ConsiderationsChairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, recently suggested that the Fed is deeply committed to fighting the high inflation we are currently experiencing in the US. To do this, I think they will have to continue to bring the money stock lower. Based on the research presented in this article, I believe that possibility poses a risk to Apple's profitability.Modeling GrowthConsider the two-year period of time leading up to 9/26/2020. Net income in that stretch actually contracted 3.56%, despite three separate iPhone model launches contributing to Apple's revenue, each offering a variety of device versions with diverse features and across a range of price points.Seeking AlphaAnd if you look further back, at the five years preceding 9/26/2020, net income only grew a paltry 7.52%. Remember, this is Apple we're talking about across a five-year window. If you thought Apple would grow net income by 7.52% over the coming five years, would you be excited about buying shares at the current P/E GAAP of almost 24?Seeking AlphaI think Apple could easily return to a period of net income growth that was similar to what it realized leading up to the pandemic. Given high inflation and the Fed's stated resolve to fight it, I just don't think Apple is likely to enjoy any time soon the kinds of conditions that facilitated an enormous 77.55% rise in net income over just a year and a half. In addition to a contracting money supply, I suspect that Apple's large market cap and general declining smartphone demand will act to suppress growth.RisksIf services growth continues to climb higher, it could support Apple's profit margins and give the company the flexibility to lower prices on their devices. That, in turn, might allow Apple to better compete for a broader customer demographic and adapt to changing economic conditions that grow out of a shrinking money supply. If you hold shares of AAPL in a stock account that isn't tax-advantaged, it's possible that whatever risk you might be able to offload by selling AAPL won't make up for what is lost when you have to pay capital gains on your sale.It's also worth noting that Warren Buffett really likes Apple, which comprises around42%of Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) (BRK.B) portfolio. Buffett likes to hold onto companies for a long time, and even added to his already lopsided AAPL bet in Q1, 2022.ConclusionCompanies can't grow infinitely larger. With a market cap near 2.4 trillion dollars, there is a lot that has to go right for Apple to continue growing at a meaningful rate. There are only so many people in the world with enough cash, enough internet access, enough electricity, and enough interest to buy the next iPhone. Google search trends for the term “iPhone” reveal a long and steady decline in interest, and shows a similar trend measuring searches for “iPad”. If the recent burst in profitability was tied to a rare bump in the money stock, Apple could be in danger of returning to a slower growth, lower margin, and lower net income environment. Share buybacks, it would follow, could dry up or slow down considerably.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073130743,"gmtCreate":1657296915282,"gmtModify":1676535986966,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073130743","repostId":"1114502004","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114502004","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657291834,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114502004?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-08 22:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114502004","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.Tesla, Lucid, Rivian, Nio, Fisker, Arrival, Nikola, and Lordsto","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>, Fisker, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARVL\">Arrival</a>, Nikola, and Lordstown climbed between 1% and 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b77b5dd11d2bd93d9276cb9b080ed130\" tg-width=\"454\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-08 22:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>, Fisker, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARVL\">Arrival</a>, Nikola, and Lordstown climbed between 1% and 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b77b5dd11d2bd93d9276cb9b080ed130\" tg-width=\"454\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4562":"SPAC上市公司","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4555":"新能源车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114502004","content_text":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading.Tesla, Lucid, Rivian, Nio, Fisker, Arrival, Nikola, and Lordstown climbed between 1% and 7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"ARVL":0.9,"LCID":0.9,"NKLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047027944,"gmtCreate":1656833926488,"gmtModify":1676535902167,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047027944","repostId":"2248980919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248980919","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656848586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248980919?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-03 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248980919","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second q","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-03 19:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248980919","content_text":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880063214,"gmtCreate":1631000932338,"gmtModify":1676530438869,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello. First comment. Like please","listText":"Hello. First comment. Like please","text":"Hello. First comment. Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/880063214","repostId":"1180092390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180092390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1631000448,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180092390?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-07 15:40","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"China stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180092390","media":"Reuters","summary":"SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the w","content":"<p>SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly grew at a faster pace last month, and as officials pledged to push further opening of capital markets to foreign investors. </p>\n<p>At the close, the Shanghai Composite index was up 1.51% at 3,676.59 points.</p>\n<p>The blue-chip CSI300 index closed 1.2% higher, with its financial sector sub-index climbing 2.01%, the real-estate index up 0.37% and the healthcare sub-index down 0.16%.</p>\n<p>Shipments from the world’s biggest exporter in August rose at a faster-than-expected rate of 25.6% from a year earlier, from a 19.3.% gain in July, pointing to some resilience in China’s industrial sector.</p>\n<p>China will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.</p>\n<p>Foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Stock Connect programme, with Refinitiv data showing net inflows of 10.46 billion yuan ($1.62 billion) for the day.</p>\n<p>The materials sector jumped 3.41% and the consumer discretionary sub-index rose 1.22%. </p>\n<p>The smaller Shenzhen index ended 1.13% higher and the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was higher by 0.725%. </p>\n<p>Around the region, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan stock index was firmer by 0.04%, while Japan’s Nikkei index closed up 0.86%. </p>\n<p>At 0700 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4565 per U.S. dollar, 0.02% firmer than the previous close of 6.458.</p>\n<p>So far this year, the Shanghai stock index climbed 5.9% and the CSI300 dropped 4.2%, while China’s H-share index listed in Hong Kong was down 11.8%. Shanghai stocks advanced 3.74% this month.</p>\n<p>($1 = 6.4569 Chinese yuan)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-07 15:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly grew at a faster pace last month, and as officials pledged to push further opening of capital markets to foreign investors. </p>\n<p>At the close, the Shanghai Composite index was up 1.51% at 3,676.59 points.</p>\n<p>The blue-chip CSI300 index closed 1.2% higher, with its financial sector sub-index climbing 2.01%, the real-estate index up 0.37% and the healthcare sub-index down 0.16%.</p>\n<p>Shipments from the world’s biggest exporter in August rose at a faster-than-expected rate of 25.6% from a year earlier, from a 19.3.% gain in July, pointing to some resilience in China’s industrial sector.</p>\n<p>China will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.</p>\n<p>Foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Stock Connect programme, with Refinitiv data showing net inflows of 10.46 billion yuan ($1.62 billion) for the day.</p>\n<p>The materials sector jumped 3.41% and the consumer discretionary sub-index rose 1.22%. </p>\n<p>The smaller Shenzhen index ended 1.13% higher and the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was higher by 0.725%. </p>\n<p>Around the region, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan stock index was firmer by 0.04%, while Japan’s Nikkei index closed up 0.86%. </p>\n<p>At 0700 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4565 per U.S. dollar, 0.02% firmer than the previous close of 6.458.</p>\n<p>So far this year, the Shanghai stock index climbed 5.9% and the CSI300 dropped 4.2%, while China’s H-share index listed in Hong Kong was down 11.8%. Shanghai stocks advanced 3.74% this month.</p>\n<p>($1 = 6.4569 Chinese yuan)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180092390","content_text":"SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly grew at a faster pace last month, and as officials pledged to push further opening of capital markets to foreign investors. \nAt the close, the Shanghai Composite index was up 1.51% at 3,676.59 points.\nThe blue-chip CSI300 index closed 1.2% higher, with its financial sector sub-index climbing 2.01%, the real-estate index up 0.37% and the healthcare sub-index down 0.16%.\nShipments from the world’s biggest exporter in August rose at a faster-than-expected rate of 25.6% from a year earlier, from a 19.3.% gain in July, pointing to some resilience in China’s industrial sector.\nChina will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.\nForeign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Stock Connect programme, with Refinitiv data showing net inflows of 10.46 billion yuan ($1.62 billion) for the day.\nThe materials sector jumped 3.41% and the consumer discretionary sub-index rose 1.22%. \nThe smaller Shenzhen index ended 1.13% higher and the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was higher by 0.725%. \nAround the region, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan stock index was firmer by 0.04%, while Japan’s Nikkei index closed up 0.86%. \nAt 0700 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4565 per U.S. dollar, 0.02% firmer than the previous close of 6.458.\nSo far this year, the Shanghai stock index climbed 5.9% and the CSI300 dropped 4.2%, while China’s H-share index listed in Hong Kong was down 11.8%. Shanghai stocks advanced 3.74% this month.\n($1 = 6.4569 Chinese yuan)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830868501,"gmtCreate":1629051065203,"gmtModify":1676529916395,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830868501","repostId":"2159321288","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159321288","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628990553,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2159321288?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-15 09:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Regulatory Risk Is A Silver Lining For Apple And Google","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159321288","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The threat of regulation has been looming over big tech giants such as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and","content":"<p>The threat of regulation has been looming over big tech giants such as <b>Apple Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: AAPL) and <b>Alphabet Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG) over the past three years.</p>\n<p>With a bill seeking broader changes in the way Apple and Google operate their respective app stores introduced this week, Loup Funds Managing Partner Gene Munster offered his take on what is in store for these companies.</p>\n<p><b>What the New Legislation Is All About: </b> The changes proposed by the legislation calls for allowing third-party app stores with the App Store and Google Play store, Munster noted. Both companies are also called to allow app developers to explicitly advertise within apps, so that consumers can subscribe and make purchases outside of the App Store or the Google Play Store, he added.</p>\n<p>This will help avoiding the 30% take rate on in-app purchases, the analyst said.</p>\n<p>The proposed bill will have to be approved by the House and Senate before becoming law, Munster said.</p>\n<p><b>Regulation Not Automatically Negative: </b> The end result of regulation is not automatically negative for big tech, given unintended consequences often occur when incentives change, Munster said.</p>\n<p>Even if Apple buckles under pressure and reduces its take rate from 30% to 10% - a possibility which is unlikely – it could still make more money ultimately, the analyst said. A reduction in fees will likely spur greater growth in the app development ecosystem, he added.</p>\n<p>Apple and Google, according to the analyst, have the stronger case, given they created their mobile app stores and are responsible for maintaining them, the analyst said. They, therefore, should have control over how things are curated and distributed within the stores, he added.</p>\n<p>Additionally, opening the iPhone to third-party app stores, the analyst said, will weaken security and privacy, thereby harming consumers.</p>\n<p><b>Munster's Take On Potential Regulation: </b> The likelihood of radical regulation as low, Munster said. If any regulations do&nbsp;materialize, the most likely outcome is that Apple and Google will be forced to remove their anti-steering clauses, thereby allowing publishers to advertise payment options outside of the default in-app payment systems, the analyst said.</p>\n<p>\"This would have limited impact on consumer app store engagement given the easiest way to manage app spending will be to remain inside the respective walled gardens,\" the analyst concluded.</p>\n<p>Apple closed Friday's session down 0.14% at $149.10 and Google ended nearly flat at $2,768.12.</p>\n<p>Latest Ratings for AAPL</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <th>Date</th>\n   <th>Firm</th>\n   <th>Action</th>\n   <th>From</th>\n   <th>To</th>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jul 2021</td>\n   <td>Loop Capital</td>\n   <td>Maintains</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Buy</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jul 2021</td>\n   <td>Deutsche Bank</td>\n   <td>Maintains</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Buy</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jul 2021</td>\n   <td>Piper Sandler</td>\n   <td>Maintains</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Overweight</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Regulatory Risk Is A Silver Lining For Apple And Google</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Regulatory Risk Is A Silver Lining For Apple And Google\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-15 09:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The threat of regulation has been looming over big tech giants such as <b>Apple Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: AAPL) and <b>Alphabet Inc. </b>(NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG) over the past three years.</p>\n<p>With a bill seeking broader changes in the way Apple and Google operate their respective app stores introduced this week, Loup Funds Managing Partner Gene Munster offered his take on what is in store for these companies.</p>\n<p><b>What the New Legislation Is All About: </b> The changes proposed by the legislation calls for allowing third-party app stores with the App Store and Google Play store, Munster noted. Both companies are also called to allow app developers to explicitly advertise within apps, so that consumers can subscribe and make purchases outside of the App Store or the Google Play Store, he added.</p>\n<p>This will help avoiding the 30% take rate on in-app purchases, the analyst said.</p>\n<p>The proposed bill will have to be approved by the House and Senate before becoming law, Munster said.</p>\n<p><b>Regulation Not Automatically Negative: </b> The end result of regulation is not automatically negative for big tech, given unintended consequences often occur when incentives change, Munster said.</p>\n<p>Even if Apple buckles under pressure and reduces its take rate from 30% to 10% - a possibility which is unlikely – it could still make more money ultimately, the analyst said. A reduction in fees will likely spur greater growth in the app development ecosystem, he added.</p>\n<p>Apple and Google, according to the analyst, have the stronger case, given they created their mobile app stores and are responsible for maintaining them, the analyst said. They, therefore, should have control over how things are curated and distributed within the stores, he added.</p>\n<p>Additionally, opening the iPhone to third-party app stores, the analyst said, will weaken security and privacy, thereby harming consumers.</p>\n<p><b>Munster's Take On Potential Regulation: </b> The likelihood of radical regulation as low, Munster said. If any regulations do&nbsp;materialize, the most likely outcome is that Apple and Google will be forced to remove their anti-steering clauses, thereby allowing publishers to advertise payment options outside of the default in-app payment systems, the analyst said.</p>\n<p>\"This would have limited impact on consumer app store engagement given the easiest way to manage app spending will be to remain inside the respective walled gardens,\" the analyst concluded.</p>\n<p>Apple closed Friday's session down 0.14% at $149.10 and Google ended nearly flat at $2,768.12.</p>\n<p>Latest Ratings for AAPL</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <th>Date</th>\n   <th>Firm</th>\n   <th>Action</th>\n   <th>From</th>\n   <th>To</th>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jul 2021</td>\n   <td>Loop Capital</td>\n   <td>Maintains</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Buy</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jul 2021</td>\n   <td>Deutsche Bank</td>\n   <td>Maintains</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Buy</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Jul 2021</td>\n   <td>Piper Sandler</td>\n   <td>Maintains</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>Overweight</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159321288","content_text":"The threat of regulation has been looming over big tech giants such as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG) over the past three years.\nWith a bill seeking broader changes in the way Apple and Google operate their respective app stores introduced this week, Loup Funds Managing Partner Gene Munster offered his take on what is in store for these companies.\nWhat the New Legislation Is All About:  The changes proposed by the legislation calls for allowing third-party app stores with the App Store and Google Play store, Munster noted. Both companies are also called to allow app developers to explicitly advertise within apps, so that consumers can subscribe and make purchases outside of the App Store or the Google Play Store, he added.\nThis will help avoiding the 30% take rate on in-app purchases, the analyst said.\nThe proposed bill will have to be approved by the House and Senate before becoming law, Munster said.\nRegulation Not Automatically Negative:  The end result of regulation is not automatically negative for big tech, given unintended consequences often occur when incentives change, Munster said.\nEven if Apple buckles under pressure and reduces its take rate from 30% to 10% - a possibility which is unlikely – it could still make more money ultimately, the analyst said. A reduction in fees will likely spur greater growth in the app development ecosystem, he added.\nApple and Google, according to the analyst, have the stronger case, given they created their mobile app stores and are responsible for maintaining them, the analyst said. They, therefore, should have control over how things are curated and distributed within the stores, he added.\nAdditionally, opening the iPhone to third-party app stores, the analyst said, will weaken security and privacy, thereby harming consumers.\nMunster's Take On Potential Regulation:  The likelihood of radical regulation as low, Munster said. If any regulations do materialize, the most likely outcome is that Apple and Google will be forced to remove their anti-steering clauses, thereby allowing publishers to advertise payment options outside of the default in-app payment systems, the analyst said.\n\"This would have limited impact on consumer app store engagement given the easiest way to manage app spending will be to remain inside the respective walled gardens,\" the analyst concluded.\nApple closed Friday's session down 0.14% at $149.10 and Google ended nearly flat at $2,768.12.\nLatest Ratings for AAPL\n\n\n\nDate\nFirm\nAction\nFrom\nTo\n\n\n\n\nJul 2021\nLoop Capital\nMaintains\n\nBuy\n\n\nJul 2021\nDeutsche Bank\nMaintains\n\nBuy\n\n\nJul 2021\nPiper Sandler\nMaintains\n\nOverweight","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896377208,"gmtCreate":1628559289104,"gmtModify":1703508080918,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896377208","repostId":"1142685473","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898764312,"gmtCreate":1628522846536,"gmtModify":1703507594615,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/898764312","repostId":"2158744241","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125402130,"gmtCreate":1624683393920,"gmtModify":1703843602764,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio or Tesla ?","listText":"Nio or Tesla ?","text":"Nio or Tesla ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125402130","repostId":"1132692662","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132692662","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624680481,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132692662?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 12:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132692662","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.In response to the recall, Tesla said ","content":"<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p>\n<p>Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p>\n<p>Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p>\n<p>Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p>\n<p>In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-26 12:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p>\n<p>Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p>\n<p>Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p>\n<p>Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p>\n<p>In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132692662","content_text":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.\nTesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.\nMeanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.\nDue to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.\nTesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.\nIn response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123710613,"gmtCreate":1624438585532,"gmtModify":1703836695469,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>share buy back soon !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>share buy back soon !","text":"$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$share buy back soon !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123710613","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165491847,"gmtCreate":1624154307589,"gmtModify":1703829531391,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>ttime to go up !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>ttime to go up !","text":"$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ttime to go up !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165491847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165007934,"gmtCreate":1624078959628,"gmtModify":1703828425958,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165007934","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165004360,"gmtCreate":1624078925150,"gmtModify":1703828424821,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITRM\">$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$</a>whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITRM\">$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$</a>whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?","text":"$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165004360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165005102,"gmtCreate":1624078880106,"gmtModify":1703828423515,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165005102","repostId":"162637192","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":162637192,"gmtCreate":1624060852116,"gmtModify":1703827750331,"author":{"id":"3461111818041475","authorId":"3461111818041475","name":"少帅Pro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d11e2c326fbab8693d00a9f4a85d25","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461111818041475","authorIdStr":"3461111818041475"},"themes":[],"title":"閨蜜的老公可能時gay，要不要告訴她？","htmlText":"問：少帥，我發現我一個閨蜜的老公手機上有blued，好像是個gay，要不要告訴我閨蜜？答：我有兩位女生朋友的老公，都是gay。第一個。一本雙非畢業，大四到畢業這個階段，各種壓力很大，導致精神出現了點問題，應該是住過精神病院。後來精神正常了，直到現在，一直都很正常，回到了老家（南方經濟比較發達的縣）工作，在一個邊緣事業單位，工資也不是很高，有沒有編制我不清楚。她本來長相不錯，但是，縣裏可選擇的範圍比較窄，加上年齡有些大了。所以婚戀市場處於弱勢。她的老公各方面，從家庭到工作，條件都很好。婆婆也很好。她說，當她把手搭到他老公肩膀上的時候，老公會表現出很不習慣，有時候甚至反感到會動一下。老公喜歡攝影，經常會和一個男性的攝影朋友，一起去外地攝影，平時他兩也會看電影什麼的。他們夫妻雙方，平時除了在孩子方面，沒什麼交流。我問她：爲何不離婚呢？她回答：離婚了也不會比現在過的好。況且，老公對女兒很好。第二個。她小時候，父母經常爭吵，母親是那種性格及其敏感的人，會把對於她父親的不滿，發泄到她身上。她從中學開始，就喜歡一個男生。後來得知，這位男生是gay。於是她告訴這個男生，自己是les，雙方遂結婚。我問她：你爲何明知道對方是gay，還要和他結婚呢？她回答：我覺得人活着沒什麼意思，我原本計劃到35歲就去死的。現在有了他，我的生活有了快樂，儘管他也會和我分享他的男朋友的故事，但我接受。雖然得不到他的愛，但是我覺得，一輩子和他以親人的方式過一生，也挺好的。人生的本質是苦難。閨蜜是不是有其他的原因？以上兩個例子，供你參考。","listText":"問：少帥，我發現我一個閨蜜的老公手機上有blued，好像是個gay，要不要告訴我閨蜜？答：我有兩位女生朋友的老公，都是gay。第一個。一本雙非畢業，大四到畢業這個階段，各種壓力很大，導致精神出現了點問題，應該是住過精神病院。後來精神正常了，直到現在，一直都很正常，回到了老家（南方經濟比較發達的縣）工作，在一個邊緣事業單位，工資也不是很高，有沒有編制我不清楚。她本來長相不錯，但是，縣裏可選擇的範圍比較窄，加上年齡有些大了。所以婚戀市場處於弱勢。她的老公各方面，從家庭到工作，條件都很好。婆婆也很好。她說，當她把手搭到他老公肩膀上的時候，老公會表現出很不習慣，有時候甚至反感到會動一下。老公喜歡攝影，經常會和一個男性的攝影朋友，一起去外地攝影，平時他兩也會看電影什麼的。他們夫妻雙方，平時除了在孩子方面，沒什麼交流。我問她：爲何不離婚呢？她回答：離婚了也不會比現在過的好。況且，老公對女兒很好。第二個。她小時候，父母經常爭吵，母親是那種性格及其敏感的人，會把對於她父親的不滿，發泄到她身上。她從中學開始，就喜歡一個男生。後來得知，這位男生是gay。於是她告訴這個男生，自己是les，雙方遂結婚。我問她：你爲何明知道對方是gay，還要和他結婚呢？她回答：我覺得人活着沒什麼意思，我原本計劃到35歲就去死的。現在有了他，我的生活有了快樂，儘管他也會和我分享他的男朋友的故事，但我接受。雖然得不到他的愛，但是我覺得，一輩子和他以親人的方式過一生，也挺好的。人生的本質是苦難。閨蜜是不是有其他的原因？以上兩個例子，供你參考。","text":"問：少帥，我發現我一個閨蜜的老公手機上有blued，好像是個gay，要不要告訴我閨蜜？答：我有兩位女生朋友的老公，都是gay。第一個。一本雙非畢業，大四到畢業這個階段，各種壓力很大，導致精神出現了點問題，應該是住過精神病院。後來精神正常了，直到現在，一直都很正常，回到了老家（南方經濟比較發達的縣）工作，在一個邊緣事業單位，工資也不是很高，有沒有編制我不清楚。她本來長相不錯，但是，縣裏可選擇的範圍比較窄，加上年齡有些大了。所以婚戀市場處於弱勢。她的老公各方面，從家庭到工作，條件都很好。婆婆也很好。她說，當她把手搭到他老公肩膀上的時候，老公會表現出很不習慣，有時候甚至反感到會動一下。老公喜歡攝影，經常會和一個男性的攝影朋友，一起去外地攝影，平時他兩也會看電影什麼的。他們夫妻雙方，平時除了在孩子方面，沒什麼交流。我問她：爲何不離婚呢？她回答：離婚了也不會比現在過的好。況且，老公對女兒很好。第二個。她小時候，父母經常爭吵，母親是那種性格及其敏感的人，會把對於她父親的不滿，發泄到她身上。她從中學開始，就喜歡一個男生。後來得知，這位男生是gay。於是她告訴這個男生，自己是les，雙方遂結婚。我問她：你爲何明知道對方是gay，還要和他結婚呢？她回答：我覺得人活着沒什麼意思，我原本計劃到35歲就去死的。現在有了他，我的生活有了快樂，儘管他也會和我分享他的男朋友的故事，但我接受。雖然得不到他的愛，但是我覺得，一輩子和他以親人的方式過一生，也挺好的。人生的本質是苦難。閨蜜是不是有其他的原因？以上兩個例子，供你參考。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/162637192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165002622,"gmtCreate":1624078826966,"gmtModify":1703828422370,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like ?","listText":"Pls help to like ?","text":"Pls help to like ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165002622","repostId":"1168762020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168762020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623988654,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168762020?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168762020","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithogra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>\n <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>\n <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>\n <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>\n <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p>\n<p>ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p>\n<p>It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p>\n<p>Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p>\n<p><b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p>\n<p>For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p>\n<p>Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p>\n<p>This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p>\n<p>Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p>\n<p>The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p>\n<p>Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p>\n<p>ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p>\n<p>If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p>\n<p>As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p>\n<p>There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”\n <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p>\n<p>I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p>\n<p>So, to sum it all up:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>\n <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>\n <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>\n <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>\n <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>\n <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sounds pretty good to me.</p>\n<p>The Financial Performance and Development</p>\n<p>ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Strong revenue growth</li>\n <li>Strong margin expansion</li>\n <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>\n <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p>\n<p>This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p>\n<p>An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p>\n<p>The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p>\n<p>Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p>\n<p>ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p>\n<p>Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p>\n<p>Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>\n <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>\n <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>\n <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>\n <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>\n <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>\n <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p>\n<p>I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p>\n<p>The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p>\n<p>As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p>\n<p>There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p>\n<p>As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p>\n<p>There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p>\n<p>As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168762020","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.\nASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.\nA true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.\nExisting shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.\n\nMACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.\nIt's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.\nPersonally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.\nThe Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come\nFor ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).\nActually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.\nThis is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.\nQuite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.\nThe picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.\nSemiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.\nASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.\nIf that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.\nAs can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.\nASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.\nThere is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.\n\n “\n Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.”\n ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\n\nASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\nI believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.\nSo, to sum it all up:\n\nASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight\nEUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade\nThe semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)\nStrong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings\nThe path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips\nASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing\n\nSounds pretty good to me.\nThe Financial Performance and Development\nASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.\n\nStrong revenue growth\nStrong margin expansion\nStrong improvement in free cash flow\nImpressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&D spend and IP portfolio\n\nAnnual Report 2020, p 7.\nThis was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.\nAn interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.\nThe more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.\nAre Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?\nASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.\nAuthor's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.\nRemember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.\nConsidering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:\n\nGeneral semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.\nDUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.\nEUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.\nASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.\nASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.\nASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.\nAs the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.\n\nThis is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.\nI will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.\nValuation\nThe stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.\nData by YCharts\nMarket cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.\nThe significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.\nData by YCharts\nRevenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.\nData by YCharts\nThe strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.\nData by YCharts\nWith all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.\nAs Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.\nThere is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.\nAs can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.\nData by YCharts\nConclusion\nASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.\nThere is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.\nAs Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168451305,"gmtCreate":1623981684107,"gmtModify":1703825432069,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168451305","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168459335,"gmtCreate":1623981605427,"gmtModify":1703825429273,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585403364637520","authorIdStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ?","listText":"Like pls ?","text":"Like pls ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168459335","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":880063214,"gmtCreate":1631000932338,"gmtModify":1676530438869,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello. First comment. Like please","listText":"Hello. First comment. Like please","text":"Hello. First comment. Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/880063214","repostId":"1180092390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180092390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1631000448,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180092390?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-07 15:40","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"China stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180092390","media":"Reuters","summary":"SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the w","content":"<p>SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly grew at a faster pace last month, and as officials pledged to push further opening of capital markets to foreign investors. </p>\n<p>At the close, the Shanghai Composite index was up 1.51% at 3,676.59 points.</p>\n<p>The blue-chip CSI300 index closed 1.2% higher, with its financial sector sub-index climbing 2.01%, the real-estate index up 0.37% and the healthcare sub-index down 0.16%.</p>\n<p>Shipments from the world’s biggest exporter in August rose at a faster-than-expected rate of 25.6% from a year earlier, from a 19.3.% gain in July, pointing to some resilience in China’s industrial sector.</p>\n<p>China will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.</p>\n<p>Foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Stock Connect programme, with Refinitiv data showing net inflows of 10.46 billion yuan ($1.62 billion) for the day.</p>\n<p>The materials sector jumped 3.41% and the consumer discretionary sub-index rose 1.22%. </p>\n<p>The smaller Shenzhen index ended 1.13% higher and the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was higher by 0.725%. </p>\n<p>Around the region, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan stock index was firmer by 0.04%, while Japan’s Nikkei index closed up 0.86%. </p>\n<p>At 0700 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4565 per U.S. dollar, 0.02% firmer than the previous close of 6.458.</p>\n<p>So far this year, the Shanghai stock index climbed 5.9% and the CSI300 dropped 4.2%, while China’s H-share index listed in Hong Kong was down 11.8%. Shanghai stocks advanced 3.74% this month.</p>\n<p>($1 = 6.4569 Chinese yuan)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina stocks end higher as data signals surprise rise in export growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-07 15:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly grew at a faster pace last month, and as officials pledged to push further opening of capital markets to foreign investors. </p>\n<p>At the close, the Shanghai Composite index was up 1.51% at 3,676.59 points.</p>\n<p>The blue-chip CSI300 index closed 1.2% higher, with its financial sector sub-index climbing 2.01%, the real-estate index up 0.37% and the healthcare sub-index down 0.16%.</p>\n<p>Shipments from the world’s biggest exporter in August rose at a faster-than-expected rate of 25.6% from a year earlier, from a 19.3.% gain in July, pointing to some resilience in China’s industrial sector.</p>\n<p>China will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.</p>\n<p>Foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Stock Connect programme, with Refinitiv data showing net inflows of 10.46 billion yuan ($1.62 billion) for the day.</p>\n<p>The materials sector jumped 3.41% and the consumer discretionary sub-index rose 1.22%. </p>\n<p>The smaller Shenzhen index ended 1.13% higher and the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was higher by 0.725%. </p>\n<p>Around the region, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan stock index was firmer by 0.04%, while Japan’s Nikkei index closed up 0.86%. </p>\n<p>At 0700 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4565 per U.S. dollar, 0.02% firmer than the previous close of 6.458.</p>\n<p>So far this year, the Shanghai stock index climbed 5.9% and the CSI300 dropped 4.2%, while China’s H-share index listed in Hong Kong was down 11.8%. Shanghai stocks advanced 3.74% this month.</p>\n<p>($1 = 6.4569 Chinese yuan)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180092390","content_text":"SHANGHAI, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China shares ended higher on Tuesday after data showed exports in the world’s second-largest economy unexpectedly grew at a faster pace last month, and as officials pledged to push further opening of capital markets to foreign investors. \nAt the close, the Shanghai Composite index was up 1.51% at 3,676.59 points.\nThe blue-chip CSI300 index closed 1.2% higher, with its financial sector sub-index climbing 2.01%, the real-estate index up 0.37% and the healthcare sub-index down 0.16%.\nShipments from the world’s biggest exporter in August rose at a faster-than-expected rate of 25.6% from a year earlier, from a 19.3.% gain in July, pointing to some resilience in China’s industrial sector.\nChina will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.\nForeign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Stock Connect programme, with Refinitiv data showing net inflows of 10.46 billion yuan ($1.62 billion) for the day.\nThe materials sector jumped 3.41% and the consumer discretionary sub-index rose 1.22%. \nThe smaller Shenzhen index ended 1.13% higher and the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was higher by 0.725%. \nAround the region, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan stock index was firmer by 0.04%, while Japan’s Nikkei index closed up 0.86%. \nAt 0700 GMT, the yuan was quoted at 6.4565 per U.S. dollar, 0.02% firmer than the previous close of 6.458.\nSo far this year, the Shanghai stock index climbed 5.9% and the CSI300 dropped 4.2%, while China’s H-share index listed in Hong Kong was down 11.8%. Shanghai stocks advanced 3.74% this month.\n($1 = 6.4569 Chinese yuan)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896377208,"gmtCreate":1628559289104,"gmtModify":1703508080918,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896377208","repostId":"1142685473","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123710613,"gmtCreate":1624438585532,"gmtModify":1703836695469,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>share buy back soon !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>share buy back soon !","text":"$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$share buy back soon !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123710613","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168459335,"gmtCreate":1623981605427,"gmtModify":1703825429273,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ?","listText":"Like pls ?","text":"Like pls ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168459335","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110383695,"gmtCreate":1622425623317,"gmtModify":1704184169077,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>sstill go upside ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>sstill go upside ?","text":"$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$sstill go upside ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110383695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581082207694869","authorId":"3581082207694869","name":"Trading Guru","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/765299bc38d48154b1dbbe7c431c8f70","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3581082207694869","idStr":"3581082207694869"},"content":"if u do own it just hold it. have convinction it will grow even higher than before. when invest dont be paperhand when u see paperloss. u will nv make it big if u nv see far","text":"if u do own it just hold it. have convinction it will grow even higher than before. when invest dont be paperhand when u see paperloss. u will nv make it big if u nv see far","html":"if u do own it just hold it. have convinction it will grow even higher than before. when invest dont be paperhand when u see paperloss. u will nv make it big if u nv see far"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165004360,"gmtCreate":1624078925150,"gmtModify":1703828424821,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITRM\">$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$</a>whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITRM\">$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$</a>whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?","text":"$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$whats the outlook ? 1 month in to approval ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165004360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185057024,"gmtCreate":1623628312068,"gmtModify":1704207119797,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well","listText":"Well","text":"Well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185057024","repostId":"1167404259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165007934,"gmtCreate":1624078959628,"gmtModify":1703828425958,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165007934","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165002622,"gmtCreate":1624078826966,"gmtModify":1703828422370,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like ?","listText":"Pls help to like ?","text":"Pls help to like ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165002622","repostId":"1168762020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168762020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623988654,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168762020?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168762020","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithogra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>\n <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>\n <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>\n <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>\n <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p>\n<p>ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p>\n<p>It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p>\n<p>Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p>\n<p><b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p>\n<p>For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p>\n<p>Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p>\n<p>This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p>\n<p>Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p>\n<p>The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p>\n<p>Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p>\n<p>ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p>\n<p>If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p>\n<p>As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p>\n<p>There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p>\n<blockquote>\n “\n <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”\n <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p>\n<p>I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p>\n<p>So, to sum it all up:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>\n <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>\n <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>\n <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>\n <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>\n <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sounds pretty good to me.</p>\n<p>The Financial Performance and Development</p>\n<p>ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Strong revenue growth</li>\n <li>Strong margin expansion</li>\n <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>\n <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p>\n<p>This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p>\n<p>An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p>\n<p>The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p>\n<p>Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p>\n<p>ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p>\n<p>Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p>\n<p>Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>\n <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>\n <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>\n <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>\n <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>\n <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>\n <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p>\n<p>I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p>\n<p>The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p>\n<p>As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p>\n<p>There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p>\n<p>As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p>\n<p>There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p>\n<p>As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168762020","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.\nASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.\nA true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.\nExisting shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.\n\nMACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.\nIt's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.\nPersonally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.\nThe Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come\nFor ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).\nActually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.\nThis is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.\nQuite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.\nThe picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.\nSemiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.\nASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.\nIf that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.\nAs can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.\nASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.\nThere is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.\n\n “\n Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.”\n ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\n\nASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\nI believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.\nSo, to sum it all up:\n\nASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight\nEUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade\nThe semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)\nStrong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings\nThe path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips\nASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing\n\nSounds pretty good to me.\nThe Financial Performance and Development\nASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.\n\nStrong revenue growth\nStrong margin expansion\nStrong improvement in free cash flow\nImpressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&D spend and IP portfolio\n\nAnnual Report 2020, p 7.\nThis was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.\nAn interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.\nThe more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.\nAre Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?\nASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.\nAuthor's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.\nRemember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.\nConsidering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:\n\nGeneral semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.\nDUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.\nEUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.\nASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.\nASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.\nASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.\nAs the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.\n\nThis is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.\nI will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.\nValuation\nThe stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.\nData by YCharts\nMarket cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.\nThe significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.\nData by YCharts\nRevenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.\nData by YCharts\nThe strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.\nData by YCharts\nWith all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.\nAs Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.\nThere is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.\nAs can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.\nData by YCharts\nConclusion\nASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.\nThere is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.\nAs Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187078173,"gmtCreate":1623732516492,"gmtModify":1704209881252,"author":{"id":"3585403364637520","authorId":"3585403364637520","name":"zhann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487a04f2668891a1a674fa5e8a9877b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585403364637520","idStr":"3585403364637520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kindly like and comment pls","listText":"Kindly like and comment pls","text":"Kindly like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187078173","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}